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On January 15th, a research report from CITIC Securities stated that adjusting the minimum margin requirement for margin trading is a routine measure by regulators to convey their regulatory stance, prevent systemic risks, and protect the legitimate rights and interests of investors. Appropriately raising the margin requirement from 80% back to 100% corresponds to a decrease in leverage from 1.25 to 1.00. We believe that regulators are determined to safeguard the sound development of the capital market, employing diverse methods and increasingly mature mechanisms. Whether its an irrational decline or a sharp rise due to short-term overheating, current regulatory measures demonstrate a clear orientation towards "stabilizing expectations, preventing risks, and promoting reform," safeguarding the bottom line of preventing systemic financial risks amidst volatility.On January 15th, a research report from GF Securities pointed out that although the December CPI data fluctuated due to the previous government shutdown, the core reading remained moderate. Prior to the data release, the market had already anticipated that the technical disruptions caused by the previous government shutdown and the year-end effect would lead to fluctuations in some sub-categories. Therefore, the market generally viewed the rebound in sub-categories such as clothing, entertainment goods, and hotel accommodations as a base effect correction rather than a trend change. Given the backdrop of "inflation not derailing + employment not slowing down," we understand that the necessity for short-term interest rate cuts remains low.On January 15, SF Holding (06936.HK) and J&T Express (01519.HK) announced that, in order to deepen their strategic cooperation, SF and J&T signed a subscription agreement on January 15, under which both parties conditionally agreed that J&T would subscribe for shares and SF would subscribe for shares, with the two subscriptions being conditional on each other.The Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) has significantly shifted its sales forecasts for the near term and the next 12 months to a more optimistic level.The UKs three-month RICS house price index for December was -14, compared to a forecast of -16 and a revised previous reading of -14 from -16.00.

S&P 500 Price Forecast – S&P 500 Awaits Jerome Powell

Jimmy Khan

Sep 22, 2022 14:54


Techniques for the S&P 500

As the Federal Reserve announcement later in the afternoon approaches, the S&P 500 E-mini contract is marginally higher. A 75 basis point rate increase is anticipated in the end, but there are other factors at work as well. We must, after all, wait and see what the Federal Reserve will predict on its outlook.


People will need to pay great attention to it since the market will be impacted by its economic outlook. You should be aware that these days tend to create a lot of strange signals because I think it's probable that we will witness more noise than anything else at this time.


It is more probable than not that we will drop below the 3800 level if we break below the lows of the most recent few sessions. We are going to retest the lows if we can go below that level. Unless, of course, Jerome Powell specifically declares that the Federal Reserve is going to modify its general attitude, I would view any rally at this point with extreme skepticism. With inflation still raging and as he has previously said, pain would be felt, I simply don't see how that can happen.


It's possible that some analysts will start buying since he didn't hike 100 basis points, but before it's all said and done, it should merely provide a great selling opportunity. It's difficult to say because, quite simply, it seems like optimism is a virtue and that a large portion of Wall Street still has confidence that Jerome Powell will prevent more losses. Unfortunately, inflation is destroying the US economy on Main Street, and nobody seems to be paying attention to this.