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May 1st, Futures News – According to foreign media reports, disruptions to global energy flows have accelerated the shift to biofuels, prompting governments and producers worldwide to speed up blending, production, and trade. Brazil, the worlds second-largest ethanol producer, has announced plans to raise the cap on the proportion of ethanol-blended biofuels in gasoline from the current 30% to 32%, aiming to curb rising domestic gasoline prices due to war and control inflation. The Brazilian government stated that this measure could allow the South American nation to stop importing gasoline. Indonesia, the worlds largest palm oil producer, is accelerating the rollout of B50 – one of the worlds most ambitious biofuel blending directives – as part of a nationwide effort to achieve food and fuel self-sufficiency. Neighboring Malaysia, the worlds second-largest palm oil producer, plans to gradually increase the proportion of palm oil-based fuels in diesel from 10% to 20%. In the United States, the war with Iran has become a topic used by biofuel proponents to push the government to allow year-round nationwide sales of high-ethanol gasoline. They argue that increasing sales of this corn-based fuel makes sense, as ethanol is currently cheaper than gasoline, thus alleviating the cost burden on consumers.ECB Governing Council member Nagel: The ECB is aware of price risks and is ready to act; the current situation is not as optimistic as the baseline in March.May 1 (Reuters) - Ukrainian Ambassador to Japan Yuri Lutov stated that Japans easing of arms export restrictions creates an opportunity for future dialogue between the two countries regarding Japanese military equipment exports to Ukraine. In an interview with the media at the Ukrainian Embassy in Japan, Lutov said that the "Indo-Pacific region is inseparable from the European continent" and that "if Ukraine falls," it will have a "domino effect." He added that Japans move provides an "opportunity for dialogue," and Ukraine could receive funding from Japan to develop air defense systems, thereby reducing its dependence on US-made Patriot missiles.French Prime Minister: The countrys cybersecurity services will conduct attack scenario drills on the system. They will anticipate crisis scenarios, including digital blackouts, to prepare for the worst-case scenario.French Prime Minister: We must strengthen the protection of our systems to deal with the surge in cyberattacks.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU / USD corrects to around $1,910 despite intensifying concerns of a global banking crisis

Alina Haynes

Mar 16, 2023 14:00

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After reaching a new six-week high at $1,937.39, the gold price (XAU/USD) displayed a corrective move during the Asian session. As gold's allure is extremely strong amid growing concerns about the global banking crisis, a correction in the precious metal appears to be short-lived. Credit Suisse's debacle following the failure of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) has triggered the risk of global financial instability, and uncertainty over the Federal Reserve's (Fed) upcoming interest rate decision has bolstered the case for the Gold price.

 

S&P500 futures have shown a recovery move following Wednesday's sell-off as investors assess the banking sector's uncertainty. However, the motif of risk aversion has not yet completely subsided.

 

During the Asian session, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is fluctuating in a narrow range of around 104.60. It appears that the impact of banking sector turmoil is maturing for the USD Index, and investors are beginning to discount expectations for next week's monetary policy. According to the CME FedWatch instrument, the probability that Fed chair Jerome Powell will raise interest rates by 25 basis points (bps) has risen above 70%. While 30% of the probabilities support maintaining the current interest rate policy.

 

Increasing odds of a status quo monetary policy are supported by a declining Consumer Price Index (CPI), a rising Unemployment Rate, sluggish Retail Sales, and a declining Producer Price Index (PPI).