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Futures News, June 25th - According to foreign media reports, Malaysian crude palm oil futures on the Bursa Malaysia Derivatives Exchange (BMD) are likely to open lower on Thursday morning, following the decline in external markets. International crude oil futures fell further as more tankers departed the Strait of Hormuz, easing supply concerns and pushing Brent crude futures to their lowest level in four months on Wednesday. Brent crude futures fell further in electronic trading on Thursday, coupled with a lower close in Chicago soybean oil, which will drag down the early performance of Malaysian crude palm oil futures. A stronger ringgit is also bearish for the palm oil market, as it weakens the export competitiveness of Malaysian palm oil. However, improved demand for Malaysian palm oil exports and the potential impact of El Niño weather on Asian palm oil production will help limit the price decline. Shipping surveyors said on Monday that Malaysian palm oil exports from June 1st to 20th increased by 19.1% to 25% month-on-month.The U.S. Geological Survey predicts that the earthquake in Venezuela could cause significant casualties and widespread damage.June 25 (Futures News) – According to foreign media reports, Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) soybean futures closed lower on Wednesday, with the benchmark contract down 0.7%, marking the third decline in the past four trading days. This was mainly due to the plunge in international crude oil futures, with speculative funds continuing to sell. International crude oil fell by more than $3 per ton on Wednesday, closing at its lowest level in four months, as market concerns about supply eased as more tankers left the Strait of Hormuz. Soybean futures are typically influenced by crude oil movements because soybeans are a key feedstock for biofuel production. Generally favorable weather conditions in the U.S. Midwest, which are conducive to early crop growth, continued to weigh on the soybean market and encouraged speculative funds to continue selling.On June 25th, according to foreign media reports, soybean meal futures on the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) closed mixed on Wednesday, with the benchmark contract closing down 0.4%, following the downward trend in neighboring soybean and soybean oil markets. Favorable weather conditions in U.S. soybean producing regions and a clear production outlook continued to pressure the soybean and soybean product markets. The sharp drop in international crude oil futures also negatively impacted the soybean and soybean product markets. The U.S. Department of Agriculture will release its weekly export sales report on Thursday. Analysts expect net U.S. soybean meal export sales for the week ending June 18, 2026, to be between 200,000 and 550,000 tons. In comparison, the previous weeks net sales for U.S. soybean meal in the 2025/26 marketing year were 283,900 tons, and net sales for the 2026/27 marketing year were 120,200 tons.June 25 (Futures News) – According to foreign media reports, soybean oil futures on the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) closed lower on Wednesday, with the benchmark contract down 1.3%, following the downward trend in the international crude oil market. Crude oil prices fell by more than $3, reaching levels seen before the Iran-Iraq War, as supply concerns eased as more tankers stranded in the Strait of Hormuz departed. U.S. crude oil futures prices fell below $70 per barrel, hitting their lowest level since March 2. The soybean oil futures market typically follows crude oil trends because soybean oil is a feedstock for biofuels.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU/USD bears at $1,650 on Fed hawkishness and China news

Daniel Rogers

Sep 19, 2022 14:34

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During early Monday morning in Europe, the gold price (XAU/USD) maintains a position close to the intraday low at $1,670. In doing so, metal prices endure the weight of a stronger U.S. dollar amidst a sluggish session caused by Japanese and British vacations. The cause may be related to the Fed's hawkish bets and China-related news stories.

 

US Dollar Index (DXY) reverses a two-day slump while posting intraday gains of 0.18 percent at 109.85 as of press time. Indicators of the U.S. dollar's value versus the six major currencies have recently been buoyed by the University of Michigan's September consumer sentiment report and the market's positive expectations on the Fed's next move. Consequently, the probability of a 75-basis-point (bps) rate hike by the Federal Reserve increased to 80%, while the market's estimates of a one-percentage-point increase in the Fed rate rose to 20% at the latest.

 

US President Biden stated elsewhere, "I'm more positive than I've been in a long time." The national leader also claimed that inflation will be brought under control. On the same line are the covid updates from China, which have unlocked Dalian and Chengdu while observing zero coronavirus cases in Beijing and one, as opposed to zero the day before, outside of Shanghai's quarantine zone. However, US President Biden's willingness to support Taiwan in the event that China assaults Taiwan and hawkish expectations for the Federal Reserve appear to weigh on the steel price ahead of the major monetary policy pronouncements.

 

In addition, the People's Bank of China (PBOC) reduces the 14-day reverse repo rate by 10 basis points to 2.15 percent. "With no maturing reverse repos on Monday, the Chinese central bank injects 12 billion yuan," reports Reuters. The same might have indicated that the dragon nation is not in recovery mode and requires more rate cuts than rate raises, which could have caused the gold price to plummet. The cause is China's position as one of the world's largest gold consumers.

 

In light of this, the S&P 500 Futures post modest losses while mirroring Wall Street's Friday close. Notably, the selling in Japan curbs bond movements in Asia, but yields are robust near the multi-day high due to fears of a recession and hawkish Fed views.

 

Moving forward, a light economic calendar and important market holidays may limit intraday XAU/USD price fluctuations. However, bears are expected to maintain control because to aggressive Fed expectations, which, if dashed, might defy the bearish chart pattern and spark the long-awaited rally.

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