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November 8th - According to the latest report from the World Platinum Investment Council, the global platinum market is entering a period of sustained shortage. From the supply side, global platinum supply is highly dependent on South Africa, and mine expansion cycles can take up to three years. Faced with strong market demand, the supply side is struggling to respond quickly, meaning that the industrys structural deficit will persist for years to come, further exacerbating the tight supply situation.A U.S. judge ruled that Trumps order for the National Guard to go to Portland, Oregon, was illegal.US President Trump: Now is the time for Republican senators to stop playing tricks on the radical left Democrats, immediately stop obstructing the proceedings, immediately open the government, and pass some great legislation based on common sense!On November 8th, following shareholder approval of Elon Musks $1 trillion compensation package, his rival, U.S. electric vehicle maker Rivian, announced on Friday a compensation package worth up to $4.6 billion for CEO and founder RJ Scaringe, linking the award to the companys earnings and stock performance over the next decade. Rivian stated that Scaringe will receive options to purchase up to 36.5 million Class A common shares at an exercise price of $15.22 per share, approximately 16 million more than his previous award. The options will vest in stages over the next ten years, subject to conditions including the companys stock price reaching different target levels between $40 and $140 per share, and achieving new revenue and cash flow targets over the next seven years.On November 8th, local time, the U.S. Senate failed to pass a motion to advance the Certain Federal Employees Appropriations Act (S.3012) by a vote of 53 to 43, falling short of the 60 votes required for passage. This bill aims to provide funding for some federal employees who are required to perform their duties during the forced shutdown to mitigate the impact of the government shutdown. Although some lawmakers called for a swift restoration of funding for key sectors, the final vote showed that partisan divisions remain, and the government shutdown is unlikely to be resolved in the near future.

GBP/USD falls to around 1.2370 as the BoE considers taking swift action ahead of UK inflation and US purchasing managers' indices

Alina Haynes

Apr 17, 2023 13:53

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On Monday morning, the GBP/USD currency pair retested an intraday low of 1.2390 after extending Sunday's decline from a 10-month high. To provoke adverse after breaking a four-week uptrend, the Cable pair explains the most recent concerns emanating from the United Kingdom (UK) and the optimism surrounding the Federal Reserve (Fed).

 

According to the Financial Times (FT), "The Bank of England is considering a major overhaul of its deposit guarantee scheme, including increasing the amount covered for businesses and compelling banks to pre-fund the system to a greater extent to ensure faster access to cash when a lender collapses."  The revelation fuels banking concerns in the United Kingdom and places pressure on the Cable duo.

 

UK Chancellor Jeremy Hunt's concerns about US subsidies may also be exerting downward pressure on the GBP/USD exchange rate as British firms rush to claim benefits before leaving the country. According to the news, "Chancellor Jeremy Hunt warned Sky News that Britain should be wary of any new subsidies, warning that they could undermine the economy and possibly even spark a protectionist trade war."

 

A larger-than-expected decline in US retail sales was unable to offset positive data from US industrial production and the University of Michigan's (UoM) consumer confidence index from the previous day. Despite this, US retail sales decreased by 1.0% in March compared to the predicted -0.4% decline and February's -0.2% decline. As opposed to the 0.2% market consensus and previous reading, Industrial Production increased by 0.4% in the month in question. The preliminary result of the University of Michigan's (UoM) Consumer Confidence Index for April, which increased to 63.5 from 62.0 analysts' expectations and previous readings, was also encouraging. In addition, inflation forecasts for the next year increased from 3.6% in March to 4.6% in April, while inflation forecasts for the next five years decreased by 2.9% during the same month.

 

Notably, Fed officials have recently appeared more hawkish than their BoE counterparts, which has exerted additional pressure on the GBP/USD exchange rate.

 

In this environment, the S&P 500 Futures exhibit modest gains following Wall Street's pessimistic close, while bond yields remain unchanged following weekly increases.

 

Moving forward, the current week is crucial for GBP/USD speculators as it contains a variety of high-quality inflation, employment, and UK PMI data. These data may be used to support the Bank of England's (BoE) officials' waning hawkish inclination and may keep bears in play. However, the US PMIs and Fed discussions should not be disregarded when looking for clear guidelines.

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