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The yield on the two-year U.S. Treasury note fell to a six-month low of 3.6550% and was last at 3.6611%.On April 4, local time on April 3, U.S. Secretary of Health and Human Services Robert Kennedy Jr. said that about 20% of the layoffs in the Department of Government Efficiency were wrong and needed to be corrected. The U.S. Department of Health and Human Services laid off about 10,000 people on the 1st. Kennedy said that people who should not have been laid off were laid off, and the department is restoring their positions. Kennedy said that canceling the entire lead poisoning prevention and monitoring department of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention was one of the mistakes. At present, it is unclear what other projects Kennedy may plan to restore.Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda: Will consider the impact of food costs on consumers.On April 4, local time on the 3rd, the automobile company Stellantis said that due to the impact of the US import automobile tariff policy, the company decided to lay off 900 employees in its five US factories and suspend production operations at two assembly plants in Canada and Mexico. Antonio Filosa, Chief Operating Officer of Stellantis Americas, said that the US factories that were laid off were powertrain and stamping parts factories, which produced spare parts for two assembly plants in Canada and Mexico. According to the plan, the assembly plant in Canada will stop production for two weeks, and the assembly plant in Toluca, Mexico will suspend production throughout April. Filosa said the company is "continuing to evaluate the medium- and long-term impact of tariffs on operations."Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda: Non-weather factors may push up food prices.

Hurdles lie in wait for GBP/USD near 1.1500; focus is on US Retail Sales

Alina Haynes

Sep 15, 2022 11:50

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The GBP/USD pair is slightly higher after bouncing off 1.1526 during the late New York session. The pair is expected to move in a narrow range as investors wait for the release of U.S. Retail Sales data. After re-testing a low of 1.1480 twice on Wednesday, the asset's overall price rose sharply. The market's expectation of an increase in the United Kingdom's inflation rate was disproven, which boosted the bullishness of the pound.

 

United Kingdom headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) came in at 9.9%, which was below both the forecast of 10.2% and the prior data of 10.1%. Even though the economy is suffering greatly from skyrocketing energy costs, policymakers at the Bank of England (BOE) are ecstatic by the recent drop in headline CPI. With this negative number, the British economy can finally breathe a sigh of relief. Formerly, market experts estimated that inflation in the pound zone would hit 13%-14%. Therefore, it would be incorrect to identify the situation as a "depletion of pricing pressure."

 

Following a meteoric ascent, the value of the US dollar index (DXY) has leveled off. The market has begun pricing in a 1% rate hike at the Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting in September, thus the DXY is likely to remain at high levels (Fed). Though it has tightened monetary policy over the previous six months, the Federal Reserve is once again in a neutral position. The Fed has reason to be concerned because the actual reading on core CPI, at 6.3%, was higher than expectations of 6.2%.

 

Data on US retail sales will be the main focus of today's trading session. Preliminary reports indicate there has been no uptick in retail demand. Stagnant consumer demand is a bad sign for the economy since it indicates a decline in consumer confidence.

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