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1. Monday: ① Data: Chinas July RatingDog Manufacturing PMI; Switzerlands July CPI (MoM); Frances July Manufacturing PMI (Final); Germanys July Manufacturing PMI (Final); Eurozones July Manufacturing PMI (Final); UKs July Manufacturing PMI (Final); US July S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Final); US July ISM Manufacturing PMI; US June Construction Spending (MoM). ② Holiday: Toronto Stock Exchange closed. 2. Tuesday: ① Data: US June Trade Balance; US June JOLTs Job Openings; US June Factory Orders (MoM). ② Event: FMS 2026 Flash Memory Summit held August 4-6, attended by storage giants such as Samsung and SK. 3. Wednesday: ① Data: US API crude oil inventories for the week ending July 31; Chinas July RatingDog Services PMI; Frances June industrial production month-on-month; Frances July services PMI final reading; Germanys July services PMI final reading; Eurozones July services PMI final reading; UKs July services PMI final reading; Eurozones June PPI month-on-month; US July ADP employment change; US July S&P Global Services PMI final reading; US July ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI; US EIA crude oil inventories for the week ending July 31; US EIA Cushing, Oklahoma crude oil inventories for the week ending July 31; US EIA Strategic Petroleum Reserves for the week ending July 31. ② Events: Saudi Aramco releases its official crude oil prices around the 5th of each month. ③ Earnings Reports: AMD, SpaceX (Tuesday after US stock market close). 4. Thursday: ① Data: Switzerlands July seasonally adjusted unemployment rate; Eurozones June retail sales month-on-month; US July Challenger job cuts; US initial jobless claims for the week ending August 1; US July global supply chain stress index; US June wholesale sales month-on-month; US EIA natural gas storage for the week ending July 31. ② Event: SoftBank Group releases its Q1 2026 earnings report. 5. Friday: ① Data: Frances Q2 ILO unemployment rate; Germanys June seasonally adjusted industrial production month-on-month; Germanys June seasonally adjusted trade balance; UKs July Halifax seasonally adjusted house price index month-on-month; Frances June trade balance; Switzerlands July consumer confidence index; Canadas July employment change; US July unemployment rate; US July seasonally adjusted non-farm payrolls; US July average hourly earnings year-on-year; US July average hourly earnings month-on-month; US July New York Fed 1-year inflation expectations; Chinas July trade balance in US dollars; Chinas July foreign exchange reserves; Chinas July trade balance. ② Events: 2028 FOMC voting member and St. Louis Fed President Musaleem speaks on the US economy and monetary policy; 2027 FOMC voting member and Richmond Fed President Barkin speaks. 6. Saturday: ① Data: Total number of US oil rigs for the week ending August 7. 7. Sunday: ① Data: Chinas July CPI year-on-year rate.On August 2nd, Abdullah Bandar al-Etabi, Assistant Professor of International Affairs at Qatar University, stated that it is too early to judge the direction of the situation following Trumps latest statement regarding Iran. In this game, neither side has shown any sign of backing down on their respective positions. Taking the Strait of Hormuz as an example, Iran has not softened its stance, and the threat of a wider conflict remains. However, the latest developments have bought more time for diplomacy. There is now more time for Iran to cooperate with regional countries to reach some kind of arrangement on the Strait of Hormuz issue and get diplomacy back on track.On August 2nd, the Department of Urban Construction of the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development held a special meeting with relevant provincial and municipal officials to discuss the prevention of gas safety accidents. The meeting emphasized that gas safety is a matter of vital interest to the people, and the accidents exposed significant weaknesses in the gas safety work of the relevant provinces and cities. The relevant provinces and cities must learn profound lessons from these accidents, draw inferences from one instance to others, and take targeted measures to improve their local gas safety management. The meeting also required that relevant provinces and cities comprehensively strengthen the special campaign to rectify urban gas safety, expedite the implementation of systems such as bottled liquefied petroleum gas delivery to households and on-site safety inspections, and accelerate the elimination of safety hazards related to cylinders, pipes, stoves, and valves at the user end. They should continue to leverage the role of the special task force for urban gas safety rectification, further promote the comprehensive rectification of the entire gas safety "one-stop" service, and accelerate the establishment and improvement of a long-term mechanism for gas safety management.The OPEC+ Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee (JMMC) has expressed concern over attacks on energy infrastructure.The OPEC+ Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee (JMMC) met on Sunday to emphasize the importance of protecting international sea lanes to ensure the continued flow of energy.

Oil Quiet As Price Cap Suggestion Assists in Relieving Supply Concerns

Skylar Williams

Nov 25, 2022 14:48

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Benchmark Brent oil declined on Thursday, while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude remained unchanged, hovering at two-month lows due to uncertainty about the degree to which a proposed G7 restriction on the price of Russian oil would limit supply.


A larger-than-anticipated rise in gasoline inventories in the United States and an expansion of COVID-19 limitations in China also knocked on oil prices.


At 15.15 p.m. ET (2015 GMT), Brent oil prices decreased 29 cents, or 0.3%, to $85.12 per barrel, while U.S. WTI crude futures decreased 2 cents, to $77.96 per barrel.


Due to the Thanksgiving break in the United States, trade volumes were quite low.


The announcement on Wednesday that the expected price ceiling for Russian oil may surpass the current market level triggered a decrease of about 3 percent for both benchmarks.


European Union nations remained divided over what level to cap Russian oil prices to limit Moscow's ability to pay for its battle in Ukraine without causing a global oil supply shock; if positions converge on Friday, more conversations are possible.


A European official claimed that the G7 is discussing a cap of $65-$70 per barrel for Russian oil transported by sea, but European Union member states have not yet reached an agreement on a price.


A higher price ceiling might encourage Russia to continue selling its oil, decreasing the possibility of a global oil supply shortage.


According to two sources, several Indian refiners are discounting Russian Urals crude by between $25 and $35 per barrel compared to the worldwide benchmark Brent oil. Urals is Russia's principal crude export.


Despite the obstacles, Bart Melek, global head of commodities market strategy at TD Securities, is rather optimistic about oil. "The Russian price ceiling is another aspect that contributed to the current price fall," he stated.


The Energy Information Administration (EIA) said on Wednesday that gasoline and distillate inventories in the United States climbed substantially during the previous week. [EIA/S]


In contrast, oil stockpiles decreased by 3.7 million barrels to 431.7 million barrels in the week ending November 18, despite a Reuters survey predicting a reduction of 1.1 million barrels.


China reported the highest daily number of COVID-19 cases since the outbreak began over three years ago on Wednesday. Local officials intensified measures to remove the breakouts, raising investor anxiety over the economy and demand for fuel.