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On July 2nd, Futures News reported that the situation in the Middle East improved this period, with the US and Iran reaching a memorandum of understanding. Affected by this, crude oil prices remained weak, with the change rate deepening into negative territory. According to Zhuochuang Informations calculations, as of the close of trading on July 1st, the crude oil change rate for the 9th working day was -19.31%, with gasoline and diesel prices expected to decrease by 855 yuan/ton. With only one working day left before the price adjustment window, there is a high probability of a significant reduction in retail prices of refined oil products at 24:00 on July 3rd. This reduction would be the first "three consecutive drops" this year, with a significant cumulative decrease, further reducing fuel costs for consumers as the summer vacation begins.On July 2nd, Minister Li Lecheng of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology chaired a Party Group meeting on the afternoon of July 1st. The meeting emphasized the need to practice the people-centered development philosophy, follow the Partys mass line in the new era, formulate and implement the "15th Five-Year Plan" series for the industrial and information technology sectors, consolidate the steady and positive trend of the industrial economy, focus on improving the quality of the manufacturing supply system and the service level of the information and communication industry, earnestly address the urgent needs and concerns of the people, and strive to ensure that the people have a more substantial sense of gain, a more sustainable sense of happiness, and a stronger sense of security. The meeting stressed the importance of enhancing the ability to fight. It called for strengthening awareness of potential dangers, adhering to bottom-line thinking, carrying forward the spirit of struggle, shouldering heavy responsibilities, rising to challenges, and preventing and resolving risks and hidden dangers from all aspects. The meeting also emphasized strengthening the security protection of national critical information infrastructure, improving network and data security capabilities, and firmly safeguarding the bottom line of artificial intelligence security.July 2nd – The State Council Taiwan Affairs Office held a regular press conference this morning, hosted by spokesperson Zhu Fenglian. ETtoday reporter from Taiwans ETtoday asked: "Currently, the value and proportion of goods exported to the mainland under the ECFA are showing a downward trend. There are concerns that the remaining early harvest list items under the ECFA will continue or may be completely terminated. What is your comment on this?" Zhu Fenglian replied: "In June 2010, based on the political foundation of the 1992 Consensus, the two sides of the Taiwan Strait signed the Cross-Strait Economic Cooperation Framework Agreement (ECFA). Over the years, we have earnestly fulfilled our commitments, promoting and guaranteeing the effectiveness and implementation of the ECFA, bringing tangible benefits to relevant enterprises and people on the island, especially small and medium-sized enterprises and farmers and fishermen. Before taking office, the DPP attacked the ECFA; after taking office, it seriously obstructed its implementation. Not only did it fail to take concrete measures to remove discriminatory trade restrictions against the mainland, but it also continuously and escalated its actions by revising rules and setting up obstacles, maliciously hindering and undermining normal cross-strait economic exchanges and cooperation, forcing relevant mainland departments to suspend tariff reductions on some ECFA products. The responsibility for this lies entirely with the DPP authorities."Türkiyes car sales rose 11.4% year-on-year in June, but fell 8.19% year-on-year in the first half of the year.On July 2nd, strategists at State Street Investment Management stated in a report that gold prices could reach $5,000 per ounce by early 2027, as the bull market cycle for gold remains sustainable. They believe that golds status as a currency hedge is likely to be supported by rising US government debt, while actual demand for gold remains strong. Global gold fund holdings (a portion of global mutual fund and exchange-traded fund assets) are currently still below State Streets target level of 3% to 10% for most portfolios. Furthermore, they added that the Federal Reserves hawkish shift should not change the structural trend of gold in the post-pandemic era. State Street expects the price of basic gold bars to rise to $4,750 to $5,500 per ounce within the next six to nine months.

GBP/USD seeks to regain 1.2300 as higher UK CPI strengthens the case for a rate hike by the Bank of England and the USD retreats

Alina Haynes

Mar 23, 2023 15:00

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During the Asian session, the GBP/USD pair attempts to reclaim the resistance level at 1.2300. Following a vertical correction, the Cable has recovered to near 1.2260 as the market anticipates that the absence of hawkish interest rate guidance from Federal Reserve (Fed) chair Jerome Powell while addressing the economy at the monetary policy meeting indicates that the Fed is close to ending its policy-tightening spell.

 

S&P500 futures have generated some gains in the Asian session following a decline on Wednesday as a result of Fed Powell's confirmation that the fight against intractable U.S. inflation will continue. Chairman of the Federal Reserve Jerome Powell has ruled out rate cuts in 2023, citing the difficulty of controlling inflation. In addition, US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen's statement that the government "does not plan to insure all uninsured bank deposits" heightened fears of a banking sector collapse.

 

Following a recovery move, the US Dollar Index (DXY) has retreated on expectations that additional credit tightening to protect banking institutions will reduce overall demand, economic activity, and inflation. In the interim, the demand for US government bonds has increased as a result of expectations that US Janet Yellen will end further policy restrictions and reduce support for all bank deposits.

 

On the front of the United Kingdom, the Pound Sterling is likely to maintain its strength as the Bank of England (BoE) is scheduled to raise rates for the eleventh consecutive time. Governor Andrew Bailey of the Bank of England is expected to raise interest rates by 25 basis points (bp) in response to rising food and non-alcoholic beverage prices, as well as rising energy costs, which have contributed to inflation in the United Kingdom.

 

In the midst of global banking turmoil, the Bank of England's (BoE) interest rate decision will be difficult, as policymakers were divided over whether to raise rates further or maintain them at their present level.