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Rengo, Japans largest labor union, said on Friday that Japanese companies have agreed to wage increases of more than 5% for the third consecutive year, indicating that continued wage growth is gradually becoming a stabilizing trend supporting the worlds fourth-largest economy. The union, which has 7 million members, said the final results of the annual labor-management negotiations showed that Japanese companies agreed to an average wage increase of 5.01% this year. The average wage increase for Japanese companies was 5.25% last year and 5.10% the year before. Kazutaka Maeda, an economist at Meiji Yasuda Research Institute, said that the positive outcome of the labor-management negotiations, coupled with the positive turn in real wage growth in recent months, "should boost consumer spending and strengthen the case for the Bank of Japan to continue its gradual interest rate hike path." Analysts expect that robust corporate profits and a severe labor shortage will maintain the upward trend in wages, with many predicting similar wage increases next year.GFZ (German Center for Geosciences): A 6.25-magnitude earthquake struck Sakhalin Island.S&P Global: UK services sector business activity fell by the largest drop in nearly three and a half years in June. New orders fell for the fourth consecutive month, and input cost inflation slowed to its lowest level since March.According to the Iranian Students News Agency, Irans chief negotiator, Karibaf, stated that Iran will reinstate appropriate measures if the United States and Israel fail to fulfill their commitments.The Bank of Englands policy committee stated that businesses expect wage growth to rise 0.1 percentage point to 3.5% in the three months to June, compared to 3.4% in the three months to May.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU/USD bears at $1,650 on Fed hawkishness and China news

Daniel Rogers

Sep 19, 2022 14:34

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During early Monday morning in Europe, the gold price (XAU/USD) maintains a position close to the intraday low at $1,670. In doing so, metal prices endure the weight of a stronger U.S. dollar amidst a sluggish session caused by Japanese and British vacations. The cause may be related to the Fed's hawkish bets and China-related news stories.

 

US Dollar Index (DXY) reverses a two-day slump while posting intraday gains of 0.18 percent at 109.85 as of press time. Indicators of the U.S. dollar's value versus the six major currencies have recently been buoyed by the University of Michigan's September consumer sentiment report and the market's positive expectations on the Fed's next move. Consequently, the probability of a 75-basis-point (bps) rate hike by the Federal Reserve increased to 80%, while the market's estimates of a one-percentage-point increase in the Fed rate rose to 20% at the latest.

 

US President Biden stated elsewhere, "I'm more positive than I've been in a long time." The national leader also claimed that inflation will be brought under control. On the same line are the covid updates from China, which have unlocked Dalian and Chengdu while observing zero coronavirus cases in Beijing and one, as opposed to zero the day before, outside of Shanghai's quarantine zone. However, US President Biden's willingness to support Taiwan in the event that China assaults Taiwan and hawkish expectations for the Federal Reserve appear to weigh on the steel price ahead of the major monetary policy pronouncements.

 

In addition, the People's Bank of China (PBOC) reduces the 14-day reverse repo rate by 10 basis points to 2.15 percent. "With no maturing reverse repos on Monday, the Chinese central bank injects 12 billion yuan," reports Reuters. The same might have indicated that the dragon nation is not in recovery mode and requires more rate cuts than rate raises, which could have caused the gold price to plummet. The cause is China's position as one of the world's largest gold consumers.

 

In light of this, the S&P 500 Futures post modest losses while mirroring Wall Street's Friday close. Notably, the selling in Japan curbs bond movements in Asia, but yields are robust near the multi-day high due to fears of a recession and hawkish Fed views.

 

Moving forward, a light economic calendar and important market holidays may limit intraday XAU/USD price fluctuations. However, bears are expected to maintain control because to aggressive Fed expectations, which, if dashed, might defy the bearish chart pattern and spark the long-awaited rally.

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