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On July 26, Australian Prime Minister Barnes stated that he would raise the issue of tariffs with US President Trump. This comes after Washington imposed new tariffs on trading partners, including Australia. The Labor government, led by Barnes, has called the tariffs unreasonable and expressed its desire for their removal. When asked if he would discuss the issue with Trump, Barnes replied, "Of course." "We will raise this issue at all levels of the Australia-US relationship, and in fact, we have already done so."July 26 – According to Politico, as the US-Iran conflict continues, Arab countries suffering retaliatory attacks from Tehran are attempting to unite and find a path to peace. However, long-standing contradictions are hindering this process. In recent weeks, senior officials from the UAE and Saudi Arabia have publicly posed for photos together, demonstrating a thaw in relations; Jordan and six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) have also held talks at the US State Department and Capitol Hill; and the GCC has issued several joint statements condemning Irans attacks. However, several Arab diplomats, current and former US officials, and people familiar with the regional situation say that while these countries all want to ensure the Strait of Hormuz remains open, their differing priorities in how to achieve this goal are hindering substantial progress. These differences include a series of conflicting interests, such as which countries possess alternative shipping lanes, which countries have the deepest infrastructure ties with Iran, and which countrys economy will suffer the greatest losses in the current crisis. An Iraqi official stated, "They are working together to visit the U.S. Congress and the State Department to coordinate their messaging. But they are not on the same page." The Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC), comprised of Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE, already had numerous internal divisions before the current conflict, and the war with Iran is further amplifying these contradictions. "They have many issues to resolve, and this war has exacerbated the existing divisions in the Gulf region," said David Schenker, former U.S. State Department director for Middle East affairs.July 26 - Queensland, Australia, confirmed a case of highly pathogenic H5N1 avian influenza on July 25. This is the fourth state in the country to confirm a case of H5N1 avian influenza since June.July 26 - Japanese media reported on the 25th that the temperature in Mie Prefecture in central Japan reached 40.2 degrees Celsius that afternoon. This marks the fifth consecutive day that Japan has experienced temperatures above 40 degrees Celsius, setting a new record for the longest such streak since records began in 2010.The Korea Automobile and Mobility Industry Association (KAMA) predicts that domestic car sales in South Korea will increase by 2.7% year-on-year in the second half of the year, reaching 865,000 vehicles, with total sales for the year reaching 1.71 million vehicles.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU/USD bears at $1,650 on Fed hawkishness and China news

Daniel Rogers

Sep 19, 2022 14:34

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During early Monday morning in Europe, the gold price (XAU/USD) maintains a position close to the intraday low at $1,670. In doing so, metal prices endure the weight of a stronger U.S. dollar amidst a sluggish session caused by Japanese and British vacations. The cause may be related to the Fed's hawkish bets and China-related news stories.

 

US Dollar Index (DXY) reverses a two-day slump while posting intraday gains of 0.18 percent at 109.85 as of press time. Indicators of the U.S. dollar's value versus the six major currencies have recently been buoyed by the University of Michigan's September consumer sentiment report and the market's positive expectations on the Fed's next move. Consequently, the probability of a 75-basis-point (bps) rate hike by the Federal Reserve increased to 80%, while the market's estimates of a one-percentage-point increase in the Fed rate rose to 20% at the latest.

 

US President Biden stated elsewhere, "I'm more positive than I've been in a long time." The national leader also claimed that inflation will be brought under control. On the same line are the covid updates from China, which have unlocked Dalian and Chengdu while observing zero coronavirus cases in Beijing and one, as opposed to zero the day before, outside of Shanghai's quarantine zone. However, US President Biden's willingness to support Taiwan in the event that China assaults Taiwan and hawkish expectations for the Federal Reserve appear to weigh on the steel price ahead of the major monetary policy pronouncements.

 

In addition, the People's Bank of China (PBOC) reduces the 14-day reverse repo rate by 10 basis points to 2.15 percent. "With no maturing reverse repos on Monday, the Chinese central bank injects 12 billion yuan," reports Reuters. The same might have indicated that the dragon nation is not in recovery mode and requires more rate cuts than rate raises, which could have caused the gold price to plummet. The cause is China's position as one of the world's largest gold consumers.

 

In light of this, the S&P 500 Futures post modest losses while mirroring Wall Street's Friday close. Notably, the selling in Japan curbs bond movements in Asia, but yields are robust near the multi-day high due to fears of a recession and hawkish Fed views.

 

Moving forward, a light economic calendar and important market holidays may limit intraday XAU/USD price fluctuations. However, bears are expected to maintain control because to aggressive Fed expectations, which, if dashed, might defy the bearish chart pattern and spark the long-awaited rally.

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