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On August 30th, Finnish President Alexander Stubb stated on Saturday that he does not believe Russia will attack NATO, "the worlds most powerful military alliance." However, in an interview with the German newspaper Bild, he said NATO should "prepare for the worst to prevent it from happening." Stubb pointed out that Russia has lost more soldiers than it recruited and judged that Russia may mobilize more troops in the fall, although this move would have "domestic political implications." He said Moscow is in an "increasingly complex situation," but emphasized that Russia will not end the conflict due to an economic downturn. He stated, "Never underestimate how much economic hardship the Russians can withstand."On August 30th, Yonhap News Agency reported that US President Trumps financial disclosures revealed he traded shares of e-commerce giant Coupang Inc. twice in June through a fund manager. Meanwhile, tensions between the US and South Korea continue to escalate over South Koreas regulatory handling of the massive data breach at the US-listed e-commerce giant. In July, the US House Judiciary Committee released a temporary staff report accusing the South Korean government of carrying out a "discriminatory attack" against Coupang and all other US companies, stating that Coupang has been a "consistently targeted entity."On August 30, Iraqi Prime Ministers Security Advisor Qassem Araji stated in a recent interview with Al Jazeera that Iraq maintains "good relations" with both Iran and the United States and seeks to act as a "bridge" for communication among all parties to reach an agreement that safeguards the interests of the entire region. He added that Iran has emphasized the necessity of eliminating extremist groups within Iraq.On August 30th, SK Hynix CEO Guo Luzheng stated that the company remains open to further investment in the US semiconductor industry, while predicting that the global memory chip shortage will continue until the end of 2030. "We are always open to more investment, but no decisions have been made yet," Guo Luzheng said. He stated that SK Hynix is searching globally for potential sites that can meet its R&D and testing needs, noting that electricity, water resources, and government incentives are key considerations. Guo Luzheng said, "We are open to any location that can provide sufficient infrastructure and resources." He also expressed hope that the company will bring "more good news" to the US artificial intelligence industry in the future.Iraqi Prime Ministers Security Advisor Qassem Araj: Iraq seeks to become a "bridge" between Iran and the United States.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU/USD bears at $1,650 on Fed hawkishness and China news

Daniel Rogers

Sep 19, 2022 14:34

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During early Monday morning in Europe, the gold price (XAU/USD) maintains a position close to the intraday low at $1,670. In doing so, metal prices endure the weight of a stronger U.S. dollar amidst a sluggish session caused by Japanese and British vacations. The cause may be related to the Fed's hawkish bets and China-related news stories.

 

US Dollar Index (DXY) reverses a two-day slump while posting intraday gains of 0.18 percent at 109.85 as of press time. Indicators of the U.S. dollar's value versus the six major currencies have recently been buoyed by the University of Michigan's September consumer sentiment report and the market's positive expectations on the Fed's next move. Consequently, the probability of a 75-basis-point (bps) rate hike by the Federal Reserve increased to 80%, while the market's estimates of a one-percentage-point increase in the Fed rate rose to 20% at the latest.

 

US President Biden stated elsewhere, "I'm more positive than I've been in a long time." The national leader also claimed that inflation will be brought under control. On the same line are the covid updates from China, which have unlocked Dalian and Chengdu while observing zero coronavirus cases in Beijing and one, as opposed to zero the day before, outside of Shanghai's quarantine zone. However, US President Biden's willingness to support Taiwan in the event that China assaults Taiwan and hawkish expectations for the Federal Reserve appear to weigh on the steel price ahead of the major monetary policy pronouncements.

 

In addition, the People's Bank of China (PBOC) reduces the 14-day reverse repo rate by 10 basis points to 2.15 percent. "With no maturing reverse repos on Monday, the Chinese central bank injects 12 billion yuan," reports Reuters. The same might have indicated that the dragon nation is not in recovery mode and requires more rate cuts than rate raises, which could have caused the gold price to plummet. The cause is China's position as one of the world's largest gold consumers.

 

In light of this, the S&P 500 Futures post modest losses while mirroring Wall Street's Friday close. Notably, the selling in Japan curbs bond movements in Asia, but yields are robust near the multi-day high due to fears of a recession and hawkish Fed views.

 

Moving forward, a light economic calendar and important market holidays may limit intraday XAU/USD price fluctuations. However, bears are expected to maintain control because to aggressive Fed expectations, which, if dashed, might defy the bearish chart pattern and spark the long-awaited rally.

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