EUR/USD 1.15415
0.116%
Gold 4033.92
-1.063%
Oil 58.205
-0.840%
USD/JPY 157.172
-0.182%
GBP/USD 1.30902
0.137%
GBP/JPY 205.746
-0.036%
Browse More
  • English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
On November 21st, Bank of America Securities issued a research report stating that Link REITs (00823.HK) interim results for fiscal year 2026 ending September 30th were below expectations. The bank lowered its distribution per unit forecast for fiscal years 2026-2028 by 2% to 3%, and correspondingly reduced its target price from HK$45 to HK$43. The report stated that Link REITs biggest negative factor was the sharp decline in retail rental income in mainland China, while a 6% decrease in renewal rents in Hong Kong was within expectations. However, the widening year-on-year decline in tenant sales in the second fiscal quarter disappointed the market. The bank expects that Link REITs cost-cutting measures should help the company stabilize its distribution per unit. By mid-fiscal year 2027, the company should be able to adjust its business portfolio to better cope with e-commerce competition. The bank believes that the companys current valuation remains attractive and reiterated its buy rating.The UKs October public sector net borrowing and seasonally adjusted retail sales figures will be released in ten minutes.1. WTI crude oil futures trading volume was 797,449 lots, a decrease of 74,716 lots from the previous trading day. Open interest was 1,851,196 lots, an increase of 505 lots from the previous trading day. 2. Brent crude oil futures trading volume was 169,628 lots, an increase of 2,365 lots from the previous trading day. Open interest was 238,065 lots, an increase of 3,119 lots from the previous trading day. 3. Natural gas futures trading volume was 516,728 lots, a decrease of 57,116 lots from the previous trading day. Open interest was 1,496,571 lots, a decrease of 9,397 lots from the previous trading day.HSBC raised its target price for Walmart (WMT.N) from $121 to $122.On November 21st, MarketPulse analyst Christian Norman stated that the better-than-expected US non-farm payroll data for September reinforced the Federal Reserves tendency to postpone interest rate cuts. However, a core question now exists in the market: how can the Fed guarantee making the right decisions in the absence of data? Therefore, although a high-interest-rate environment should be bearish for gold, there are signs that the market is beginning to view gold as a hedge against "policy mistakes." If the Fed decides to hold rates steady in December, but subsequent data proves that not cutting rates was a mistake, it could very well shake market confidence in the dollar. In contrast, gold has become a more reliable "safe haven." While this is currently only a secondary logic, it could indeed provide some support for gold prices, as it reflects a decline in market confidence in the Feds ability to accurately control the economy (in the absence of complete information).

GBP/USD falls to around 1.2370 as the BoE considers taking swift action ahead of UK inflation and US purchasing managers' indices

Alina Haynes

Apr 17, 2023 13:53

 GBP:USD.png

 

On Monday morning, the GBP/USD currency pair retested an intraday low of 1.2390 after extending Sunday's decline from a 10-month high. To provoke adverse after breaking a four-week uptrend, the Cable pair explains the most recent concerns emanating from the United Kingdom (UK) and the optimism surrounding the Federal Reserve (Fed).

 

According to the Financial Times (FT), "The Bank of England is considering a major overhaul of its deposit guarantee scheme, including increasing the amount covered for businesses and compelling banks to pre-fund the system to a greater extent to ensure faster access to cash when a lender collapses."  The revelation fuels banking concerns in the United Kingdom and places pressure on the Cable duo.

 

UK Chancellor Jeremy Hunt's concerns about US subsidies may also be exerting downward pressure on the GBP/USD exchange rate as British firms rush to claim benefits before leaving the country. According to the news, "Chancellor Jeremy Hunt warned Sky News that Britain should be wary of any new subsidies, warning that they could undermine the economy and possibly even spark a protectionist trade war."

 

A larger-than-expected decline in US retail sales was unable to offset positive data from US industrial production and the University of Michigan's (UoM) consumer confidence index from the previous day. Despite this, US retail sales decreased by 1.0% in March compared to the predicted -0.4% decline and February's -0.2% decline. As opposed to the 0.2% market consensus and previous reading, Industrial Production increased by 0.4% in the month in question. The preliminary result of the University of Michigan's (UoM) Consumer Confidence Index for April, which increased to 63.5 from 62.0 analysts' expectations and previous readings, was also encouraging. In addition, inflation forecasts for the next year increased from 3.6% in March to 4.6% in April, while inflation forecasts for the next five years decreased by 2.9% during the same month.

 

Notably, Fed officials have recently appeared more hawkish than their BoE counterparts, which has exerted additional pressure on the GBP/USD exchange rate.

 

In this environment, the S&P 500 Futures exhibit modest gains following Wall Street's pessimistic close, while bond yields remain unchanged following weekly increases.

 

Moving forward, the current week is crucial for GBP/USD speculators as it contains a variety of high-quality inflation, employment, and UK PMI data. These data may be used to support the Bank of England's (BoE) officials' waning hawkish inclination and may keep bears in play. However, the US PMIs and Fed discussions should not be disregarded when looking for clear guidelines.

Suggestion