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The Federation of Thai Automobile Manufacturers: Thailands automobile exports rose 11.29% year-on-year in December, compared with a 12.22% decline in November.On January 28th, according to Qichacha APP, Yitu (Shenzhen) Technology Co., Ltd. recently underwent industrial and commercial registration changes, with Beijing Quantum Leap Technology Co., Ltd., a subsidiary of ByteDance, becoming a new shareholder. Public information shows that Yitu Technology is an automotive intelligent software service provider.On January 28th, Goldman Sachs reported that despite rising geopolitical risks, investor risk appetite remains high, indicating that the market has largely priced in macroeconomic risks. According to the banks latest positioning and sentiment indicators, investor optimism is currently at approximately the 67th percentile, and its proprietary risk appetite index has risen to its highest level since April 2021, highlighting the continued preference for risk assets. Funds are currently flowing across high-risk assets, with equity allocations remaining active. Investors continue to overweight and expand their global portfolios, without shifting towards defensive strategies. Continued participation from US retail investors supports market breadth, while international funds are accelerating their inflows into Europe, Japan, and emerging markets. This suggests that investors are increasingly confident in the global growth outlook and are shifting from concentrated US allocations to diversified portfolios, showing a greater willingness to increase allocations to regions that may benefit from cyclical recovery, valuation advantages, or policy improvements.The Federation of Automobile Manufacturers of Thailand reported that domestic car sales increased by 39.07% year-on-year, compared to a 20.65% increase in November.On January 28th, Capital Economics economist Abhijit Surya stated that persistent underlying inflationary pressures in Australia will prompt the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to reverse its rate-cutting trend next month. He expects the RBA to raise rates by 25 basis points at its policy meeting next week, followed by another rate hike in May. Surya added that this move would be sufficient to curb excessive demand in the economy, but the market remains wary of the possibility of further policy tightening.

GBP/USD to Test 1.2260; Downside Remains Favored Due to Rising US CPI; UK GDP Watched

Daniel Rogers

May 12, 2022 10:13

The GBP/USD pair has broken to the negative from its week-long consolidation between 1.2260 and 1.2400. The asset may test the lower range of consolidation to confirm the bears' strength, but the downside remains intact as rising US inflation data has increased the likelihood of a massive rate hike by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in June.

 

Wednesday's 8.3 percent reading for the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) surpassed the 8.1 percent forecast by theștiindștiind. Market analysts anticipated that the Fed's June monetary policy would include a 50 basis point (bps) interest rate hike in response to the US CPI reading of 8.1%. Now, a higher-than-anticipated US inflation rate has increased the likelihood of a 75 basis point rate hike. This has shook the foreign exchange market, and investors are selling risky assets like there is no tomorrow.

 

In the meantime, the US dollar index (DXY) is trying to maintain its position above 104.00, although the upside remains intact. Regarding the British pound, investors anticipate the announcement of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) figures. The quarterly GDP estimate for the United Kingdom is predicted to be 1 percent, compared to the previous estimate of 1.3%, while the annual estimate is projected to be 9 percent, compared to the previous estimate of 6.6%. A higher-than-anticipated UK GDP may protect the pound from additional losses, whilst a weaker-than-anticipated figure would accelerate the asset's decline.

GBP/USD

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