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On September 1st, Royal Canadian Securities analyst Abbas Keshwani commented that given the yens weakness, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) may raise interest rates or intervene in the foreign exchange market in the coming weeks. The yen has weakened over the past month, and recent depreciation has already offset much of the BOJs intervention efforts over the past few months. Keshwani stated that for the yen to appreciate significantly, the BOJ would need to adopt an aggressive rate hike cycle, but it is unlikely to do so at the expense of economic growth. He added, "The BOJ may raise interest rates to a level sufficient to prevent the yen from weakening excessively until the Japanese government bond market stabilizes next year, thus creating conditions for a yen recovery."On September 1st, BCA Research analyst Felix Wezina-Poirier stated in a report that volatility in government bond yields is expected to be a significant factor influencing risk asset prices. Sovereign bond yields have risen to multi-year highs due to inflation concerns triggered by high oil prices. Wezina-Poirier stated, "For equities, the absolute level of yields is less important than the speed of change; therefore, implied interest rate volatility is a more useful indicator for measuring equity market risk." However, Federal Reserve Chairman Warshs remarks last week signaled a readiness to take action to curb inflation, which should help keep yield volatility at a relatively controlled level.September 1st news: Voyah Automobile delivered 13,003 vehicles in August 2026, and a total of 102,456 vehicles from January to August 2026, representing a year-on-year increase of 25%.Micron Technology (MU.O) shares fell 1.5% in pre-market trading.Both WTI and Brent crude oil rose by $0.60 in the short term, currently trading at $86.28 per barrel and $91.44 per barrel respectively.

S&P 500 Price Forecast – S&P 500 Awaits Jerome Powell

Jimmy Khan

Sep 22, 2022 14:54


Techniques for the S&P 500

As the Federal Reserve announcement later in the afternoon approaches, the S&P 500 E-mini contract is marginally higher. A 75 basis point rate increase is anticipated in the end, but there are other factors at work as well. We must, after all, wait and see what the Federal Reserve will predict on its outlook.


People will need to pay great attention to it since the market will be impacted by its economic outlook. You should be aware that these days tend to create a lot of strange signals because I think it's probable that we will witness more noise than anything else at this time.


It is more probable than not that we will drop below the 3800 level if we break below the lows of the most recent few sessions. We are going to retest the lows if we can go below that level. Unless, of course, Jerome Powell specifically declares that the Federal Reserve is going to modify its general attitude, I would view any rally at this point with extreme skepticism. With inflation still raging and as he has previously said, pain would be felt, I simply don't see how that can happen.


It's possible that some analysts will start buying since he didn't hike 100 basis points, but before it's all said and done, it should merely provide a great selling opportunity. It's difficult to say because, quite simply, it seems like optimism is a virtue and that a large portion of Wall Street still has confidence that Jerome Powell will prevent more losses. Unfortunately, inflation is destroying the US economy on Main Street, and nobody seems to be paying attention to this.