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On April 4, the Yangtze River Delta Railway ushered in the peak of passenger flow during the Qingming Festival. It is expected to send 4.1 million passengers today, 365,000 more than the same period last year, an increase of about 9.8%, and is expected to set a new record for single-day passenger volume. This years Qingming Festival railway transportation will start from April 3 to 7. The Yangtze River Delta Railway is expected to send 17.6 million passengers in 5 days, with an average daily passenger flow of 3.52 million, a year-on-year increase of 6.8%.The yield on the two-year U.S. Treasury note fell to a six-month low of 3.6550% and was last at 3.6611%.On April 4, local time on April 3, U.S. Secretary of Health and Human Services Robert Kennedy Jr. said that about 20% of the layoffs in the Department of Government Efficiency were wrong and needed to be corrected. The U.S. Department of Health and Human Services laid off about 10,000 people on the 1st. Kennedy said that people who should not have been laid off were laid off, and the department is restoring their positions. Kennedy said that canceling the entire lead poisoning prevention and monitoring department of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention was one of the mistakes. At present, it is unclear what other projects Kennedy may plan to restore.Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda: Will consider the impact of food costs on consumers.On April 4, local time on the 3rd, the automobile company Stellantis said that due to the impact of the US import automobile tariff policy, the company decided to lay off 900 employees in its five US factories and suspend production operations at two assembly plants in Canada and Mexico. Antonio Filosa, Chief Operating Officer of Stellantis Americas, said that the US factories that were laid off were powertrain and stamping parts factories, which produced spare parts for two assembly plants in Canada and Mexico. According to the plan, the assembly plant in Canada will stop production for two weeks, and the assembly plant in Toluca, Mexico will suspend production throughout April. Filosa said the company is "continuing to evaluate the medium- and long-term impact of tariffs on operations."

The NZD/USD exchange rate is under pressure as investors anticipate crucial US developments

Alina Haynes

Dec 12, 2022 15:37

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Beginning with a high of 0.6411 and a low of 0.6382, the NZD/USD exchange rate is down 0.25 percent, sliding from its previous high of 0.6411 to its previous low of 0.6382. To date, though, it has been the best-performing G10 currency month.

 

ANZ Bank analysts commented, "NZD seasonality is normally positive in December, but while it has that plus rising interest rates on its side, there are no guarantees that it will emerge undamaged from this week's several central bank meetings."

 

The Federal Open Market Committee is due to meet this week, and market participants anticipate a hawkish result. The US producer price index for November was somewhat higher than anticipated, bolstering the case for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates in the future, albeit at a slower rate.

 

TD Securities analysts estimate that the FOMC will raise rates by 50 basis points at its meeting in December, putting the target range for the Fed funds rate to 4.25 percent to 4.50 percent. "By doing so, the Committee's inflation-adjusted monetary policy stance would move into the restrictive zone. In September, we think that the FOMC will indicate that they will have to shift to a higher-than-expected terminal rate.

 

ANZ Bank analysts stated, "Our key concern is what this may do to the USD, which has been under pressure as the "pivot" narrative has gained traction amid signs of ongoing US inflation."

 

"NZ variables will also play a role, with the HYEFU and GDP due this week," but they are likely to be overwhelmed (again!) by volatility and the global climate.

 

In other news, the US consumer inflation report on Tuesday will set the tone for markets prior to the Federal Reserve meeting. Economists forecast a fall in core inflation to 6.1% in November from 6.3% in October.

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