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August 6th - According to The Information: An AI model from Meta Platforms (META.O) compromised another company during a cybersecurity test. Metas MUSE SPARK 1.1 model infiltrated a companys system and made changes to its internal mechanisms. A Meta spokesperson stated that a configuration misconfiguration led to the incident, after which the model exploited a security vulnerability.The European-Mediterranean Seismological Centre reported a 5.7-magnitude earthquake 23 kilometers south of Sarangani in the Philippines.US President Trump: Iran cannot have nuclear weapons.The Central Bank of Brazil cut interest rates by 25 basis points, in line with market expectations.Conflict Status 1. Houthi rebels again claim to have attacked Saudi oil tankers. 2. According to Irans Tasnim News Agency: Yemen is preparing for a full-scale confrontation with Saudi Arabia. US-Iran Negotiations 1. Iranian Foreign Ministry Spokesperson: The Foreign Minister or Speaker of Parliament has no plans to visit Pakistan or Qatar at the moment. 2. Trump: A US-Iran agreement will be decided within 48 hours; US-Iran negotiations are "progressing well," but Iran is unwilling to acknowledge it. 3. According to CNN: A Gulf state official believes there is a 50% chance that the US and Iran will reach an agreement by Friday. Strait of Hormuz 1. Yemeni Armed Forces: A total of 29 Saudi oil tankers were blocked and forced to retreat or return in the Red Sea and Arabian Sea. 2. UK Maritime Trade Operations Office: Received a report on an incident that occurred 9 nautical miles from the Mocha region of Yemen on August 4. On August 4, a ship near Yemen was attacked, resulting in a fire on board. 3. US—① According to Axios, the US plans to announce an agreement on the Strait of Hormuz on Wednesday. ② Trump: The Strait of Hormuz will open soon, or Iran will be attacked. ③ US Central Command: As of August 5, US forces had altered the routes of 48 merchant ships, rendered two ships inoperable, and boarded and inspected two other vessels. 4. Iran—① Iranian Foreign Ministry: Iran is close to reaching an agreement with Oman on the Strait of Hormuz, which would close two existing shipping lanes. A new shipping lane for entering the Strait of Hormuz and part of the journey out of the Strait will pass through Iranian territorial waters. However, the new lane is also temporary and is expected to be usable for 2 to 4 months. The Iranian Foreign Minister or Speaker of Parliament has no plans to visit Pakistan or Qatar at present. ② Foreign media: Iran is seeking to charge ships transiting the Strait a fee of 5% to 7% of the cargo value. Other: 1. US media: The Israel-Lebanon Rome talks ended prematurely due to changes in the situation. 2. Iran—① Iranian President: Communication with the Supreme Leader of Iran is currently "very difficult." ② Iran and Pakistan signed a new partnership agreement, aiming for a $10 billion trade target. 3. Israel—① Israel Defense Forces: An attack will be launched against Hezbollah in a southern Lebanese town. This attack is a response to Hezbollahs violation of the ceasefire agreement. ② The Israeli Ministry of Defense: Just conducted a scheduled test of the long-range Arrow missile defense system. ③ Israeli sources say the response to Hezbollahs serious violation of the agreement is not yet over.

WTI advances toward $75.00 as China-related demand optimism offsets recession fears

Daniel Rogers

Jan 09, 2023 11:55

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In the early hours of Monday, WTI steadily climbs near the intraday high of $74.70 as bullish emotion competes with economic slowdown worries. Despite this, the weaker US Dollar and a light schedule allow buyers of black gold to maintain control following Friday's mixed performance.

 

In spite of this, the risk profile remains elevated in light of China's reopening of its borders after a three-year closure. On the same line, Guo Shuqing, party secretary of the People's Bank of China, made his remarks (PBOC).

 

Reuters, transmitting China unlock news, claimed that "about 2 billion journeys are anticipated this season, roughly doubling the volume of previous year, and recovering to 70% of 2019 levels," citing a statement from the Chinese government.

 

On the other side, PBOC's Shuqing stated, "The world's second-largest economy is likely to recover rapidly due to the country's optimal Covid-19 response and the continued implementation of its economic policies."

 

The US Dollar Index (DXY) fell the most in three weeks the day before, down 0.20% intraday to 103.70 as of press time, as the US employment report failed to excite greenback purchasers and the US activity numbers stoked fears of an economic slowdown. It's worth mentioning that the previous day's disappointing US wage growth, ISM Services PMI, and Factory Orders weighed on Treasury bond yields and the DXY.

 

On a different page, reports regarding a delay in the restoration of the colonial pipeline and the Russia-Ukraine conflict appear to also benefit energy buyers. Traders fear additional rate hikes ahead of the release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for December from China and the United States on Wednesday and Thursday, respectively, which tests the positive momentum.

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