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Futures Market News, August 31st: Aluminum prices have recently rebounded after fluctuating. The main reasons are: 1. The US Treasury announced an expansion of its long-term bond repurchase program, leading to a decline in long-term interest rates and improved market risk appetite, resulting in a rebound in aluminum prices; the US July PCE price index slightly exceeded expectations, but the market reaction was limited; Nvidias second-quarter earnings report exceeded expectations, driving continued strong growth in related computing power and power investment. 2. While aluminum prices rose, downstream demand cooled slightly, while aluminum exports and the recycling sector maintained steady consumption. Looking ahead, considering the hawkish signals released by the Wash-Jackson Hole symposium and the remaining geopolitical uncertainties, aluminum prices may continue to fluctuate between 23,800-24,300 yuan/ton.On the morning of August 31 local time, Kyrgyz President Sadyr Japarov held talks with Chinese President Xi Jinping at the Harmony Palace in Bishkek. Xi Jinping pointed out that China and Kyrgyzstan should deepen practical cooperation, implement the intergovernmental economic and trade cooperation plan, enrich trade categories, and expand new growth points such as digital trade and cross-border e-commerce; build the China-Kyrgyzstan-Uzbekistan railway, a vital transportation artery carrying the hopes of the regions people, with high quality; modernize border crossings; and deepen "soft connectivity" in systems, standards, and rules; implement more landmark projects in renewable energy and resource recycling; implement green mineral cooperation documents; and carry out cooperation across the entire industrial chain; jointly build the Belt and Road Initiative joint laboratory; strengthen cooperation in areas such as artificial intelligence; and empower and enhance bilateral cooperation through technological innovation; further promote people-to-people exchanges; strengthen cooperation in youth, media, tourism, sports, healthcare, and local areas; and continuously consolidate the social and public opinion foundation for China-Kyrgyzstan friendship.On August 31, Japans Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (METI) announced a record budget request of 7.8 trillion yen (approximately US$49 billion) to accelerate investment in semiconductors, artificial intelligence, and other strategic industries at the heart of Prime Minister Sanae Takaichis economic growth agenda. The METI submitted the budget request on Monday, with funds earmarked for the fiscal year beginning April 2027. This follows Takaichis call for a combined 370 trillion yen in public and private sector investment over the next 14 years in key industries. This unusually large budget request reflects reforms to Japans budgeting process. Under the new process, ministries can submit proposals with no spending caps in a single budget request round. The Japanese government hopes this will reduce its reliance on supplementary budgets. Of the 7.8 trillion yen requested, 6.31 trillion yen is planned for investment under the "Strong and Prosperous Japan" category, reflecting Takaichis initiative to promote economic recovery. This includes approximately 2 trillion yen for artificial intelligence, semiconductors, and robotics; 680 billion yen to secure the supply of key minerals, including rare earth elements; 220 billion yen to strengthen naphtha supply capacity; and 180 billion yen to cooperate with the Ministry of Defense to enhance defense and dual-use capabilities.UAE Presidents Advisor: We need to take a more pragmatic approach, rather than simply signing a memorandum of understanding that fails to provide a practical and acceptable roadmap.UAE Presidents advisor: A political solution must begin with de-escalation and the restoration of normal shipping in the Strait of Hormuz.

S&P 500 Price Forecast – S&P 500 Awaits Jerome Powell

Jimmy Khan

Sep 22, 2022 14:54


Techniques for the S&P 500

As the Federal Reserve announcement later in the afternoon approaches, the S&P 500 E-mini contract is marginally higher. A 75 basis point rate increase is anticipated in the end, but there are other factors at work as well. We must, after all, wait and see what the Federal Reserve will predict on its outlook.


People will need to pay great attention to it since the market will be impacted by its economic outlook. You should be aware that these days tend to create a lot of strange signals because I think it's probable that we will witness more noise than anything else at this time.


It is more probable than not that we will drop below the 3800 level if we break below the lows of the most recent few sessions. We are going to retest the lows if we can go below that level. Unless, of course, Jerome Powell specifically declares that the Federal Reserve is going to modify its general attitude, I would view any rally at this point with extreme skepticism. With inflation still raging and as he has previously said, pain would be felt, I simply don't see how that can happen.


It's possible that some analysts will start buying since he didn't hike 100 basis points, but before it's all said and done, it should merely provide a great selling opportunity. It's difficult to say because, quite simply, it seems like optimism is a virtue and that a large portion of Wall Street still has confidence that Jerome Powell will prevent more losses. Unfortunately, inflation is destroying the US economy on Main Street, and nobody seems to be paying attention to this.