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On September 20, two attacks occurred in the West Bank, resulting in the death of one Israeli and one Palestinian by Israeli forces. The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) issued a statement saying that a Palestinian man attempted to ram Israeli soldiers with his car in the Ghanim area near Jenin in the northern West Bank and was shot dead by Israeli forces. Separately, according to the IDF and Israeli emergency services, a shooting occurred near the Nevechuff settlement northwest of Ramallah. A gunman opened fire from a car on Israelis near a spring, seriously injuring one Israeli man before fleeing the scene. Israeli media, citing medical personnel, reported that the seriously injured man had died.On September 20th, the Party Leadership Group of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs held a meeting. The meeting emphasized that cultivating and strengthening the agricultural machinery equipment industry is a key support for agricultural modernization. It stressed adhering to the development direction of intelligence, greening, and integration, focusing on addressing prominent shortcomings such as high-end intelligent machinery and machinery suitable for hilly and mountainous areas. The meeting called for concentrating superior resources and efforts to overcome key challenges in a number of landmark complete machines and key common technologies, accelerating pilot-scale testing and mature application, so that more areas of agricultural production can have "organic produce available and good machinery available." The meeting also emphasized vigorously promoting "artificial intelligence + agriculture," expanding application scenarios for drones, the Internet of Things, and other technologies, so that new productive forces can better empower the development of modern agriculture.On September 20th, US President Trump stated on social media: "At the strong request of the US military and for national security purposes, I have agreed to transform the magnificent Arc de Triomphe—planned for many years since the Civil War—located in Reception Plaza next to the Arlington Memorial Bridge, into a top-tier military complex/Arch de Triomphe—capable of housing, storing, and rapidly deploying large numbers of drones, while also deploying snipers on the rooftops and plaza area, and additionally storing and maintaining a large quantity of sniper ammunition. There is no similar facility anywhere else in the world. Of the 59 top cities and capitals in the world, Washington, D.C., is the only city without an Arc de Triomphe, but now it will have one, and it will be the greatest ever!"Market news: Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu has ordered increased military presence in the West Bank, including a blockade, arrests, and the demolition of the residences of those who carried out the attacks.On September 20th, it was reported that from September 15th to 17th, Sun Meijun, Director-General of the General Administration of Customs, led a delegation to Uzbekistan. She exchanged in-depth views with Mavronov, Chairman of the Customs Committee of Uzbekistan, on implementing the consensus reached by the two heads of state, promoting the implementation of customs cooperation agreements, and facilitating trade security, reaching an action plan. She also held talks with Urunov, Chairman of the Food Safety Committee, on cooperation in the quarantine of exported animal and plant products and food safety, and signed cooperation documents. During her visit, Sun Meijun also exchanged views with officials from the Chinese Embassy in Uzbekistan; met with representatives of Chinese-funded enterprises in Uzbekistan to understand the business environment at Uzbek border crossings; and exchanged views with representatives of Uzbek customs trainees who had received training in China, soliciting their suggestions on the training program.

Dollar Index: Bears Continue to Dominate Below 102.00

Alina Haynes

May 30, 2022 17:02

 截屏2022-05-30 下午4.54.16.png

 

The greenback, as measured by the US Dollar Index (DXY), continues on the defensive after Monday's recovery from lows in the 102.40-35 range.

Multi-Week Lows for the US Dollar Index

The index loses ground for the third consecutive session at the start of the week, remaining below the 102.000 level and despite a widespread preference for riskier assets among investors.

 

On Monday, no US market activity should leave the price action at the mercy of global risk appetite trends, as market participants continue to evaluate the various moves the Federal Reserve could take to normalize monetary conditions, primarily through interest rate hikes.

 

Monday's US schedule is barren, with just C. Waller (permanent voter, hawk) scheduled to speak during the NA session.

What to Search for Regarding USD

The dollar retreated to multi-week lows at the conclusion of last week due primarily to investors' tilt toward riskier assets.

 

Also weighing on the dollar was the view that inflation may have peaked in April, which supports the notion that the Fed may not need to be as active in hiking Fed Funds rates as market players anticipate.

 

In the meantime, the Fed's divergence from the majority of its G10 peers, geopolitical turbulence, rising US rates, and a potential "hard landing" of the US economy are all factors that will continue to favor a stronger dollar in the coming months.

 

House Price Index, CB Consumer Confidence (Tuesday); MBA Mortgage Applications, Final Manufacturing PMI, ISM Manufacturing, Construction Spending, Fed Beige Book (Wednesday); ADP Employment Change, Initial Claims, Factory Orders (Thursday); Nonfarm Payrolls, Unemployment Rate, Final Services PMI, ISM Non-Manufacturing (Friday); and Nonfarm Payrolls, Unemployment Rate, Final Services PMI, ISM Non-Manufacturing (Friday).

 

Back burner issues: Powell's "softish" landing... what does that mean? Increasing geopolitical tensions with Russia and China. The Fed's more aggressive path for interest rates this year and in 2023. US-China trade dispute. Future of the Build Back Better plan by Biden.

US Dollar Index Relevant Levels

Now, the index is falling 0.08 percent at 101.55 and the next support level is at 101.38 (30-day low for the month of May), followed by 101.11 (55-day simple moving average) and 99.81. (weekly low April 21). In contrast, a breach of 105.00 (13 May 2022 high) would pave the way to 105.63 (11 December 2002 high) and then 106.00. (round level).

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