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Japanese Finance Ministry officials said that Japans crude oil imports in April saw the largest year-on-year decline since 1980.Japans Ministry of Finance: Japans exports to the United States rose 9.5% year-on-year in April, exports to Asia rose 16.1% year-on-year, and exports to the European Union rose 26.9% year-on-year.Japans seasonally adjusted merchandise trade balance for April was 236.4 billion yen, compared to a forecast of -200.2 billion yen and a previous reading of 90.7 billion yen.On May 21st, according to foreign media reports, soybean oil futures on the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) closed lower on Wednesday, with the benchmark contract down 1%, mainly due to a sharp drop in international crude oil futures. International crude oil futures fell sharply on Wednesday after Trump claimed that negotiations with Iran had entered the final stage, though he did not provide details. Since soybean oil is a key feedstock for biofuel production, oil prices influence the soybean and soybean oil markets. Analysts say that Chicago soybean oil futures have risen more than 50% so far in 2026, a price that is actually unfavorable in the global vegetable oil market, but at $0.75 per pound, it still makes it profitable for biofuel production. S&Ps assessment data shows that the break-even point for biodiesel producers in the U.S. Midwest is $0.89 per pound, while the break-even point for renewable fuel producers in California is $0.91 per pound.Futures News, May 21st - According to foreign media reports, Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) corn futures closed lower on Wednesday, with the benchmark contract down 1.9%, mainly reflecting a decline in international crude oil futures and generally favorable weather conditions in the Midwest. President Trumps statement that negotiations for a peace agreement between the US and Iran have entered the final stage prompted the grain market to give back its risk premium. AgResource stated that although the prospects for peace remain uncertain, hopes for the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz triggered some selling. According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) 72-hour cumulative precipitation map, most of the Corn Belt is likely to receive rain from Thursday through Sunday, with some areas potentially receiving less than 0.1 inches of rain, while other areas could receive 2 inches or more.

S&P 500 Price Forecast – S&P 500 Awaits Jerome Powell

Jimmy Khan

Sep 22, 2022 14:54


Techniques for the S&P 500

As the Federal Reserve announcement later in the afternoon approaches, the S&P 500 E-mini contract is marginally higher. A 75 basis point rate increase is anticipated in the end, but there are other factors at work as well. We must, after all, wait and see what the Federal Reserve will predict on its outlook.


People will need to pay great attention to it since the market will be impacted by its economic outlook. You should be aware that these days tend to create a lot of strange signals because I think it's probable that we will witness more noise than anything else at this time.


It is more probable than not that we will drop below the 3800 level if we break below the lows of the most recent few sessions. We are going to retest the lows if we can go below that level. Unless, of course, Jerome Powell specifically declares that the Federal Reserve is going to modify its general attitude, I would view any rally at this point with extreme skepticism. With inflation still raging and as he has previously said, pain would be felt, I simply don't see how that can happen.


It's possible that some analysts will start buying since he didn't hike 100 basis points, but before it's all said and done, it should merely provide a great selling opportunity. It's difficult to say because, quite simply, it seems like optimism is a virtue and that a large portion of Wall Street still has confidence that Jerome Powell will prevent more losses. Unfortunately, inflation is destroying the US economy on Main Street, and nobody seems to be paying attention to this.