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On Friday, Russian President Vladimir Putin said Russia will achieve its strategic goals in Ukraine, insisting that Russia is united behind the conflict. "Truth and justice are on our side," Putin said at the Victory Day parade on May 9. The entire country, society and people support the participants in the military action against Ukraine, "and this spiritual force always brings us victory." U.S. President Donald Trump previously posted on social media: "I hope both Russia and Ukraine can abide by an acceptable ceasefire agreement." "If the ceasefire agreement is not respected, the United States and its partners will impose further sanctions." Putin did not mention Trumps statement in his speech.On May 9, Germanys new Chancellor Merz said that Europe supports Trumps plan for a 30-day ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine, and that both the EU and the US are ready to increase sanctions pressure on Moscow if Moscow does not take peace talks seriously. Merz added that the EU and the US will continue to support Ukraine and increase aid when necessary, although he said Germany continues to oppose financing defense spending through joint EU debt. "We call on Russia to finally embark on the path of real peace talks," he said. "If this is not done, we will not hesitate to increase sanctions pressure together with our European partners and the United States."Bank of England Governor Bailey: The global economic environment is likely to continue to be challenging and more unpredictable than ever before.Bank of England Governor Bailey: Divergent voting often reflects a high degree of consensus on factors affecting the outlook.Bank of England Governor Bailey: Scenario analysis does not suggest a bias in the path of monetary policy.

WTI Price Analysis: Reverses from three-week high towards previous resistance encompassing $78.50

Daniel Rogers

Mar 06, 2023 14:31

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WTI crude oil returns to the bear’s radar, after a four-day winning streak, as the energy benchmark takes a U-turn from a three-week high to record 0.70% intraday losses around $79.30 during early Monday.

 

In doing so, the black gold traces the RSI (14) as it reverses from the overbought territory. The Oil skeptics are challenged by the languid MACD signals, which suggest a lack of momentum.

 

Additionally assessing the commodity’s latest weakness could be a downward-sloping support line from January 27, previous resistance around $78.45.

 

Even if the WTI bears are able to overcome the resistance-turned-support near $78.45, the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) and a rising support line from late February near $78.10 and $77.70 could limit the price's further decline before persuading the sellers.

 

Meanwhile, recovery moves may initially target the psychological magnet at $80.00 before aiming for the five-week-long horizontal resistance zone encircling $80.65-70.

 

Following that, a horizontal resistance zone encompassing tops marked since January 18, close to $82.65-70, could challenge the WTI bulls before handing them control.

 

Overall, WTI crude oil is likely to decline further, but bears must remain cautious until a distinct break below $77.70 occurs.