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The main Shanghai gold futures contract plunged 12.00% intraday, currently trading at 1053.16 yuan/gram.February 2nd - Asian currencies traded mixed against the dollar as traders digested President Trumps nomination of Kevin Warsh as the next Federal Reserve Chairman last Friday. Analysts at Commerzbank Research stated in a research report that, judging from the recent dollar movement, the market seems to view Warshs nomination as a stabilizing force, alleviating concerns about the Feds independence and uncertainty surrounding the global monetary system. However, the analysts also pointed out that Warshs nomination still requires approval from the US Senate.February 2nd - A research report from CITIC Securities states that they expect: 1) Precious metals will continue their strong performance due to the combined effects of their monetary attributes and safe-haven demand. Gold is expected to reach $6,000/ounce in 2026, while extreme shortages and high trading activity in the spot market may bring strong price elasticity to silver, with silver prices expected to reach $120/ounce in 2026; 2) Supply constraints, resilient demand, and structurally low inventories will continue to support the strong performance of copper and aluminum prices. They expect the average prices of copper and aluminum to be $12,000/ton and 23,000 yuan/ton respectively in 2026; 3) Battery metals... Driven by strong demand for energy storage batteries, the price of lithium in China is expected to rise to RMB 120,000-200,000 per ton in 2026. Cobalt prices are expected to be RMB 400,000-500,000 per ton due to quota reductions. The reduction of nickel quotas in Indonesia is expected to drive a rebound in nickel prices, which are expected to rise to USD 22,000 per ton in 2026. 4) Among other metals, rare earths, tungsten, tin, and natural uranium are expected to continue to enjoy tight supply and demand and strategic metal premiums, with price targets (ranges) of RMB 600,000-800,000 per ton, RMB 450,000-550,000 per ton, RMB 450,000-500,000 per ton, and USD 100 per pound, respectively.A chart summarizing the overnight price movements of international spot platinum and palladium.February 2nd, Futures News: Crude oil prices ended a period of continuous gains followed by a narrow decline and consolidation. Gasoline and diesel shipments were sluggish, and positive news offered limited guidance. The fuel oil market saw some stability and consolidation, while others experienced slight price increases. Downstream restocking demand ahead of the Spring Festival provided support, and refineries maintained a relatively strong confidence in maintaining prices. It is expected that todays market will remain stable with minor adjustments in some areas.

Gold Price Forecast: The XAU/USD pair struggles to continue its climb above $1,870, although the upside remains likely

Alina Haynes

Jan 09, 2023 12:00

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During the Asian session, the gold price (XAU/USD) is hovering in a narrow range around the immediate barrier of $1,870. The precious metal hopes to extend its uptrend in light of market players' increased risk appetite.

 

S&P500 futures have contributed to their gains during Friday's surge, indicating an optimistic market sentiment. The US Dollar Index (DXY) has detected resistance at 103.50 and is likely to find support near 103.00. The yields on 10-year US Treasuries have decreased to approximately 3.56 percent due to a loss in safe-haven attraction.

 

Amidst mounting prospects of a U.S. recession, the gold price is garnering considerable attention. Following a string of declines in the US ISM Manufacturing PMI, the Services PMI has also declined, indicating a decline in overall demand in the United States economy. The Services PMI dropped sharply to 49.6 compared to the predicted 55.0. In addition, the New Orders Index, a measure of future demand, plummeted to 45.2% as opposed to the anticipated 58.5%. The U.S. dollar is affected by a slowdown in economic activity and its expectations for the future.