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The yield on Japans five-year government bonds rose 3 basis points to 1.715%.The yield on Japans two-year government bonds rose 1.5 basis points to 1.29%.On February 9th, Nan Hua Futures reported that a research report indicated the fundamentals for a platinum-palladium bull market remain intact in the medium to long term. It is expected that the Federal Reserve will maintain its loose monetary policy stance in the first half of 2026, and increased central bank gold purchases, safe-haven demand, and investment demand will continue to push precious metal prices higher. While the nomination of Walsh, a supply-side economist, as Fed Chair has raised concerns about a potential breakdown in the support logic for precious metals (as Fed balance sheet reduction boosts dollar credibility), the US lacks the conditions for producing another "Volcker" before a disruptive breakthrough in AI technology. Furthermore, there is a conflict between "Trumps urgent need to lower medium- and long-term interest rates under midterm election pressure" and "balance sheet reduction pushing up term premiums and driving up long-term interest rates." Although the Fed expanded its balance sheet at the end of December last year, resulting in marginal improvement in liquidity, narrow reserves remain low, and dollar liquidity is tighter than it has been since the pandemic. Under these multiple pressures, Walshs nomination has limited impact, and a trend of liquidity expansion is highly probable. Given the high volatility in platinum and palladium, position control is crucial. Due to the discontinuity between domestic and international trading sessions, the opening price of platinum and palladium often references the overnight trading session in other countries. Investors should pay attention to international market prices and be wary of opening gaps. (This content and opinion are for reference only and do not constitute any investment advice.)The Ministry of Commerce will hold a press conference at 3:00 p.m. on Thursday, February 12, 2026, where a spokesperson will introduce the relevant situation of key work in the commercial field recently and answer questions from reporters.On February 9th, reports surfaced that Samsung Electronics was about to begin mass production of HBM4 memory chips used to build artificial intelligence infrastructure, sending the companys stock price up 6.4%. According to Yonhap News Agency, the South Korean tech giant plans to ship the semiconductor to Nvidia, a leader in AI accelerators, as early as the third week of February. Industry sources say these HBM chips will power the US companys upcoming Vera Rubin AI accelerator. Samsungs progress in high-bandwidth memory development indicates it is closing the gap with domestic competitors. As of last Fridays close, Samsungs stock price had risen more than 30% this year, as rising memory chip prices benefited all major players in the industry. Samsung may also have benefited from AI-related gains in the US stock market linked to data center construction. The four largest hyperscale companies plans to spend approximately $650 billion this year also contributed to Nvidias stock price rising nearly 8% last Friday.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU/USD Holds Steady Near $1,960 Amid Weaker US Treasury Yields

Alina Haynes

Mar 28, 2023 14:55

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The XAU/USD pair rebounded after hitting a low of $1,944 on Monday, following a significant drop from $2,000 on Friday. As concerns about a banking crisis subsided on Monday, investors shifted away from safe-haven assets such as gold and into speculative assets such as equities and petroleum oil.

 

Monday's acquisition of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) assets by a regional U.S. lender, First Citizens BancShares, led to the unwinding of Gold trades. First Citizens announced that it would expand its presence in California by assuming $110 billion in assets, $56 billion in deposits, and $72 billion in loans. The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) holds approximately $90 billion in securities for sale.

 

In addition, Bloomberg reported that US regulators are contemplating expanding an emergency lending facility for banks so that First Republic Bank (FRC) has additional time to strengthen its balance sheet.

 

These banking sector developments have increased investors' risk appetite and instilled a sense of composure. Consequently, yields on U.S. Treasury bonds make sense during a relief rally. This new development encourages the Federal Reserve (Fed) to concentrate on the inflation outlook and contemplate rate increases if required.

 

Recent Fed commentary from members such as Kashkari (a voter), ultra-hawkish Bullard, and Fed Vice-Chair of Supervision Barr suggests that inflation is a higher priority than the banking crisis. Fed officials appear comparatively resilient in the face of banking stress, asserting that the US banking system's underlying fundamentals remain robust.

 

Monday's increase in U.S. Treasury bond yields can be attributed to a relief rally, but it is too soon to conclude that it represents a definitive yield shift. Any further deterioration of the banking liquidity crisis could cause yields to decline and gold to reclaim the $2,000 threshold. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data for the United States are scheduled for release later this week.