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On April 3, Kimberly Clausing, a former Biden administration official and nonresident senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics, called Trumps tariff announcement on Wednesday "very stubborn and much worse than I expected." "I expected things to be bad, but I didnt expect this level of self-harm. Its shocking that anyone thought this was a good idea. Id be shocked if we can get through this without a recession and Trump doesnt have to reverse his policies."On April 3, some economists worry that if Trump does not quickly cancel the latest round of tariffs, it may push the US economy into a recession. "If the US government implements these higher tariffs without major exemptions, it will be difficult for the economy to digest this. A recession seems more likely." said Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moodys Analytics. Zandi said, "In many ways, the tariffs announced by Trump are even worse than the worst case scenario he envisioned. If they stick to it, I will buckle up and prepare for the impact." Zandi added that on a static basis, tariffs account for nearly 2% of GDP (not considering the impact of tariffs on the economy and taxes), which makes this round of tariffs the largest tax increase since the tax increase used to finance the war during World War II.German Automobile Industry Association VDA: The EU must now speed up and make up its mind on the issue of free trade agreement.On April 3, the Reserve Bank of Australias latest report for the banking industry warned that continued uncertainty in US trade policy "could have a chilling effect on business investment and household spending decisions, and pose a significant headwind to the outlook for global economic activity and inflation." The Reserve Bank of Australia said there was also considerable uncertainty about the impact of possible changes in fiscal, regulatory and other government policies on global growth and inflation.The Hang Seng Index in Hong Kong opened on April 3 (Thursday) down 564.32 points, or 2.43%, to 22,638.21 points; the Hang Seng Technology Index opened on April 3 (Thursday) down 168.53 points, or 3.11%, to 5,257.91 points; the CSI 300 Index opened on April 3 (Thursday) down 219.05 points, or 2.57%, to 8,312.46 points; the H-share Index opened on April 3 (Thursday) down 61.24 points, or 1.59%, to 3,800.76 points.

WTI Price Analysis: Bearish Doji investigates Oil purchasers in the vicinity of $78.5

Alina Haynes

Jan 13, 2023 14:54

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WTI crude oil fluctuates at $78.50 as energy bulls take a breather following four consecutive days of gains. Nonetheless, the black gold's recent weakness or inability to increase further may be attributable to a bearish candlestick pattern on the four-hour chart and an overbought RSI (14).

 

In spite of this, the Gravestone Doji candlestick above the weekly high entices WTI sellers to revisit the $77.00-$76.90 support zone, which includes repeated lows since December 20. Nonetheless, the 200-SMA level near $76.75 could impede the commodity's further decline.

 

In the event that the quote stays bearish beyond $76.75, various obstacles around $75.00 could test the oil bears before emphasizing a rising support line from December 09, close to $73.35 at the absolute latest.

 

Alternatively, WTI crude oil prices must surpass the immediate high of $79.35 to defy the bearish candlestick's downward bias.

 

However, a three-week-old horizontal zone encompassing $80.95-81.10 may pose a threat to oil purchasers in the future.

 

Notably, the WTI crude oil's rise above $81.10 will require confirmation from the monthly high at $81.55 in order to target the previous month's peak of $83.30.

 

In conclusion, WTI crude oil is expected to have a pullback, but the bears face a rough road before regaining control.