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On May 18, the Peoples Bank of China (PBOC) released the "Management Measures for the List of Seriously Dishonest Entities in the Areas Managed by the PBOC (Draft for Public Comment)," which strictly stipulates the criteria for inclusion on the list of seriously dishonest entities and strengthens the constraints and punishments for dishonest behavior. The draft proposes that institutions and individuals in the areas managed by the PBOC, such as bills, payments, RMB circulation, and credit reporting, who engage in behaviors that are expressly prohibited by laws and regulations, seriously disrupt the financial market order, infringe upon the legitimate rights and interests of the people, and whose circumstances are particularly serious and whose impact is particularly egregious, should be included on the list of seriously dishonest entities. A relevant official from the PBOC stated that it will strengthen the constraints and punishments for serious dishonest behavior in the financial sector in accordance with laws and regulations, encourage seriously dishonest entities to actively correct their dishonest behavior, promote the creation of a credit environment in the financial sector that "incentivizes trustworthiness and punishes dishonesty," and further improve the construction of the social credit system in the financial sector.Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee member Green: The secondary effects of the energy price shock will not be apparent for another year.Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee member Green: Part of the reason the global economy remained resilient during the war with Iran was its inventory.Polish central bank governor Grapinski reiterated plans to increase gold reserves to 700 tons.Polish Central Bank Governor Grapinski: Premature adoption of the euro will cause interest rates to fall below equilibrium levels.

Despite the fact that Eurozone interest rates are anticipated to peak sooner, the EUR/GBP looks to have breached over 0.8630

Daniel Rogers

Dec 07, 2022 15:12

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The EUR/GBP pair has had a stronger recovery from 0.8580 during the Asian session, approaching the pivotal 0.8630 level. Despite the European Central Bank (ECB) being close to reaching an interest rate high, there has been strong demand for Euro bulls. Thus, the monetary policy meeting scheduled for next week will be of utmost significance.

 

The cross is attempting to break strongly above the significant barrier of 0.8630 for the fourth time this week. The hawkish remarks made by ECB policymakers are holding back the euro bulls.

 

"There will be another rate hike," said Constantinos Herodotou, governor of the Central Bank of Cyprus, "but we are very near to neutral." The European Central Bank's chief economist, Phillip Lane, is unsure as to whether the inflation peak has already occurred or will take place in 2019. He stated that although "much has already been done," he does not rule out more rate increases.

 

Investors are currently looking forward to Christine Lagarde's speech, which will be revealed on Thursday. The ECB President is likely to lower her inflation projection in her future statement in light of the poor retail sales numbers.

 

In contrast to expectations for a 1.7% loss, this week's Eurozone retail sales numbers showed a 1.8% decline. Aside from that, annual economic data contraction came in at 2.7% as opposed to the 2.6% consensus expectation. A decline in household demand demonstrates the effectiveness of the European Central Bank's (ECB) policy tightening initiatives. To reach their sales targets, firms could feel pressured to lower the prices of their products and services.

 

The United Kingdom's deteriorating food crisis, brought on by growing costs and a labor shortfall, has had an impact on the Pound Sterling. According to Minette Batters, president of the National Farmers Union, "the government and the entire supply chain must act swiftly." The Financial Times stated that "tomorrow might be too late." The economy already faces rising food inflation, and the issue with the supply of food will make matters worse.