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July 12th - The clearing out of securities brokers may be accelerating. Industry sources indicate varying degrees of enforcement regarding broker elimination. Some local bureaus emphasize standardized elimination processes but lack a unified timetable; regulators will subsequently review the compliance of these processes. Data shows that the number of brokers in the securities industry has decreased by nearly 12,000 since 2025. As early as 2024, regulators conveyed that securities firms should adapt to the transformation towards wealth management and gradually eliminate brokers. Currently, some leading securities firms have largely completed this process, while smaller firms still have a significant number of brokers. Some securities firms have stated that they will accelerate the elimination process by combining leading practices, regulatory guidance, and industry trends, but will adopt a stable approach, such as not renewing contracts upon expiration and performance-based layoffs. They will also simultaneously adjust traditional commission-dependent models to align with the wealth management transformation. During the elimination process, qualified brokers can be transferred to formal positions such as wealth managers or investment advisors. Regarding potential customer attrition, industry insiders believe that given the overall industry is in a broker elimination phase, the overall impact of customer loss will be minimal, with only some regions potentially experiencing minor disruptions.Iraqi government spokesperson: The Iraqi prime minister will sign several oil and gas memorandums of understanding during his visit to Washington.Iraqi government spokesperson: The Iraqi prime minister will travel to Washington on Monday.According to a Wall Street Journal survey, the probability of a U.S. recession has fallen to 25%, down from 33% in April.According to a Wall Street Journal survey, economists expect U.S. GDP to grow by 2.1% this year, up from 2% in the April survey.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU/USD bears at $1,650 on Fed hawkishness and China news

Daniel Rogers

Sep 19, 2022 14:34

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During early Monday morning in Europe, the gold price (XAU/USD) maintains a position close to the intraday low at $1,670. In doing so, metal prices endure the weight of a stronger U.S. dollar amidst a sluggish session caused by Japanese and British vacations. The cause may be related to the Fed's hawkish bets and China-related news stories.

 

US Dollar Index (DXY) reverses a two-day slump while posting intraday gains of 0.18 percent at 109.85 as of press time. Indicators of the U.S. dollar's value versus the six major currencies have recently been buoyed by the University of Michigan's September consumer sentiment report and the market's positive expectations on the Fed's next move. Consequently, the probability of a 75-basis-point (bps) rate hike by the Federal Reserve increased to 80%, while the market's estimates of a one-percentage-point increase in the Fed rate rose to 20% at the latest.

 

US President Biden stated elsewhere, "I'm more positive than I've been in a long time." The national leader also claimed that inflation will be brought under control. On the same line are the covid updates from China, which have unlocked Dalian and Chengdu while observing zero coronavirus cases in Beijing and one, as opposed to zero the day before, outside of Shanghai's quarantine zone. However, US President Biden's willingness to support Taiwan in the event that China assaults Taiwan and hawkish expectations for the Federal Reserve appear to weigh on the steel price ahead of the major monetary policy pronouncements.

 

In addition, the People's Bank of China (PBOC) reduces the 14-day reverse repo rate by 10 basis points to 2.15 percent. "With no maturing reverse repos on Monday, the Chinese central bank injects 12 billion yuan," reports Reuters. The same might have indicated that the dragon nation is not in recovery mode and requires more rate cuts than rate raises, which could have caused the gold price to plummet. The cause is China's position as one of the world's largest gold consumers.

 

In light of this, the S&P 500 Futures post modest losses while mirroring Wall Street's Friday close. Notably, the selling in Japan curbs bond movements in Asia, but yields are robust near the multi-day high due to fears of a recession and hawkish Fed views.

 

Moving forward, a light economic calendar and important market holidays may limit intraday XAU/USD price fluctuations. However, bears are expected to maintain control because to aggressive Fed expectations, which, if dashed, might defy the bearish chart pattern and spark the long-awaited rally.

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