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On February 4th, Novo Nordisk (NVO.N) shares listed in the US fell more than 13% on Tuesday after the company unexpectedly warned that its 2026 sales would decline more sharply than expected, due to price pressures impacting sales of its best-selling diabetes and weight-loss drugs in the US. The Danish company stated that it expects global sales for the full year of 2026 to decline by 5% to 13% compared to 2025 levels (excluding currency fluctuations). In contrast, sales grew by 10% in 2025. The company stated that US sales would decrease due to price reductions for drugs including Ozempic and Wegovy. They noted that the company recently reached an agreement with the Trump administration to lower drug prices. The main ingredients of these two drugs will also lose patent exclusivity in some countries outside the US, potentially opening up opportunities for low-priced generic competition. This deteriorating outlook is yet another piece of bad news for this once-rapidly growing company, a pioneer in the weight-loss drug market.The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index fell further to 2%, with WeRide (WRD.O) and Bilibili (BILI.O) dropping more than 5%, and Alibaba (BABA.N) and iQiyi (IQ.O) falling more than 4%.The Federal Reserve accepted a total of $1.785 billion from 18 counterparties in its fixed-rate reverse repurchase operations.On February 4th, Russian President Vladimir Putin stated on February 3rd that Russias GDP growth in 2025 is projected to be 1%, a slowdown in line with expectations. Speaking at a meeting on economic issues in Moscow, Putin said that Russias economic growth rate in 2025 will be lower than the 4.1% of 2023 and 4.3% of 2024. He stated that the slower economic growth in 2025 is in line with expectations, mainly due to specific measures aimed at reducing inflation. Putin explained that Russias inflation rate in 2025 has already fallen to 5.6%, lower than 9.5% in 2024. Furthermore, as of January 26th, Russias annualized inflation rate this year was 6.4%. Putin expects the inflation rate to potentially fall to 5% this year. Putin pointed out that Russias current task is to restore economic growth, improve the business environment, and attract investment by increasing production capacity. These measures have been incorporated into the economic restructuring plan until 2030.White House Press Secretary: U.S. Special Envoy Witkov has left and is preparing to meet with Iranian officials; negotiations are proceeding as planned.

AUD/NZD tries to recover 1.125; NZ GDP and Australian Employment are under consideration

Alina Haynes

Sep 14, 2022 11:46

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After recovering to approximately 1.1214 during the Tokyo morning session, the AUD/NZD pair is approaching the critical 1.1250 barrier. In a broader sense, the asset is currently gaining after striking a low of 1.1120 last week. In expectation of favorable Australian employment data, market participants utilize any decline as a buying opportunity.

 

According to the consensus, the Australian Bureau of Statistics will publish a 35k increase in job creations against a 40.9k fall in payrolls. In addition, it is projected that the unemployment rate would remain constant at 3.4%. A similar situation could prompt the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to immediately increase the Official Cash Rate (OCR). The University of Melbourne's release of the Consumer Inflation Expectation statistics is also of major importance.

 

It is projected that the Consumer Inflation Expectation will increase dramatically to 6.7% from 5.7% earlier. This will prompt RBA Governor Philip Lowe to announce a fifth consecutive 50 basis point (bps) rate hike at the monetary policy committee meeting in October.

 

On the front of New Zealand, investors anticipate the announcement of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) numbers on Thursday. Consensus forecasts indicate a 0.2% expansion in the New Zealand economy, as opposed to the 1.2% reported previously. While the quarterly data will result in an expansion of 0.8% as opposed to a decline of 0.2%.

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