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On August 14th, Bank of America strategists stated that a Republican victory in the midterm elections and retention of the Texas governorship could propel the stock market further upward. A team led by Michael Hartnett wrote that a strong performance by Trumps party on November 3rd, coupled with Greg Abbotts re-election in Texas, would be particularly beneficial for artificial intelligence (AI) trading. The midterm elections are considered a major risk event for US stocks, and Goldman Sachs strategist Snider recommends buying index volatility in the months leading up to the election. Hartnett stated, "If Trump retains the Senate and Abbott in Texas, the stock market—especially the AI sector—is expected to surge into a bubble 2027." However, if the Democrats win the Senate and defeat Abbott, the stock market could experience a "significant drop" of over 10%, and the dollar and bond yields would also decline by the end of the year.According to Axios: OpenAI underwent executive changes ahead of its IPO.August 14th - As of today (August 14th), the number of inbound and outbound passengers at Hangzhou Port this year has exceeded 3 million, roughly the same as the previous year. Among them, over 270,000 are foreign passengers, representing a year-on-year increase of over 12%, while over 160,000 are visa-free foreign passengers, representing a year-on-year increase of over 20%. The main sources of foreign passengers are South Korea, Vietnam, Singapore, and Malaysia.Russia has stated that there is no reason to give Ukraine a "temporary respite" regarding the situation in the Black Sea.Russia has stated that it cannot revive the 2022-23 Black Sea Initiative.

GBP/USD seeks to regain 1.2300 as higher UK CPI strengthens the case for a rate hike by the Bank of England and the USD retreats

Alina Haynes

Mar 23, 2023 15:00

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During the Asian session, the GBP/USD pair attempts to reclaim the resistance level at 1.2300. Following a vertical correction, the Cable has recovered to near 1.2260 as the market anticipates that the absence of hawkish interest rate guidance from Federal Reserve (Fed) chair Jerome Powell while addressing the economy at the monetary policy meeting indicates that the Fed is close to ending its policy-tightening spell.

 

S&P500 futures have generated some gains in the Asian session following a decline on Wednesday as a result of Fed Powell's confirmation that the fight against intractable U.S. inflation will continue. Chairman of the Federal Reserve Jerome Powell has ruled out rate cuts in 2023, citing the difficulty of controlling inflation. In addition, US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen's statement that the government "does not plan to insure all uninsured bank deposits" heightened fears of a banking sector collapse.

 

Following a recovery move, the US Dollar Index (DXY) has retreated on expectations that additional credit tightening to protect banking institutions will reduce overall demand, economic activity, and inflation. In the interim, the demand for US government bonds has increased as a result of expectations that US Janet Yellen will end further policy restrictions and reduce support for all bank deposits.

 

On the front of the United Kingdom, the Pound Sterling is likely to maintain its strength as the Bank of England (BoE) is scheduled to raise rates for the eleventh consecutive time. Governor Andrew Bailey of the Bank of England is expected to raise interest rates by 25 basis points (bp) in response to rising food and non-alcoholic beverage prices, as well as rising energy costs, which have contributed to inflation in the United Kingdom.

 

In the midst of global banking turmoil, the Bank of England's (BoE) interest rate decision will be difficult, as policymakers were divided over whether to raise rates further or maintain them at their present level.


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