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April 9th - GeoQuant, a risk analytics firm affiliated with Fitch Ratings, stated that high fuel prices ahead of state elections are putting pressure on subsidy policies, posing rising fiscal and political risks to Malaysia. The government has already cut fuel subsidy quotas by one-third to control costs and maintain fiscal discipline. However, public concerns about fuel prices could intensify ahead of the elections. If fuel prices fall, a prudent policy response could support Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim and potentially pave the way for early federal elections. However, if fuel prices remain high, it could force the government to implement more austerity measures, putting pressure on state elections and potentially postponing the federal elections scheduled for February 2028.Hong Kong-listed auto stocks continued their upward trend, with Geely Automobile (00175.HK) and Chery Automobile (09973.HK) rising by more than 4%, NIO-SW (09866.HK) rising by more than 3%, and Leapmotor (09863.HK) and others following suit.The SC crude oil futures contract fell 4.00% intraday, currently trading at 637.50 yuan per barrel.Former Honduran President Hernández: The U.S. Court of Appeals has overturned his guilty verdict and ordered the judge to drop the charges against him.On April 9th, economists at Mizuho Securities stated that while the upward pressure on oil prices caused by the Middle East conflict is significant, government subsidies are expected to largely offset its impact on Japans energy costs. Meanwhile, the impact on commodities (mainly food) will gradually emerge, with inflation in these categories projected to peak between spring and summer 2027, implying a lag of four to six quarters. They added, "As security in the Strait of Hormuz and full normalization of shipping are expected to take time, crude oil prices are likely to remain high in the short term."

Forecast for Gold Price: XAU/USD sellers near $1,955 confluence as yields recover amid banking and growth concerns

Alina Haynes

Mar 27, 2023 14:38

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Gold price (XAU/USD) falls $1,970 over the course of a two-day losing trend preceding Monday's European session. In doing so, the precious metal justifies the most recent revival in US Treasury bond yields and the US Dollar, while extending yesterday's U-turn from the key resistance zone.

 

As First Citizens bank agrees to purchase a sizable portion of Silicon Valley Bank, dwindling banking jitters may also be a factor. (SVB). In recent days, the XAU/USD has been weighed down by hawkish Fed comments, the pace of China's growth, one of the world's largest Gold consumers, as well as primarily US data.

 

Kristalina Georgieva, the head of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), cautioned that "risks to financial stability have increased," prompting an investigation into Gold sellers. On the same vein, Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari voiced concerns about an impending US recession.

 

US Dollar Index (DXY) prints a three-day uptrend near 103.12 as traders prepare for important inflation data on Friday, specifically the US Core Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index for February.

 

In spite of this, 10-year US Treasury bond yields increased by two basis points to 3.40 percent, while their two-year counterpart ended a three-day losing trend close to 3.85 percent as of press time.

 

Moving forward, the Gold price remains on the bears' radar due to the failure of traders to overcome the critical resistance and the month-end consolidation. However, Friday's release of the Fed's favored inflation gauge becomes crucial for XAU/USD traders seeking direction.