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On April 19, local time, the South Korean National Security Office held an emergency security briefing regarding North Koreas ballistic missile launch. According to the South Korean Joint Chiefs of Staff, North Korea launched several unidentified ballistic missiles from the Sinpo area into the East Sea (Sea of Japan) at approximately 6:10 AM. North Korea has not yet responded.UN Secretary-General António Guterres strongly condemns Saturdays attack on the UN Interim Force in Lebanon, which resulted in the death of a French peacekeeper and injuries to three others.On April 19th, Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Ghalibaf posted on social media, stating, "In the third war imposed upon us, we have undoubtedly surpassed our past capabilities in offensive strategy and design, a fact already proven on the battlefield." Ghalibaf claimed that Iran shot down approximately 180 drones, a capability it lacked previously. The downing of the F-35 was not accidental, but rather a comprehensive operation at the technological and design levels, from which the enemy has recognized Irans capabilities and direction. He emphasized that Iran is not militarily stronger than the United States, which possesses more resources, equipment, and experience, and Israel, as its proxy, is also very powerful. However, Iran successfully repelled its enemies through asymmetric warfare design and preparation. While the enemy has money and resources, it has repeatedly made mistakes in strategic decision-making and military design. Ghalibaf also criticized the US government for claiming "America First," but in reality prioritizing Israel and making decisions based on false information from Israel.April 19 – Asian Development Bank President Masato Kanda stated that the yen could face further pressure if the market perceives the Bank of Japan as too slow to address inflation risks. Kanda, a former top foreign exchange diplomat for Japan, told reporters Friday evening that investors are buying dollars during periods of global tension, partly because the US is an oil exporter, but even if these positions are unwound, the yen is unlikely to appreciate significantly against the dollar. He said, “The biggest reason is the interest rate differential. With the market particularly focused on potential actions by the Federal Reserve, if many believe the Bank of Japan will lag behind the curve in addressing inflation risks, the yen will be left behind.” Speaking in Washington this week at meetings of the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank Group, Kanda added that investors might also sell yen if they are concerned about Japan’s fiscal sustainability.The China Earthquake Networks Center officially reported that a magnitude 3.4 earthquake occurred at 05:27 on April 19 in Ando County, Nagqu City, Tibet (32.62 degrees north latitude, 90.36 degrees east longitude), with a focal depth of 10 kilometers.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU/USD bears at $1,650 on Fed hawkishness and China news

Daniel Rogers

Sep 19, 2022 14:34

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During early Monday morning in Europe, the gold price (XAU/USD) maintains a position close to the intraday low at $1,670. In doing so, metal prices endure the weight of a stronger U.S. dollar amidst a sluggish session caused by Japanese and British vacations. The cause may be related to the Fed's hawkish bets and China-related news stories.

 

US Dollar Index (DXY) reverses a two-day slump while posting intraday gains of 0.18 percent at 109.85 as of press time. Indicators of the U.S. dollar's value versus the six major currencies have recently been buoyed by the University of Michigan's September consumer sentiment report and the market's positive expectations on the Fed's next move. Consequently, the probability of a 75-basis-point (bps) rate hike by the Federal Reserve increased to 80%, while the market's estimates of a one-percentage-point increase in the Fed rate rose to 20% at the latest.

 

US President Biden stated elsewhere, "I'm more positive than I've been in a long time." The national leader also claimed that inflation will be brought under control. On the same line are the covid updates from China, which have unlocked Dalian and Chengdu while observing zero coronavirus cases in Beijing and one, as opposed to zero the day before, outside of Shanghai's quarantine zone. However, US President Biden's willingness to support Taiwan in the event that China assaults Taiwan and hawkish expectations for the Federal Reserve appear to weigh on the steel price ahead of the major monetary policy pronouncements.

 

In addition, the People's Bank of China (PBOC) reduces the 14-day reverse repo rate by 10 basis points to 2.15 percent. "With no maturing reverse repos on Monday, the Chinese central bank injects 12 billion yuan," reports Reuters. The same might have indicated that the dragon nation is not in recovery mode and requires more rate cuts than rate raises, which could have caused the gold price to plummet. The cause is China's position as one of the world's largest gold consumers.

 

In light of this, the S&P 500 Futures post modest losses while mirroring Wall Street's Friday close. Notably, the selling in Japan curbs bond movements in Asia, but yields are robust near the multi-day high due to fears of a recession and hawkish Fed views.

 

Moving forward, a light economic calendar and important market holidays may limit intraday XAU/USD price fluctuations. However, bears are expected to maintain control because to aggressive Fed expectations, which, if dashed, might defy the bearish chart pattern and spark the long-awaited rally.

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