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On May 17, the Venezuelan government announced that Colombian businessman Alex Saab had been deported from the United States on suspicion of multiple crimes. Immigration authorities did not disclose his final destination. Saab was one of former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduros most influential financial advisors. He had been detained in a Caracas prison since early February, during which time Venezuelan and U.S. authorities explored ways to extradite him. This transfer marks the most significant judicial cooperation between Caracas and Washington since Maduros capture by U.S. forces in January and could open new avenues for investigations into corruption within the former Venezuelan government. Maduro is currently on trial in a New York court with his wife.On May 17, the World Health Organization declared that the Ebola outbreaks in the Democratic Republic of Congo and Uganda constitute a "Public Health Emergency of International Concern."① Iran: 1. Construction resumes on Unit 2 of the Bushehr nuclear power plant in Iran. 2. A fire at an Iranian oil factory injures at least 10 people. 3. According to Iranian state media, the Iranian stock market will reopen next Tuesday. ② United States: 1. The USS Ford aircraft carrier returns to its home port in the United States. 2. Trump suggests the situation in Iran is "the calm before the storm." 3. The United States suspects Iranian hackers of infiltrating fuel monitoring systems at gas stations in multiple states. 4. Sources: The US and Israel may resume military operations against Iran as early as next week. ③ Israel: 1. Israeli military: One soldier was killed in fighting in southern Lebanon. 2. Israeli forces launched airstrikes on Hezbollah infrastructure in several locations in southern Lebanon. ④ Strait of Hormuz: 1. The conflict between the US, Israel, and Iran has led to a sharp decline in Iraqi crude oil exports. 2. Iran: A mechanism for managing the Strait of Hormuz is ready, and details will be released soon. 3. Iranian media: European parties have begun contacting the Revolutionary Guard regarding passage through the Strait of Hormuz. 4. According to Iranian media reports, Iran stated that shipping will return to normal after the unrest in the Strait of Hormuz ends. 5. US Central Command: As of May 16, 78 merchant ships have been redirected, and 4 have been intercepted and suspended to ensure compliance with the blockade measures. 6. According to Iran International Television: Iran has launched a new maritime insurance platform for ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz. Reports indicate the system provides digital insurance policies. ⑤ Ceasefire Negotiations 1. Pakistans Interior Minister visited Iran to discuss border security and other issues. 2. Trump: If a peace agreement cannot be reached, Iran will face a "very bad situation." ⑥ Other Situations 1. The current conflict between Israel and Lebanon has resulted in 2,969 deaths in Lebanon. 2. Pakistans Interior Minister visited Iran to discuss border security and other issues. 3. Gaza has been attacked several times in the past 48 hours, resulting in 13 deaths and 57 injuries. 4. British media: US officials are urging the UAE to seize the key Iranian island of Lawan. 5. The Strait of Hormuz crisis remains unresolved, and the US continues to suspend waivers for Russian crude oil sales. 6. Iranian media: Saudi oil production has fallen to its lowest level since 1990 due to the disruption in the Strait of Hormuz. 7. According to RIA Novosti: The Kremlin stated that Putin spoke by phone with the President of the UAE to discuss the Middle East and Iran.According to the Daily Mail, sources say British Prime Minister Keir Starmer has told close friends that he intends to resign and has developed a well-organized timetable for his departure.On May 17, British Columbia health officials reported on May 16 that a passenger from the cruise ship *Hundius*, who was quarantined in the province, tested positive for hantavirus in a preliminary test. British Columbias Chief Medical Officer of Health, Bonnie Henry, said the patient developed mild symptoms such as fever and headache two days prior and was subsequently hospitalized. Her preliminary hantavirus test on May 15 was positive. The patient is currently in isolation, and her test results still require confirmation by a microbiology laboratory. Her partner tested negative. Currently, 10 Canadian citizens are under quarantine due to the *Hundius* outbreak; four are in British Columbia for a 21-day quarantine, and the other six are in Alberta, Ontario, and Quebec.

GBP/USD seeks to regain 1.2300 as higher UK CPI strengthens the case for a rate hike by the Bank of England and the USD retreats

Alina Haynes

Mar 23, 2023 15:00

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During the Asian session, the GBP/USD pair attempts to reclaim the resistance level at 1.2300. Following a vertical correction, the Cable has recovered to near 1.2260 as the market anticipates that the absence of hawkish interest rate guidance from Federal Reserve (Fed) chair Jerome Powell while addressing the economy at the monetary policy meeting indicates that the Fed is close to ending its policy-tightening spell.

 

S&P500 futures have generated some gains in the Asian session following a decline on Wednesday as a result of Fed Powell's confirmation that the fight against intractable U.S. inflation will continue. Chairman of the Federal Reserve Jerome Powell has ruled out rate cuts in 2023, citing the difficulty of controlling inflation. In addition, US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen's statement that the government "does not plan to insure all uninsured bank deposits" heightened fears of a banking sector collapse.

 

Following a recovery move, the US Dollar Index (DXY) has retreated on expectations that additional credit tightening to protect banking institutions will reduce overall demand, economic activity, and inflation. In the interim, the demand for US government bonds has increased as a result of expectations that US Janet Yellen will end further policy restrictions and reduce support for all bank deposits.

 

On the front of the United Kingdom, the Pound Sterling is likely to maintain its strength as the Bank of England (BoE) is scheduled to raise rates for the eleventh consecutive time. Governor Andrew Bailey of the Bank of England is expected to raise interest rates by 25 basis points (bp) in response to rising food and non-alcoholic beverage prices, as well as rising energy costs, which have contributed to inflation in the United Kingdom.

 

In the midst of global banking turmoil, the Bank of England's (BoE) interest rate decision will be difficult, as policymakers were divided over whether to raise rates further or maintain them at their present level.


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