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On November 26, US President Donald Trump stated that he does not want to extend Obamacare subsidies, following media reports that he was preparing a healthcare policy framework to extend Affordable Care Act (ACAD) premium subsidies for another two years. Trump, traveling aboard Air Force One to Florida for the Thanksgiving holiday, addressed reporters on board, making it clear that he opposes this move and conceding to Republican lawmakers who disagree with the measure.A Reuters survey of stock market strategists on November 26th indicates that the S&P 500 is projected to rise approximately 12% from current levels by the end of 2026, driven by a healthy U.S. economy, strong performance from technology companies, and the Federal Reserves continued accommodative monetary policy. The median forecast from the November 14-25 survey of over 45 strategists, analysts, and portfolio managers projects the S&P 500 will close at 7490 points in 2026, an 11.7% increase from current levels. A higher close in 2025 would mark the fourth consecutive year of gains for the benchmark index. Of the 14 respondents who answered supplementary questions, 8 believed a pullback in the S&P 500 was more likely in the next three months. Analysts cited potential inflation and uncertainty surrounding interest rate cuts as risks to the overall optimistic forecast. The survey also predicts the Dow Jones Industrial Average will close at 50,566 points next year, a more than 7% increase from current levels; the index closed at 47,112.45 points on Tuesday.Kioxia Holdings shares fell 11% in Japan.According to a Reuters survey, the S&P 500 is expected to reach 7,490 points by the end of 2026, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average is expected to reach 50,566 points by the end of 2026.US President Trump: (Regarding healthcare policy) I do not want to extend subsidies.

U.S. Treasury Interest Rates Decline As Fed Minutes Indicate Slower Rate Hikes

Charlie Brooks

Nov 24, 2022 14:13

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Following the release of the minutes from the Federal Reserve's most recent policy meeting, global markets increased and U.S. Treasury yields fell on Wednesday. The minutes indicated that U.S. central bankers want to decrease the rate of interest rate increases in the near future.


According to the meeting minutes, a "substantial majority" of Fed policymakers agreed that it would "likely be prudent" to suspend the rate of interest rate rises in the near future. In light of recent economic data, traders predicted that the Fed minutes would reaffirm officials' softening stance.


According to data issued by the U.S. Department of Labor on Wednesday, last week's first claims for unemployment insurance increased more than anticipated. According to the flash U.S. Composite PMI Output Index from S&P Global (NYSE:SPGI), business activity in the United States dropped for the fifth consecutive month in November.


"I believed that there were no true surprises. They appear to continue to underline that inflation risks remain significant and that recent data has been more stable than expected "Jordan Kahn, chief investment officer at ACM Funds in Los Angeles, stated.


"People will be thrilled to learn that a number of respondents emphasized the need to control the rate of interest rate hikes. Prior to the release of these minutes, the market had already priced in a 50 basis point rate rise for December, and the chance of a 50 basis point hike on the Fed futures market was approximately 70% "Kahn noted.


The MSCI All Country Index rose 0.85%, while European equities rose 0.6%.


After the Fed's minutes were released, Treasury rates declined. The yield on benchmark 10-year notes fell to 3.6908 percent, while rates on 2-year notes dipped to 4.4773 percent.


The yield curve comparing these two bonds remained in negative territory at -76.30 basis points. When this component of the curve inverts, a recession is anticipated.


Kahn continued, "The Fed has been rising interest rates by 75 basis points, a rate that was just unsustainable."


Wall Street's three major indexes finished higher, led by gains in the technology, discretionary consumer goods, communications, healthcare, and industrial sectors.


The Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped 0.28 percent to 34,194.06, while the S&P 500 rose 0.59 percent to 4,027.26 and the Nasdaq Composite rose 0.99 percent to 11,285.32.


As the Group of Seven (G7) nations discussed a price ceiling on Russian oil above the current market level and as gasoline stocks in the United States expanded faster than analysts had predicted, oil prices fell by more than 3 percent.


Brent futures for delivery in January lost 3.3% to $85.41 per barrel, while U.S. oil slid 4.36 % to $77.42 per barrel.


Following the release of the Fed's minutes, the U.S. dollar plummeted across the board. The dollar index fell 0.915%, while the euro rose 0.9% to $1.0395 per euro.


The value of gold increased as the U.S. dollar fell. Spot gold jumped by 0.5% to $1,749.40 per ounce, whilst U.S. gold futures advanced by 0.6% to $1,749.70 per ounce.