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On January 11, Sergey Lebedev, coordinator of the pro-Russian underground organization in Nikolayev Oblast, Ukraine, told RIA Novosti on January 10 that witnesses reported large-scale transportation of NATO equipment in Poland. Lebedev said: "In recent days, a lot of information from Poland shows that NATO is transporting a large number of personnel and equipment. The scale of equipment transportation is so large that it is impossible not to be discovered." Lebedev believes that Western countries are preparing for a conflict between Poland and Russia and a possible blockade of Kaliningrad. He said: "The West is waging war against Russia in Ukraine, and they will do everything they can. They dont care about the lives of the Poles, just as they dont care about the lives of the Ukrainians."On January 11, Ant Group and Good Doctor Online appeared on the same stage for the first time after completing the acquisition. Both parties said they would jointly promote the AI of medical services, improve doctors work efficiency with AI, and released an "AI assistant" to help doctors popularize science and manage medical records.Ukraine said Russia launched 74 drones during the night, 47 of which were shot down and another 27 failed to reach their targets.Russian Ministry of Defense: A Mi-28NM helicopter of the Russian Aerospace Forces prevented the rotation of Ukrainian troops in Kursk Oblast and destroyed Ukrainian armored vehicles and personnel.South Koreas Ministry of Transport: The cockpit voice recorder of the crashed Jeju Air passenger plane stopped recording four minutes before the crash.

Fundamental Gold Prediction: The US Dollar Weighs on Gold. Will U.S. Retail Sales Change Direction?

Daniel Rogers

May 16, 2022 11:15

Gold prices declined further last week as traders considered the likelihood of an economic recession in light of the Federal Reserve's more hawkish stance. This was supported by a number of inflation reports from the United States. The consumer price index (CPI) for April came in at 8.3 percent year-over-year, exceeding analysts' projections of 8.1 percent year-over-year. The producer price index (PPI) for the same period shows that factory-gate prices have risen by 11.0 percent year-over-year.

 

This batch of inflation data contributed to the dollar's appreciation against the majority of its major rivals. A stronger Dollar often works against the price of bullion. Due mostly to Finland's announcement that it plans to strongly pursue NATO membership, the Euro depreciated. This drew a strong response from Russia, which vowed to respond, so reinforcing the risk-averse sentiment that has been permeating the Eurozone.

 

During the upcoming week, traders will closely monitor numerous high-profile data releases that may affect XAU prices. The US retail sales report for April may have the most impact on market mood. According to a Bloomberg survey, analysts expect April retail sales to increase by 0.7% month-over-month. A stronger-than-expected figure may alleviate some concerns about an impending economic recession. As the US Dollar has been operating as a safe haven for traders, this would likely serve to weaken the currency and may allow gold to climb by reducing risk aversion.

Gold versus US Dollar Chart Weekly

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