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On January 16, CICC issued a report indicating that it raised the target price of Q Technology (01478.HK) by 32% to HK$6.42 and maintained its "outperform" rating. It is optimistic about the profit improvement brought by mobile phone optics and the growth of automotive business in 2025. CICC pointed out that due to the higher shipment volume than the companys guidance, it raised the net profit attributable to the parent company in 2024 and 2025 by 7%/10% to RMB 280 million/390 million, and introduced the revenue/net profit attributable to the parent company of RMB 21 billion/510 million in 2026.On January 16, Bank of America Securities issued a report stating that it decided to downgrade the companys rating from "buy" to "neutral" and lowered its target price from HK$93 to HK$80 because it believed that Sun Hung Kai Properties (00016.HK) dividend per share would not increase from fiscal 2025 to fiscal 2026. The bank pointed out that Sun Hung Kai Properties current valuation is 64% lower than its net asset value per share, but in an environment of continued high interest rates, it believes that there is limited room for further compression of its dividend yield (5.3%).Kong Dong-Rak, economist at Daishin Securities: The Bank of Korea also seemed to be under pressure from the headlines of "three consecutive rate cuts" today and remained on hold. Its monetary easing policy stance remained unchanged, and the market reaction still seemed to indicate a rate cut next month.South Koreas central bank governor Lee Chang-yong said: The main reason for the sharp decline in the won against the US dollar was the strengthening of the US dollar, but the currency hedging operations of pension funds helped mitigate the losses.January 16th, in the last days of the Biden administration, bipartisan U.S. senators on Wednesday called on U.S. Trade Representative Kiki Tai to stop "secret negotiations" with Mexico, Canada and Colombia, which they said would weaken investor protections in some U.S. free trade agreements. A source familiar with the trade negotiations refuted the senators description of "secret negotiations," insisting that the U.S. Trade Representatives Office had consulted with members of Congress, even though there was no legal requirement to do so.

EUR / USD Investors Challenge 1.0600 As Mixed US Data Tests Fed Conservatives, US NFP, and ECB's Lagarde

Daniel Rogers

Mar 10, 2023 11:31

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EUR / USD gains bids to extend the midweek rebound from a two-month low, rising 0.16 percent intraday near 1.0600 on Friday morning. In doing so, the Euro-Dollar pair celebrates the broad weakness in the US Dollar ahead of the important US employment report for February and Christine Lagarde's speech as president of the European Central Bank (ECB).

 

The major currency pair reversed a two-day losing trend due to mixed US data and a decline in US Treasury bond yields the day before. Hawkish ECB remarks and the market's positioning for today's crucial US data bolstered the run-up. However, inflation worries and geopolitical tension present challenges for EUR / USD buyers.

 

Despite this, US Initial Jobless Claims increased to 211K for the week ending March 3, compared to the predicted 195K and the previous week's 190K. In addition, there was a decline in Challenger Job Cancellations and an increase in Continuing Jobless Claims. Consequently, early indications for Friday's Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) appear mixed and challenge the market's push for a 0.50 percentage point Fed rate hike in March, which is supported by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's most recent signals.

 

Despite contradictory data, inflation worries continue to favor Fed conservatives, especially after Chairman Jerome Powell defends the stricter monetary policy, which restrains Euro prices. It should be noted that the most recent report from the New York Fed noted that recent upward revisions to inflation data and higher-than-anticipated levels of inflation had altered what had previously appeared to be a decline in price pressures.

 

Francois Villeroy de Galhau, an ECB policymaker, stated on Thursday that they will return inflation to 2% by the end of 2024 or 2025.

 

In addition to the aforementioned catalysts, geopolitical concerns emanating from US President Joseph Biden's proposed budget for 2024 and the US's partnership with the UK and Australia for nuclear submarines should challenge EUR / USD buyers.

 

In this context, US 10-year and 2-year Treasury bond yields extend yesterday's losses to 3.88% as of press time, dragging on the US Dollar Index (DXY), which is presently down 0.10 percent to 105.12. Despite this, Wall Street benchmarks closed with daily losses exceeding 1.5%, causing S&P 500 Futures to post modest losses as of press time.

 

According to market predictions, the employment report for February in the United States is expected to reveal a general softening. The same contrasts with the Fed's hawkish inclination to emphasize the likelihood of a significant market move in favor of the US Dollar in the event of a positive surprise. However, Lagarde of the ECB must confirm this.

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