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Japans unemployment rate was 2.5% in May, below the expected 2.50% and the previous reading of 2.50%.On June 30th, according to foreign media reports, international oil prices rose on Monday as weekend clashes between the US and Iran highlighted the fragility of the interim peace agreement. Meanwhile, cautious market expectations for a continued recovery in shipping through the Strait of Hormuz limited the potential for further price increases. Sources said that the technical teams from the US and Iran responsible for implementing the interim peace agreement are expected to meet in Doha, the capital of Qatar, in the coming days. Last Thursday, media reports indicated that the amount of crude oil transported through the Strait of Hormuz had risen to its highest level since the start of the US-Israel war against Iran in late February. However, analysts warned that traffic through the Strait of Hormuz is far from fully recovered, keeping oil prices high. Bob Yageer, head of energy futures at Mizuho Bank, said that people are realizing this. Its impossible to move all the crude oil out of the Gulf in the next week or two, nor is it possible to stuff all the crude oil into the strait to restore pre-war levels.Japans May unemployment rate will be released in ten minutes.Conflict Situation: 1. According to RIA Novosti: The Russian Ministry of Defense stated that Russian troops have taken control of Bokhodalivka in eastern Ukraine. 2. Ukraine reported an attack on Dnipro, resulting in 4 deaths and 10 injuries. Peace Negotiations: 1. Kremlin: (Regarding new Ukrainian peace proposals) Our position, as stated by Russian President Putin in 2024, remains unchanged. Other Situations: 1. The United States removed some entities from its sanctions list related to Russia. 2. According to Interfax: Russian Deputy Prime Minister Novak stated that Russia is still considering imposing a diesel export ban. 3. According to RIA Novosti: Russia will take political and military-technical measures in response to Finlands lifting of the ban on nuclear weapons deployment. 4. Russian Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Zakharova: NATO is cooperating with Ukraine to prepare for the development of weapons capable of striking Russian air bases, including those deep within Russian territory. 5. Zelensky: During the Danish Defense Ministers first visit to Ukraine, the two sides discussed preparations for a "drone agreement," which is nearing completion, and both sides agreed that it should be signed as soon as possible. The new Danish government has pledged to continue its firm support for Ukraine.New York silver futures broke through $59 per ounce, up 0.63% on the day.

The EUR/GBP is fluctuating close to 0.8750 as focus shifts to UK inflation and BoE policy

Alina Haynes

Mar 20, 2023 13:22

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The EUR/GBP pair is exhibiting a lackluster performance around 0.8750 during the Asian session. As investors prepare for the release of the Bank of England's (BOE) interest rate decision and the United Kingdom's Consumer Price Index (CPI) this week, the cross has moved sideways.

 

Despite the fact that the headline asserts that UBS has revitalized Credit Suisse, the cross appears to be weak. Credit Suisse shareholders will receive one share of UBS for every 22.48 Credit Suisse shares they own, valuing the bank at $3.15 billion (£2.6 billion), according to BBC News. The Swiss National Bank (SNB) stated that the agreement was the most effective means of restoring market confidence and mitigating economic risks. Additionally, the BoE endorsed the "comprehensive set of actions."

 

The consensus opinion on the street is that Governor Andrew Bailey of the Bank of England (BoE) will provide a pessimistic outlook for the interest rate decision amidst concerns of banking turmoil, which will be his top priority.

 

Rabobank analysts also anticipate a 25 basis point (bps) rate hike and caution that the market has not fully factored in this scenario. Andrew Bailey, governor of the Bank of England, would raise rates by 25 basis points to 4.25 percent.

 

Prior to that, the UK inflation data released on Wednesday will be attentively monitored. The annual headline CPI is expected to decline from 10.1% to 9.8%, according to projections. At 5.8%, the core CPI, which excludes the cost of fuels and food, would not change. It should be aware that persistent inflation in the United Kingdom is due to rising food prices and a labor shortage.

 

After the European Central Bank (ECB) raised interest rates by 50 basis points (bps) last week, Gediminas imkus, a member of the ECB Governing Council, stated on Friday that "the terminal rate has not yet been reached" For further deflation, extremely persistent inflation in the Eurozone requires higher interest rates.


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