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The Eurozones preliminary July CPI annual rate was 2.9%, below the expected 2.90% and the previous reading of 2.80%.The Eurozones core CPI annual rate preliminary reading for July was 2.2%, below the expected 2.3% and the previous reading of 2.1%.US semiconductor stocks continued to rise in pre-market trading, with TSMC (TSM.N) up more than 4%, ASML (ASML.O) up 3.2%, Arm (ARM.O) up 4.8%, and Broadcom (AVGO.O) up more than 1.3%.On July 31st, Hong Kong stocks opened slightly lower this morning after four consecutive days of gains. The Hang Seng Index opened 21 points lower at 25837, and the market briefly dipped below the 250-day moving average, falling as much as 235 points to a low of 25622. It then gradually stabilized and rebounded, even turning positive at one point during the session. In the afternoon, the market continued to fluctuate around 25800. At the close, the Hang Seng Index rose 0.1%, with a gain of over 13% in July; the Hang Seng Tech Index rose 0.53%, with a gain of nearly 8% in July. The total turnover of the Hang Seng Index was HK$328.17 billion. On the sector front, storage concept stocks, AI newly listed stocks, and PCB concept stocks rebounded sharply, while brain-computer interface, electronic components, and commercial aerospace sectors also saw significant rebounds. Alcoholic beverages, consumer electronics, and mainland-traded stocks fluctuated and retreated, while automobile, paper, and dairy stocks weakened during the session. In terms of individual stocks, CSOPs double-leveraged long position in Hynix (07709.HK) surged over 67.5%, CSOPs double-leveraged long position in Samsung Electronics (07747.HK) surged over 48%, Zhipu (02513.HK) surged over 14.5%, MiniMax (00100.HK) surged over 13%, and Laopu Gold (06181.HK) surged over 10%; Xiaomi Group (01810.HK) fell over 7%, and Budweiser APAC (01876.HK) fell over 6.5%.The European Central Bank (ECB) reported that in June, the composite borrowing cost index for new corporate loans rose 15 basis points to 3.79%; the composite interest rate index for new household home loans remained largely unchanged at 3.51%. The composite interest rate for new corporate time deposits rose 17 basis points to 2.21%; the overnight corporate deposit rate rose 6 basis points to 0.59%. The composite interest rate for new household time deposits rose 13 basis points to 2.09%; the overnight household deposit rate remained largely unchanged at 0.28%.

Forecast for the Gold Price: XAU/USD bulls return, market remains tense

Alina Haynes

Dec 27, 2022 10:57

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According to yesterday's analysis, Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD bulls must commit at critical trendline support, the Gold price has found demand at the aforementioned support region and has moved back in line with the larger bullish trend. On Friday, ahead of the Christmas holidays and long weekend, the price of gold inched up, aided by Friday's falling inflation statistics.

 

US consumer spending rose 0.1% in November after rising 0.4% in October, indicating that inflation is moderating, but not enough for markets to anticipate a policy shift from the Federal Reserve or a halt in their rate-hike trajectory. The index of personal consumption expenditures (PCE) decreased by 0.5 percentage points from October to 5.5% annually. Excluding volatile food and energy costs, the index increased on a monthly and annual basis by 0.2% and 4.7%, respectively, in accordance with expectations. The increased revision of October PCE inflation data is terrible news for the gold market.

 

Thursday's US Gross Domestic Product and Jobless Claims figures revealed that the nation's economy returned quicker than previously predicted and that the labor market remains extremely tight. Overall, the plethora of data offers little to alter the belief that the Fed will stick to its plan to combat inflation in 2023. The non-yielding, non-interest-bearing asset is on course for a second consecutive year fall as a result of these rate hikes enacted to curb price pressure.

 

According to Brown Brothers Harriman analysts, the markets continue to remain skeptical of the Fed. "After reaching a high of 5.5% following the most recent FOMC meeting, the terminal rate as observed on the swaps market has fallen down to approximately 5%," analysts explained. "Similarly, WIRP predicts a 50 bp increase on February 1 is priced in at only 33%, followed by a final 25 bp increase on March 22. We cannot see why the markets continue to oppose the Federal Reserve. With the exception of a few communications blunders here and there, chairman Jerome Powell and his colleagues have been firm about the need to raise interest rates for an extended period of time. Recent US data indicate that the labor market remains robust and that the Fed must take additional action.


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