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On January 17th, it was reported that the United States is about to formally withdraw from the World Health Organization (WHO), but has yet to pay its outstanding dues. On the 16th local time, WHO spokesperson Lindmeier stated that the US has the right to withdraw from the organization, but only if it pays its outstanding dues. Lindmeier stated that this matter is on the agenda of the upcoming WHO Executive Board meeting, and the WHO Secretariat will take appropriate action based on the Executive Boards recommendations. Lindmeier stated that the US has not yet paid its dues for 2024 and 2025. According to the WHO budget, the total amount of dues owed by the US for 2024 and 2025 is approximately $260 million. US President Trump signed an executive order on January 20th last year announcing the US withdrawal from the WHO. According to the WHO charter, a member state can only formally withdraw one year after submitting a withdrawal application.On January 17, a U.S. federal judge issued a restrictive order on the actions of U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) in Minneapolis, Minnesota, after protesters accused the agency of widespread abuse of force and violations of constitutional rights. U.S. District Judge Kathleen issued a temporary restraining order restricting ICE personnel from deploying chemical irritants into crowds and explicitly prohibiting retaliatory action by law enforcement officers against protesters exercising their freedom of speech.1. According to the Financial Times: Nvidia suppliers have suspended production of key components for the H200 chip. 2. Nvidia corrected errors in its technical paper, significantly reducing its copper usage in data centers. 3. The Ministry of Commerce confirmed that Canada will reduce tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles within the quota to 6.1%, and will no longer impose a 100% surcharge. 4. my countrys research on liquid metal flexible electronics manufacturing has made progress, showing application prospects in aerospace intelligent systems and other fields. 5. Under the pressure of rising storage prices, Xiaomi, OPPO, vivo, and Transsion have reportedly lowered their 2026 full-year smartphone shipment forecasts. 6. WeRides global Robotaxi fleet has exceeded 1,000 vehicles, achieving fully unmanned operation in Guangzhou and Beijing. 7. my countrys research on liquid metal flexible electronics manufacturing has made progress, showing application prospects in aerospace intelligent systems and other fields. 8. The static ignition test of the Long March 12B carrier rocket was a complete success: reusable, with a 20-ton-class low-Earth orbit carrying capacity. 9. According to sources, Ford Motor Company is in talks with BYD to supply batteries for its overseas factories hybrid vehicles. 10. The US government is pushing tech giants to pay for electricity used by AI, allowing tech companies to bid for 15-year power generation contracts for new power plants.1. Russia claims all foreign troops within Ukraine are considered legitimate targets. 2. Zelensky: Ukraines air defense missile stockpile is critically low. 3. Zelensky: The Ukrainian delegation will meet with US representatives in the US soon. 4. Ukraine and the US will hold a new round of talks in Miami this weekend. 5. Zelensky: If an agreement is reached, the documents can be signed in Davos. 6. French President Macron calls for an increase of €36 billion in military spending by 2030. 7. Kremlin: Russia is in dialogue with the US, but not with Europeans. Russia is looking forward to Kushner and Witkov visiting Moscow, but a specific date has not yet been set.January 17th - On January 16th local time, the United States is accelerating the expansion of Chevrons oil production license in Venezuela. U.S. Energy Secretary Chris Wright stated that the U.S. is completing the relevant authorization "as quickly as possible." Wright said that under the proposed new licensing arrangement, Chevron will be allowed to pay the Venezuelan government in cash, instead of paying with crude oil in kind. This adjustment will allow Chevron to sell all of its crude oil production in Venezuela. Analysts point out that expanding the license will significantly improve Chevrons commercial flexibility in Venezuela and also reflects the latest policy direction of the U.S. on Venezuelan energy issues.

Investor attention is on the Fed's minutes as recession fears drive the US Dollar Index towards 107.00

Daniel Rogers

Aug 16, 2022 11:47

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The US Dollar Index (DXY) rises for a third day in a row during Tuesday's Asian session, gaining bids to 106.58. Thus, the greenback's signal captures the market's rush for risk-free assets in response to worries about the US and China's economies as well as worries about geopolitics in the Middle East, China, and Russia. It is noteworthy that aggressive Fed remarks and weaker US data enhance market trepidation and help DXY bulls.

 

Despite this, the DXY bulls closely monitor the gloomy statistics coming out of China and the US, particularly in light of the recession fears.

 

In August, the US NY Empire State Manufacturing Index fell from 11.1 in July to 31.3, below market estimates of 8.5. The August NAHB homebuilder confidence index in the US fell from 55 to 49, the lowest level since the start of 2020.

 

In other news, China's retail sales slowed in July to 2.7% YoY from 3.1% earlier and 5.0% forecast, while industrial production (IP) fell to 3.8% from 3.8% previously and 4.0% market estimates. Additionally, in an effort to counter bearishness, the People's Bank of China (PBOC) shocked the markets on Monday by reducing the rates on its medium-term lending facility (MLF) by 10 basis points (bps).

 

It should be emphasized that news stories about deteriorating coronavirus conditions in Shanghai, China's financial center, and the restart of Russian bond trading on Wall Street did not spur investors' desire to take risks. The Wall Street Journal's (WSJ) rumors of a potential meeting between US Vice President Joe Biden and his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping may also encourage investors to take more risks. In a similar vein, Chinese President Xi proposed new efforts to revive the second-largest economy in the world.

 

The Pentagon said on Monday that the US, South Korea, and Japan took part in a missile warning and ballistic missile search and tracking exercise last week off the coast of Hawaii. Between August 22 and September 1, the US and South Korea will collaborate on military drills. The DXY rises as a result of the additional stress that geopolitical worries place on market sentiment.

 

The three-day downtrend in US 10-year Treasury yields is around 2.775%, while S&P 500 Futures are down at least 0.13 percent day-to-day.

 

Moving on, the secondary US housing and activity data released today should be of interest to DXY traders ahead of the release of the FOMC Minutes on Wednesday. The dollar's gauge might remain on the bear's radar if US data keep getting worse.

 

The three-week-old resistance line, which is now support at 106.35, would need to be broken for an extended period of time for DXY bulls to hit the monthly high above 107.00. However, in order to approach July's yearly high close to 109, the bulls need confirmation from late July's peak at 107.45.


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