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According to a Reuters poll, all 12 economists surveyed expect the Hungarian central bank to cut its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to 5.75% on July 21.July 17th - Eurozone inflation cooled slightly in June, remaining unchanged from the preliminary reading. Overall inflation was -0.1% month-on-month, primarily driven by a decline in energy price inflation (-1.8%). Looking at the breakdown, further cooling of energy prices led to a continued decline in overall year-on-year inflation, with the energy price inflation rate falling from 10.8% in May to 8.5% in June. Meanwhile, food and service price inflation also slowed further. The food price inflation rate fell from 1.9% in May to 1.5% in June, while the service price inflation rate fell from 3.5% to 3.2%. Overall, this pushed core inflation further lower. In summary, the inflation situation did not worsen in June, allowing the European Central Bank greater policy flexibility during the summer and more time to observe before deciding on its next monetary policy move. The current risk lies in the possibility that renewed tensions in the Middle East could trigger a new round of increases in oil and gas prices, further pushing up price pressures during the summer. In the longer term, this also increases the risk of a potential "second-round effect."Investment bank Evercore ISI lowered its target price for Netflix (NFLX.O) from $115 to $100.On July 17th, at the 2026 World Artificial Intelligence Conference and High-Level Meeting on Global Governance of Artificial Intelligence held in Shanghai, the "Global Artificial Intelligence Innovation Index Report 2026" was released. Regarding global AI development trends, the report shows that AI infrastructure continues to expand, with energy supply becoming a new variable for future development; the focus of large-scale model industrialization is shifting from general-purpose to vertical, from training to inference, and from single-point technology applications to the reshaping of the entire business process, with enterprises exhibiting significant heavy asset investment; global AI governance faces urgent needs, and China is promoting global governance and inclusive cooperation from multiple dimensions.On July 17th, JD.com announced that it will invest over 10 billion yuan annually to pay for the five social insurances and one housing fund for its full-time delivery riders and couriers. It is understood that JD.com has already provided 28,000 housing units for its frontline employees through various means, and will invest another 22 billion yuan over the next five years to supply 150,000 new "Service Workers Homes." Currently, JD.coms "Service Workers Homes" have been established in Beijing, Wuhan, Chengdu, and other cities.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU/USD bears at $1,650 on Fed hawkishness and China news

Daniel Rogers

Sep 19, 2022 14:34

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During early Monday morning in Europe, the gold price (XAU/USD) maintains a position close to the intraday low at $1,670. In doing so, metal prices endure the weight of a stronger U.S. dollar amidst a sluggish session caused by Japanese and British vacations. The cause may be related to the Fed's hawkish bets and China-related news stories.

 

US Dollar Index (DXY) reverses a two-day slump while posting intraday gains of 0.18 percent at 109.85 as of press time. Indicators of the U.S. dollar's value versus the six major currencies have recently been buoyed by the University of Michigan's September consumer sentiment report and the market's positive expectations on the Fed's next move. Consequently, the probability of a 75-basis-point (bps) rate hike by the Federal Reserve increased to 80%, while the market's estimates of a one-percentage-point increase in the Fed rate rose to 20% at the latest.

 

US President Biden stated elsewhere, "I'm more positive than I've been in a long time." The national leader also claimed that inflation will be brought under control. On the same line are the covid updates from China, which have unlocked Dalian and Chengdu while observing zero coronavirus cases in Beijing and one, as opposed to zero the day before, outside of Shanghai's quarantine zone. However, US President Biden's willingness to support Taiwan in the event that China assaults Taiwan and hawkish expectations for the Federal Reserve appear to weigh on the steel price ahead of the major monetary policy pronouncements.

 

In addition, the People's Bank of China (PBOC) reduces the 14-day reverse repo rate by 10 basis points to 2.15 percent. "With no maturing reverse repos on Monday, the Chinese central bank injects 12 billion yuan," reports Reuters. The same might have indicated that the dragon nation is not in recovery mode and requires more rate cuts than rate raises, which could have caused the gold price to plummet. The cause is China's position as one of the world's largest gold consumers.

 

In light of this, the S&P 500 Futures post modest losses while mirroring Wall Street's Friday close. Notably, the selling in Japan curbs bond movements in Asia, but yields are robust near the multi-day high due to fears of a recession and hawkish Fed views.

 

Moving forward, a light economic calendar and important market holidays may limit intraday XAU/USD price fluctuations. However, bears are expected to maintain control because to aggressive Fed expectations, which, if dashed, might defy the bearish chart pattern and spark the long-awaited rally.

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