EUR/USD 1.14799
0.199%
Gold 4155.53
-1.272%
Oil 76.425
1.330%
USD/JPY 161.243
-0.085%
GBP/USD 1.32361
0.242%
GBP/JPY 213.427
0.168%
Browse More
  • English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
According to Axios: US President Trump said that such a thing (about war with Iran) could trigger a global depression, and the agreement reached has averted that fate.On June 20th, Federal Reserve Vice Chairman for Supervision Bowman attended a private dinner hosted by Bank of America for its clients in New York on Wednesday evening. According to sources, the dinner was by invitation only. This came just hours after the Federal Reserve announced its latest policy decision. The dinner took place during the Feds communication blackout period, which prohibits Fed officials from publicly commenting on the economic situation or monetary policy in the days before and after a meeting, and lasts until the day after the meeting (Thursday). While the Feds rules do not explicitly prohibit closed-door meetings, they require officials to avoid sharing personal policy views with anyone who might financially benefit from them, unless those views are publicly available. The rules also state that officials should not allow any company to gain a prestige advantage relative to its competitors. Under the Feds communication policy, policymakers should carefully and rigorously consider this principle when arranging meetings with those who might benefit from exclusive access to Fed officials, and when considering accepting invitations to meetings hosted by for-profit organizations or not open to the public and media. It is unclear whether Bowmans attendance at the dinner violated these rules.Intercontinental Exchange (ICE): As of the week ending June 16, speculative net long positions in gasoline futures increased by 7,006 contracts to 60,810 contracts.Iraqs Ministry of Oil: Southern oil fields are expected to recover to production levels of more than 3 million barrels per day within one to two months.Federal Housing Finance Agency Director Pulte: Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac currently have strong liquidity.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU/USD bears at $1,650 on Fed hawkishness and China news

Daniel Rogers

Sep 19, 2022 14:34

 161.png

 

During early Monday morning in Europe, the gold price (XAU/USD) maintains a position close to the intraday low at $1,670. In doing so, metal prices endure the weight of a stronger U.S. dollar amidst a sluggish session caused by Japanese and British vacations. The cause may be related to the Fed's hawkish bets and China-related news stories.

 

US Dollar Index (DXY) reverses a two-day slump while posting intraday gains of 0.18 percent at 109.85 as of press time. Indicators of the U.S. dollar's value versus the six major currencies have recently been buoyed by the University of Michigan's September consumer sentiment report and the market's positive expectations on the Fed's next move. Consequently, the probability of a 75-basis-point (bps) rate hike by the Federal Reserve increased to 80%, while the market's estimates of a one-percentage-point increase in the Fed rate rose to 20% at the latest.

 

US President Biden stated elsewhere, "I'm more positive than I've been in a long time." The national leader also claimed that inflation will be brought under control. On the same line are the covid updates from China, which have unlocked Dalian and Chengdu while observing zero coronavirus cases in Beijing and one, as opposed to zero the day before, outside of Shanghai's quarantine zone. However, US President Biden's willingness to support Taiwan in the event that China assaults Taiwan and hawkish expectations for the Federal Reserve appear to weigh on the steel price ahead of the major monetary policy pronouncements.

 

In addition, the People's Bank of China (PBOC) reduces the 14-day reverse repo rate by 10 basis points to 2.15 percent. "With no maturing reverse repos on Monday, the Chinese central bank injects 12 billion yuan," reports Reuters. The same might have indicated that the dragon nation is not in recovery mode and requires more rate cuts than rate raises, which could have caused the gold price to plummet. The cause is China's position as one of the world's largest gold consumers.

 

In light of this, the S&P 500 Futures post modest losses while mirroring Wall Street's Friday close. Notably, the selling in Japan curbs bond movements in Asia, but yields are robust near the multi-day high due to fears of a recession and hawkish Fed views.

 

Moving forward, a light economic calendar and important market holidays may limit intraday XAU/USD price fluctuations. However, bears are expected to maintain control because to aggressive Fed expectations, which, if dashed, might defy the bearish chart pattern and spark the long-awaited rally.

Suggestion