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Federal Reserve: In the week ending June 3, outstanding U.S. commercial paper (not seasonally adjusted) increased by $24 billion. Outstanding U.S. commercial paper (not seasonally adjusted) held by foreign financial institutions increased by $10 billion. Outstanding U.S. commercial paper (seasonally adjusted) increased by $10.7 billion.U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessenter: Future exemptions for Russian oil will be approved on a country-by-country basis. Exemptions for Russian oil would help lower energy prices.Israel Defense Forces: The Israel Defense Forces and the Israel Security Service launched a raid in northern Gaza late Thursday night, killing a senior member of Hamas’s General Security Agency.Federal Reserve officials Schmid and Daly will speak in ten minutes.June 5th - US mortgage rates dipped slightly last week as sellers struggled to find buyers willing to accept their offers. According to Freddie Mac data, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate fell to 6.48% from 6.53%. A year ago, the rate was 6.85%. The peak sales season is facing pressure from high borrowing costs as economic uncertainty stemming from the Iran war pushes up inflation expectations and keeps mortgage rates high. Inventory growth outpaces demand, making it difficult for many sellers across the country to attract bids. Redfin real estate agent Patricia Ammann stated that the upward momentum in home prices is not as strong as it was five years ago, as high gasoline prices and rising living costs have made potential buyers less willing to push up prices.

S&P 500 Price Forecast – S&P 500 Awaits Jerome Powell

Jimmy Khan

Sep 22, 2022 14:54


Techniques for the S&P 500

As the Federal Reserve announcement later in the afternoon approaches, the S&P 500 E-mini contract is marginally higher. A 75 basis point rate increase is anticipated in the end, but there are other factors at work as well. We must, after all, wait and see what the Federal Reserve will predict on its outlook.


People will need to pay great attention to it since the market will be impacted by its economic outlook. You should be aware that these days tend to create a lot of strange signals because I think it's probable that we will witness more noise than anything else at this time.


It is more probable than not that we will drop below the 3800 level if we break below the lows of the most recent few sessions. We are going to retest the lows if we can go below that level. Unless, of course, Jerome Powell specifically declares that the Federal Reserve is going to modify its general attitude, I would view any rally at this point with extreme skepticism. With inflation still raging and as he has previously said, pain would be felt, I simply don't see how that can happen.


It's possible that some analysts will start buying since he didn't hike 100 basis points, but before it's all said and done, it should merely provide a great selling opportunity. It's difficult to say because, quite simply, it seems like optimism is a virtue and that a large portion of Wall Street still has confidence that Jerome Powell will prevent more losses. Unfortunately, inflation is destroying the US economy on Main Street, and nobody seems to be paying attention to this.