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The yield on Japans 20-year government bonds fell 4 basis points to 3.765%, while the yield on Japans 30-year government bonds fell 7 basis points to 4.005%.The yield on Japans 30-year government bonds fell 5 basis points to 4.025%.Euro Stoxx 50 futures fell 0.37%, German DAX 30 futures fell 0.28%, and UK FTSE 100 futures rose 0.1%.July 7th - The Hong Kong Gold Central Clearing and Settlement System officially commenced trial operations. It is understood that the Hong Kong Financial Services and the Shanghai Gold Exchange launched the first phase of "physical connectivity" today, based on the cooperation agreement signed in January this year. HKG Clearing has applied to become an international member of the Shanghai Gold Exchange and opened a physical gold account. Market participants can choose to deposit their physical gold holdings into designated warehouses in Hong Kong on the Shanghai Gold Exchanges international board through this account. Through two-way transfers, market participants can participate in both the Shanghai Gold Exchanges on-exchange market and the Hong Kong over-the-counter market, facilitating the flow of physical gold between the HKG Clearing system and the Shanghai Gold Exchange system, effectively connecting the gold markets of Hong Kong and Shanghai.On July 7th, AMP Chief Economist Shane Oliver listed a list of risks facing the market over the next year, with one key risk focusing on the White House. He stated that after the upcoming midterm elections, US President Trump will be less constrained and may use this window of opportunity before the 2028 election to escalate overseas military operations, including renewed actions against Iran, and potentially involving Greenland and Cuba. Oliver added that this risk is particularly concerning if Trump loses control of both houses of Congress in November.

The EUR/GBP is fluctuating close to 0.8750 as focus shifts to UK inflation and BoE policy

Alina Haynes

Mar 20, 2023 13:22

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The EUR/GBP pair is exhibiting a lackluster performance around 0.8750 during the Asian session. As investors prepare for the release of the Bank of England's (BOE) interest rate decision and the United Kingdom's Consumer Price Index (CPI) this week, the cross has moved sideways.

 

Despite the fact that the headline asserts that UBS has revitalized Credit Suisse, the cross appears to be weak. Credit Suisse shareholders will receive one share of UBS for every 22.48 Credit Suisse shares they own, valuing the bank at $3.15 billion (£2.6 billion), according to BBC News. The Swiss National Bank (SNB) stated that the agreement was the most effective means of restoring market confidence and mitigating economic risks. Additionally, the BoE endorsed the "comprehensive set of actions."

 

The consensus opinion on the street is that Governor Andrew Bailey of the Bank of England (BoE) will provide a pessimistic outlook for the interest rate decision amidst concerns of banking turmoil, which will be his top priority.

 

Rabobank analysts also anticipate a 25 basis point (bps) rate hike and caution that the market has not fully factored in this scenario. Andrew Bailey, governor of the Bank of England, would raise rates by 25 basis points to 4.25 percent.

 

Prior to that, the UK inflation data released on Wednesday will be attentively monitored. The annual headline CPI is expected to decline from 10.1% to 9.8%, according to projections. At 5.8%, the core CPI, which excludes the cost of fuels and food, would not change. It should be aware that persistent inflation in the United Kingdom is due to rising food prices and a labor shortage.

 

After the European Central Bank (ECB) raised interest rates by 50 basis points (bps) last week, Gediminas imkus, a member of the ECB Governing Council, stated on Friday that "the terminal rate has not yet been reached" For further deflation, extremely persistent inflation in the Eurozone requires higher interest rates.


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