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On September 5th, US President Trump signed a series of executive measures aimed at supporting American ranchers, including curbing the dominance of large meat processing companies in the industry and pushing for new beef labeling rules. Trump stated that the government will establish programs to help ranchers sell directly to consumers and reduce the US beef processing industrys reliance on the "Big Four" meat companies. He called this reform, which ranchers have been demanding for decades, and an important action by the government to support farmers and ranchers. Previously, the Trump administrations plan to increase beef imports to lower consumer prices sparked discontent among American ranchers. Trumps measures include requiring all imported beef to be labeled with its country of origin and urging Congress to push for permanent regulations. US Agriculture Secretary Brooke Rawlings had previously criticized the earlier beef import plan, calling it a "heavy blow" to ranchers, but she also stated that Trump is a leader who supports ranchers.The U.S. Supreme Court upheld the policy that allows party committees to obtain advertising at lower rates, a victory for Republicans.On September 5th, US President Trump called the more than six-month-long US-Iran conflict "insignificant" and said he would not describe it as a major war. Trump stated on Friday that it was a "military conflict," but "not a big deal for us," and that there was no ongoing fighting between the two sides. Responding to Vice President Vances earlier statement that it "shouldnt be called a war," Trump said, "In many places, it is," and indicated that the US was currently only conducting intermittent strikes. Trump again compared the 18 US military personnel killed in the conflict to the Vietnam War and the Afghanistan War, saying, "Losing even one person is too much," but those two wars resulted in tens of thousands of US military deaths. He also stated that the US had achieved significant progress on the Iran issue. Polls show that the American public has a low approval rating for Trumps handling of the Iran conflict. The conflict has pushed up energy prices, putting pressure on Republicans to maintain control of Congress in the November midterm elections. Previous comments by Trump administration officials downplaying the impact of the conflict have also drawn criticism from Democrats.According to the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), as of the week ending September 1, net short positions in the Swiss franc were 22,876 contracts. Net short positions in the British pound were 49,575 contracts. Net short positions in the euro were 24,925 contracts. Net short positions in the Japanese yen were 92,227 contracts.September 5th - According to the Wall Street Journal, the U.S. Department of Justices antitrust division was ordered this week to suspend all cooperation with the Canadian government, the latest development in the escalating trade dispute between the two countries. Linda Marshall, head of international affairs at the Justice Departments antitrust division, requested officials in an email to cease cooperation with Canada on cases and policy issues, but did not specify the reasons. The report stated that Justice Department officials indicated such directives are rare, as the U.S. typically cooperates with competition regulators in other countries, even if the governments are not closely aligned. The U.S. and Canadian antitrust agencies have a long history of cooperation, covering areas such as auto parts price manipulation, air freight investigations, and mergers and acquisitions in the technology and aerospace industries. This suspension of cooperation comes as the U.S.-Canada trade dispute continues to escalate. After trade negotiations broke down last month, the Trump administration imposed a 50% tariff on $20 billion worth of Canadian goods, and Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney subsequently imposed similar tariffs on some U.S. goods. Neither the U.S. Department of Justice nor the White House has commented on this.

Gold Price Prediction: The XAU/USD pair will go below $1700 after a positive NFP report, followed by the CPI

Daniel Rogers

Oct 10, 2022 11:23

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The gold price declined after the U.S. Labor Department released employment data that exceeded expectations, thereby validating the Fed's need for additional tightening and supporting the dollar. Consequently, XAU/USD is currently trading at approximately $1690, below its initial price.

 

Prior to the announcement of the US Nonfarm Payrolls report, the price of gold hovered around $1710. Gold's initial reaction to the headline, however, was a decline into the $1700 region, but this initial movement quickly vanished. In a volatile reaction, it extended its losses below $1700 at the time of typing.

 

US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) data revealed that the US economy added 263K new jobs, above predictions of 250K, while the unemployment rate decreased to 3.5% from 3.7%. Even while the reading is lower than August's, it was above expectations, which would strengthen the case for a Federal Reserve rate hike.

 

In the meanwhile, money market futures have put in a 92% likelihood of a Fed rate hike of 75 basis points, up from 85.5% prior to the US Nonfarm Payrolls report.

 

US Treasury bond yields rose, with the 10-year US Treasury bond yield increasing three basis points to 3.865%, while the US Dollar Index, a measure of the dollar's value vs six other currencies, rose 0.28% to 112.565.

 

Now that the US Nonfarm Payrolls report is in the rearview mirror, the next significant events on the US calendar are the September CPI statistics and the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment study, both of which will take place in the coming week.