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January 17th, Mark Carney, 59, announced on Thursday that he will run for the leadership of the Liberal Party, seeking to succeed the current Prime Minister Trudeau. Carney said he wants to focus on the troubled economy and portray himself as an outsider who does not belong to the Trudeau government. But the opposition Conservative Party said there is no difference between Carney and Trudeau. "As a long-time Liberal Party insider, Carney has served as an adviser to Trudeau at least as early as 2020 and is definitely not an outsider." Carneys main competitor appears to be former Finance Minister Freeland, who resigned last month due to policy differences. The new prime minister is unlikely to stay in office for long, and the minority government may be overthrown in Parliament as early as the end of March, triggering a general election. Polls show that the Conservatives will win the election. Carney served as governor of the Bank of Canada in 2007 and governor of the Bank of England in 2013, becoming the first person to head two major central banks at the same time.Western Digital Corp (WDC.O) forecast second-quarter revenue in the middle of the $4.2 billion to $4.4 billion range.As of the week ending January 9, foreign central banks held U.S. Treasuries worth $24.266 billion, compared with -$30.339 billion in the previous week.On January 17, since the beginning of the year, reporters have noticed that some banks, including foreign banks, are shifting their marketing focus to structured deposits. Depending on the performance of the linked target, the yields of different structured deposits are different, and the highest annualized yield of some products exceeds 5%. The reporter consulted several bank account managers and learned that structured deposits refer to deposits embedded with financial derivatives absorbed by banks, which link the product yield to specific financial indicators such as exchange rates, precious metal prices, and stock prices. Investors are expected to obtain products with higher yields on the basis of bearing certain risks. During the investigation, several financial managers told reporters that unlike general deposits, structured deposits have certain investment risks, and investors should invest with caution. In addition, the past performance of structured deposits does not represent future performance, nor is it equal to the actual yield of the product.January 17, New York Fed data released on Thursday showed that the Federal Reserve is not under immediate pressure to stop reducing its holdings of Treasury bonds and mortgage-backed securities (MBS). The report said that as of January 7, its recently launched reserve demand elasticity indicator remained basically stable compared with recent readings, at -0.04, and said that "estimates show that reserves are still ample." For the Federal Reserve, ample reserve levels mean that liquidity in the financial system is still strong enough, and the Federal Reserve can continue to reduce its balance sheet by not reinvesting the funds raised after some of its holdings of Treasury bonds and MBS expire. The reserve demand elasticity indicator helps measure liquidity conditions and can provide early warning of shortages, thereby providing ample preparation time. The Federal Reserve has also slowed down the pace of quantitative tightening and established a mechanism called the Standing Repo Facility to provide fast funds to eligible banks to quickly resolve any problems in the market.

Silver Price Prediction: XAG/USD falls below the 200-day moving average after US Retail Sales

Alina Haynes

Feb 16, 2023 14:48

截屏2022-08-04 下午5.12.51_1024x576.png 

 

Silver price dropped for the second consecutive day, leaving the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $21.93 in the rearview mirror, as the Commerce Department reported that Retail Sales increased. The statistics supported a resurgence of the US Dollar (USD), putting downward pressure on Silver.

 

At the time of writing, the XAG/USD is trading at $21.50, having reached a peak of $21.87.

 

The XAG/USD exchange rate continues to decline, driven down by the strength of the US dollar, which, supported by rising US Treasury bond yields, advances 0.64 percent to 103.93 on the US Dollar Index. The 10-year US Treasury bond yield has increased by three and a half basis points to 3.772%, which is negative for the non-yielding metal.

 

After two consecutive months of decline, January retail sales in the United States increased by an astounding 3.0% month-over-month versus expectations of 1.8%. The majority of the increase in sales can be linked to a tight labor market, which continues to create robust pay growth, while rising fuel prices may have contributed to a rise in revenues at service stations.

 

Recent Industrial Production (IP) in the United States remained constant, as reported by the US Federal Reserve (Fed), but output was weaker than anticipated due to increasing borrowing rates in the manufacturing industry.

 

The US Federal Reserve may continue to tighten monetary conditions, with markets anticipating two additional 25-bps rate hikes, which would push the Federal Funds Rate (FFR) to the range of 5.00% to 5.250%.

 

A spate of Fed members remarked on Tuesday that the Fed is not done raising interest rates and echoed Fed Chair Powell's statement that rates will remain "higher for longer."

 

Consequently, Silver prices will stay under pressure, as a robust US Dollar will continue to harm the white metal. Silver could experience a rise once the Federal Reserve halts its tightening cycle, as it is expected to do so until 2024. Nonetheless, a hawkish Fed would boost the US Dollar's short-term prospects, which would impact on Silver.

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