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Iran says it struck Israeli radar centers and airports on Saturday.The Israeli military has confirmed that Iran launched a missile.On March 29th, the Guangdong Provincial Administration for Market Regulation, in conjunction with the Guangzhou Municipal Administration for Market Regulation, held a symposium for platform enterprises. The meeting focused on issues such as regulating fair and rational competition in the platform economy, providing administrative guidance to platform enterprises, and jointly proposing implementation measures. The meeting pointed out that Guangdong Province and Guangzhou City, leveraging their traditional industrial advantages, have a large number of operators and significant business volume on leading platforms nationwide. Platform rules are crucial for the operation and development of small and micro-sized businesses. The meeting encouraged platforms to take effective measures to strengthen compliance, improve compliance levels, and focus on innovative, standardized, and win-win development. Efforts should be made to continuously strengthen compliance in areas such as regulating competitive behavior, respecting merchants independent operating rights, implementing quality grading and control, protecting the rights and interests of small and micro-sized businesses, empowering the incubation of high-quality brands, and protecting the legitimate rights and interests of consumers. This will jointly resist "involutionary" competition, promote high-quality development of the industry, and drive out inferior players with superior ones.March 29th - With the Iraq War nearing its one-month mark, shipping through the Strait of Hormuz continues to be disrupted, disrupting the global energy supply system and causing international oil prices to soar. Wan Zhe, a professor of economics at Beijing Normal University, stated that firstly, global inflation faces a full-scale rebound, and rising oil prices will be transmitted along the entire industrial chain. Costs across all industries, including energy, food, transportation, and chemicals, will surge, with economies highly dependent on energy imports, such as Europe, Japan, and India, facing even greater pressure. The US is a net energy exporter, but inflationary stickiness may become completely entrenched, putting the Federal Reserves monetary policy in a dilemma. Currently, the average price of gasoline in the US has surged by more than 30% in three weeks, directly reversing the previous downward trend in inflation and completely altering market expectations for interest rate cuts. A prolonged high-interest-rate environment will directly suppress the US real estate market, corporate financing, and stock market valuations. Especially this year is a US midterm election year, and gasoline prices are one of the most sensitive livelihood indicators for American voters. For global economic growth, there will be a slowdown, as high oil prices directly erode disposable income, squeeze non-energy consumption, and also increase production costs for businesses.On March 29th, the Victorian government announced in an email that residents of the state would not have to pay for public transport for one month, starting March 31st. The Tasmanian government stated in a press release that it would waive bus and ferry fares from March 30th to July 1st. Australia faces a significant risk to fuel supplies, with hundreds of petrol stations reporting fuel shortages and disruptions occurring in agriculture and mining. Australian Prime Minister Albanese reassured anxious households and businesses on Friday that short-term supplies were secure.

AUD/USD Struggles for Near-Term Direction and Flattens Below the 0.7100 Mark

Alina Haynes

May 27, 2022 09:30

During the early European session, the AUD/USD pair drew some dip buyers at the mid-0.7000s, but unable to profit on the move. The pair was last seen trading a few pips below the 0.7100 level, almost flat for the day.

 

In the lack of any shocks in the most recent FOMC meeting minutes, the possibility that the Fed may stop the rate hike cycle later this year weighed on US Treasury bond rates. This, along with a robust equities market rebound, weakened the safe-haven US currency and boosted the risk-averse Australian dollar.

 

However, the deteriorating global economic picture should temper any optimism. Investors continue to be concerned that a more aggressive effort by major central banks to curb inflation and the Russia-Ukraine conflict might pose threats to the global economy. In turn, this functioned as a tailwind for the dollar and limited the AUD/USD pair.

 

Since the beginning of this week, spot prices have oscillated within a wider trading range, even from a technical standpoint. The price response appears to indicate that markets have already priced in the Reserve Bank of Australia's hawkish indication that a larger interest rate rise in June remains conceivable. This demands bullish traders' prudence.

 

Now, market investors await the US data calendar, which includes the publication of Prelim Q1 GDP, Weekly Initial Jobless Claims, and Pending Home Sales. The data might impact USD price dynamics and create momentum for the AUD/USD pair. Traders will continue to seek clues for short-term opportunities from the wider risk mood.

AUD/USD

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