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December 31st - "According to sources, Samsung and SK Hynix have received US approval to export chip manufacturing equipment to China in 2026," Reuters reported on the 30th. This comes after the US temporarily eased restrictions on South Korean companies following the earlier revocation of export license exemptions for some technology companies regarding chip manufacturing equipment. The report stated that Samsung, SK Hynix, and TSMC previously benefited from the "Verified End User (VEU)" system, an exemption from the comprehensive US export restrictions on chip-related goods to China. Companies on the "VEU" list can import designated controlled items (including semiconductor equipment and technology) from the US without needing to apply for separate export licenses.December 31st - This weeks U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) weekly crude oil inventory report was delayed by several hours, highlighting the latest indication that layoffs at U.S. federal agencies are impacting data releases that are crucial to the market. This year, the EIA has laid off more than 100 of its approximately 350 employees. These layoffs and downsizing were driven by the U.S. Department of Government Efficiency, a plan previously led by Elon Musk. Scott Shelton, an energy expert at TP ICAP Group, stated that because the oil market is currently primarily influenced by geopolitical factors, traders are not paying as close attention to U.S. inventory levels as they used to when the report was released. This helps mitigate the impact of the data delay. "Theres a general indifference about this. Its just a helpless shrug at the inefficiency and unpredictability of the U.S. governments data after the government shutdown."On December 31, GigaDevice announced on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange that it plans to issue 28,915,800 H shares (subject to the exercise of the offering size adjustment right and over-allotment option) in Hong Kong, with an issue price not exceeding HK$162 per share. Trading is expected to commence on January 13, 2026.U.S. API crude oil production for the week ending December 26 was -58,000 barrels per day, compared to -57,000 barrels per day in the previous week.U.S. refined product imports for the week ending December 26 were -441,000 barrels per day, compared to 121,000 barrels per day in the previous week.

WTI bulls enter at critical support and eye the Federal Reserve

Daniel Rogers

Sep 20, 2022 14:31

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West Texas Intermediate is currently up 0.11 percent on the day and has traded between $82.11 and $86.21 bbls. The black gold was reversing early offers that led to the lows even as US dollar bulls came in as markets awaited the Federal Reserve and a multitude of other central banks this week.

 

Fed funds futures have priced in a 79% chance of a 75-basis-point rate hike this week and a 21% chance of a 100-basis-point boost at the conclusion of the two-day Fed policy meeting. Nonetheless, some analysts predict that the central bank could move to increase interest rates by a full percentage point after August inflation exceeded expectations. The DXY index indicates that the demand for safe haven assets, such as the U.S. dollar, is close to its 20-year high. As a result, the demand for oil may decrease, and the dollar's demand as a safe haven asset nears a 20-year high.

 

Nonetheless, China eased a two-week lockdown on the 21 million residents of Chengdu, restoring normal activity to the capital of Sichuan, which may have contributed to the increase in oil prices at the beginning of the week. The Department of Energy said on Monday that the United States will sell 10 million barrels of oil from its strategic reserve for delivery in November.

 

"The markets are increasingly pessimistic about the likelihood of a rapid resolution to the Iran issue, which has resulted in a revival in energy supply risks despite the continuous decline in prices. As markets reprice supply risk premiums, the lack of liquidity might amplify crude's upward volatility, according to TD Securities analysts.