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February 6th, Futures News – According to foreign media reports, soybean oil futures on the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) closed slightly lower on Thursday, with the benchmark contract essentially flat, mainly dragged down by a decline in international crude oil prices and weak export sales data. Traders said the decline in international crude oil futures unlocked arbitrage opportunities in the soybean oil/soybean meal trade, and weak soybean oil export sales data put pressure on the soybean oil market. However, the clarification of the US biofuel blending policy and a bright demand outlook limited the downside potential for soybean oil. The US Department of Agricultures weekly export sales report showed that for the week ending January 29, 2026, net sales of US soybean oil for the 2025/26 marketing year were 1,000 tons, down 96% from the previous week and 95% from the four-week average.February 6th - A CICC research report states that while the Federal Reserve may find it difficult to "shrink" its balance sheet in the short term, the threshold for continued "balance sheet expansion" and QE has clearly risen. If the Fed is unwilling to support fiscal easing through "balance sheet expansion," a new temporary monetary-fiscal coordination approach might be for the Fed to increase interest rate cuts and the Treasury to increase short-term debt issuance, first promoting financial deregulation, and then initiating the "balance sheet reduction" process. The Feds final interest rate cuts may exceed market expectations, and the dollar easing trade may return in the short term. A steepening US Treasury yield curve coupled with financial deregulation is beneficial to US bank stocks. The Fed may determine the end of the gold bull market, but this turning point has not yet arrived. Chinese stocks and global commodities are only temporarily under pressure, awaiting the return of easing expectations.Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Bullock: The risks are more skewed toward inflation, and we are responding to that.Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Bullock: Inflation is slightly high and has some stickiness.Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Bullock: The labor market is still performing very well, which is good news.

The AUD/JPY exchange rate fluctuates below 90.00 as investors await BoJ action

Alina Haynes

Jan 18, 2023 15:03

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In the early Asian session, the AUD/JPY currency pair is bouncing violently in a narrow range below the resistance level of 90.00. Before the Bank of Japan introduces its first monetary policy of CY2023, the risk barometer indicates a sideways auction (BoJ). The AUD/JPY exchange rate reflects the consolidation of the AUD/USD, indicating an uncertain risk profile.

 

Investors anticipate that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will not alter its policy stance on Friday, as doing so would increase financial market risk and hinder efforts to boost inflation. Previously, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) announced that the central bank will review the negative side effects of the decade-long ultra-loose monetary policy, generating the impression that the central bank is eager to abandon the easy policy.

 

The experts at Standard Charted expect the Bank of Japan to hold both the policy balance rate and the 10-year yield goal at their present levels of -0.1% and 0%, respectively. The recent decision to expand the 10-year JGB band to +/-50 bps (from +/-25 bps) will be evaluated by policymakers at the December meeting.

 

The replacement of current Governor of the Bank of Japan Haruhiko Kuroda will be widely followed. The next BoJ governor nominee is anticipated to be presented to the Japanese parliament on February 10, Reuters reported on Tuesday. Amamiya, Nakaso, and Yamaguchi are regarded as leading C.banking candidates.

 

Thursday is the expected publication date for Australian employment statistics, which investors are monitoring. The Unemployment Rate is expected to remain constant at 3.4%, according to the majority of economists. Aside from this, the Australian economy must have added 22,500 new jobs to the labor market in December, a down from the prior rises of 64K.