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On April 26, UBS said that the current market thinking is consistent with the banks basic forecast, that is, tariffs will be reduced from the current announced level for the rest of the year, and the Federal Reserve will further cut interest rates this year. However, as uncertainty in trade, economy and Federal Reserve policy remains high, expected volatility also remains high. However, UBS believes that the US stock market is attractive, and the S&P 500 index target continues to be 5,800 points by the end of the year. UBSs current basic forecast is that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 75 to 100 basis points this year, but in the short term, the Feds policy flexibility seems more limited because it must balance concerns about economic growth with the risk of inflation recovery.According to AFP: Senior officials said that Ukrainian President Zelensky and US President Trump may meet in Rome.Spokesman for Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky: Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has arrived in Rome to attend the Popes funeral.According to the Ukrainian National News Agency: Russian troops launched 414 attacks in the Zaporizhia region at night.Market news: Ukrainian President Zelensky and his wife arrived in Rome.

Oil Prices Stabilize as Shanghai's Lockdown is Eased and Russian Output is Reduced

Aria Thomas

Apr 13, 2022 09:27

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Shanghai said more than 7,000 residential units had been designated as lower-risk locations after a 14-day period with no new illnesses. Districts have begun stating which compounds are available for public inspection.


Meanwhile, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) cautioned that it would be hard to replace the 7 million barrels per day (bpd) of Russian oil and other liquids exports that would be lost as a result of sanctions or voluntary measures.


On Monday, Russian oil and gas condensate output dipped below 10 million barrels per day (bpd), the lowest level since July 2020, two individuals familiar with the data said on Tuesday, as trading was impeded by sanctions and logistical restrictions.


According to sources, Russia's average oil production declined more than 6% to 10.32 million barrels per day (bpd) on April 1-11, from 11.01 million in March.


Although the European Union has not yet imposed an embargo on Russian oil, certain foreign ministers have indicated that the possibility is being considered.


"The oil market is susceptible to a huge shock if Russia's energy sector is sanctioned, and that risk remains," stated Edward Moya, a senior market analyst at OANDA.


OPEC dropped its prediction for Russian liquids output in 2022 by 530,000 barrels per day, but maintained its forecast for global oil demand growth, citing the effect of Russia's invasion of Ukraine, rising crude prices, and the recurrence of the epidemic in China.


Indian Oil Corporation (IOC), which previously purchased Russian Urals in bids, has withdrawn the grade from its next crude offer. On Monday, US Vice President Joe Biden informed Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi that purchasing more oil from Russia was not in India's best interests.


Members of the International Energy Agency (IEA) intend to release 240 million barrels over the next six months beginning in May in an attempt to stabilize the market.


While the release will alleviate acute shortages, economists cautioned that it would not address the underlying imbalance, and supplies will need to be replenished.


According to a preliminary Reuters poll, 8849|US crude oil inventories are estimated to have increased by 1.4 million barrels in the week ended April 8, after three consecutive weeks of declines.


The survey was taken ahead of Tuesday's American Petroleum Institute report, which is scheduled to release at 4:30 p.m. EDT (2030 GMT).

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