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WTI optimists target the $70 mark amidst positive banking sector developments

Daniel Rogers

Mar 27, 2023 14:33

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The price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) is approaching the $70 threshold as investors become less concerned about ongoing banking difficulties. Major central banks, such as the Federal Reserve (Fed) and the US Treasury Department, have bolstered confidence through swift actions. Consequently, risk appetite remains robust. As a result of this positive development, oil prices have risen above $67.

 

Oil markets are intently observing financial market sentiment, while oil fundamentals are largely ignored. The oil market has been reflecting the volatility of the financial markets over the past few days.

 

The pullback from $67 is likely due to the weakening of the US dollar, and for the oil price to break sustainably above $70, a significant fundamental driver, such as the complete resolution of the banking crisis, will be required.

 

The demand for the U.S. dollar as a safe-haven currency is restrained by some reassuring comments from U.S. officials.

 

Russian President Vladimir Putin's statements that he will station tactical nuclear weapons in Belarus, thereby escalating geopolitical tensions in Europe over Ukraine, have also supported oil prices. Clearly, further escalation on the Russia-Ukraine front will result in higher oil prices. Although NATO and the United States have condemned the move and deemed it "dangerous and irresponsible," it continues.

 

Russia's strategic decision to reduce oil production can be ascribed to the fact that the country's hydrocarbon stockpiles have been rising since September of last year, and it would likely want to avoid further stock builds. If Russia wishes to reduce its stockpiles, it may be necessary to prolong production limits beyond June.

 

Oil prices have not reached the levels anticipated by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries despite a significant amount of activity on the fundamental front of oil. (OPEC). Prior to the resolution of the banking turmoil, oil prices will likely be influenced by risk sentiment. In order to make informed decisions as various factors continue to impact the global economy, investors and market participants will keep a close watch on developments in the financial and oil markets, as well as geopolitical tensions.


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