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On January 12th, Saul Eslake, former chief economist at Bank of America Merrill Lynch Australia, pointed out that the Trump administrations continued attacks on the Federal Reserves independence are one of the reasons for the decline in short-term interest rates while long-term bond yields are rising. Recent attacks on Powell will continue to impact global long-term interest rates, and Australia will also be affected—meaning that the countrys government debt burden may face further upward pressure.AI application concept stocks in Hong Kong continued to strengthen, with Zhipu (02513.HK) rising more than 23%, MINIMAX-WP (00100.HK) rising more than 21%, and Meitu (01357.HK), Weimob Group (02013.HK) and others following suit.On January 12, Trump denied involvement in the Justice Departments subpoena of the Federal Reserve. Speaking about Fed Chairman Powell, he said, "I have no idea about it, but hes clearly not doing well at the Fed, and hes not good at managing construction projects." Trump stated that the Justice Department subpoena was unrelated to interest rates: "No, I would never even consider putting pressure on him that way. What should really be putting pressure on him is the fact that interest rates are too high; thats the only pressure hes under." He added, "Hes hurt a lot of people, and I think the public is putting pressure on him."On January 12th, the highest 7-day annualized yield of Tencent Wealth Managements "Current Account +" was 1.3220%, and the lowest was 0.8750%. The highest 7-day annualized yield of WeChat Pays "Lingqian Tong" was 1.2310%, and the lowest was 1.0450%. The highest 7-day annualized yield of Alipays "Yuebao" was 1.2070%, and the lowest was 1.0030%.Hong Kong-listed tech stocks continued their upward trend, with Kuaishou (01024.HK) rising over 4%, Alibaba (09988.HK) rising over 2%, and Baidu (09888.HK), Bilibili (09626.HK), and others following suit.

GBP/USD to Test 1.2260; Downside Remains Favored Due to Rising US CPI; UK GDP Watched

Daniel Rogers

May 12, 2022 10:13

The GBP/USD pair has broken to the negative from its week-long consolidation between 1.2260 and 1.2400. The asset may test the lower range of consolidation to confirm the bears' strength, but the downside remains intact as rising US inflation data has increased the likelihood of a massive rate hike by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in June.

 

Wednesday's 8.3 percent reading for the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) surpassed the 8.1 percent forecast by theștiindștiind. Market analysts anticipated that the Fed's June monetary policy would include a 50 basis point (bps) interest rate hike in response to the US CPI reading of 8.1%. Now, a higher-than-anticipated US inflation rate has increased the likelihood of a 75 basis point rate hike. This has shook the foreign exchange market, and investors are selling risky assets like there is no tomorrow.

 

In the meantime, the US dollar index (DXY) is trying to maintain its position above 104.00, although the upside remains intact. Regarding the British pound, investors anticipate the announcement of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) figures. The quarterly GDP estimate for the United Kingdom is predicted to be 1 percent, compared to the previous estimate of 1.3%, while the annual estimate is projected to be 9 percent, compared to the previous estimate of 6.6%. A higher-than-anticipated UK GDP may protect the pound from additional losses, whilst a weaker-than-anticipated figure would accelerate the asset's decline.

GBP/USD

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