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On August 18th, the Ministry of Commerce and eight other departments issued an opinion on further stimulating the vitality of lower-tier markets and boosting consumption in county-level areas. The opinion mentions improving the quality and efficiency of financial services. It guides financial institutions to optimize financial services for the consumption sector in lower-tier markets and strengthens financial support for eligible consumer commercial facilities projects. It supports eligible wholesale, retail, and service enterprises in issuing bonds and listing on the stock exchange. Eligible commercial and trade enterprises that open new chain stores in county-level areas can apply for entrepreneurial guaranteed loans and receive interest subsidies.On August 18th, nine departments, including the Ministry of Commerce, issued an opinion on further stimulating the vitality of lower-tier markets and boosting consumption in county-level areas. The opinion mentions expanding the supply of high-quality, reasonably priced goods. It encourages enterprises to actively introduce high-quality products into county-level markets, simultaneously launching new products in eligible counties, and promoting the sharing of the same quality and products between urban and rural areas. It guides enterprises to develop high-quality products that meet the consumption characteristics of county-level areas and supports commercial and trade enterprises in building flexible supply chains based on "own brands + demand-driven production." It also strongly supports the promotion of new energy vehicles, green and intelligent products, and green building materials in rural areas, and expands the coverage of rural charging facilities.With no substantial progress in the Middle East situation, will crude oil prices continue their slightly bullish trend in the short term? A quick overview of the pre-market crude oil prices (converted between domestic and international markets) in one chart.On August 18th, nine departments, including the Ministry of Commerce, issued an opinion on further stimulating the vitality of lower-tier markets and boosting consumption in county-level areas. The opinion mentions developing emerging business models tailored to local conditions. It encourages qualified regions to develop virtual reality, immersive experiences, and "artificial intelligence + consumption," and promotes green consumption models such as secondhand trading and commodity leasing. It also calls for deepening the implementation of a special action to promote healthy consumption and innovating consumption chains that integrate primary, secondary, and tertiary industries.Weak US consumer data led to a slight rebound in precious metals. A quick chart shows the pre-market prices of gold and silver, converted between domestic and international markets.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU/USD bears at $1,650 on Fed hawkishness and China news

Daniel Rogers

Sep 19, 2022 14:34

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During early Monday morning in Europe, the gold price (XAU/USD) maintains a position close to the intraday low at $1,670. In doing so, metal prices endure the weight of a stronger U.S. dollar amidst a sluggish session caused by Japanese and British vacations. The cause may be related to the Fed's hawkish bets and China-related news stories.

 

US Dollar Index (DXY) reverses a two-day slump while posting intraday gains of 0.18 percent at 109.85 as of press time. Indicators of the U.S. dollar's value versus the six major currencies have recently been buoyed by the University of Michigan's September consumer sentiment report and the market's positive expectations on the Fed's next move. Consequently, the probability of a 75-basis-point (bps) rate hike by the Federal Reserve increased to 80%, while the market's estimates of a one-percentage-point increase in the Fed rate rose to 20% at the latest.

 

US President Biden stated elsewhere, "I'm more positive than I've been in a long time." The national leader also claimed that inflation will be brought under control. On the same line are the covid updates from China, which have unlocked Dalian and Chengdu while observing zero coronavirus cases in Beijing and one, as opposed to zero the day before, outside of Shanghai's quarantine zone. However, US President Biden's willingness to support Taiwan in the event that China assaults Taiwan and hawkish expectations for the Federal Reserve appear to weigh on the steel price ahead of the major monetary policy pronouncements.

 

In addition, the People's Bank of China (PBOC) reduces the 14-day reverse repo rate by 10 basis points to 2.15 percent. "With no maturing reverse repos on Monday, the Chinese central bank injects 12 billion yuan," reports Reuters. The same might have indicated that the dragon nation is not in recovery mode and requires more rate cuts than rate raises, which could have caused the gold price to plummet. The cause is China's position as one of the world's largest gold consumers.

 

In light of this, the S&P 500 Futures post modest losses while mirroring Wall Street's Friday close. Notably, the selling in Japan curbs bond movements in Asia, but yields are robust near the multi-day high due to fears of a recession and hawkish Fed views.

 

Moving forward, a light economic calendar and important market holidays may limit intraday XAU/USD price fluctuations. However, bears are expected to maintain control because to aggressive Fed expectations, which, if dashed, might defy the bearish chart pattern and spark the long-awaited rally.

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