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On April 27th, the Ministry of Civil Affairs and two other departments jointly issued the "Administrative Measures for Internet Public Fundraising Service Platforms," clarifying that public fundraising information pages on internet public fundraising service platforms must not include any form of commercial advertising or interactive functions unrelated to public fundraising. The measures will take effect on May 1st of this year. Internet public fundraising service platforms refer to online platforms designated by the State Councils Ministry of Civil Affairs specifically for providing services to charitable organizations conducting public fundraising activities. It is reported that the revised Charity Law stipulates that platforms may not refuse service without justifiable reasons, may not charge fees, and may not insert commercial advertisements. The measures further refine the relevant provisions of the Charity Law and clarify that platforms can refuse to provide services to charitable organizations under specific circumstances. At the same time, platforms are prohibited from accepting donated property on behalf of charitable organizations.On April 27th, ING analyst Chris Turner stated in a report that the US dollar weakened after media reports that Iran had offered the US a new proposal to end the war. However, he noted that the decline might be limited, as oil prices remain high and investors are assessing how central banks will respond to a situation of rising inflation and weak growth. This week, the Bank of Japan, the Federal Reserve, the Bank of England, and the European Central Bank will all announce their interest rate decisions.April 27th - A survey of businesses access to financing released by the European Central Bank (ECB) on Monday showed that, affected by the war in Iran, eurozone businesses expect short-term inflation to rise, but long-term expectations remain stable, and wage growth expectations are actually slowing. The survey, covering over 10,000 businesses, including both pre- and post-war responses, showed no signs of a second wave of inflation, easing some concerns ahead of Thursdays meeting. The ECB stated that one-year inflation expectations jumped to 3.0% from 2.6% three months ago, while three- and five-year inflation expectations remained unchanged. Businesses did not raise their wage expectations; instead, they reported a slowdown in wage growth expectations. The ECB stated, "The Middle East war has significantly increased businesses expectations for selling prices and input costs, but has not affected wage expectations." The survey showed that wages are expected to grow by 2.8%, down from 3.1% three months ago. Businesses expect selling prices to rise by 3.5%, while input costs, including energy, are expected to rise by 5.8%.On April 27th, the Investor Service and Protection Professional Committee of the Securities Association of China held an enlarged meeting of its chairpersons in Nanning on April 8th. The meeting discussed and exchanged views on the securities industrys implementation of the "15th Five-Year Plan" and strengthening investor protection, and reviewed and approved the Investor Service and Protection Professional Committees key work plan for 2026. The meeting concluded that during the "15th Five-Year Plan" period, the securities industry should deeply grasp the development opportunities of building first-class investment banks and investment institutions, adhere to prioritizing its functions, implement the requirements of the "Several Opinions on Strengthening the Protection of Small and Medium-sized Investors in the Capital Market," integrate the requirements for strengthening investor protection into the entire process of providing financial services and products before, during, and after the transaction, assume the responsibility of protecting the legitimate rights and interests of small and medium-sized investors, implement investor suitability management responsibilities, improve the efficiency of handling investor complaints and preventing illegal securities activities, and better help investors understand risks, make prudent decisions, invest rationally, and protect their rights in accordance with the law.April 27th - In recent years, tourists have complained about management and service issues at some scenic spots, affecting their travel experience. Man Hongwei, Director of the Resource Development Department of the Ministry of Culture and Tourism, stated that strengthening scenic spot management is a key measure in the concentrated rectification of irregularities in the tourism industry: First, urging rectification at a higher level, requiring local authorities and scenic spots to review the problem list, adhere to a tourist-centric approach, formulate rectification plans for each issue, and implement rectification work within a specified timeframe. Second, strengthening unannounced inspections, organizing regular "check-up" style unannounced inspections, conducting all-day online information collection, broadening channels for problem discovery, strengthening public opinion collection and analysis, conducting on-site investigations with problem lists in mind, and improving the problem supervision mechanism. Third, linking to rating reviews, we will strengthen dynamic management of the quality rating of 5A-level tourist attractions that fail to rectify problems effectively, show poor improvement, or have frequent problems; those that should be downgraded will be downgraded, and those that should have their ratings revoked will have them revoked.

GBP/USD falls to around 1.2370 as the BoE considers taking swift action ahead of UK inflation and US purchasing managers' indices

Alina Haynes

Apr 17, 2023 13:53

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On Monday morning, the GBP/USD currency pair retested an intraday low of 1.2390 after extending Sunday's decline from a 10-month high. To provoke adverse after breaking a four-week uptrend, the Cable pair explains the most recent concerns emanating from the United Kingdom (UK) and the optimism surrounding the Federal Reserve (Fed).

 

According to the Financial Times (FT), "The Bank of England is considering a major overhaul of its deposit guarantee scheme, including increasing the amount covered for businesses and compelling banks to pre-fund the system to a greater extent to ensure faster access to cash when a lender collapses."  The revelation fuels banking concerns in the United Kingdom and places pressure on the Cable duo.

 

UK Chancellor Jeremy Hunt's concerns about US subsidies may also be exerting downward pressure on the GBP/USD exchange rate as British firms rush to claim benefits before leaving the country. According to the news, "Chancellor Jeremy Hunt warned Sky News that Britain should be wary of any new subsidies, warning that they could undermine the economy and possibly even spark a protectionist trade war."

 

A larger-than-expected decline in US retail sales was unable to offset positive data from US industrial production and the University of Michigan's (UoM) consumer confidence index from the previous day. Despite this, US retail sales decreased by 1.0% in March compared to the predicted -0.4% decline and February's -0.2% decline. As opposed to the 0.2% market consensus and previous reading, Industrial Production increased by 0.4% in the month in question. The preliminary result of the University of Michigan's (UoM) Consumer Confidence Index for April, which increased to 63.5 from 62.0 analysts' expectations and previous readings, was also encouraging. In addition, inflation forecasts for the next year increased from 3.6% in March to 4.6% in April, while inflation forecasts for the next five years decreased by 2.9% during the same month.

 

Notably, Fed officials have recently appeared more hawkish than their BoE counterparts, which has exerted additional pressure on the GBP/USD exchange rate.

 

In this environment, the S&P 500 Futures exhibit modest gains following Wall Street's pessimistic close, while bond yields remain unchanged following weekly increases.

 

Moving forward, the current week is crucial for GBP/USD speculators as it contains a variety of high-quality inflation, employment, and UK PMI data. These data may be used to support the Bank of England's (BoE) officials' waning hawkish inclination and may keep bears in play. However, the US PMIs and Fed discussions should not be disregarded when looking for clear guidelines.