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On July 5, the press office of the Russian Federal Investigative Committee said that a year ago, a Russian Il-76 transport plane carrying Ukrainian prisoners of war crashed. It was found that the person who ordered the destruction was Nikolay Jarman, commander of the Ukrainian missile brigade. The department said that it has announced an international wanted notice for him.Gaza Humanitarian Foundation: The injured American is in stable condition and is receiving medical treatment. The injuries are not life-threatening. Preliminary information indicates that two attackers threw two grenades at American aid workers.According to AFP, citing official sources, Israel has not yet decided on Hamas response to the ceasefire proposal.July 5th, on Saturday, OPEC+ agreed to increase daily production by 548,000 barrels in August, further accelerating production increases. OPEC+ approved a monthly production increase of 411,000 barrels per day in May, June and July, and 138,000 barrels per day in April. Sources said that some member countries (such as Kazakhstan and Iraq) over-target production angered other member countries that insisted on production cuts. Sources said that OPEC+ hopes to expand its market share amid the increasing supply of competitors such as the United States. With the increase in production in August, the production released by OPEC+ since April will reach 1.918 million barrels per day, and only 280,000 barrels per day of the voluntary reduction of 2.2 million barrels per day have not yet been restored. The organization is still implementing other production cuts totaling 3.66 million barrels per day. The next OPEC+ meeting will be held on August 3.On July 5, Romanian Prime Minister Ilie Bologan said in an interview with the media that the recent claims that Romania might send troops to Ukraine are unfounded and Romania will not consider military intervention in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict under any circumstances. However, Bologan also pointed out that Romania will continue to gradually increase its military budget to meet NATOs requirements and be consistent with the EUs broader militarization agenda.

Forecast for the Gold Price: XAU/USD bulls return, market remains tense

Alina Haynes

Dec 27, 2022 10:57

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According to yesterday's analysis, Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD bulls must commit at critical trendline support, the Gold price has found demand at the aforementioned support region and has moved back in line with the larger bullish trend. On Friday, ahead of the Christmas holidays and long weekend, the price of gold inched up, aided by Friday's falling inflation statistics.

 

US consumer spending rose 0.1% in November after rising 0.4% in October, indicating that inflation is moderating, but not enough for markets to anticipate a policy shift from the Federal Reserve or a halt in their rate-hike trajectory. The index of personal consumption expenditures (PCE) decreased by 0.5 percentage points from October to 5.5% annually. Excluding volatile food and energy costs, the index increased on a monthly and annual basis by 0.2% and 4.7%, respectively, in accordance with expectations. The increased revision of October PCE inflation data is terrible news for the gold market.

 

Thursday's US Gross Domestic Product and Jobless Claims figures revealed that the nation's economy returned quicker than previously predicted and that the labor market remains extremely tight. Overall, the plethora of data offers little to alter the belief that the Fed will stick to its plan to combat inflation in 2023. The non-yielding, non-interest-bearing asset is on course for a second consecutive year fall as a result of these rate hikes enacted to curb price pressure.

 

According to Brown Brothers Harriman analysts, the markets continue to remain skeptical of the Fed. "After reaching a high of 5.5% following the most recent FOMC meeting, the terminal rate as observed on the swaps market has fallen down to approximately 5%," analysts explained. "Similarly, WIRP predicts a 50 bp increase on February 1 is priced in at only 33%, followed by a final 25 bp increase on March 22. We cannot see why the markets continue to oppose the Federal Reserve. With the exception of a few communications blunders here and there, chairman Jerome Powell and his colleagues have been firm about the need to raise interest rates for an extended period of time. Recent US data indicate that the labor market remains robust and that the Fed must take additional action.