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WTI anticipates a decline to reach $80 per barrel as global growth predictions diminish

Alina Haynes

Sep 23, 2022 11:58

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West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures on the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) are experiencing selling pressure while attempting a positive reversal. Oil prices are hanging at $83, and it is anticipated that they will continue to decline to roughly $80. In a larger sense, the black gold has had a weak performance over the past three weeks after giving up the psychological support of $90.00.


Numerous global resisting triggers have caused a severe decline in oil prices. As a result of the hawkish posture of western central banks on their interest rates, the objective of achieving price stability is at the expense of the breadth of economic activity. There is a fall in economic activity because corporations are not investing because cheap money is unavailable. In addition, the delay of expansion plans has reduced demand projections. Eventually, there is a substantial decline in oil demand.


The demand for oil in the huge economy of the United States is declining sharply. In the previous four weeks, the daily demand for gasoline in the United States has dropped by 8.5 million barrels. This is the result of intensifying pricing pressures, which have led households to purchase only the necessities.


In the meantime, an unaltered policy pronouncement from the People's Bank of China (PBOC) dampened oil price sentiment. As China's total demand is not increasing and pricing pressures are falling, a rate drop was anticipated. However, the oil bulls were undercut by the PBOC's neutral position.


On the supply side, OPEC+ has reduced output by 3.58 million barrels per day, corresponding to 3.5% of world demand. Despite a drop in global production, oil stockpiles are increasing, which bolsters the indicators of an impending recession.