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February 7th - Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy posted a message on the 7th local time, stating that he received a briefing from the Ukrainian negotiating team following their talks with the US and Russia. The Ukrainian negotiating team provided him with a detailed overview of the progress of the negotiations. He stated that Ukraine needs to achieve substantial results, and one of the most important foundations for a peaceful resolution is effective security guarantees.February 7th - While the control dispute at Nexperia remains unresolved, another Chinese acquisition of a British chip company is attracting increasing attention. February 7th was the deadline set by the UK government for the mandatory sale of the FTDI acquisition, subject to national security review. This overseas acquisition by China, completed in 2021, is now entering its final countdown to mandatory sale. Back in November 2024, the UK government formally notified the Chinese consortium that it must transfer all its shares in Future Technology Devices International Limited (FTDI), a UK USB bridge chip company, by the stipulated time. The UK cited the National Security and Investments Act (NSIA), which came into effect in 2022, citing "potential threats to national security." An industry insider stated that the Chinese consortium has been trying to secure more time. The latest extension application is still awaiting a response from the UK, and based on past experience, there is still a certain probability of the extension being approved.February 7th - It was learned from the Ministry of Water Resources that, in order to further improve the construction, operation, and management mechanisms of major water conservancy projects, the Ministry of Water Resources and the National Development and Reform Commission recently issued the "Implementation Opinions on Improving the Construction, Operation, and Management Mechanisms of Major Water Conservancy Projects." Major water conservancy projects are important infrastructure for promoting high-quality economic and social development, playing a crucial supporting role in ensuring flood control, water supply, food security, and ecological security. The opinions are divided into four parts: general requirements, improving the high-quality construction mechanism, improving the high-level operation mechanism, and improving the high-efficiency management mechanism. The opinions require that, focusing on the national water network construction goals of "complete systems, safety and reliability, intensive and efficient, green and intelligent, smooth circulation, and orderly regulation," the government should guide and the market should participate, coordinating "hard investment" and "soft construction," improving the construction and operation mechanism of projects with clear responsibilities, diversified investment, and a focus on both quality and efficiency, and forming a comprehensive, data-driven, and efficient management and guarantee system to achieve high-quality construction, high-level operation, and high-efficiency management of major water conservancy projects.Algeria plans to cancel its air services agreement with the United Arab Emirates.February 7th - A Beijing Municipal Market Supervision Work Conference was held on February 7th. The conference revealed that this years focus will be on investigating and punishing monopolistic practices in public utilities and the platform economy, as well as addressing prominent issues such as unfair competition online.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU / USD corrects to around $1,910 despite intensifying concerns of a global banking crisis

Alina Haynes

Mar 16, 2023 14:00

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After reaching a new six-week high at $1,937.39, the gold price (XAU/USD) displayed a corrective move during the Asian session. As gold's allure is extremely strong amid growing concerns about the global banking crisis, a correction in the precious metal appears to be short-lived. Credit Suisse's debacle following the failure of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) has triggered the risk of global financial instability, and uncertainty over the Federal Reserve's (Fed) upcoming interest rate decision has bolstered the case for the Gold price.

 

S&P500 futures have shown a recovery move following Wednesday's sell-off as investors assess the banking sector's uncertainty. However, the motif of risk aversion has not yet completely subsided.

 

During the Asian session, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is fluctuating in a narrow range of around 104.60. It appears that the impact of banking sector turmoil is maturing for the USD Index, and investors are beginning to discount expectations for next week's monetary policy. According to the CME FedWatch instrument, the probability that Fed chair Jerome Powell will raise interest rates by 25 basis points (bps) has risen above 70%. While 30% of the probabilities support maintaining the current interest rate policy.

 

Increasing odds of a status quo monetary policy are supported by a declining Consumer Price Index (CPI), a rising Unemployment Rate, sluggish Retail Sales, and a declining Producer Price Index (PPI).