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According to Punchbowl: The U.S. House of Representatives passed a package of aid to Ukraine and sanctions against Russia.Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama: The Middle East conflict and oil price fluctuations are also reasons for the weakening of the yen.June 5th - Japanese workers real wages have risen for the fourth consecutive month, marking the longest winning streak in four years and further strengthening the Bank of Japans case for an interest rate hike this month. The Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare reported on Friday that inflation-adjusted real wages rose 1.9% year-on-year, a faster pace than the revised 1.4% in the previous month. This figure exceeded economists previous expectations of a 1.7% increase. Nominal wages rose 3.5%, also better than the market consensus of 3.1%. Basic wages rose 3.4%; while another wage indicator closely monitored by Bank of Japan officials and effectively mitigating sampling errors showed that full-time workers wages rose 2.6%. Both figures indicate that the underlying momentum of wage growth in Japan remains robust.On June 5th, Futures News reported that, according to foreign media, Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) corn futures closed modestly lower on Thursday, with the benchmark contract down 1.8%, hitting its lowest level since late January. This was mainly due to favorable weather conditions in the Midwest, a decline in international crude oil futures, and weak corn export sales. Traders said the July contract fell to its lowest level in nearly five months, while the December contract fell to its lowest level in four and a half months. In recent weeks, the grain market has become less sensitive to energy price fluctuations as weather conditions have become the focus of market attention. The Buenos Aires Grain Exchange reported that Argentinas corn harvest is 40.6% complete, up 6% from a week ago. The corn production forecast remains unchanged at 64 million tons.On June 5th, according to foreign media reports, international oil prices fell 3% on Thursday, with market focus shifting from supply disruption risks to the possibility of easing tensions in the Middle East. Following the ceasefire agreement announced by Israel and Lebanon, investors began betting that the US and Iran might further advance peace talks, ultimately leading to the restoration of normal navigation in the Strait of Hormuz, thereby alleviating global energy supply tensions. Market participants believe that the conditional ceasefire agreement reached between the Israeli and Lebanese governments on Wednesday is an important signal for promoting US-Iran peace talks. Iran had previously stated that any agreement with the US would be contingent on Israel ceasing its military operations against Hezbollah in Lebanon. With the agreement between Israel and Lebanon, market expectations for the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz have rapidly increased. Although shipping through the strait remains nearly stalled, some vessels have begun redeploying towards the Persian Gulf, seen as a sign of market expectations for improved conditions. Despite the short-term oil price correction, some institutions remain cautiously optimistic. UBS believes that as long as shipping through the Strait of Hormuz remains restricted, the global oil supply shortage will be difficult to completely alleviate, and the upside risk for oil prices remains.

The AUD/JPY exchange rate fluctuates below 90.00 as investors await BoJ action

Alina Haynes

Jan 18, 2023 15:03

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In the early Asian session, the AUD/JPY currency pair is bouncing violently in a narrow range below the resistance level of 90.00. Before the Bank of Japan introduces its first monetary policy of CY2023, the risk barometer indicates a sideways auction (BoJ). The AUD/JPY exchange rate reflects the consolidation of the AUD/USD, indicating an uncertain risk profile.

 

Investors anticipate that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will not alter its policy stance on Friday, as doing so would increase financial market risk and hinder efforts to boost inflation. Previously, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) announced that the central bank will review the negative side effects of the decade-long ultra-loose monetary policy, generating the impression that the central bank is eager to abandon the easy policy.

 

The experts at Standard Charted expect the Bank of Japan to hold both the policy balance rate and the 10-year yield goal at their present levels of -0.1% and 0%, respectively. The recent decision to expand the 10-year JGB band to +/-50 bps (from +/-25 bps) will be evaluated by policymakers at the December meeting.

 

The replacement of current Governor of the Bank of Japan Haruhiko Kuroda will be widely followed. The next BoJ governor nominee is anticipated to be presented to the Japanese parliament on February 10, Reuters reported on Tuesday. Amamiya, Nakaso, and Yamaguchi are regarded as leading C.banking candidates.

 

Thursday is the expected publication date for Australian employment statistics, which investors are monitoring. The Unemployment Rate is expected to remain constant at 3.4%, according to the majority of economists. Aside from this, the Australian economy must have added 22,500 new jobs to the labor market in December, a down from the prior rises of 64K.