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On May 14, Iranian Foreign Minister Araqchi stated that there is no military solution to the Iranian issue, and the Iranian people will never succumb to any threats or pressure. Araqchi also stated that Iran is prepared to fight to defend its freedom and territory, and is also prepared to continue resolving the issue through diplomatic channels.May 14th - The peak summer grain procurement season for 2026 is about to begin. Recently, ten departments, including the National Development and Reform Commission and the National Food and Strategic Reserves Administration, jointly issued a notice requiring the smooth operation of the 2026 grain procurement work. Through measures such as strengthening the overall organization of grain procurement, reinforcing the implementation of grain procurement policies, and continuously optimizing procurement services, the notice aims to ensure smooth channels for farmers to sell their grain and maintain the stable operation of the grain market. During this years summer grain procurement period, the state will continue to implement the minimum purchase price policy in major producing areas, adhering to a dual-drive approach of "market-led and policy-supported." Central state-owned enterprises such as China Grain Reserves Corporation (Sinograin) and COFCO will take the lead in entering the market and remain actively involved, improving service efficiency through "online appointments + offline procurement" to ensure that "money and warehouses are ready for grain," thus guaranteeing farmers income.Indian government data shows that the fuel price index in the wholesale price index rose 24.71% year-on-year in April.On May 14th, Jozsef Varadi, CEO of European low-cost carrier Wizz Air, stated that despite the impact of the conflict in Iran, the company expects revenue to increase by 2% year-on-year during the crucial summer travel season, thanks to its low fares attracting a large number of passengers and helping to offset the impact of the conflict. Varadi noted, "For the summer peak season, we have not only seen an increase in passenger volume but also observed an increase in revenue." This forecast sends a positive signal at a time when the air travel market is struggling with soaring fuel prices and concerns about declining passenger numbers.Iranian Foreign Minister Araqchi: Tehran calls on BRICS members to unequivocally condemn the aggression against Iran by the United States and Israel.

Investor attention is on the Fed's minutes as recession fears drive the US Dollar Index towards 107.00

Daniel Rogers

Aug 16, 2022 11:47

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The US Dollar Index (DXY) rises for a third day in a row during Tuesday's Asian session, gaining bids to 106.58. Thus, the greenback's signal captures the market's rush for risk-free assets in response to worries about the US and China's economies as well as worries about geopolitics in the Middle East, China, and Russia. It is noteworthy that aggressive Fed remarks and weaker US data enhance market trepidation and help DXY bulls.

 

Despite this, the DXY bulls closely monitor the gloomy statistics coming out of China and the US, particularly in light of the recession fears.

 

In August, the US NY Empire State Manufacturing Index fell from 11.1 in July to 31.3, below market estimates of 8.5. The August NAHB homebuilder confidence index in the US fell from 55 to 49, the lowest level since the start of 2020.

 

In other news, China's retail sales slowed in July to 2.7% YoY from 3.1% earlier and 5.0% forecast, while industrial production (IP) fell to 3.8% from 3.8% previously and 4.0% market estimates. Additionally, in an effort to counter bearishness, the People's Bank of China (PBOC) shocked the markets on Monday by reducing the rates on its medium-term lending facility (MLF) by 10 basis points (bps).

 

It should be emphasized that news stories about deteriorating coronavirus conditions in Shanghai, China's financial center, and the restart of Russian bond trading on Wall Street did not spur investors' desire to take risks. The Wall Street Journal's (WSJ) rumors of a potential meeting between US Vice President Joe Biden and his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping may also encourage investors to take more risks. In a similar vein, Chinese President Xi proposed new efforts to revive the second-largest economy in the world.

 

The Pentagon said on Monday that the US, South Korea, and Japan took part in a missile warning and ballistic missile search and tracking exercise last week off the coast of Hawaii. Between August 22 and September 1, the US and South Korea will collaborate on military drills. The DXY rises as a result of the additional stress that geopolitical worries place on market sentiment.

 

The three-day downtrend in US 10-year Treasury yields is around 2.775%, while S&P 500 Futures are down at least 0.13 percent day-to-day.

 

Moving on, the secondary US housing and activity data released today should be of interest to DXY traders ahead of the release of the FOMC Minutes on Wednesday. The dollar's gauge might remain on the bear's radar if US data keep getting worse.

 

The three-week-old resistance line, which is now support at 106.35, would need to be broken for an extended period of time for DXY bulls to hit the monthly high above 107.00. However, in order to approach July's yearly high close to 109, the bulls need confirmation from late July's peak at 107.45.