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September 7th - According to Nikkei, Toyota Motor Corporation aims to increase its operating profit (excluding new car sales, such as software updates and vehicle leasing) by approximately 40% to 3 trillion yen (about US$19.2 billion) by fiscal year 2030. The Japanese automaker hopes to move away from its current business model, which is heavily reliant on new car sales, by generating profits from its existing 150 million Toyota vehicles worldwide.Conflict Status 1. The Iranian Revolutionary Guard claims to have struck a US aircraft carrier and destroyer. 2. Israeli attacks in southern Lebanon have resulted in multiple casualties. 3. Clashes between Yemeni government forces and Houthi rebels have left at least 117 people dead. Strait of Hormuz 1. The Iranian Revolutionary Guard released video footage of its actions against vessels violating regulations, claiming that the US escort was a complete lie. 2. Iran says it will declare the Strait of Hormuz a "no-go zone" in the coming days. 3. Secretary of Irans Supreme National Security Council: The navigational route map for the Strait of Hormuz agreed upon with Oman will be signed in the coming days. 4. Secretary of Irans Supreme National Security Council: Iran will only commit to keeping the Strait of Hormuz open if the US ceases its threats or attacks. 5. UK Maritime Trade Operations Office: 59 vessels passed through the Strait of Hormuz in the past 48 hours. Other Matters 1. Iranian military: Has demonstrated a new mode of resistance and will not surrender to the US. 2. Lebanese President: Israels attacks have exceeded the scope of the ceasefire agreement and the framework agreement for national institutions. 3. Iranian Parliament Speaker: Any future actions targeting Iranian interests and security will be met with a "faster, fiercer, and more painful" response. 4. The UAE, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and eight other countries issued a joint statement condemning Israels statements regarding the expulsion of Palestinians from the Gaza Strip. 5. Iranian Foreign Ministry: The US waged war but made the whole world pay the price. 6. Iran will raise gasoline prices for heavy users.September 7th - Iranian Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Baghae stated: "The Strait of Hormuz was completely unobstructed until February 28th, when the US and Israel invaded Iran. Washington launched an illegal and barbaric war, disrupting normal commercial shipping; oil tankers stopped sailing, trade was interrupted, and energy prices soared. The US started the war, yet expects the whole world to pay for it, while portraying Iran as the instigator of this chaos. This is utterly absurd."September 7th - According to the Financial Times, citing multiple Western defense and intelligence officials, Europe has failed to effectively deter Russias "hybrid warfare" against the continent and must quickly develop new methods to curb Moscows actions against NATO member states, or risk escalating conflict with the Kremlin. Western officials stated that last months thwarted drone strike on Leipzig/Halle airport, carrying military-grade explosives, highlighted Russias brazenness in its aggressive practices against NATO and the ineffectiveness of existing deterrents. They added that a collective action from European countries is needed to address the issue. A senior Western defense official stated, "It is clear that we are doing far too little to deter provocations that do not violate NATOs Article 5." They added, "The deterrent force we provide is sufficient to prevent Russia from escalating conventional and nuclear warfare. But we really need to rethink our strategy for dealing with hybrid warfare."Ukrainian President Zelensky: We may prefer certain forms of negotiation, but worse is that there are no forms of negotiation at all. I want to thank U.S. Special Envoy for the Middle East, Witkov, and Trumps son-in-law, Kushner, for their roles in restarting the negotiation process today. It is very important that the U.S. team met with the Russian leaders and then with me today to discuss all possibilities. We held trilateral talks with European representatives, as well as a meeting of national security advisors, and I believe we will do everything we can to resume negotiations.

GBP/USD seeks to regain 1.2300 as higher UK CPI strengthens the case for a rate hike by the Bank of England and the USD retreats

Alina Haynes

Mar 23, 2023 15:00

 GBP:USD.png

 

During the Asian session, the GBP/USD pair attempts to reclaim the resistance level at 1.2300. Following a vertical correction, the Cable has recovered to near 1.2260 as the market anticipates that the absence of hawkish interest rate guidance from Federal Reserve (Fed) chair Jerome Powell while addressing the economy at the monetary policy meeting indicates that the Fed is close to ending its policy-tightening spell.

 

S&P500 futures have generated some gains in the Asian session following a decline on Wednesday as a result of Fed Powell's confirmation that the fight against intractable U.S. inflation will continue. Chairman of the Federal Reserve Jerome Powell has ruled out rate cuts in 2023, citing the difficulty of controlling inflation. In addition, US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen's statement that the government "does not plan to insure all uninsured bank deposits" heightened fears of a banking sector collapse.

 

Following a recovery move, the US Dollar Index (DXY) has retreated on expectations that additional credit tightening to protect banking institutions will reduce overall demand, economic activity, and inflation. In the interim, the demand for US government bonds has increased as a result of expectations that US Janet Yellen will end further policy restrictions and reduce support for all bank deposits.

 

On the front of the United Kingdom, the Pound Sterling is likely to maintain its strength as the Bank of England (BoE) is scheduled to raise rates for the eleventh consecutive time. Governor Andrew Bailey of the Bank of England is expected to raise interest rates by 25 basis points (bp) in response to rising food and non-alcoholic beverage prices, as well as rising energy costs, which have contributed to inflation in the United Kingdom.

 

In the midst of global banking turmoil, the Bank of England's (BoE) interest rate decision will be difficult, as policymakers were divided over whether to raise rates further or maintain them at their present level.


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