EUR/USD 1.17181
0.305%
Gold 4716.92
0.481%
Oil 93.244
-2.505%
USD/JPY 159.415
-0.194%
GBP/USD 1.35321
0.490%
GBP/JPY 215.732
0.299%
Browse More
  • English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
April 27th - As tensions in the Middle East push up oil prices, U.S. Treasury market traders are closely watching this weeks Federal Reserve meeting to assess officials views on the inflation outlook. The market widely expects the Fed to keep interest rates unchanged on Wednesday, but traders tend to believe a rate cut is still possible before the end of the year. Swap market data from Friday showed the probability of a rate cut before the end of the year has risen to around 40%. This development could pave the way for Kevin Warsh, Trumps nominee, to lead the Fed and implement more accommodative policies. Against this backdrop, traders will be listening closely for incumbent Chairman Powells remarks at the post-meeting press conference for an update on his plans after his term ends next May. Meanwhile, this week will also see a series of Treasury auctions, including 2-year and 5-year notes, to test market demand at current yield levels.According to a recent article by tech journalist Marc Gurman, Apples successor CEO John Tenus will officially take office on September 1st, followed by the release of the first foldable iPhone. This arrangement aims to establish Tenus as the face of this product line. The device focuses on durability and micro-crease technology, and is expected to cost over $2,000. In addition to the phone, Cook has also left behind approximately 10 new product pipelines, including AI smart home devices, AR glasses, and touchscreen Macs, to help him drive Apple into an unprecedented product expansion cycle during his new term.Tanker tracking data shows that Iran has loaded 4.6 million barrels of crude oil at its crude oil terminals, and another 4 million barrels of oil appear to have broken through the US blockade.According to NBC News: The FBI is knocking on doors near the suspects home.Buckingham Palace has stated that King Charles and Queen Camillas trip to the United States will proceed as planned.

GBP/USD falls to around 1.2370 as the BoE considers taking swift action ahead of UK inflation and US purchasing managers' indices

Alina Haynes

Apr 17, 2023 13:53

 GBP:USD.png

 

On Monday morning, the GBP/USD currency pair retested an intraday low of 1.2390 after extending Sunday's decline from a 10-month high. To provoke adverse after breaking a four-week uptrend, the Cable pair explains the most recent concerns emanating from the United Kingdom (UK) and the optimism surrounding the Federal Reserve (Fed).

 

According to the Financial Times (FT), "The Bank of England is considering a major overhaul of its deposit guarantee scheme, including increasing the amount covered for businesses and compelling banks to pre-fund the system to a greater extent to ensure faster access to cash when a lender collapses."  The revelation fuels banking concerns in the United Kingdom and places pressure on the Cable duo.

 

UK Chancellor Jeremy Hunt's concerns about US subsidies may also be exerting downward pressure on the GBP/USD exchange rate as British firms rush to claim benefits before leaving the country. According to the news, "Chancellor Jeremy Hunt warned Sky News that Britain should be wary of any new subsidies, warning that they could undermine the economy and possibly even spark a protectionist trade war."

 

A larger-than-expected decline in US retail sales was unable to offset positive data from US industrial production and the University of Michigan's (UoM) consumer confidence index from the previous day. Despite this, US retail sales decreased by 1.0% in March compared to the predicted -0.4% decline and February's -0.2% decline. As opposed to the 0.2% market consensus and previous reading, Industrial Production increased by 0.4% in the month in question. The preliminary result of the University of Michigan's (UoM) Consumer Confidence Index for April, which increased to 63.5 from 62.0 analysts' expectations and previous readings, was also encouraging. In addition, inflation forecasts for the next year increased from 3.6% in March to 4.6% in April, while inflation forecasts for the next five years decreased by 2.9% during the same month.

 

Notably, Fed officials have recently appeared more hawkish than their BoE counterparts, which has exerted additional pressure on the GBP/USD exchange rate.

 

In this environment, the S&P 500 Futures exhibit modest gains following Wall Street's pessimistic close, while bond yields remain unchanged following weekly increases.

 

Moving forward, the current week is crucial for GBP/USD speculators as it contains a variety of high-quality inflation, employment, and UK PMI data. These data may be used to support the Bank of England's (BoE) officials' waning hawkish inclination and may keep bears in play. However, the US PMIs and Fed discussions should not be disregarded when looking for clear guidelines.

Suggestion