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On September 15th, RBC Chief Economist Francis Donald and his team stated that despite ongoing uncertainty surrounding US-Canada trade, they remain cautiously optimistic about the Canadian economic outlook. Donald predicts that the Canadian economy will grow at a rate below 2% this year and next. However, she believes that with stagnant population growth, the Canadian economy is actually performing stronger on a per capita basis. The resource-rich western provinces are becoming the main drivers of economic growth. Due to concerns about rising energy prices and improving economic conditions, RBC expects the Bank of Canada to raise interest rates four times next year, bringing the policy rate to 3.25%. However, the risk that the first rate hike may not occur until later in 2026 is increasing.On September 15th, according to a European Commission document, the EU will propose a restriction banning children under 15 from using social media, video-sharing platforms, AI chatbots, and online games. This will be the most comprehensive plan the EU has proposed to date to protect children from online risks. This EU proposal is part of the "EU Kids Act," and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen and EU technology chief Henna Verkunin will announce the plan on Thursday. Von der Leyen may reveal some details in her annual EU policy speech on Wednesday. The document states: "The EUs approach should allow minors to enjoy the enormous potential of digital services while preventing them from being abused and commercialized online. It is necessary to limit the ability of technology companies to access and influence children, rather than the other way around, limiting the children themselves." The European Commissions proposal will also cover video game platforms and allow for phased access restrictions on different services based on age. Furthermore, the obligations imposed on businesses will depend on the type of service and the childs age.French Foreign Minister Barro: Russias attack on the railway near the Ukrainian-Polish border is unacceptable; the targeted train was only a few hundred meters from the EU and NATO borders. This move is intended to deter us. But as a united nation, Europeans are invincible. Finland and Sweden joining NATO is proof of this.Bernd Lange, Chair of the European Parliaments Committee on International Trade: The EU and Canada should form a "team of fairness and partnership" to counter the international order model increasingly influenced by pressure, dependency, and the rule of power. We should promote this idea to countries that seek reliable partnerships, rather than dependency and political pressure.According to Al Jazeera: Israel launched an airstrike on Mansouri in the Tyre region of southern Lebanon.

The AUD/JPY exchange rate fluctuates below 90.00 as investors await BoJ action

Alina Haynes

Jan 18, 2023 15:03

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In the early Asian session, the AUD/JPY currency pair is bouncing violently in a narrow range below the resistance level of 90.00. Before the Bank of Japan introduces its first monetary policy of CY2023, the risk barometer indicates a sideways auction (BoJ). The AUD/JPY exchange rate reflects the consolidation of the AUD/USD, indicating an uncertain risk profile.

 

Investors anticipate that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will not alter its policy stance on Friday, as doing so would increase financial market risk and hinder efforts to boost inflation. Previously, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) announced that the central bank will review the negative side effects of the decade-long ultra-loose monetary policy, generating the impression that the central bank is eager to abandon the easy policy.

 

The experts at Standard Charted expect the Bank of Japan to hold both the policy balance rate and the 10-year yield goal at their present levels of -0.1% and 0%, respectively. The recent decision to expand the 10-year JGB band to +/-50 bps (from +/-25 bps) will be evaluated by policymakers at the December meeting.

 

The replacement of current Governor of the Bank of Japan Haruhiko Kuroda will be widely followed. The next BoJ governor nominee is anticipated to be presented to the Japanese parliament on February 10, Reuters reported on Tuesday. Amamiya, Nakaso, and Yamaguchi are regarded as leading C.banking candidates.

 

Thursday is the expected publication date for Australian employment statistics, which investors are monitoring. The Unemployment Rate is expected to remain constant at 3.4%, according to the majority of economists. Aside from this, the Australian economy must have added 22,500 new jobs to the labor market in December, a down from the prior rises of 64K.

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