EUR/USD
1.17259
0.044%
Gold
4713.59
-0.562%
Oil
94.265
3.267%
USD/JPY
159.294
-0.008%
GBP/USD
1.35370
0.027%
GBP/JPY
215.642
-0.043%
Real-time News
On April 27th, Allianz Chief Economic Advisor Mohamed A. El-Erian published an article stating that the price shock triggered by the Middle East wars has pushed market expectations towards an environment where interest rates remain at higher levels for an extended period, affecting almost all systemically important central banks, with the sole exception being the Bank of Japan, although the differences have recently narrowed, its policy framework remains self-contained. He pointed out that the current situation is not merely a simple price shock, but also accompanied by a negative demand shock from the "second-round effect," and in addition to these direct economic impacts, there is a potential risk of contagion to financial instability. He added, "All of this underscores the uncertainty of the outlook: central banks will face a series of difficult trade-offs, and I think these decisions likely (or should) boil down to a sobering question: Of all the mistakes we can make, which is the least irreversible? For central banks with a single mandate, such as the Bank of England and the European Central Bank, this question is relatively easier to answer; but for the Federal Reserve, which has a dual mandate, the situation is much more complex."According to Irans Tasnim News Agency, an Iranian parliamentary committee has passed a proposal to establish a crisis management ministry.On April 27, Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad al-Kassym-Jomart Ghalibaf posted on social media on the 26th that the United States has exaggerated its bargaining chips in the energy game. Ghalibaf stated that the US has used numerous tactics, and its related strategies are in a predicament. The summer travel peak will exacerbate the pressure on the US, while Iran still holds unused "key trump cards."On April 27th, Danske Bank analyst Asger Wilhelm Dalsjo stated in a report that as the Middle East conflict enters its ninth week, central banks will assess its existing impact and future expectations. This week, the Bank of Japan, the Bank of Canada, the Federal Reserve, the Bank of England, and the European Central Bank will all hold policy meetings. The analyst said, "Monetary policy decisions will be the main driver of the market this week." It is expected that all five central banks will maintain their interest rates, but their assessments of the economic impact of the Middle East conflict will be closely watched.April 27 – In a report ahead of this weeks European Central Bank (ECB) policy meeting, Commerzbank interest rate strategist Rainer Guntermann stated that the ECB is expected to continue closely monitoring high oil prices. With the US having suspended its negotiating efforts with Iran and the situation in the Strait of Hormuz remaining deadlocked, oil prices are unlikely to see a significant decline in the short term. "This will keep the ECB on its toes, but it is still too early to raise interest rates this week," Guntermann said.
