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Pakistans Foreign Minister: Like the Swiss Foreign Minister, Pakistan hopes that the efforts of the United States and Iran will promote regional peace and stability.On June 13, European Central Bank Governing Council member and Bundesbank President Jean-Claude Nagel stated in an interview with German radio that even if the war with Iran ends quickly, prices may remain high for a longer period. Nagel said, "We may not even be able to return to the data levels we were based on before the conflict, because supply chains have clearly changed, and risk premiums may have increased." He was referring to the premiums that might be required for transporting goods through the Strait of Hormuz. Nagel stated, "I almost doubt we will ever return to the state before this regional conflict." The world "may continue to be affected by uncertainties and changes beyond the conflict." He indicated that interest rate hikes in the short term would make "refinancing" more expensive. "But in the long run, by clearly defining price stability as part of (economic health), we are making the greatest contribution to the economy."On June 13, the Argentine Ministry of Health announced that no rodents carrying the hantavirus had been found in Mendoza Province in western Argentina. From June 8 to 12, a team of experts from the Carlos Malfurion Institute of the National Institute of Laboratories and Health of Argentina and the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention conducted a hantavirus investigation in Mendoza Province. The team set traps to capture rodents such as the long-tailed dwarf rice rat to confirm the spread of the hantavirus in the area. The Argentine Ministry of Health stated in its report released on June 12 that no rodents carrying the hantavirus were found.Market news: Indias pollution regulator has found that Tata Groups iPhone component factory has contaminated groundwater in nearby farmland.Market news: Irans Chief Justice stated that the confrontation between Tehran and the United States and its allies will not end, and warned people not to trust Washington on the occasion of the 12-day war anniversary.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU/USD bears at $1,650 on Fed hawkishness and China news

Daniel Rogers

Sep 19, 2022 14:34

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During early Monday morning in Europe, the gold price (XAU/USD) maintains a position close to the intraday low at $1,670. In doing so, metal prices endure the weight of a stronger U.S. dollar amidst a sluggish session caused by Japanese and British vacations. The cause may be related to the Fed's hawkish bets and China-related news stories.

 

US Dollar Index (DXY) reverses a two-day slump while posting intraday gains of 0.18 percent at 109.85 as of press time. Indicators of the U.S. dollar's value versus the six major currencies have recently been buoyed by the University of Michigan's September consumer sentiment report and the market's positive expectations on the Fed's next move. Consequently, the probability of a 75-basis-point (bps) rate hike by the Federal Reserve increased to 80%, while the market's estimates of a one-percentage-point increase in the Fed rate rose to 20% at the latest.

 

US President Biden stated elsewhere, "I'm more positive than I've been in a long time." The national leader also claimed that inflation will be brought under control. On the same line are the covid updates from China, which have unlocked Dalian and Chengdu while observing zero coronavirus cases in Beijing and one, as opposed to zero the day before, outside of Shanghai's quarantine zone. However, US President Biden's willingness to support Taiwan in the event that China assaults Taiwan and hawkish expectations for the Federal Reserve appear to weigh on the steel price ahead of the major monetary policy pronouncements.

 

In addition, the People's Bank of China (PBOC) reduces the 14-day reverse repo rate by 10 basis points to 2.15 percent. "With no maturing reverse repos on Monday, the Chinese central bank injects 12 billion yuan," reports Reuters. The same might have indicated that the dragon nation is not in recovery mode and requires more rate cuts than rate raises, which could have caused the gold price to plummet. The cause is China's position as one of the world's largest gold consumers.

 

In light of this, the S&P 500 Futures post modest losses while mirroring Wall Street's Friday close. Notably, the selling in Japan curbs bond movements in Asia, but yields are robust near the multi-day high due to fears of a recession and hawkish Fed views.

 

Moving forward, a light economic calendar and important market holidays may limit intraday XAU/USD price fluctuations. However, bears are expected to maintain control because to aggressive Fed expectations, which, if dashed, might defy the bearish chart pattern and spark the long-awaited rally.

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