• English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
According to EuroPravda, the Czech president stated that the goal of supplying Ukraine with 1.8 million rounds of large-caliber ammunition this year has been achieved.Iranian media reported that 18 crew members of a foreign oil tanker seized in the Gulf of Oman have been detained on suspicion of transporting "smuggled fuel."On December 13th, Han Wenxiu, Deputy Director of the Central Financial and Economic Affairs Commission and Director of the Central Rural Work Leading Group Office, stated that to ensure the success of next years economic work, it is essential to adhere to the principle of seeking progress while maintaining stability, improving quality and efficiency, strengthening counter-cyclical and cross-cyclical adjustments, and effectively enhancing the efficiency of macroeconomic governance. Since the Politburo meeting on September 26th last year, a series of policies and measures have been introduced and implemented, and additional policies will be introduced and implemented next year based on changes in the situation. It is crucial to leverage the integrated effect of existing and new policies to promote steady and positive economic growth. The market economy is largely an expectation economy; therefore, it is necessary to improve the expectation management mechanism, conduct effective economic publicity and public opinion guidance, respond promptly to market concerns, and effectively boost social confidence.On December 13th, it was reported that an EU official stated on the 12th that Ukraines accession to the EU before 2027 is "absolutely impossible." According to reports, a European diplomat said that Ukraines accession to the EU before 2027 is "extremely difficult," and it is unclear whether EU leaders support this plan. Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán stated on the 8th that the EUs admission of Ukraine would be tantamount to declaring war on Russia, and that the EU is preparing for war with 2030 as the target date.On December 13, Venezuelan President Maduro stated that the United States usual tactics of lying, coercion, extortion, and threats are "completely ineffective" and "will never work" against Venezuela, following the recent seizure of an oil tanker in waters near Venezuela and the announcement of new sanctions.

In anticipation of UK Retail Sales, the British Pound falls to a new monthly low near 1.1900

Daniel Rogers

Aug 19, 2022 12:01

 截屏2022-08-19 上午10.37.38.png

 

On Friday's Asian session, the pound to dollar exchange rate (GBP/USD) accepted offers to reaffirm its monthly bottom at 1.1905, falling for a third consecutive day on concerns about the UK economy, aggressive Fedspeak, and upbeat US data.

 

Bloomberg reports that Indonesian President Joko Widodo has invited Chinese President Xi Jinping and Russian President Vladimir Putin to the Group of 20 Summit in Bali later this year. Recent market movement in favor of the US dollar may have this explanation. This was the first time the leader of the world's fourth-most populous nation had announced that both of them will be attending the November conference, according to the news.

 

August's record low for the GfK Consumer Sentiment Index in the United Kingdom was even lower than July's record low of -41. Following the release of the data, Reuters said, "British consumers are experiencing a'sense of aggravation' about the growing cost of living, according to the country's longest-running research of household finances.

 

British employment and inflation figures were reported earlier in the week, but this did not help the GBP/USD as the strong US economy and aggressive Fed talk encouraged pair bears.

 

Weekly Initial Jobless Claims declined to 250K from 265K market consensus and 254K correction, whilst the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey for August rose to 6.2 from -5 expected and -12.3 before.

 

The Fed will keep raising interest rates to "right-size" the economy, according to Mary Daly, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco. The policymaker indicated that a move of 50 basis points or 75 basis points would be acceptable for the September rate decision. But Neel Kashkari of the Minneapolis Federal Reserve reportedly does not think a recession is happening in the country at the moment. President of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis and self-proclaimed "lifelong hawk" James Bullard is considering a further rate hike of 75 basis points in September. According to Reuters, investors expect a hike to a range of 3.50–3.75 percent by March of next year, based on trade in futures contracts related to the Fed's policy rate. As a result, the Federal Reserve target rate is between 2.25 and 2.50 percent as of right now.

 

Finally, Wall Street ended with a lackluster performance, putting pressure on S&P 500 Futures, while US 10-year Treasury rates rebounded from their previous day's drop from the monthly high to 2.891% as of press time.

 

For new guidance, GBP/USD traders will focus on August UK Retail Sales, which are predicted to be -3.3% YoY compared to -5.8% in July.