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On June 27th, Yu Weining, Chief Statistician of the Industrial Statistics Department of the National Bureau of Statistics, interpreted the industrial enterprise profit data for January-May 2026. Yu stated that profits in the raw materials manufacturing sector grew rapidly. From January to May, profits of enterprises above designated size in the raw materials manufacturing sector increased by 83.1% year-on-year, contributing 10.2 percentage points to the overall profit growth of industrial enterprises above designated size. By industry, driven by increased demand from emerging industries such as new energy and artificial intelligence, prices of products such as copper and aluminum remained at high levels, pushing profits in the non-ferrous metals industry to increase by 117.1%, contributing 5.3 percentage points to the overall profit growth of industrial enterprises above designated size. Driven by rising prices of products related to the petroleum industry chain, the petroleum processing industry turned a profit year-on-year, and the chemical industry saw a profit increase of 71.6%.On June 27th, Yu Weining, Chief Statistician of the Industrial Statistics Department of the National Bureau of Statistics, interpreted the industrial enterprise profit data for January-May 2026. Yu stated that the profits of high-tech manufacturing maintained double-digit growth. From January to May, the profits of large-scale high-tech manufacturing enterprises increased by 44.7% year-on-year, contributing 8.0 percentage points to the overall profit growth of large-scale industrial enterprises, demonstrating its continued leading role. By industry, the semiconductor industry chain performed well. In electronic device manufacturing, the profits of optoelectronic device manufacturing and semiconductor discrete device manufacturing increased by 53.8% and 40.6% respectively; in electronic component and electronic special material manufacturing, the profits of electronic special material manufacturing and electronic circuit manufacturing increased by 665.4% and 19.7% respectively. The medical equipment and related industries saw rapid profit growth, with the profits of dental equipment and instruments manufacturing and hygiene materials and medical supplies manufacturing increasing by 26.4% and 23.2% respectively.Chinas industrial profits rose 21.1% year-on-year in May, up from 24.70% in the previous month.Chinas year-to-date profits for major industrial enterprises rose 18.8% in May, up from 18.20% in May.On June 27, following the US militarys airstrikes against Iran on June 26, US Vice President Vance stated that if Iran resorts to violence, it will face a military response. Vance posted on social media that day: "Iran signed a ceasefire agreement, and we have honored it. If they have objections to how the memorandum of understanding is being implemented, they can communicate directly by phone. But if violence is used, it will be met with a military response." Earlier on June 26, the US Central Command issued a statement saying that the US military launched strikes against Iran that day in response to the attack on a merchant ship transiting the Strait of Hormuz the previous day.

Gold Price Prediction: The XAU/USD pair will go below $1700 after a positive NFP report, followed by the CPI

Daniel Rogers

Oct 10, 2022 11:23

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The gold price declined after the U.S. Labor Department released employment data that exceeded expectations, thereby validating the Fed's need for additional tightening and supporting the dollar. Consequently, XAU/USD is currently trading at approximately $1690, below its initial price.

 

Prior to the announcement of the US Nonfarm Payrolls report, the price of gold hovered around $1710. Gold's initial reaction to the headline, however, was a decline into the $1700 region, but this initial movement quickly vanished. In a volatile reaction, it extended its losses below $1700 at the time of typing.

 

US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) data revealed that the US economy added 263K new jobs, above predictions of 250K, while the unemployment rate decreased to 3.5% from 3.7%. Even while the reading is lower than August's, it was above expectations, which would strengthen the case for a Federal Reserve rate hike.

 

In the meanwhile, money market futures have put in a 92% likelihood of a Fed rate hike of 75 basis points, up from 85.5% prior to the US Nonfarm Payrolls report.

 

US Treasury bond yields rose, with the 10-year US Treasury bond yield increasing three basis points to 3.865%, while the US Dollar Index, a measure of the dollar's value vs six other currencies, rose 0.28% to 112.565.

 

Now that the US Nonfarm Payrolls report is in the rearview mirror, the next significant events on the US calendar are the September CPI statistics and the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment study, both of which will take place in the coming week.