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December 8th - The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will announce its final interest rate decision of the year on Tuesday, with the market expecting no rate adjustment. Nevertheless, this will remain one of the most closely watched meetings of the year. A wealth of data from the RBA indicates strong demand, rising inflation risks, and the economy nearing its capacity limits, making a hawkish signal highly likely. Economists from some major banks have already begun calculating that the RBA may tighten monetary policy in February next year after receiving fourth-quarter inflation data.On December 8th, the Election Committee of the 8th Legislative Council of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region (HKSAR) announced the results of the functional constituency elections. Thirty seats were elected from 28 functional constituencies, and 30 members were elected as new Legislative Council members from these constituencies. The new Legislative Council will consist of 90 members, including 40 elected by the Election Committee, 30 elected from functional constituencies, and 20 elected by geographical constituencies. Earlier on the 8th, the list of the 40 newly elected Legislative Council members from the Election Committee had already been published. The list of the 20 members elected by geographical constituencies is expected to be announced on the same day. The term of the 8th Legislative Council of the HKSAR will begin on January 1, 2026, and will be four years.December 8th - Market speculation persists that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) may raise interest rates this month, but participants remain betting on a continued weakening of the yen. Traders at Bank of America, Nomura Holdings, and RBC Capital Markets say investor positioning reflects this bet. Citigroups "pain index" for the yen remains deep in negative territory, indicating continued negative sentiment towards the yen. Even with BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda hinting at a possible imminent rate hike and the BOJ reportedly preparing to raise rates in December unless there is a major shock to the economy or financial markets, investors remain bearish on the yen. This is because even if the BOJ takes action, Japanese yields are still expected to be significantly lower than those in the US, which is more favorable for the dollar. Ivan Stamenovich, head of G-10 currency trading for Asia Pacific at Bank of America, said, "Positioning remains geared towards betting on the dollar to continue rising against the yen until the end of the year, and this trend is unlikely to change unless the BOJ delivers a real surprise." He added that Uedas hawkish comments sparked discussion about the currency pair, but market sentiment has not fundamentally changed.On December 8th, Israel Defense Forces Chief of Staff Zamir stated on the 7th that the withdrawal line drawn by the Israeli military under the first phase of the Gaza ceasefire agreement, known as the "Yellow Line," is the "new border" of the Gaza Strip. During an inspection of the Gaza Strip that day, Zamir said that the "Yellow Line" is the "new border" of the Gaza Strip, serving as both Israels forward defensive line and the boundary for Israeli military operations. Israel maintains operational control over large areas of the Gaza Strip and will continue to hold these lines. According to the first phase of the Gaza ceasefire agreement, the area outside the "Yellow Line" remains under Israeli control, and Israeli troops will no longer be stationed or conducting operations within the "Yellow Line."Anson Resources of Australia and Nusano of the United States have signed a lithium supply agreement.

Gold Price Forecast — Gold Prices Held Steady Despite Risk-Averse Market Sentiment

Alina Haynes

May 19, 2022 10:43

Despite the decrease in yields, gold prices remained relatively unchanged. The dollar rises to levels not seen in two decades as investors put dollar-bearing wagers. As investors flocked into bonds in response to the sell-off in equities, benchmark rates lost ground.

 

The Dow Jones and Nasdaq had significant daily drops as inflation fears increased in response to earnings announcements. Today, the yield on ten-year bonds fell by 9 basis points.

 

In April, residential dwelling starts decreased by 0.2% due to higher mortgage rates. The 30-year loan rate rose to 5.3% last week, up from 2.94 percent a year ago. Inflationary spirals and high material costs have weighed on the housing market.

 

Harker, president of the Philadelphia Fed, predicted that the Fed will implement two 50-basis-point rate hikes in June and July during FOMC meetings.

Technical Evaluation

In light of expected Fed rate hikes, gold prices will stay range-bound. Gold prices are experiencing downward momentum approaching the 1,800 level and are going toward $1780, which was near the trading session's low.

 

Near the 16 May lows near 1788 is viewed as support. The prior support level around the 200-day moving average of 1,838 represents resistance.

 

Short-term momentum becomes negative as the Fast Stochastic may imply a sell crossover. As the fast stochastic displays a value of 22.22 below the oversold threshold of 20, prices remain oversold.

 

As the MACD produces a crossover sell signal, medium-term momentum has gone negative. This occurs when the 12-day moving average minus the 26-day moving average crosses below the MACD line's 9-day moving average.

 

The trajectory of the MACD (moving average convergence divergence) histogram is negative, indicating falling prices.

  

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