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August 22nd - Analysts say US President Trump is attempting to achieve what tens of thousands of bombs and missiles failed to do: force Iran to end the war according to US conditions by imposing a new round of sanctions, a naval blockade, and increased economic pressure on Irans trading partners. However, this old approach of "forcing Iran to submit" has a fatal flaw: Irans Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps has effectively controlled the Strait of Hormuz and has repeatedly launched large numbers of attack drones towards the Persian Gulf. The Revolutionary Guard is largely immune to economic pressure and has ample means of retaliation. A key turning point in this round of US action is Monday, when Treasury Secretary Bessant will announce details of a new plan. This plan aims to shift the conflict from mutual airstrikes in the Middle East to comprehensive economic isolation. However, if the new economic pressure proves effective, Iran is likely to retaliate with military strikes, targeting energy facilities along the Persian Gulf coast, attempting to drive up oil prices, increase the cost of US action, and force Trump to change course again.According to Fox News, U.S. Trade Representative Greer stated that there are no plans for new negotiations with Canada.Ukrainian President Zelenskyy: He discussed the air defense shortage with French President Macron, and Macron agreed to expedite the delivery of the latest French equipment.Syrian Foreign Ministry: Israel’s continued attacks have exacerbated tensions and instability.The Syrian Foreign Ministry stated that Israels attack on Beitkin, a suburb of Damascus, constituted a violation of national sovereignty.

GBP/USD seeks to regain 1.2300 as higher UK CPI strengthens the case for a rate hike by the Bank of England and the USD retreats

Alina Haynes

Mar 23, 2023 15:00

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During the Asian session, the GBP/USD pair attempts to reclaim the resistance level at 1.2300. Following a vertical correction, the Cable has recovered to near 1.2260 as the market anticipates that the absence of hawkish interest rate guidance from Federal Reserve (Fed) chair Jerome Powell while addressing the economy at the monetary policy meeting indicates that the Fed is close to ending its policy-tightening spell.

 

S&P500 futures have generated some gains in the Asian session following a decline on Wednesday as a result of Fed Powell's confirmation that the fight against intractable U.S. inflation will continue. Chairman of the Federal Reserve Jerome Powell has ruled out rate cuts in 2023, citing the difficulty of controlling inflation. In addition, US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen's statement that the government "does not plan to insure all uninsured bank deposits" heightened fears of a banking sector collapse.

 

Following a recovery move, the US Dollar Index (DXY) has retreated on expectations that additional credit tightening to protect banking institutions will reduce overall demand, economic activity, and inflation. In the interim, the demand for US government bonds has increased as a result of expectations that US Janet Yellen will end further policy restrictions and reduce support for all bank deposits.

 

On the front of the United Kingdom, the Pound Sterling is likely to maintain its strength as the Bank of England (BoE) is scheduled to raise rates for the eleventh consecutive time. Governor Andrew Bailey of the Bank of England is expected to raise interest rates by 25 basis points (bp) in response to rising food and non-alcoholic beverage prices, as well as rising energy costs, which have contributed to inflation in the United Kingdom.

 

In the midst of global banking turmoil, the Bank of England's (BoE) interest rate decision will be difficult, as policymakers were divided over whether to raise rates further or maintain them at their present level.