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May 4th - According to a report by Irans Nokari News Agency on the evening of May 3rd, data from the maritime information company "Tanker Tracker" website shows that 25 oil tankers carrying crude oil left Iran in April, some of which have already reached their destinations. The report stated that seven tankers returned to Iran in the Arabian Sea due to a US blockade, two were seized by the US in the Indian Ocean, and one sailed to the Far East. Of the remaining 15 tankers, most arrived at their destinations in the first half of April.U.S. 10-year Treasury futures rose 5 points, and 30-year Treasury futures rose 8 points.U.S. Republican Senator Lindsey Graham: I fully support President Trump’s decision to launch the “Freedom Initiative” aimed at restoring freedom of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz, a vital passage to the global economy that has been blocked by Iranian “terrorism.”① Iran 1. Iranian Foreign Ministry Spokesperson: Trumps boasting of acting like a "pirate" is a direct admission of crime. 2. An Iranian supertanker "evaded" US Navy tracking and is heading towards the Riau Islands of Indonesia. 3. Iranian official: Iran is studying more than eight alternative trade routes or channels. 4. Iran says all traffic in the Strait of Hormuz must obtain Iranian permission. 5. Foreign Affairs Advisor to Irans Supreme Leader: Trumps recent words and actions cannot hide the "shattering of White House illusions." 6. Manager of the National Iranian Oil Company: Despite the threats, we drilled thousands of oil wells and reservoirs during the war to maintain production and exports. 7. Iran is reviewing the US response to the 14-point proposal and is not currently conducting nuclear negotiations. ② United States 1. US media reports that Iran is not demanding the lifting of the Strait of Hormuz blockade before direct negotiations. 2. Acting US Attorney General: Trumps statement that military action in Iran is not war is correct, and the claim that it is illegal is invalid. 3. Trump stated in an interview that Irans new proposal is unacceptable. 4. Witkov stated that Washington is currently in dialogue with Iran. Iran has not yet responded. 5. Trump: Operations to guide ships stranded in the Strait of Hormuz out of the Strait will begin Monday (Middle East time), noting that US representatives are actively consulting with Iran. 6. US media: Sources say the US submitted a revised draft agreement on Sunday aimed at ending the war, in response to the latest proposals from Iranian officials. ③ Israel 1. Israel approves plan to purchase new fighter jets from the US. 2. The Israeli military claims the earlier rocket attack in northern Israel was a miscalculation. 3. Israeli Prime Minister: An additional 350 billion shekels will be allocated to the Israeli defense budget over the next ten years for domestic ammunition production. 4. The Israeli Prime Minister ordered all government ministers not to give media interviews on Iran. ④ Strait of Hormuz 1. US Treasury Secretary Bessant: Irans attempts to collect tolls for ships have had little effect; he is not surprised by the increased number of ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz. ⑤ Ceasefire Negotiations 1. Media reports reveal details of Irans latest negotiation plan, which includes three phases. The first phase includes "transforming the ceasefire into a full ceasefire within 30 days." ⑥ Other situations: 1. Israeli airstrikes in southern Lebanon resulted in 8 deaths and 11 injuries. 2. Mertz stated that the US troop reduction in Germany was unrelated to his remarks regarding the war with Iran.The British government is prepared to begin consultations on joining the EUs £78 billion loan program for Ukraine.

S&P 500 Price Forecast – S&P 500 Awaits Jerome Powell

Jimmy Khan

Sep 22, 2022 14:54


Techniques for the S&P 500

As the Federal Reserve announcement later in the afternoon approaches, the S&P 500 E-mini contract is marginally higher. A 75 basis point rate increase is anticipated in the end, but there are other factors at work as well. We must, after all, wait and see what the Federal Reserve will predict on its outlook.


People will need to pay great attention to it since the market will be impacted by its economic outlook. You should be aware that these days tend to create a lot of strange signals because I think it's probable that we will witness more noise than anything else at this time.


It is more probable than not that we will drop below the 3800 level if we break below the lows of the most recent few sessions. We are going to retest the lows if we can go below that level. Unless, of course, Jerome Powell specifically declares that the Federal Reserve is going to modify its general attitude, I would view any rally at this point with extreme skepticism. With inflation still raging and as he has previously said, pain would be felt, I simply don't see how that can happen.


It's possible that some analysts will start buying since he didn't hike 100 basis points, but before it's all said and done, it should merely provide a great selling opportunity. It's difficult to say because, quite simply, it seems like optimism is a virtue and that a large portion of Wall Street still has confidence that Jerome Powell will prevent more losses. Unfortunately, inflation is destroying the US economy on Main Street, and nobody seems to be paying attention to this.