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February 5th - Eurozone retail sales fell more than expected in December, indicating that the recovery in household spending, expected to support the economy in 2026, remains fragile. Eurostat data released on Thursday showed that retail sales in the final month of 2025 fell 0.5% month-on-month, while Novembers figure was revised downward to a 0.1% increase. Non-food sales led the decline ahead of the key holiday season, while food and beverage sales rose slightly. Sales declined month-on-month in France, Italy, and Spain, while Germany saw a slight increase. However, data released by the European Commission at the end of last month showed that Eurozone consumer confidence improved in January, and economists expect economic growth this year to be mainly driven by domestic demand, especially household spending. Eurostat stated that, on an annual basis, retail sales in December increased by 1.3% year-on-year.February 5th - According to the China State Railway Group Co., Ltd., as of 8:00 AM on February 5th, the 12306 railway ticketing platform had sold a total of 112 million train tickets for the Spring Festival travel rush. Statistics show that the national railway system is expected to transport 11.85 million passengers on February 5th, with 1,004 additional passenger trains planned. On February 4th, the national railway system transported 11.174 million passengers, with transportation remaining safe, stable, and orderly.February 5th - Data from the Comprehensive Transportation Spring Festival Travel Task Force shows that on February 4th, 2026 (the third day of the Spring Festival travel rush, Wednesday, the 17th day of the twelfth lunar month), the total number of cross-regional passenger flows in the whole society reached 189.854 million, an increase of 3.2% compared with the previous day and an increase of 1.1% compared with the same period in 2025.US Presidential Envoy Witkov: There is still a lot of work to be done in the Russia-Ukraine negotiations.U.S. Presidents Special Envoy Witkov: Discussions will continue, and more progress is expected in the coming weeks.

GBP/USD to Test 1.2260; Downside Remains Favored Due to Rising US CPI; UK GDP Watched

Daniel Rogers

May 12, 2022 10:13

The GBP/USD pair has broken to the negative from its week-long consolidation between 1.2260 and 1.2400. The asset may test the lower range of consolidation to confirm the bears' strength, but the downside remains intact as rising US inflation data has increased the likelihood of a massive rate hike by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in June.

 

Wednesday's 8.3 percent reading for the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) surpassed the 8.1 percent forecast by theștiindștiind. Market analysts anticipated that the Fed's June monetary policy would include a 50 basis point (bps) interest rate hike in response to the US CPI reading of 8.1%. Now, a higher-than-anticipated US inflation rate has increased the likelihood of a 75 basis point rate hike. This has shook the foreign exchange market, and investors are selling risky assets like there is no tomorrow.

 

In the meantime, the US dollar index (DXY) is trying to maintain its position above 104.00, although the upside remains intact. Regarding the British pound, investors anticipate the announcement of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) figures. The quarterly GDP estimate for the United Kingdom is predicted to be 1 percent, compared to the previous estimate of 1.3%, while the annual estimate is projected to be 9 percent, compared to the previous estimate of 6.6%. A higher-than-anticipated UK GDP may protect the pound from additional losses, whilst a weaker-than-anticipated figure would accelerate the asset's decline.

GBP/USD

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