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On April 17th, a memo revealed that the U.S. government is preparing to provide a version of Mythos, an artificial intelligence model developed by Anthropic, to major federal agencies, with enhanced security measures in place, to address concerns that the tool could significantly increase cybersecurity risks. In an email sent Tuesday to cabinet departments, White House Office of Management and Budget (OMB) Federal Chief Information Officer Barbasilia stated that the OMB is establishing safeguards to enable agencies to begin using this highly restricted AI tool in the future. The email did not specify whether agencies would have access to Mythos, nor did it provide a specific timeline or usage method. It only informed heads of technology and cybersecurity departments that more information was expected "in the coming weeks." Currently, Anthropic has only made Mythos available to a limited number of technology companies and financial institutions, encouraging them to use it to assess their own cybersecurity risks. Due to concerns that hackers could exploit the models capabilities to steal data or compromise systems, the company has strictly limited its distribution.On April 17th, US President Trump stated that he expects a deal with Iran to be announced soon, claiming it would bring the US "free oil" and a "free Strait of Hormuz." When asked about the economy and oil prices, Trump said that current oil prices are lower than previously expected. He said, "If you look at the price of oil and the price were paying, its about half of what people were originally expecting, provided you do what I have to do." He added, "I think the negotiations are going very well right now, and if its done, it will be announced very soon, which will give us free oil and a free Strait of Hormuz. Everything will be great, and I think oil prices will be even lower than before."According to Futures News on April 17, as of the close of trading at 2:30 PM, the main Shanghai Gold futures contract fell 0.57%, the main Shanghai Silver futures contract fell 1.41%, and the main SC crude oil futures contract rose 1.28%.April 17th - As of 2:30 PM closing, the Shanghai Gold futures contract fell 0.57% to 1054 yuan/gram, the Shanghai Silver futures contract fell 1.41% to 19524 yuan/kilogram, and the SC Crude Oil futures contract rose 1.28% to 639 yuan/barrel.U.S. State Department: The negotiations aim to resolve all remaining issues, including the demarcation of international land borders.

GBP/USD falls to around 1.2370 as the BoE considers taking swift action ahead of UK inflation and US purchasing managers' indices

Alina Haynes

Apr 17, 2023 13:53

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On Monday morning, the GBP/USD currency pair retested an intraday low of 1.2390 after extending Sunday's decline from a 10-month high. To provoke adverse after breaking a four-week uptrend, the Cable pair explains the most recent concerns emanating from the United Kingdom (UK) and the optimism surrounding the Federal Reserve (Fed).

 

According to the Financial Times (FT), "The Bank of England is considering a major overhaul of its deposit guarantee scheme, including increasing the amount covered for businesses and compelling banks to pre-fund the system to a greater extent to ensure faster access to cash when a lender collapses."  The revelation fuels banking concerns in the United Kingdom and places pressure on the Cable duo.

 

UK Chancellor Jeremy Hunt's concerns about US subsidies may also be exerting downward pressure on the GBP/USD exchange rate as British firms rush to claim benefits before leaving the country. According to the news, "Chancellor Jeremy Hunt warned Sky News that Britain should be wary of any new subsidies, warning that they could undermine the economy and possibly even spark a protectionist trade war."

 

A larger-than-expected decline in US retail sales was unable to offset positive data from US industrial production and the University of Michigan's (UoM) consumer confidence index from the previous day. Despite this, US retail sales decreased by 1.0% in March compared to the predicted -0.4% decline and February's -0.2% decline. As opposed to the 0.2% market consensus and previous reading, Industrial Production increased by 0.4% in the month in question. The preliminary result of the University of Michigan's (UoM) Consumer Confidence Index for April, which increased to 63.5 from 62.0 analysts' expectations and previous readings, was also encouraging. In addition, inflation forecasts for the next year increased from 3.6% in March to 4.6% in April, while inflation forecasts for the next five years decreased by 2.9% during the same month.

 

Notably, Fed officials have recently appeared more hawkish than their BoE counterparts, which has exerted additional pressure on the GBP/USD exchange rate.

 

In this environment, the S&P 500 Futures exhibit modest gains following Wall Street's pessimistic close, while bond yields remain unchanged following weekly increases.

 

Moving forward, the current week is crucial for GBP/USD speculators as it contains a variety of high-quality inflation, employment, and UK PMI data. These data may be used to support the Bank of England's (BoE) officials' waning hawkish inclination and may keep bears in play. However, the US PMIs and Fed discussions should not be disregarded when looking for clear guidelines.

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