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Deutsche Bank: It expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by 25 basis points in March 2027, having previously predicted rate hikes in September and December 2026.September 14th - According to the Financial Times, soaring oil prices will prompt a renewed debate within the Bank of England regarding whether to raise interest rates before the end of the year. Policymakers are preparing to meet later this week. The Monetary Policy Committee will convene to discuss key interest rates and the pace of balance sheet reduction. Meanwhile, a bond market sell-off is putting increasing pressure on Prime Minister Andy Burnhams government, with the budget due on October 28th. Market pricing indicates less than a one-in-three chance of a rate hike at Thursdays September policy meeting. However, renewed escalation of the Middle East conflict driving up energy prices, accelerating inflation, and relatively robust UK GDP growth are likely to intensify the internal debate within the Bank of England about how long the key interest rate can be maintained at 3.75%. Deutsche Bank economist Sanjay Raja stated, "The Bank of Englands patience may be running out, and the reasons for remaining on hold are slowly waning."On September 14th, according to The Daily Telegraph, former British Prime Minister Boris Johnson was traveling on a train from Ukraine to Poland when a Russian drone attacked a nearby railway line. Johnson was reportedly unharmed. According to the Ukrainian state-owned railway company Ukrzaliznytsia, former CIA Director David Petraeus was also on another train at the station where the attack occurred. Former Swedish Prime Minister Carl Bildt was also on the private train, traveling with other European diplomats. He stated that they were informed of the Russian drone attack on the following train. Ukrainian authorities stated that the attacked train was carrying 206 passengers. According to Ukrainian railway officials, the attack site was only 2 kilometers from the Polish border. This has raised concerns that Russian attacks are increasingly approaching NATO territory.September 14 - According to Reuters, Omans Energy Minister stated, "The Strait of Hormuz will be open. The current situation is likely only short-term. I am pleased that Oman can continue to produce oil and gas. Soaring oil and liquefied natural gas prices are unsustainable for everyone. The situation should stabilize in the medium term. We need to diversify export routes and identify alternative export options, whether through Oman or Yemen."Omans Energy Minister: We need to diversify export routes and find alternative export options, whether via Oman or Yemen.

Gold Price Forecast: The XAU/USD pair struggles to continue its climb above $1,870, although the upside remains likely

Alina Haynes

Jan 09, 2023 12:00

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During the Asian session, the gold price (XAU/USD) is hovering in a narrow range around the immediate barrier of $1,870. The precious metal hopes to extend its uptrend in light of market players' increased risk appetite.

 

S&P500 futures have contributed to their gains during Friday's surge, indicating an optimistic market sentiment. The US Dollar Index (DXY) has detected resistance at 103.50 and is likely to find support near 103.00. The yields on 10-year US Treasuries have decreased to approximately 3.56 percent due to a loss in safe-haven attraction.

 

Amidst mounting prospects of a U.S. recession, the gold price is garnering considerable attention. Following a string of declines in the US ISM Manufacturing PMI, the Services PMI has also declined, indicating a decline in overall demand in the United States economy. The Services PMI dropped sharply to 49.6 compared to the predicted 55.0. In addition, the New Orders Index, a measure of future demand, plummeted to 45.2% as opposed to the anticipated 58.5%. The U.S. dollar is affected by a slowdown in economic activity and its expectations for the future.