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① Iran 1. The Iranian Foreign Minister will travel to Baghdad tomorrow. 2. The Iranian Revolutionary Guard says it will take a tougher stance against "violations" by vessels. 3. About 30% of the Iranian population will attend the funeral of the late Supreme Leader. 4. Affected by the Middle East conflict, Irans inflation rate rose sharply to 88.6% year-on-year in June. 5. Following the US strikes against Iran, Iranian drones attacked Bahrain and oil tankers were attacked in the Strait of Hormuz. 6. The Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps destroyed eight key US military infrastructure sites at the Ali Salim Air Base in Kuwait and the US Fifth Fleet in Bahrain. ② United States 1. The US strikes Iran again; explosions are heard in the Sirik region. 2. Trump says the US military strikes Iranian missile and drone storage sites. 3. According to CNN: US officials say that when Iran claimed to have attacked US targets in the Middle East, the US "detected several drones," but these drones did not hit their targets. ③ Israel 1. Israeli forces strike southern Lebanon again after the US-Lebanon framework agreement. 2. Israeli Prime Minister: Israel retains all the necessary "safe zones" along its northern border. 3. Israeli National Security Minister: The Lebanon-Israel-US framework agreement is a "major mistake." 4. Israeli official: If Hezbollah launches an attack, Israel will respond strongly. 5. Israeli Defense Minister: Has instructed the Israeli military to prepare for a long-term presence in the "safe zone" in southern Lebanon. 6. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu: We are breaking Irans diplomatic axis. We have reached a framework agreement that allows us to end the conflict with Lebanon. ④ Other situations: 1. US media: Trump and Netanyahu have been communicating much less than before. 2. UAE Foreign Minister praises the efforts of the Lebanese and Israeli governments in reaching a framework agreement. 3. Hezbollah: The Israel-Lebanon framework agreement is invalid; refuses to link Israeli troop withdrawal with Hezbollahs disarmament. 4. French Foreign Ministry: Willing to contribute to the implementation of the framework agreement between Lebanon and Israel. 5. Joint Maritime Information Center: Raises the maritime security threat level in the Strait of Hormuz from "medium" to "high". 6. Following the Iranian Revolutionary Guards strike on vessels violating regulations, more ships are seeking permission from Iran. 7. Security sources say an explosive drone attack struck a camp of an Iranian Kurdish opposition group north of Erbil, Iraq. 8. The Lebanese presidential palace stated that Lebanese President Aoun, in a phone call with US President Trump, said Lebanon would assume responsibility for implementing the framework agreement with Israel. President Aoun has requested US assistance to prevent violations of the agreement and to pressure Israel to withdraw from the southern region.According to Fox News: The latest round of US strikes against Iran is larger than last nights operation. US and Bahraini forces shot down nine Iranian drones that were heading towards US forces in Bahrain.According to the Islamic Republic of Iran Broadcasting (IRIB): Several shells struck a village on Qeshm Island.On June 28, U.S. Central Command issued a statement saying that on June 27, under the command of the Commander-in-Chief, U.S. Central Command forces conducted additional strikes against multiple Iranian targets. Following yesterdays U.S. strikes against Iran in response to its attack on the cargo ship "M/V EverLovely," Iran had an opportunity to uphold the ceasefire agreement, but its forces launched a one-way attack drone strike this morning (4:30 AM ET on Saturday), hitting and destroying the oil tanker "M/T Kiku." The Panamanian-flagged tanker was sailing near the Strait of Hormuz at the time, carrying more than two million barrels of crude oil. Today, U.S. Central Command forces responded to Irans continued attacks on merchant ships, with U.S. warplanes striking Iranian military surveillance facilities, communication systems, air defense sites, drone storage facilities, and mine-laying capabilities. Merchant ships continue to transit the Strait of Hormuz. The U.S. military remains vigilant and ready to respond.June 28 - The United States launched a military strike against Iran on June 27 local time.

S&P 500 Price Forecast – S&P 500 Awaits Jerome Powell

Jimmy Khan

Sep 22, 2022 14:54


Techniques for the S&P 500

As the Federal Reserve announcement later in the afternoon approaches, the S&P 500 E-mini contract is marginally higher. A 75 basis point rate increase is anticipated in the end, but there are other factors at work as well. We must, after all, wait and see what the Federal Reserve will predict on its outlook.


People will need to pay great attention to it since the market will be impacted by its economic outlook. You should be aware that these days tend to create a lot of strange signals because I think it's probable that we will witness more noise than anything else at this time.


It is more probable than not that we will drop below the 3800 level if we break below the lows of the most recent few sessions. We are going to retest the lows if we can go below that level. Unless, of course, Jerome Powell specifically declares that the Federal Reserve is going to modify its general attitude, I would view any rally at this point with extreme skepticism. With inflation still raging and as he has previously said, pain would be felt, I simply don't see how that can happen.


It's possible that some analysts will start buying since he didn't hike 100 basis points, but before it's all said and done, it should merely provide a great selling opportunity. It's difficult to say because, quite simply, it seems like optimism is a virtue and that a large portion of Wall Street still has confidence that Jerome Powell will prevent more losses. Unfortunately, inflation is destroying the US economy on Main Street, and nobody seems to be paying attention to this.