• English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
Eurozone March industrial production month-on-month rate, first quarter GDP annual rate revised figure, and seasonally adjusted employment quarter-on-quarter rate preliminary figure will be released in ten minutes.Market news: Ghana plans to acquire oil field shares held by Lukoil, which is subject to sanctions.French Finance Minister Lescourt: (Regarding next weeks G7 meeting) There are currently no plans for a new round of oil inventory releases, but this issue may be brought up on the agenda in the coming weeks.On May 13th, aluminum prices rebounded after a period of decline, with the Shanghai aluminum main contract closing up 240 yuan/ton, a 0.97% increase. On the macro level, the US April CPI rose 3.8% year-on-year, the fastest pace since 2023. The continued rise in inflationary pressure has led the market to lower its expectations for a Fed rate cut, and the high-interest-rate environment is putting some pressure on non-ferrous metals. On the industry side, domestic aluminum ingot social inventories have declined, but signs of improvement on the consumption side are not yet obvious, and the approaching traditional off-season makes the resilience of demand uncertain. The supply side is relatively stable, and cost support remains. Overall, with a cautious macro sentiment and a supply-demand game in the fundamentals, aluminum prices may maintain a high-level fluctuation pattern in the short term, with attention focused on the effectiveness of support at key psychological levels. Spot trading was moderate today, with aluminum prices fluctuating within a range. Downstream buyers purchased as needed, and the circulation in the spot market appeared to have decreased, providing some support for spot prices. During the session, holders quoted an average price of around -10 yuan/ton, while East China aluminum ingots followed suit at around -60 yuan/ton.May 13th - Domestic flight fuel surcharges will be raised again on May 16th. Coupled with a post-May Day holiday airfare drop of over 40%, domestic travelers are eager to take advantage of the price increase window and book tickets in advance. Data from Qunar.com shows that on May 12th, bookings for flights departing during the Dragon Boat Festival (June 19th-21st) increased by 84% compared to the previous day. Bookings for the summer season (July-August) increased by 58% compared to the previous day and by 45% compared to the same period last year. Flightradar24, the official direct sales platform for civil aviation, shows that many domestic routes now offer tickets for around 100 yuan after the May Day holiday, with tickets from Beijing/Shanghai to Sanya, Qingdao, and Changsha available for around 300 yuan.

S&P 500 Price Forecast – S&P 500 Awaits Jerome Powell

Jimmy Khan

Sep 22, 2022 14:54


Techniques for the S&P 500

As the Federal Reserve announcement later in the afternoon approaches, the S&P 500 E-mini contract is marginally higher. A 75 basis point rate increase is anticipated in the end, but there are other factors at work as well. We must, after all, wait and see what the Federal Reserve will predict on its outlook.


People will need to pay great attention to it since the market will be impacted by its economic outlook. You should be aware that these days tend to create a lot of strange signals because I think it's probable that we will witness more noise than anything else at this time.


It is more probable than not that we will drop below the 3800 level if we break below the lows of the most recent few sessions. We are going to retest the lows if we can go below that level. Unless, of course, Jerome Powell specifically declares that the Federal Reserve is going to modify its general attitude, I would view any rally at this point with extreme skepticism. With inflation still raging and as he has previously said, pain would be felt, I simply don't see how that can happen.


It's possible that some analysts will start buying since he didn't hike 100 basis points, but before it's all said and done, it should merely provide a great selling opportunity. It's difficult to say because, quite simply, it seems like optimism is a virtue and that a large portion of Wall Street still has confidence that Jerome Powell will prevent more losses. Unfortunately, inflation is destroying the US economy on Main Street, and nobody seems to be paying attention to this.