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Futures News, August 6th: 1. Strong winds and rain are expected in the Philippine Islands. Influenced by the long-distance moisture transport from Typhoon Whale (No. 14) and Typhoon Dolphin (No. 13), along with the southwest monsoon, the central and northern Philippines will experience continuous heavy rainfall. This precipitation event is characterized by its long duration and large cumulative rainfall. Over the next three days, moderate to heavy rain is expected in the central and northern Philippines, with heavy to torrential rain in most parts of Luzon and Mindoro, and locally extremely heavy rain in northwestern Luzon. The cumulative rainfall in these areas is expected to be 80-150 mm, with some areas receiving 180-250 mm, and locally exceeding 300 mm in northwestern Luzon. Gale-force winds of level 6-8, with gusts of level 9-10, are expected in the central and northern Philippines and surrounding waters. In addition, over the next three days, moderate to heavy rain is expected in the central and northern parts of the Indochina Peninsula, northern and southwestern coastal areas of India, and Bangladesh, with localized torrential rain or heavy downpours, accompanied by short-duration heavy precipitation, thunderstorms, and strong winds. 2. High temperatures will persist across many parts of Asia, Europe, and North America. Over the next three days, influenced by a high-pressure ridge, parts of South Korea, southern Japan, southern Mongolia, central and western Southern Europe, eastern Central Europe, southern Eastern Europe, the Midwestern United States, and northern Mexico will experience temperatures above 35°C, with some areas exceeding 40°C. High temperatures in Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, southern Afghanistan, central and southern Pakistan, southern Iran, Iraq, and Saudi Arabia will reach 40-42°C, with some areas exceeding 45°C.US Vice President Vance: There is no disagreement with President Trump on the Iran issue, and we are working to implement his decisions.US Vice President Vance: Energy prices will fall, Iran will not have nuclear weapons, and we will be in a more advantageous position.U.S. Vice President Vance: The Iranians are tough to deal with, but their regime is fractured, and our mission is to achieve the best possible outcome for the American people.Artificial Intelligence: 1. Jeff Dean, a key figure in Googles AI efforts, leaves to found an AI startup. 2. Microsofts latest disclosure shows that its AI revenue primarily comes from OpenAI. 3. Meta launches its first programmable intelligent agent, Muse Code, which can work in conjunction with Muse Spark 1.2. 4. Cloudflare announces the launch of open-source "CloudflareOS": an open platform for AI agents and enterprise work. 5. Metas MUSE SPARK 1.1 model hacked into a companys system and made changes to its internal systems. Integrated Circuits (Chips): 1. Yu Chengdong: High memory prices may lead to large-scale price increases for mobile phones. 2. Reports indicate that Changxin rejected Apples price pressure, insisting on prices no lower than Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix. 3. US media: Anthropic confirms it is building an internal chip team for Claude. 4. After distributing bonuses to employees, Samsung and SK Hynix pledged to increase shareholder returns. 5. SanDisk expects revenue of $10.3 billion to $10.8 billion for the first quarter of fiscal year 2027, compared to market expectations of $10.8 billion. Other: 1. Alibabas 2026 Yunqi Conference is scheduled to be held in Hangzhou from September 22nd to 24th. 2. Nikita Bier announced her resignation as head of the X product line, but will remain with the company as an advisor.

Oil Prices Rise on The Possibility of A Deeper Russian Supply Reduction

Charlie Brooks

Feb 23, 2023 11:56

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Oil prices rose on Thursday as reports suggested that Russia's supply cuts will be larger than previously announced, but markets suffered severe weekly losses due to concerns of rising interest rates.


According to Reuters, Moscow plans to reduce crude exports from its western ports by up to 25 percent in March compared to the previous month in an effort to increase oil prices. The action is anticipated to result in a greater reduction in supply than the 500,000 barrels announced earlier this month.


The supply reductions are a response to price ceilings imposed by the West on Russian crude exports, which Moscow has condemned.


By 21:29 ET, Brent oil futures increased 0.5% to $80.89 per barrel, while West Texas Intermediate crude futures increased 0.5% to $74.28 per barrel (02:29 GMT). This week, both contracts were down roughly 3%.


This week, crude oil prices declined as the dollar strengthened in response to a growing number of wagers that the Federal Reserve will recommence increasing interest rates at a rapid pace next month. The markets are concerned that rising interest rates will restrain economic growth later this year, thereby diminishing oil demand.


The minutes from the Federal Reserve's February meeting revealed that the majority of officials supported additional interest rate hikes. After the meeting, higher-than-anticipated inflation readings could prompt more officials to call for larger rate increases.


Wednesday's industry data indicated that U.S. crude inventories increased by 10 million barrels in the week ending February 17. The reading typically foreshadows a similar trend in data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration, which is anticipated to indicate that U.S. inventories increased for a ninth consecutive week. The data is due Thursday evening.


Increasing U.S. inventories and the planned sale of 26 million barrels from the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve indicate a potential supply surplus in the world's largest oil consumer, which is anticipated to limit any crude price appreciation.


In recent weeks, crude markets have been weighed down by this and concerns of additional Fed-induced demand headwinds.


Later in the day, a second estimate of fourth-quarter U.S. GDP will be released. However, crude markets have reacted negatively to data indicating resilience in the U.S. economy, as it gives the Fed more leeway to continue raising interest rates.