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November 30th - OPEC+ is about to hold a meeting to assess the global oil market. Given the increasingly apparent signs of oversupply, the alliances oil-producing countries are still expected to pause supply increases in the first quarter of next year. Several representatives indicated that the Saudi- and Russian-led alliance is likely to adhere to the plan reached earlier this month to make a modest production increase in December, followed by stable production levels for the first three months of next year. While this pause demonstrates some caution from OPEC and its partners after their rapid resumption of oil production earlier this year, it still leaves the global market facing a significant oversupply in early 2026, potentially putting further pressure on oil prices.Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy announced that he has appointed former Ukrainian Ambassador to the United States, Irina Markarova, as his advisor on reconstruction and investment.On November 30th, Canadian Solar announced that it plans to adjust its US market business by establishing two new joint ventures, M and N, with its controlling shareholder, Canadian Solar Inc. (CSIQ). CSI will hold 24.9% of the shares, and CSIQ will hold 75.1%. Company M will focus on the US photovoltaic business, while Company N will focus on the US energy storage business. Simultaneously, the company plans to restructure its US manufacturing plant, with CSIQ holding 75.1% and CSI holding 24.9%, to obtain a one-time equity transfer consideration and subsequent ongoing equity gains from the 24.9% stake in the US business. This transaction and the waiver of commitments have been approved by the board of directors and are subject to shareholder approval.On November 30th, Baili Tianheng announced that its wholly-owned subsidiary, SystImmune, recently received a $250 million milestone payment from BMS. According to the cooperation agreement, the company is also eligible for up to $250 million in near-term contingent payments, as well as additional payments of up to $7.1 billion upon achieving specific development, registration, and sales milestones.On November 30th, Zhuochuang Information announced that it submitted an application to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on November 28th, 2025, for the issuance of overseas listed shares (H shares) and listing on the Main Board of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. The application materials for this issuance and listing were also published on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange website on the same day. The issuance and listing are subject to approval, authorization, or filing by relevant government agencies, regulatory bodies, and stock exchanges, and will be implemented only after comprehensive consideration of market conditions and other factors. Therefore, the matter remains subject to uncertainty.

WTI bulls enter at critical support and eye the Federal Reserve

Daniel Rogers

Sep 20, 2022 14:31

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West Texas Intermediate is currently up 0.11 percent on the day and has traded between $82.11 and $86.21 bbls. The black gold was reversing early offers that led to the lows even as US dollar bulls came in as markets awaited the Federal Reserve and a multitude of other central banks this week.

 

Fed funds futures have priced in a 79% chance of a 75-basis-point rate hike this week and a 21% chance of a 100-basis-point boost at the conclusion of the two-day Fed policy meeting. Nonetheless, some analysts predict that the central bank could move to increase interest rates by a full percentage point after August inflation exceeded expectations. The DXY index indicates that the demand for safe haven assets, such as the U.S. dollar, is close to its 20-year high. As a result, the demand for oil may decrease, and the dollar's demand as a safe haven asset nears a 20-year high.

 

Nonetheless, China eased a two-week lockdown on the 21 million residents of Chengdu, restoring normal activity to the capital of Sichuan, which may have contributed to the increase in oil prices at the beginning of the week. The Department of Energy said on Monday that the United States will sell 10 million barrels of oil from its strategic reserve for delivery in November.

 

"The markets are increasingly pessimistic about the likelihood of a rapid resolution to the Iran issue, which has resulted in a revival in energy supply risks despite the continuous decline in prices. As markets reprice supply risk premiums, the lack of liquidity might amplify crude's upward volatility, according to TD Securities analysts.


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