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On April 26, UBS said that the current market thinking is consistent with the banks basic forecast, that is, tariffs will be reduced from the current announced level for the rest of the year, and the Federal Reserve will further cut interest rates this year. However, as uncertainty in trade, economy and Federal Reserve policy remains high, expected volatility also remains high. However, UBS believes that the US stock market is attractive, and the S&P 500 index target continues to be 5,800 points by the end of the year. UBSs current basic forecast is that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 75 to 100 basis points this year, but in the short term, the Feds policy flexibility seems more limited because it must balance concerns about economic growth with the risk of inflation recovery.According to AFP: Senior officials said that Ukrainian President Zelensky and US President Trump may meet in Rome.Spokesman for Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky: Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has arrived in Rome to attend the Popes funeral.According to the Ukrainian National News Agency: Russian troops launched 414 attacks in the Zaporizhia region at night.Market news: Ukrainian President Zelensky and his wife arrived in Rome.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU/USD cannot consolidate over $1680 as yields continue to rise

Alina Haynes

Sep 23, 2022 12:06

截屏2022-09-20 下午12.00.01.png 

 

Gold reached a new daily high of $1685 following the start of the American session, but failed to hold above $1680 and fell to $1665. It continues to move sideways in a wide range between $1655 and $1685, hovering around $1670.

 

Despite increasing volatility, XAUUSD maintains its range. The consolidation occurs within the context of an ongoing bearish trend. A sustained recovery over $1680 might pave the way for a more significant bullish correction. In contrast, the loss of $1650 might initiate an acceleration initially targeting $1640.

 

Following the Federal Reserve's 75 basis point rate hike, US rates continue to rise on Thursday. The US 10-year yield is 3.70 percent, the highest level since February 2011, while the 2-year yield is 4.15 percent, the highest level since 2007. Higher yields are typically undesirable for gold bulls. In the current setting, negative news may be favorable for gold.

 

Earlier on Thursday, the Japanese government's involvement in the currency market depressed the dollar and aided the recovery of the XAU/USD pair. Nonetheless, the recovery was brief.


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