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On April 10th, Thai Finance Minister Ekniti Nitithanprapas stated that due to the Middle East conflict, Thailand expects oil prices to remain high for up to two years, foreshadowing sustained pressure on this net energy importer already grappling with rising costs and slowing growth. Speaking to lawmakers during a parliamentary debate following a government policy statement, Ekniti noted that energy infrastructure in the Middle East has been severely damaged, and oil and gas supplies could take one to two years to stabilize. He added that the government plans to accelerate the adoption of solar, biofuels, and other renewable energy sources to cushion the impact of high energy costs on households and businesses. The energy shock has already affected the economic outlook. Economists have begun to lower their growth forecasts for Thailand as rising fuel costs have dampened consumption and disrupted exports and tourism—two core drivers of the Thai economy.On April 10th, according to the National Cybersecurity Notification Center, the center detected a recent surge in supply chain poisoning attacks. Targets included the API development tool Apifox, the Python library LiteLLM, and the JavaScript HTTP library Axios, involving two core supply chain scenarios: open-source software repositories and commercial tools. The Axios poisoning incident, in particular, occurred because many AI applications and plugins, such as OpenClaw, directly rely on this library, allowing the risk to spread further to end users through the dependency chain. These three supply chain poisoning incidents share common characteristics: high stealth, wide impact, high severity, and rapid spread, potentially causing serious harm such as credential theft, remote code execution, and sensitive data leakage.On the morning of April 10, Xi Jinping, General Secretary of the CPC Central Committee, met with Cheng Li-wen, Chairperson of the Kuomintang, in Beijing.Hong Kong-listed apparel stocks continued their upward trend, with Fast Retailing (06288.HK) rising nearly 10%, Tianji Holdings (01520.HK) rising over 6%, and Anta Sports (02020.HK) and Bosideng (03998.HK) following suit.On April 10th, Wang Zhihua, Director-General of the Department of Foreign Trade of the Ministry of Commerce, stated that since the beginning of this year, foreign trade enterprises have actively expanded markets, secured orders, pursued innovation, and built brands, adding more resilience and vitality to Chinas foreign trade. According to customs statistics, in the first two months of this year, both the scale and growth rate of Chinas goods trade imports and exports were at relatively high levels compared to the same period in previous years, and a good start is expected for the first quarter as well.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU / USD corrects to around $1,910 despite intensifying concerns of a global banking crisis

Alina Haynes

Mar 16, 2023 14:00

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After reaching a new six-week high at $1,937.39, the gold price (XAU/USD) displayed a corrective move during the Asian session. As gold's allure is extremely strong amid growing concerns about the global banking crisis, a correction in the precious metal appears to be short-lived. Credit Suisse's debacle following the failure of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) has triggered the risk of global financial instability, and uncertainty over the Federal Reserve's (Fed) upcoming interest rate decision has bolstered the case for the Gold price.

 

S&P500 futures have shown a recovery move following Wednesday's sell-off as investors assess the banking sector's uncertainty. However, the motif of risk aversion has not yet completely subsided.

 

During the Asian session, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is fluctuating in a narrow range of around 104.60. It appears that the impact of banking sector turmoil is maturing for the USD Index, and investors are beginning to discount expectations for next week's monetary policy. According to the CME FedWatch instrument, the probability that Fed chair Jerome Powell will raise interest rates by 25 basis points (bps) has risen above 70%. While 30% of the probabilities support maintaining the current interest rate policy.

 

Increasing odds of a status quo monetary policy are supported by a declining Consumer Price Index (CPI), a rising Unemployment Rate, sluggish Retail Sales, and a declining Producer Price Index (PPI).