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August 3 - On August 2, local time, US President Trump, when discussing Iran, stated that an agreement already exists regarding the Strait of Hormuz, and an agreement on denuclearization will also be reached. Trump indicated that the US will hold negotiations with Iran on August 3.August 3 - US President Trump announced on August 2 that the United States will hold talks with Iran on August 3.US President Trump: (When asked about the withdrawal of US troops from Kuwait and Bahrain) No comment.On August 3rd, US President Trump stated on Sunday (Eastern Time): "The strike against Iran was cancelled at the request of Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Qatar, and Iran. If it werent for their request, a massive attack on Iran would have been launched last night. Iran is aware of the scale of that attack. I believe there is an agreement on the Strait of Hormuz, and a denuclearization agreement will be reached. We are in talks with them in the form of negotiations, starting tomorrow afternoon (Tuesday morning Beijing time). We are ready to act." Trump also addressed the Japanese yen: "The United States intervened because of our good relationship with Japan. We have always supported Japan, and the United States has gained economic benefits from the relevant arrangements."Conflict Situation 1. United States – ① Trump: Agreed to cancel strikes against Iran. ② U.S. Central Command: A U.S. Marine Corps F-35C stealth fighter took off from the USS Abraham Lincoln aircraft carrier, which is sailing in the Arabian Sea to support the U.S. blockade of Iran. 2. Israel – Israel Defense Forces: Killed two Hamas commanders in Gaza over the weekend. ② Israel claims Netanyahu learned of the U.S. call for a halt to strikes against Iran through Trumps social media. ③ The Israel Defense Forces remain on high alert today, believing Iran may create unforeseen circumstances. 3. Iran – ① Iranian military: Trump called Irans demand to stop the attacks a "lie." ② A spokesperson for the Iranian Revolutionary Guard said the strike on the Amazon data center in Bahrain was a response to U.S. action; the spokesperson did not specify the timing of the strike. U.S.-Iran Negotiations 1. Iran – ① Iranian President: The memorandum of understanding with the United States will be central to our future diplomatic relations. ② Iranian Parliament National Security Committee: Mediators are assisting in the restoration of the memorandum of understanding between Iran and the United States, and all parties have exchanged views on all issues. 2. United States – ① Rubio: The US strikes have made Iran more willing to negotiate; the era of "negotiating without consequences" is over. Strait of Hormuz 1. Iranian media: Reports that Iran has agreed to reopen the Strait of Hormuz are false. 2. Diplomatic sources report that Qatari diplomats are negotiating with Iran to secure the support of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard for arrangements related to the Strait of Hormuz. 3. Iranian Foreign Ministry: Negotiations with Oman on the Strait of Hormuz have entered the final stage. The Strait of Hormuz will not return to its pre-war state, and the issue of reopening is unrelated to the negotiations with Oman. Other developments 1. Saudi Foreign Minister speaks with Qatari Prime Minister. 2. Gulf states are dissatisfied with the US lack of a strategy against Iran. 3. Acting Iranian Defense Minister: Iran will not be "caught off guard" by its enemies, nor will it stand idly by. 4. Iranian Foreign Minister Araqchi speaks with Iraqi Foreign Minister; they discuss the latest developments in the region and ways to strengthen bilateral and regional cooperation. 5. The OPEC+ Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee (JMMC) met on Sunday and stressed the importance of protecting international sea lanes to ensure the continued flow of energy.

The AUD/JPY exchange rate fluctuates below 90.00 as investors await BoJ action

Alina Haynes

Jan 18, 2023 15:03

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In the early Asian session, the AUD/JPY currency pair is bouncing violently in a narrow range below the resistance level of 90.00. Before the Bank of Japan introduces its first monetary policy of CY2023, the risk barometer indicates a sideways auction (BoJ). The AUD/JPY exchange rate reflects the consolidation of the AUD/USD, indicating an uncertain risk profile.

 

Investors anticipate that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will not alter its policy stance on Friday, as doing so would increase financial market risk and hinder efforts to boost inflation. Previously, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) announced that the central bank will review the negative side effects of the decade-long ultra-loose monetary policy, generating the impression that the central bank is eager to abandon the easy policy.

 

The experts at Standard Charted expect the Bank of Japan to hold both the policy balance rate and the 10-year yield goal at their present levels of -0.1% and 0%, respectively. The recent decision to expand the 10-year JGB band to +/-50 bps (from +/-25 bps) will be evaluated by policymakers at the December meeting.

 

The replacement of current Governor of the Bank of Japan Haruhiko Kuroda will be widely followed. The next BoJ governor nominee is anticipated to be presented to the Japanese parliament on February 10, Reuters reported on Tuesday. Amamiya, Nakaso, and Yamaguchi are regarded as leading C.banking candidates.

 

Thursday is the expected publication date for Australian employment statistics, which investors are monitoring. The Unemployment Rate is expected to remain constant at 3.4%, according to the majority of economists. Aside from this, the Australian economy must have added 22,500 new jobs to the labor market in December, a down from the prior rises of 64K.

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