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On August 25th, research firm Digitimes reported that major cloud service providers are expected to place increasing emphasis on operational efficiency and financial discipline in the second half of 2026, as spending on AI-driven infrastructure continues to surge. Amazon, Alphabet, and Microsofts combined cloud revenue reached $106.3 billion in the second quarter, with annual growth accelerating to 43%, the fastest pace since 2020. Digitimes stated that Amazon, Microsoft, Alphabet, and Meta are expected to increase total capital expenditures to a record $745 billion. While these companies remain optimistic about AI demand, rising investment costs have already put pressure on free cash flow, prompting cloud service providers to seek cost control, financial adjustments, and more efficient AI service solutions to balance growth targets with increasing investment risks.On August 25th, Danske Bank senior analyst Jesper Fjarstedt stated in a report that escalating geopolitical tensions have added new complexity to the upcoming Jackson Hole symposium. Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh will speak on Friday, and "the market widely expects him to avoid giving clear policy signals and is unlikely to directly discuss Treasury intervention in the market." Meanwhile, US Treasury Secretary Bessant stated on Monday that the US is launching an operation aimed at isolating the Iranian regime and warned that countries and businesses doing business with Iran will face US retaliation.On August 25th, according to the Yomiuri Shimbun, a panel of experts from Japans Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry approved a proposal on Monday to establish a subsidy program to support companies in diversifying their crude oil and naphtha supply sources. This proposal is part of Japans efforts to reduce its reliance on petroleum products imported via the Strait of Hormuz and is expected to be incorporated into the governments upcoming energy diversification policy. The program will compensate companies for the additional costs incurred by avoiding the Strait of Hormuz. The Japanese government will levy fees on all companies importing crude oil and naphtha and use the collected funds to finance the subsidy program. Companies that prioritize sourcing via the Strait of Hormuz will bear a higher cost burden. Meanwhile, the panel also confirmed that the national petroleum reserve program, including naphtha, will be restored to the equivalent of 90 days of consumption by the end of March 2028.The main contract for low-sulfur fuel oil (LU) fell 2.00% during the day, currently trading at 4931.00 yuan/ton.On August 25, the draft revision of the Banking Supervision and Management Law was submitted to the Standing Committee of the National Peoples Congress for its second review. The second draft further strengthens the responsibilities of banking regulatory agencies in protecting banking consumers, improves relevant systems, and specifically regulates illegal activities such as the misappropriation of customer funds by banking financial institution employees. The second draft adds a list of prohibited actions by banking financial institutions and their employees that infringe upon the legitimate rights and interests of consumers, including not infringing upon the legitimate rights and interests of depositors and other customers through misappropriation of funds, not forcing customers to bundle or sell products or services, not providing depositors and other customers with products that do not meet their risk tolerance in violation of suitability management regulations, and not using improper means for debt collection. To provide stronger legal support for preventing and resolving banking financial risks, the second draft splits Chapter Four, "Supervision and Management Measures," into two chapters: "Supervision and Management Measures" and "Risk Disposal," clarifying the division of responsibilities between the central and local governments in risk disposal for banking financial institutions, strengthening risk disposal measures, and specifying the ways in which deposit insurance fund management institutions and other entities participate in risk disposal.

S&P 500 Price Forecast – S&P 500 Awaits Jerome Powell

Jimmy Khan

Sep 22, 2022 14:54


Techniques for the S&P 500

As the Federal Reserve announcement later in the afternoon approaches, the S&P 500 E-mini contract is marginally higher. A 75 basis point rate increase is anticipated in the end, but there are other factors at work as well. We must, after all, wait and see what the Federal Reserve will predict on its outlook.


People will need to pay great attention to it since the market will be impacted by its economic outlook. You should be aware that these days tend to create a lot of strange signals because I think it's probable that we will witness more noise than anything else at this time.


It is more probable than not that we will drop below the 3800 level if we break below the lows of the most recent few sessions. We are going to retest the lows if we can go below that level. Unless, of course, Jerome Powell specifically declares that the Federal Reserve is going to modify its general attitude, I would view any rally at this point with extreme skepticism. With inflation still raging and as he has previously said, pain would be felt, I simply don't see how that can happen.


It's possible that some analysts will start buying since he didn't hike 100 basis points, but before it's all said and done, it should merely provide a great selling opportunity. It's difficult to say because, quite simply, it seems like optimism is a virtue and that a large portion of Wall Street still has confidence that Jerome Powell will prevent more losses. Unfortunately, inflation is destroying the US economy on Main Street, and nobody seems to be paying attention to this.