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On January 13, the Guangzhou Municipal Bureau of Industry and Information Technology publicly solicited opinions on the "Several Policies of Guangzhou Municipality on Promoting the High-Quality Development of the Integrated Circuit Industry Across the Entire Chain During the 15th Five-Year Plan Period (Draft for Solicitation of Opinions)". The draft mentions accelerating breakthroughs in the design of high-end general-purpose chips such as processors, memory chips, and edge computing chips; actively supporting the development of specialized chips such as RISC-V (an open-source instruction set architecture based on the principle of reduced instruction set), automotive-grade, display drivers, sensors, optical communication, and 6G; strengthening support for the first-round tape-out of integrated circuit companies products; and providing subsidies of up to 50% of the tape-out cost to qualified companies that conduct tape-out of 28nm and below chips with independent intellectual property rights or significant competitive advantages.On January 13, at the ceremony marking the production of the 1 millionth Seres vehicle, Zhang Xinghai, Chairman of the Seres Group, announced that the first million-vehicle sales of the Wenjie brand were achieved after five years. In the next two years, the company will strive to achieve the second million-vehicle target, namely, an average annual sales volume of over 500,000 vehicles from 2026 to 2027.On January 13th, Morningstar analyst Jeff Zhang stated in a report that Pop Marts domestic revenue growth may slow in the fourth quarter. He indicated that due to a "high base and delays in the launch of new plush keychains featuring its flagship IPs," the companys overall revenue growth in the Chinese market in the fourth quarter may be lower than in the third quarter. He added that some Labubu products are experiencing inventory backlogs in certain retail stores, indicating that market interest in older products is waning. Morningstar maintains its fair value estimate for the stock at HK$280. "After the recent sharp decline in share price, Pop Marts valuation is now attractive, and we believe the markets concerns about its short-term revenue fluctuations are excessive."On January 13th, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) announced that its newly formed Financial Policy Committee has finalized its seven members, including two external appointees. The committee will hold its first meeting in February. This move stems from several surveys conducted last year regarding competition in New Zealands banking sector, which recommended that the RBNZ strengthen its financial policy-making capabilities. With the support of Finance Minister Willis, the RBNZ Board of Governors established the committee to enhance the professionalism of policy decisions. The committees responsibilities include setting prudential regulatory requirements for financial institutions and making decisions on macroprudential policy. In addition, the committee will advise the Finance Minister on legislative reforms, regulatory measures, or other regulatory activities, and will be responsible for approving the central banks semi-annual Financial Stability Report.On January 13th, former Bank of Japan (BOJ) policy board member Makoto Sakurai stated that the BOJ may raise interest rates as early as April due to the continued weakness of the yen caused by escalating market concerns about Prime Minister Sanae Takaichis "dangerous" fiscal policies. "The BOJ must raise rates at least once before June or July, but the action could come in April." (The market generally expects the BOJ to raise rates approximately every six months, so an April rate hike would be earlier than the market consensus.) These remarks came as the yen further depreciated following reports in Japanese media that the Takaichi municipal government was considering holding an early general election next month. Sakurais comments indicate that he believes the BOJ will not take action to support the yen at its next two meetings, and if the yen continues to depreciate, the responsibility for maintaining the exchange rate during this period will fall on the Ministry of Finance.

The USD/JPY exchange rate is anticipated to resume its ascent from 132.00 as the BOJ favors greater policy easing

Alina Haynes

Jan 05, 2023 15:05

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The USD/JPY pair has gradually retraced approaching the crucial support level of 132.00 in the early Asian session. Following a big increase to approximately 132.70, the asset is seeing weak selling pressure. The major may resume its ascent despite the risk-on market mentality, as the Bank of Japan (BOJ) has supported greater policy easing to bolster wages.

 

As the Federal Reserve (Fed) is projected to lower the rate of interest rate hikes, the S&P500 exhibited a stronger recovery on Wednesday following a two-day fall.

 

The US Dollar Index (DXY) dropped sharply below 104.00 as an adjustment to the Fed's sluggish pace of policy tightening anticipated a reduction in the US price index for goods and services. In addition, the yield on US Treasury bonds has increased due to the majority of Fed policymakers' support for a slower rate of interest rate increases. The yield on 10-year US Treasuries has declined to approximately 3.69 percent.

 

Investors will await the release of the United States Automatic Data Processing (ADP) Employment Change (Dec), which is projected to be 150K, up from the previous release of 127K. In contrast, the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report reveals a rise of 200K jobs compared to the previous estimate of 263K. The US Institute of Supply Management's (ISM) report of a decline in manufacturing activity and the Federal Reserve's decision to increase interest rates increase predictions of a slowed employment creation process.

 

After BOJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda pushed for greater policy easing to drive the wage price index in order to meet higher inflation projections for CY2023 and CY2024, the Japanese yen experienced a strong fall in Tokyo.