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On April 26, UBS said that the current market thinking is consistent with the banks basic forecast, that is, tariffs will be reduced from the current announced level for the rest of the year, and the Federal Reserve will further cut interest rates this year. However, as uncertainty in trade, economy and Federal Reserve policy remains high, expected volatility also remains high. However, UBS believes that the US stock market is attractive, and the S&P 500 index target continues to be 5,800 points by the end of the year. UBSs current basic forecast is that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 75 to 100 basis points this year, but in the short term, the Feds policy flexibility seems more limited because it must balance concerns about economic growth with the risk of inflation recovery.According to AFP: Senior officials said that Ukrainian President Zelensky and US President Trump may meet in Rome.Spokesman for Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky: Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has arrived in Rome to attend the Popes funeral.According to the Ukrainian National News Agency: Russian troops launched 414 attacks in the Zaporizhia region at night.Market news: Ukrainian President Zelensky and his wife arrived in Rome.

WTI rises to around $80.00 following a minor drop as supply concerns intensify

Daniel Rogers

Dec 28, 2022 10:57

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Futures for West Texas Intermediate (WTI) on the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) have resumed their ascent after correcting to about $79.50 in the late New York session. After Russian President Vladimir Putin chose to impose a price ceiling on oil exports to the G7 and the European Union, supply concerns have increased. The oil price has sought to recover as a result.

 

Black gold is also in the spotlight despite the US Dollar Index's dismal performance (DXY). In the absence of prospective triggers, the USD index is trading flat below 104.00 despite the extreme volatility of U.S. stocks.

 

Previously, the G7 and the European Union capped the price of Russian oil at $60 per barrel in order to prevent Moscow from funding weaponry and ammunition for the war against Ukraine. In retaliation, Vladimir Putin passed a directive prohibiting the sale of Russian oil to nations that enforced the oil price ceiling. It will last from 1 February to 1 July.

 

In addition to supply concerns, China's actions to restore the economy after a protracted shutdown have injected new life into the oil bulls. Despite an increase in Covid-19 instances, the Chinese government has eliminated quarantine regulations for incoming tourists, which will reduce supply chain interruptions. Supporting the oil price is a crucial step towards reopening the economy and regaining the road of progress.

 

The modification of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) projection is attributable to a new effort to eliminate restrictions on Covid-related measures in China. According to a statement made by China's National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), the agency has changed the country's GDP growth forecast for 2021 from 8.1% to 8.4%.


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