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On August 28th, it was learned that a U.S. federal judge lifted a nationwide injunction on August 26th against new rules for mail-in ballots issued by the U.S. Postal Service. The new rules required states to redesign ballot envelopes and upload voter lists to the Postal Service; if these requirements were not met, the Postal Service could refuse to mail the ballots. It is understood that the U.S. government had repeatedly proposed deploying federal law enforcement officers or Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) personnel near polling stations, and the Department of Justice was also preparing to deploy approximately 1,000 election watchdogs. However, many of these measures still face legal and political obstacles.U.S. Treasury Department: The United States has granted Venezuela general licenses related to the oil and gas industry, gold, Venezuelan minerals, mining operations, and PDVSA (petroleum company).On August 28th, Rezaei, Secretary of Irans Supreme National Security Council, stated on the 27th that Iran will retaliate against any actions that escalate economic tensions and target US economic interests in the region. He indicated that if conflict breaks out again, Iran will prepare for a new phase, and any future war will be different from previous ones. The USs change of attitude and its economic pressure on Iran demonstrates that military strikes have not achieved their intended effects.U.S. Treasury Department: Another U.S. general license authorizes the sale of U.S.-origin diluents to Venezuela.U.S. Treasury Department: One of the licenses authorizes certain activities involving Venezuelan oil or petrochemical products.

Despite the fact that Eurozone interest rates are anticipated to peak sooner, the EUR/GBP looks to have breached over 0.8630

Daniel Rogers

Dec 07, 2022 15:12

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The EUR/GBP pair has had a stronger recovery from 0.8580 during the Asian session, approaching the pivotal 0.8630 level. Despite the European Central Bank (ECB) being close to reaching an interest rate high, there has been strong demand for Euro bulls. Thus, the monetary policy meeting scheduled for next week will be of utmost significance.

 

The cross is attempting to break strongly above the significant barrier of 0.8630 for the fourth time this week. The hawkish remarks made by ECB policymakers are holding back the euro bulls.

 

"There will be another rate hike," said Constantinos Herodotou, governor of the Central Bank of Cyprus, "but we are very near to neutral." The European Central Bank's chief economist, Phillip Lane, is unsure as to whether the inflation peak has already occurred or will take place in 2019. He stated that although "much has already been done," he does not rule out more rate increases.

 

Investors are currently looking forward to Christine Lagarde's speech, which will be revealed on Thursday. The ECB President is likely to lower her inflation projection in her future statement in light of the poor retail sales numbers.

 

In contrast to expectations for a 1.7% loss, this week's Eurozone retail sales numbers showed a 1.8% decline. Aside from that, annual economic data contraction came in at 2.7% as opposed to the 2.6% consensus expectation. A decline in household demand demonstrates the effectiveness of the European Central Bank's (ECB) policy tightening initiatives. To reach their sales targets, firms could feel pressured to lower the prices of their products and services.

 

The United Kingdom's deteriorating food crisis, brought on by growing costs and a labor shortfall, has had an impact on the Pound Sterling. According to Minette Batters, president of the National Farmers Union, "the government and the entire supply chain must act swiftly." The Financial Times stated that "tomorrow might be too late." The economy already faces rising food inflation, and the issue with the supply of food will make matters worse.