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August 20th - According to sources, the Trump administration is preparing to lower tariffs on imported Canadian cars from 25% to 15% as part of a broader agreement. Under this agreement, Canada would remove retaliatory trade measures imposed on the United States. Last year, the White House imposed a 25% tariff on foreign-made cars and trucks. For vehicles manufactured in Canada and Mexico, this tariff applied only to non-U.S. components, a move aimed at encouraging companies to move more production to the United States. Sources say the new 15% tariff rate will also use this "non-U.S. component" calculation rule. The specific details of the agreement have not yet been finalized. Furthermore, Trump has a history of last-minute changes to trade agreements, even canceling them altogether, just before a deal is reached, so the final outcome remains uncertain.Mayor of Kyiv: Kyiv is under attack by ballistic missiles.August 20th - As US government borrowing increases at an unprecedented rate, the total US national debt has surpassed $40 trillion. Despite Trumps promises to control government spending, the ever-expanding debt continues to raise concerns among investors about the state of US public finances. According to data released by the US Treasury Department on Wednesday, the total US federal debt surpassed the $40 trillion threshold on Tuesday. In the past year, its debt has increased by $3 trillion, the fastest growth rate in history excluding the pandemic period. "Its like a huge warning light on a car engine," said Mark Godwin, senior policy director at the Committee on a Responsible Federal Budget. "It doesnt mean the engine will burn out tomorrow, but its a clear signal that things are out of control. The problem isnt just the sheer size of the debt, but the speed at which weve reached this level." Over the past two decades, US national debt has risen dramatically, climbing from less than $6 trillion at the beginning of the century to its current level. Massive public spending during the financial crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic exacerbated the widening budget deficit. In the past decade alone, the overall debt has doubled. The Congressional Budget Office projects that the ratio of publicly held federal debt to GDP will exceed the historical peak of 106% set in 1946 after World War II around 2030, and will further climb to 120% by 2036.According to Al Jazeera: A U.S. State Department spokesperson said the Trump administration has begun discussions on Syrian sovereignty and Israels right to self-defense.On August 20th, the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) is soliciting public comments on computing power futures contracts as industry giants begin to accept computing power as a tradable asset. Several exchanges, including the CME Group, Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), and emerging fintech company Architect Financial Technologies, have announced plans to launch related contracts after obtaining regulatory approval. These exchanges stated that establishing a computing power futures market would help end-users and speculators hedge against risks related to energy shortages or other issues that could impact the technological progress of AI developers. CFTC Chairman Michael Selig stated in a statement on Wednesday, “The U.S. cannot win the AI race without a robust computing power derivatives market. This comment period is the first step in establishing clear rules for the U.S. computing power market.” One of the issues addressed in the CFTCs comment period is how computing power futures differ from other types of derivatives or underlying commodities that the agency already regulates. Allowing computing power futures to be listed on CFTC-regulated exchanges may require further standardization of variables affecting computing power prices, including price indices used for settlement references.

S&P 500 Price Forecast – S&P 500 Awaits Jerome Powell

Jimmy Khan

Sep 22, 2022 14:54


Techniques for the S&P 500

As the Federal Reserve announcement later in the afternoon approaches, the S&P 500 E-mini contract is marginally higher. A 75 basis point rate increase is anticipated in the end, but there are other factors at work as well. We must, after all, wait and see what the Federal Reserve will predict on its outlook.


People will need to pay great attention to it since the market will be impacted by its economic outlook. You should be aware that these days tend to create a lot of strange signals because I think it's probable that we will witness more noise than anything else at this time.


It is more probable than not that we will drop below the 3800 level if we break below the lows of the most recent few sessions. We are going to retest the lows if we can go below that level. Unless, of course, Jerome Powell specifically declares that the Federal Reserve is going to modify its general attitude, I would view any rally at this point with extreme skepticism. With inflation still raging and as he has previously said, pain would be felt, I simply don't see how that can happen.


It's possible that some analysts will start buying since he didn't hike 100 basis points, but before it's all said and done, it should merely provide a great selling opportunity. It's difficult to say because, quite simply, it seems like optimism is a virtue and that a large portion of Wall Street still has confidence that Jerome Powell will prevent more losses. Unfortunately, inflation is destroying the US economy on Main Street, and nobody seems to be paying attention to this.