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On November 24th, international crude oil prices continued their downward trend on Monday, falling further after last weeks largest weekly drop since early October. Traders are assessing the potential impact of a peace agreement between Ukraine and Russia—an agreement that, if reached, could flood an already well-supplied market with more crude oil. Oil traders are closely watching three key developments: whether the peace agreement will be implemented, whether sanctions against Russia will be gradually lifted, and whether these developments will inject additional supply into a market already expected to experience a severe oversupply next year. With OPEC+ and other oil-producing countries (particularly in the Americas) continuing to increase production, this market outlook is destined to result in a year-to-date decline for oil prices.On November 24th, Minmetals Resources (01208.HK) announced on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange that its obligation to complete the acquisition of Anglo Americans Brazilian nickel business was subject to the satisfaction or waiver of certain preconditions. Given that all other conditions have been met, the European Commission has extended its review to the second phase. The timeframe for the European Commission to complete its review is currently undetermined. Under the share purchase agreement, the final deadline for the completion conditions was November 18, 2025 (the final deadline). The parties have now agreed to extend the final deadline to June 30, 2026. The Company will continue to cooperate with Anglo American and the European Commission to assist the Commission in its review.JD Industry has passed the listing hearing of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange.The White House issued a joint statement from the United States and Ukraine, stating that the parties have drafted an updated and improved peace framework.The White House: Agreed to continue consultations as the agreement is gradually refined.

AUD/NZD tries to recover 1.125; NZ GDP and Australian Employment are under consideration

Alina Haynes

Sep 14, 2022 11:46

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After recovering to approximately 1.1214 during the Tokyo morning session, the AUD/NZD pair is approaching the critical 1.1250 barrier. In a broader sense, the asset is currently gaining after striking a low of 1.1120 last week. In expectation of favorable Australian employment data, market participants utilize any decline as a buying opportunity.

 

According to the consensus, the Australian Bureau of Statistics will publish a 35k increase in job creations against a 40.9k fall in payrolls. In addition, it is projected that the unemployment rate would remain constant at 3.4%. A similar situation could prompt the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to immediately increase the Official Cash Rate (OCR). The University of Melbourne's release of the Consumer Inflation Expectation statistics is also of major importance.

 

It is projected that the Consumer Inflation Expectation will increase dramatically to 6.7% from 5.7% earlier. This will prompt RBA Governor Philip Lowe to announce a fifth consecutive 50 basis point (bps) rate hike at the monetary policy committee meeting in October.

 

On the front of New Zealand, investors anticipate the announcement of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) numbers on Thursday. Consensus forecasts indicate a 0.2% expansion in the New Zealand economy, as opposed to the 1.2% reported previously. While the quarterly data will result in an expansion of 0.8% as opposed to a decline of 0.2%.