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July 4th - As the US and Iran reached a peace agreement, releasing a large supply, oil prices fell across the board. Demand was unable to absorb the supply, and the market is once again discussing the issue of oversupply of crude oil. This is a stunning reversal; less than three months ago, the worlds major physical crude oil benchmark prices hit record highs; and just weeks ago, senior industry executives were warning that global inventories had fallen to extremely low levels due to the Iranian crisis. In addition to the immediate impact of the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, analysts from institutions such as Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs have warned this week that the market faces the risk of oversupply next year. Kit Haines, head of oil research at energy consultancy Energy Aspects, said, "The overwhelming sentiment in the market right now is bearish." Even before the US and Iran signed a memorandum of understanding in mid-June to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, suppliers in the Persian Gulf were already increasing shipments. In the weeks following the signing of the agreement, more than 60 million barrels of crude oil that had been trapped due to the outbreak of war flooded the market.According to TASS, the Russian Ministry of Defense stated that its troops are clearing Ukrainian forces from the town of Leman.According to TASS, the Russian Ministry of Defense stated that Russian troops have captured five settlements in eastern Ukraine.July 4th - According to reports from Saudi media outlets Hadas and Al Arabiya, negotiations between the United States and Iran will take place in Pakistan on July 11th to discuss sanctions, frozen Iranian funds, and the nuclear issue. The composition of the Iranian delegation will be determined after Khameneis funeral.According to Saudi media outlets Haddad and Al Arabiya, negotiations between the United States and Iran will take place in Pakistan on July 11.

S&P 500 Price Forecast – S&P 500 Awaits Jerome Powell

Jimmy Khan

Sep 22, 2022 14:54


Techniques for the S&P 500

As the Federal Reserve announcement later in the afternoon approaches, the S&P 500 E-mini contract is marginally higher. A 75 basis point rate increase is anticipated in the end, but there are other factors at work as well. We must, after all, wait and see what the Federal Reserve will predict on its outlook.


People will need to pay great attention to it since the market will be impacted by its economic outlook. You should be aware that these days tend to create a lot of strange signals because I think it's probable that we will witness more noise than anything else at this time.


It is more probable than not that we will drop below the 3800 level if we break below the lows of the most recent few sessions. We are going to retest the lows if we can go below that level. Unless, of course, Jerome Powell specifically declares that the Federal Reserve is going to modify its general attitude, I would view any rally at this point with extreme skepticism. With inflation still raging and as he has previously said, pain would be felt, I simply don't see how that can happen.


It's possible that some analysts will start buying since he didn't hike 100 basis points, but before it's all said and done, it should merely provide a great selling opportunity. It's difficult to say because, quite simply, it seems like optimism is a virtue and that a large portion of Wall Street still has confidence that Jerome Powell will prevent more losses. Unfortunately, inflation is destroying the US economy on Main Street, and nobody seems to be paying attention to this.