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July 15th - According to Zhengzhou Customs, Henan Provinces total import and export volume exceeded 500 billion yuan for the first time in history during the first half of this year. In the first half of the year, Henans total import and export volume reached 520.36 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 26%. Exports totaled 319.48 billion yuan, up 14.6%; imports totaled 200.88 billion yuan, up 49.8%. This also marks the first time in history that Henans import volume has exceeded 200 billion yuan for the same period.July 15th, Futures News: Recent escalation of geopolitical tensions has restricted navigation across the Taiwan Strait, increasing market concerns about supply prospects and driving up international crude oil prices. The corresponding crude oil change rate is fluctuating upwards, and the current window for retail price adjustments for refined oil products has opened, providing a positive outlook. Currently, domestic wholesale prices for gasoline and diesel are rebounding, with some regions experiencing significant price increases. Some suppliers and traders are holding back sales or controlling supply, further fueling market upward pressure. In the short term, the increase in wholesale prices may exceed the adjustment in retail prices, potentially narrowing the wholesale-retail price gap. Furthermore, limited actual demand from end-users suggests a rise in risk appetite for purchasing at higher prices.Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi: Food inflation has cooled slightly, but remains high.Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi: I see this as an opportunity to establish a system where the consumption tax rate can be flexibly adjusted.Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi: Food inflation has slowed slightly, but remains at a high level.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU/USD Holds Steady Near $1,960 Amid Weaker US Treasury Yields

Alina Haynes

Mar 28, 2023 14:55

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The XAU/USD pair rebounded after hitting a low of $1,944 on Monday, following a significant drop from $2,000 on Friday. As concerns about a banking crisis subsided on Monday, investors shifted away from safe-haven assets such as gold and into speculative assets such as equities and petroleum oil.

 

Monday's acquisition of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) assets by a regional U.S. lender, First Citizens BancShares, led to the unwinding of Gold trades. First Citizens announced that it would expand its presence in California by assuming $110 billion in assets, $56 billion in deposits, and $72 billion in loans. The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) holds approximately $90 billion in securities for sale.

 

In addition, Bloomberg reported that US regulators are contemplating expanding an emergency lending facility for banks so that First Republic Bank (FRC) has additional time to strengthen its balance sheet.

 

These banking sector developments have increased investors' risk appetite and instilled a sense of composure. Consequently, yields on U.S. Treasury bonds make sense during a relief rally. This new development encourages the Federal Reserve (Fed) to concentrate on the inflation outlook and contemplate rate increases if required.

 

Recent Fed commentary from members such as Kashkari (a voter), ultra-hawkish Bullard, and Fed Vice-Chair of Supervision Barr suggests that inflation is a higher priority than the banking crisis. Fed officials appear comparatively resilient in the face of banking stress, asserting that the US banking system's underlying fundamentals remain robust.

 

Monday's increase in U.S. Treasury bond yields can be attributed to a relief rally, but it is too soon to conclude that it represents a definitive yield shift. Any further deterioration of the banking liquidity crisis could cause yields to decline and gold to reclaim the $2,000 threshold. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data for the United States are scheduled for release later this week.

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