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On August 5th, the Shanghai Headquarters of the Peoples Bank of China (PBOC) held its 2026 second-half work conference on August 4th. The conference emphasized that the PBOC Shanghai Headquarters should earnestly implement the moderately loose monetary policy and actively encourage financial institutions to tap into effective credit demand. It should make good use of various structural monetary policy tools. It should implement the "Five Major Articles" (1+N) series of financial policies. It should promote the continued effectiveness of the "Technology Board" in the bond market in Shanghai. It should steadily deepen financial reform and opening up, and build a sound foreign exchange management system. It should implement new policies on high-level opening up of cross-border trade and investment financing, overseas lending, and overseas listing. It should enhance the exchange rate hedging capabilities of SMEs. It should coordinate the promotion of cross-border finance and offshore finance, and accelerate the implementation and effectiveness of the comprehensive reform pilot program for offshore business financial services. It should promote the application of digital RMB scenarios and the construction of its ecosystem. It should continue to carry out local legislation in the financial field. It should continuously improve the systemic risk prevention and mitigation mechanism. It should strengthen the crackdown on illegal financial activities. It should continuously improve the macro-prudential management mechanism framework. It should comprehensively improve the level of cross-border financial risk monitoring.August 5th - According to a report on the Nikkei Asian Review website on August 5th, debris from a SpaceX Falcon 9 rocket is about to impact the moon. The report states that debris from the rocket will impact the lunar surface on August 5th, creating the largest man-made crater ever recorded, approximately 27 meters in diameter. This will help explore the lunar environment and establish corresponding safety measures before large-scale manned lunar landings and the construction of lunar bases. The impact is expected to occur around 3:35 PM Japan time (2:35 PM Beijing time) on August 5th, near the Einstein crater on the western side of the moon, with an impact velocity of approximately 2.4 kilometers per second. The impact will create a crater approximately 27 meters in diameter and 5 meters deep, ejecting a large amount of sharp gravel and rock into the surrounding area. The impact energy is equivalent to 3 tons of TNT, enough to destroy a large building.Russia says the attack damaged three ships near Odessa.As of August 5, the Reserve Bank of Indias reverse repo rate was 3.35%, unchanged from the previous rate.The Russian Ministry of Defense stated that the facilities were used for military purposes.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU/USD bears at $1,650 on Fed hawkishness and China news

Daniel Rogers

Sep 19, 2022 14:34

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During early Monday morning in Europe, the gold price (XAU/USD) maintains a position close to the intraday low at $1,670. In doing so, metal prices endure the weight of a stronger U.S. dollar amidst a sluggish session caused by Japanese and British vacations. The cause may be related to the Fed's hawkish bets and China-related news stories.

 

US Dollar Index (DXY) reverses a two-day slump while posting intraday gains of 0.18 percent at 109.85 as of press time. Indicators of the U.S. dollar's value versus the six major currencies have recently been buoyed by the University of Michigan's September consumer sentiment report and the market's positive expectations on the Fed's next move. Consequently, the probability of a 75-basis-point (bps) rate hike by the Federal Reserve increased to 80%, while the market's estimates of a one-percentage-point increase in the Fed rate rose to 20% at the latest.

 

US President Biden stated elsewhere, "I'm more positive than I've been in a long time." The national leader also claimed that inflation will be brought under control. On the same line are the covid updates from China, which have unlocked Dalian and Chengdu while observing zero coronavirus cases in Beijing and one, as opposed to zero the day before, outside of Shanghai's quarantine zone. However, US President Biden's willingness to support Taiwan in the event that China assaults Taiwan and hawkish expectations for the Federal Reserve appear to weigh on the steel price ahead of the major monetary policy pronouncements.

 

In addition, the People's Bank of China (PBOC) reduces the 14-day reverse repo rate by 10 basis points to 2.15 percent. "With no maturing reverse repos on Monday, the Chinese central bank injects 12 billion yuan," reports Reuters. The same might have indicated that the dragon nation is not in recovery mode and requires more rate cuts than rate raises, which could have caused the gold price to plummet. The cause is China's position as one of the world's largest gold consumers.

 

In light of this, the S&P 500 Futures post modest losses while mirroring Wall Street's Friday close. Notably, the selling in Japan curbs bond movements in Asia, but yields are robust near the multi-day high due to fears of a recession and hawkish Fed views.

 

Moving forward, a light economic calendar and important market holidays may limit intraday XAU/USD price fluctuations. However, bears are expected to maintain control because to aggressive Fed expectations, which, if dashed, might defy the bearish chart pattern and spark the long-awaited rally.

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