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Canadian Prime Minister Carney: Indian Prime Minister Modi and I have launched negotiations on a trade agreement that is expected to more than double our trade volume to $70 billion.On November 24th, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy delivered a speech on the 23rd, local time, briefing the Ukrainian delegation on the series of high-level talks held that day in Geneva, Switzerland. Zelenskyy stated that Ukraine is very carefully formulating the steps needed to end the conflict. He revealed that the negotiations in Switzerland on the 23rd would continue, with the team expected to work until late at night and submit further progress reports. Regarding communication with US representatives, both sides maintained substantive dialogue, and Ukraine has received positive signals that US President Trumps team is carefully listening to Ukraines position and concerns. Zelenskyy emphasized that ensuring the steps to end the conflict are effective and feasible is crucial. The current acceleration of the diplomatic process is a positive sign, and Ukraine expects the final outcome to be reflected in a series of correct, powerful, and sustainable action plans.On November 24th, representatives from Ukraine, the EU, and the US met in Geneva, Switzerland, on Sunday to discuss the US-proposed 28-point plan to end the Russia-Ukraine conflict. The EU representative reportedly presented a European version of the counter-proposal. According to the EUs counter-proposal, the number of Ukrainian troops would be capped at 800,000, higher than the US-proposed 600,000. Ukraine also pledged not to use military means to reclaim occupied sovereign territories, and that territorial exchange negotiations would begin from the current military contact line. The EU further proposed that Ukraine would receive a US security guarantee similar to Article 5 of NATO, and that NATO would agree not to permanently station NATO-commanded troops in Ukraine during peacetime, with NATO aircraft only stationed in Poland. Whether Ukraine would join NATO would depend on the consensus of NATO member states, but currently, there is no such consensus. Furthermore, Ukraine will hold elections as soon as possible after the signing of a peace agreement.On November 24th, German Chancellor Merz stated during the G20 summit in Johannesburg, South Africa on the 23rd that he had proposed a simplified version of the "28-point" plan put forward by the United States to end the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Merz stated that this plan is "below the level of a complete solution" and aims to find workable points of consensus in complex negotiations. He indicated that the "28-point" plan is too complex to reach an agreement in such a short time, and he hopes that the "simplified plan" will at least attempt to find a point of entry for reaching a consensus. Merz pointed out that given the current differences, reaching an agreement by the 27th, as demanded by US President Trump, is quite difficult.Ukrainian President Zelensky: Its a good thing to have dialogue with US representatives. There are signs that US President Trumps team "heard us."

GBP/USD to Test 1.2260; Downside Remains Favored Due to Rising US CPI; UK GDP Watched

Daniel Rogers

May 12, 2022 10:13

The GBP/USD pair has broken to the negative from its week-long consolidation between 1.2260 and 1.2400. The asset may test the lower range of consolidation to confirm the bears' strength, but the downside remains intact as rising US inflation data has increased the likelihood of a massive rate hike by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in June.

 

Wednesday's 8.3 percent reading for the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) surpassed the 8.1 percent forecast by theștiindștiind. Market analysts anticipated that the Fed's June monetary policy would include a 50 basis point (bps) interest rate hike in response to the US CPI reading of 8.1%. Now, a higher-than-anticipated US inflation rate has increased the likelihood of a 75 basis point rate hike. This has shook the foreign exchange market, and investors are selling risky assets like there is no tomorrow.

 

In the meantime, the US dollar index (DXY) is trying to maintain its position above 104.00, although the upside remains intact. Regarding the British pound, investors anticipate the announcement of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) figures. The quarterly GDP estimate for the United Kingdom is predicted to be 1 percent, compared to the previous estimate of 1.3%, while the annual estimate is projected to be 9 percent, compared to the previous estimate of 6.6%. A higher-than-anticipated UK GDP may protect the pound from additional losses, whilst a weaker-than-anticipated figure would accelerate the asset's decline.

GBP/USD

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