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January 30th - A depreciating dollar could cause trouble for Trump and the Federal Reserve. A significant depreciation of the dollar could put the US at risk of effectively "importing" inflation. Joe Kalish, chief macro strategist at Ned Davis Research, wrote, "Trumps disregard for the dollar could backfire, undermining his economic plans and causing Republicans to lose their majority in the House." On Wednesday, Powell stated that the Fed would not discuss the dollar, adding that "the Treasury is the one that regulates the currency." Ironically, however, if inflation worsens, it might be the Feds actions that help defend the dollar. Further inflation caused by a continued dollar depreciation could prevent the Fed from lowering interest rates as Trump desires, and could even lead to rate hikes.On January 30th, the Japanese government released data on the 29th showing that, driven by soaring rice prices in the domestic market, Japans private rice imports in 2025 are projected to increase more than 90 times compared to the previous year. Data from the Ministry of Finance shows that private rice imports in Japan last year reached approximately 96,800 tons, the highest since comparable data became available in 2000, roughly 95 times the import volume in 2024. The largest source of rice imports was the United States, accounting for nearly 80%. By month, July saw the highest import volume, exceeding 26,000 tons. Over the past year, Japanese rice prices have surged, repeatedly breaking records. Data from Japanese supermarket rice price monitoring shows that in the week ending January 18th, the average price of a 5kg bag of rice was 4,283 yen (approximately 194 yuan), exceeding the previous weeks average price and remaining above 4,000 yen (181 yuan) for 20 consecutive weeks.January 30th - An explosion occurred at the Tupraş Izmit oil refinery in Kocaeli Province, northwestern Turkey, on the evening of January 29th local time. The explosion took place in a gasoline storage tank area of the refinery, subsequently triggering a large fire. Thick smoke billowed from the scene, flames were visible several kilometers away, and strong tremors were felt, causing panic among local residents. Following the incident, the refinery immediately activated its emergency response plan. For safety reasons, a large number of refinery employees were evacuated. Currently, local fire and safety rescue teams are working to extinguish the fire, and the situation remains under control.January 30th - According to sources in Israel, as US President Trump "is about to make a decision on action against Iran," Israeli security agencies have recently significantly enhanced their defensive and offensive preparedness, closely monitoring regional developments and focusing on how to provide timely warnings to the public in the event of an Iranian attack. On the same day, senior IDF officials and security officials held their weekly situation assessment meeting, with the Iranian issue being a key focus of discussion. Israeli security officials stated that, given President Trumps recent statements and the increased US military presence in the Middle East, the US appears unwilling to allow the status quo regarding Iran to continue. Israel believes Trump may seek larger-scale action, and the Pentagon has developed related plans, with US Central Command continuing to increase troop deployments to the Middle East. An Israeli official stated that the US and Israeli militaries are maintaining coordination.According to Punchbowl, Republican senators plan a potential vote tonight to finalize the appropriations package and the Department of Homeland Securitys temporary funding bill—a sign that an agreement is imminent. While far from certain, this is undoubtedly a positive sign. It requires the cooperation of all 100 senators. An amendment vote will likely be necessary.

High Mortgage Rates Force First-time Buyers to Rent, According to Rightmove

Aria Thomas

Nov 25, 2022 14:27

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The property website Rightmove (OTC:RTMVY) said on Friday that the demand for rental homes in the United Kingdom surged in October as prospective first-time buyers postponed their purchases owing to rising mortgage rates.


However, the total number of renters and purchasers on the market declined by 1% compared to the same period previous year.


In recent months, mortgage rates in the United Kingdom have risen beyond 6%, increasing after the "mini-budget" of former prime minister Liz Truss on September 23 rattled financial markets.


Since then, rates have fallen due to Jeremy Hunt's Autumn Statement, which guaranteed stamp duty reductions through March 31, 2025.


According to Britain's largest property marketplace, first-time buyers have been significantly impacted by the hike, prompting them to consider renting in the near future while they await the inevitable stability of mortgage rates.


Tim Bannister, a property expert at Rightmove, commented, "It is very understandable why some buyers, especially first-time buyers, are waiting for better financial stability."


Now that there are indicators that mortgage rates are stabilizing, it is probable that they will settle at a higher level than buyers in the past have experienced.


42% of prospective first-time buyers who intend to enter the property market over the next several years have already amassed their entire down payment while awaiting a reduction in interest rates. 43% more were engaged in savings.


Tenants are already facing a large increase in expenses owing to the rising costs of electricity, fuel, food, and council tax, which are reflected in the statistics.


As a result of the highest rate of inflation in 41 years, real wages are decreasing, placing incomes under the most severe pressure in decades.