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On January 7th, former French Prime Minister Dominique de Villepin stated that any US attack on Greenland would cross a red line for Europe. This followed the White Houses declaration that President Donald Trump did not rule out the possibility of using force to seize the semi-autonomous Danish territory. He added that any US aggression would be "unprecedented," as it would be tantamount to the most powerful nation within NATO attacking another member of the military alliance. Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen stated earlier this week that a Trump attack on Greenland would mean the end of NATO. Trump has long argued that the US must control Greenland to ensure its own security.On January 7th, S&P Global Market Intelligence economist Diego Iscaro stated in a report that the Eurozones December inflation data is unlikely to change the European Central Banks (ECB) established policy. The inflation rate fell to 2.0% from 2.1% in November, reaching the ECBs target. He noted, "We still expect the ECB to keep interest rates unchanged for the foreseeable future." Iscaro explained that this is especially true given that the services sector inflation rate remains high at 3.4%, and January data will be released before next months meeting. He believes, "Lower inflation is good news for Eurozone households, although its positive impact may be limited by slower wage growth."January 7th - Bets on artificial intelligence companies have dominated the U.S. stock market over the past three years, driving a 78% gain. Now, a growing number of investors are betting that this rally, led by the "Big Seven" tech giants, is coming to an end. "I call it AI fatigue," said Ed Yardeni, president and chief investment strategist at Yardeni Research. "Im tired of it, and I suspect a lot of others are cautious about the whole thing." This shift, though subtle, has been ongoing since the S&P 500 hit a record high in late October, triggering a sell-off in November. Bloombergs Big Seven index has fallen 2% from October 29th to Mondays close, while the S&P 493 has risen 1.8%. Doug Peta, chief U.S. investment strategist at BCA Research, believes the AI trade still has room to rise, despite concerns about unsustainable capital expenditures and overvaluation. Meanwhile, AI investors are becoming more discerning. The once-common trading pattern of rising prices for anything even remotely related to AI has fractured, with former AI darlings like Oracle suffering heavy losses.January 7th - Ghanas annual inflation rate has slowed to its lowest level since 2002, giving the countrys central bank room to cut interest rates again at its meeting later this month. As the worlds second-largest cocoa producer and Africas largest gold producer, Ghanas easing inflationary pressures are attributed to the strengthening of the cedivia driven by rising gold prices. Price increases have fallen sharply from 23.5% at the beginning of 2025 and returned to the central banks target range of 6% to 10% in September. The Central Bank of Ghana predicts that price pressures will continue to ease in 2026, strengthening market expectations for a fourth consecutive interest rate cut from the current 18% level on January 28th.On January 7th, Zhenxin Technology announced that, according to a notice issued by the Military Procurement Network on January 6th, 2026, the Joint Staff Department of the Western Theater Command, in accordance with relevant regulations on military supplier management, has decided to ban Chengdu Guoxing Communication Co., Ltd., a subsidiary of Chengdu Zhenxin Technology Co., Ltd., from participating in material and engineering service procurement activities within the Western Theater Command for three years, effective January 6th, 2026. An investigation confirmed that Guoxing Communication engaged in bid rigging and other irregularities in the procurement activity for project number 2020-ZCWDDK-W1002. Currently, the company and its subsidiarys overall production and operation activities are normal. During the ban period, Guoxing Communication cannot participate in material and engineering service procurement activities within the Western Theater Command (headquarters and directly affiliated units). It is expected that this decision will not have a significant impact on the company and its subsidiarys production and operation at present.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU / USD corrects to around $1,910 despite intensifying concerns of a global banking crisis

Alina Haynes

Mar 16, 2023 14:00

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After reaching a new six-week high at $1,937.39, the gold price (XAU/USD) displayed a corrective move during the Asian session. As gold's allure is extremely strong amid growing concerns about the global banking crisis, a correction in the precious metal appears to be short-lived. Credit Suisse's debacle following the failure of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) has triggered the risk of global financial instability, and uncertainty over the Federal Reserve's (Fed) upcoming interest rate decision has bolstered the case for the Gold price.

 

S&P500 futures have shown a recovery move following Wednesday's sell-off as investors assess the banking sector's uncertainty. However, the motif of risk aversion has not yet completely subsided.

 

During the Asian session, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is fluctuating in a narrow range of around 104.60. It appears that the impact of banking sector turmoil is maturing for the USD Index, and investors are beginning to discount expectations for next week's monetary policy. According to the CME FedWatch instrument, the probability that Fed chair Jerome Powell will raise interest rates by 25 basis points (bps) has risen above 70%. While 30% of the probabilities support maintaining the current interest rate policy.

 

Increasing odds of a status quo monetary policy are supported by a declining Consumer Price Index (CPI), a rising Unemployment Rate, sluggish Retail Sales, and a declining Producer Price Index (PPI).