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Futures News, August 21st: Crude oil prices rose in stages, improving the trading atmosphere in the fuel oil market. Refineries confidence in maintaining prices increased, and with a reluctance to sell at low prices, most offers were pushed up in line with market conditions. Downstream buying interest gradually increased, with restocking mainly driven by immediate needs. It is expected that fuel oil trading will maintain a stable to slightly rising trend today.Iranian officials say they plan to attack crude oil export facilities, aiming to strike at Trump ahead of the US midterm elections. A quick overview of the pre-market crude oil prices converted between domestic and international markets in one chart.August 21 – S&P Global Market Intelligences Deputy Director of Economics stated that Japans private sector continued its strong performance in August, with companies reporting the fastest output growth since February. Growth momentum improved in both manufacturing and services, with manufacturing performing particularly well, showing significant growth in both output and new orders. Furthermore, new export orders in the manufacturing sector recorded their fastest growth in eight and a half years, and the semiconductor and AI-related industries had a substantial backlog of new business. Easing cost pressures in August are a positive sign for Japanese companies. Although input costs still rose sharply due to the impact of the Middle East war on supply chains and energy prices, as well as the weak yen, the overall cost inflation rate has fallen to its lowest level in five months. However, with output price increases still near historical highs, companies may need to see a sustained slowdown in inflation before further reducing product prices. With improved business confidence compared to the previous month, strong sales growth, and continued employment increases, Japans private sector is expected to continue its strong performance, provided that it is not subjected to further shocks in terms of prices or demand.According to Futures News on August 21, as of 8:30 AM Beijing time, spot platinum fell 0.16% and spot palladium fell 0.03%.Musk: Reports that SpaceX is seeking to acquire Spectrum at a $6 billion valuation are untrue.

Forecast for the Gold Price: XAU/USD bulls return, market remains tense

Alina Haynes

Dec 27, 2022 10:57

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According to yesterday's analysis, Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD bulls must commit at critical trendline support, the Gold price has found demand at the aforementioned support region and has moved back in line with the larger bullish trend. On Friday, ahead of the Christmas holidays and long weekend, the price of gold inched up, aided by Friday's falling inflation statistics.

 

US consumer spending rose 0.1% in November after rising 0.4% in October, indicating that inflation is moderating, but not enough for markets to anticipate a policy shift from the Federal Reserve or a halt in their rate-hike trajectory. The index of personal consumption expenditures (PCE) decreased by 0.5 percentage points from October to 5.5% annually. Excluding volatile food and energy costs, the index increased on a monthly and annual basis by 0.2% and 4.7%, respectively, in accordance with expectations. The increased revision of October PCE inflation data is terrible news for the gold market.

 

Thursday's US Gross Domestic Product and Jobless Claims figures revealed that the nation's economy returned quicker than previously predicted and that the labor market remains extremely tight. Overall, the plethora of data offers little to alter the belief that the Fed will stick to its plan to combat inflation in 2023. The non-yielding, non-interest-bearing asset is on course for a second consecutive year fall as a result of these rate hikes enacted to curb price pressure.

 

According to Brown Brothers Harriman analysts, the markets continue to remain skeptical of the Fed. "After reaching a high of 5.5% following the most recent FOMC meeting, the terminal rate as observed on the swaps market has fallen down to approximately 5%," analysts explained. "Similarly, WIRP predicts a 50 bp increase on February 1 is priced in at only 33%, followed by a final 25 bp increase on March 22. We cannot see why the markets continue to oppose the Federal Reserve. With the exception of a few communications blunders here and there, chairman Jerome Powell and his colleagues have been firm about the need to raise interest rates for an extended period of time. Recent US data indicate that the labor market remains robust and that the Fed must take additional action.


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