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ECB Executive Board Member Schnabel: The uncertainties we face have risen sharply and may increase further in the future.Russias Defense Ministry said Ukraine had carried out 14 attacks on Russian energy infrastructure in the past 24 hours.On April 5, the USs "reciprocal tariff" policy was opposed by many countries, and the calculation method of its tax rate also aroused doubts from all parties. They accused the calculation method of being "simplistic and crude", "out of thin air" and "not in line with standard economic practices". Julia Spiess, director of trade and market intelligence at the International Trade Center, said that this is not the standard way economists usually calculate tax rates. The tax rate is calculated based on a formula that relies on the trade deficit or the ratio of the trade deficit to imports. Personally, I have never seen this happen. An analyst at Wedbush Securities, a well-known US investment bank, said in an interview on the 4th that the so-called "calculation formula" announced by the Trump administration has no credibility and is not enough to serve as the basis for rational negotiations on international trade.On April 5, according to a report by the Ukrainian National News Agency on the 4th local time, Ukrainian President Zelensky said at a press conference that Ukraine has selected a law firm that will negotiate on behalf of Ukraine with the United States on the mineral agreement. Zelensky said that he will hold a meeting with the Ukrainian team at the beginning of next week to listen to the key points of the draft agreement, which will meet the needs of Ukraine and reflect the "fairness" of the agreement. After that, the Ukrainian technical team will prepare to go to the United States to start a dialogue with American personnel. Zelensky said that Ukraine is currently negotiating through a technical team and he will not go to the United States for the time being.April 5th news: Surat, India is the worlds largest diamond processing and polishing center, and the United States is its largest export market. Trump announced a so-called "reciprocal tariff" of 26% on Indian exports to the United States, which made Surats diamond industry practitioners worried. At present, Surats diamond business has come to a standstill, and people are waiting to see the possible impact of the tariff policy. Practitioners said that some processors may be forced to reduce production or even close down. Industry insiders pointed out that the US governments imposition of tariffs will lead to higher diamond export prices and weaken demand. Data provided by the Surat Diamond Association show that there are currently about 700,000 people engaged in related work, and the US "reciprocal tariff" policy is threatening the livelihoods of these people.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU/USD falls to roughly $1,810 despite a weakening US Dollar during the holiday week

Daniel Rogers

Dec 28, 2022 10:42

截屏2022-05-27 下午2.51.53.png

 

After failing to sustain above the crucial resistance of $1,830.00 on Tuesday, the gold price (XAU/USD) is falling at a steady clip in the Asian session. The precious metal had a furious swing but was unable to maintain control as the US Dollar Index (DXY) defended the downside and recaptured the 104.00 barrier. The price of gold has decreased to approximately $1,810.00 per ounce and is volatile despite decreased trading volume due to the holiday season.

 

In the meantime, the risk profile has changed as S&P500 market participants have shown a desire to sell. S&P500 futures have maintained their poor performance and will remain on edge in the absence of a crucial catalyst. Ten-year US Treasury yields have experienced a slight selling pressure, but continue to hold at 3.85 percent.

 

The reduction in demand for US Durable Goods and the fast decline in the Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index have increased the likelihood that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will reduce its policy rates sooner rather than later. ING economists concur that the recession will accelerate inflation's decline, allowing the Fed to reduce interest rates before the end of CY2023.

 

After a failed breakout attempt, the Gold price has reversed into the ascending triangle pattern on a four-hour scale. The horizontal resistance of the aforementioned chart pattern is drawn from the high on December 13 of about $1,824.55, while the upward trendline is drawn from the low on November 28 of $1,738.73.

 

At $1,807.00, the gold price is still above the 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA), indicating that the uptrend is robust. In the meantime, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has failed to persist above 60.00 and has dipped into the area of 40.00-60.00, indicating an impending consolidation.