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August 20th - According to sources, the Trump administration is preparing to lower tariffs on imported Canadian cars from 25% to 15% as part of a broader agreement. Under this agreement, Canada would remove retaliatory trade measures imposed on the United States. Last year, the White House imposed a 25% tariff on foreign-made cars and trucks. For vehicles manufactured in Canada and Mexico, this tariff applied only to non-U.S. components, a move aimed at encouraging companies to move more production to the United States. Sources say the new 15% tariff rate will also use this "non-U.S. component" calculation rule. The specific details of the agreement have not yet been finalized. Furthermore, Trump has a history of last-minute changes to trade agreements, even canceling them altogether, just before a deal is reached, so the final outcome remains uncertain.Mayor of Kyiv: Kyiv is under attack by ballistic missiles.August 20th - As US government borrowing increases at an unprecedented rate, the total US national debt has surpassed $40 trillion. Despite Trumps promises to control government spending, the ever-expanding debt continues to raise concerns among investors about the state of US public finances. According to data released by the US Treasury Department on Wednesday, the total US federal debt surpassed the $40 trillion threshold on Tuesday. In the past year, its debt has increased by $3 trillion, the fastest growth rate in history excluding the pandemic period. "Its like a huge warning light on a car engine," said Mark Godwin, senior policy director at the Committee on a Responsible Federal Budget. "It doesnt mean the engine will burn out tomorrow, but its a clear signal that things are out of control. The problem isnt just the sheer size of the debt, but the speed at which weve reached this level." Over the past two decades, US national debt has risen dramatically, climbing from less than $6 trillion at the beginning of the century to its current level. Massive public spending during the financial crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic exacerbated the widening budget deficit. In the past decade alone, the overall debt has doubled. The Congressional Budget Office projects that the ratio of publicly held federal debt to GDP will exceed the historical peak of 106% set in 1946 after World War II around 2030, and will further climb to 120% by 2036.According to Al Jazeera: A U.S. State Department spokesperson said the Trump administration has begun discussions on Syrian sovereignty and Israels right to self-defense.On August 20th, the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) is soliciting public comments on computing power futures contracts as industry giants begin to accept computing power as a tradable asset. Several exchanges, including the CME Group, Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), and emerging fintech company Architect Financial Technologies, have announced plans to launch related contracts after obtaining regulatory approval. These exchanges stated that establishing a computing power futures market would help end-users and speculators hedge against risks related to energy shortages or other issues that could impact the technological progress of AI developers. CFTC Chairman Michael Selig stated in a statement on Wednesday, “The U.S. cannot win the AI race without a robust computing power derivatives market. This comment period is the first step in establishing clear rules for the U.S. computing power market.” One of the issues addressed in the CFTCs comment period is how computing power futures differ from other types of derivatives or underlying commodities that the agency already regulates. Allowing computing power futures to be listed on CFTC-regulated exchanges may require further standardization of variables affecting computing power prices, including price indices used for settlement references.

Forecast for Gold Price: XAU/USD sellers near $1,955 confluence as yields recover amid banking and growth concerns

Alina Haynes

Mar 27, 2023 14:38

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Gold price (XAU/USD) falls $1,970 over the course of a two-day losing trend preceding Monday's European session. In doing so, the precious metal justifies the most recent revival in US Treasury bond yields and the US Dollar, while extending yesterday's U-turn from the key resistance zone.

 

As First Citizens bank agrees to purchase a sizable portion of Silicon Valley Bank, dwindling banking jitters may also be a factor. (SVB). In recent days, the XAU/USD has been weighed down by hawkish Fed comments, the pace of China's growth, one of the world's largest Gold consumers, as well as primarily US data.

 

Kristalina Georgieva, the head of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), cautioned that "risks to financial stability have increased," prompting an investigation into Gold sellers. On the same vein, Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari voiced concerns about an impending US recession.

 

US Dollar Index (DXY) prints a three-day uptrend near 103.12 as traders prepare for important inflation data on Friday, specifically the US Core Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index for February.

 

In spite of this, 10-year US Treasury bond yields increased by two basis points to 3.40 percent, while their two-year counterpart ended a three-day losing trend close to 3.85 percent as of press time.

 

Moving forward, the Gold price remains on the bears' radar due to the failure of traders to overcome the critical resistance and the month-end consolidation. However, Friday's release of the Fed's favored inflation gauge becomes crucial for XAU/USD traders seeking direction.