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The Eurozones seasonally adjusted trade balance for June, the final reading of seasonally adjusted employment for the second quarter, and the revised annual GDP growth rate will be released in ten minutes.On August 14th, the Hong Kong government announced on Friday that it has revised its 2026 GDP growth forecast upward to 3.5-4.5%, from the previous forecast of 2.5-3.5%. Hong Kong government economic advisor, Fan Wan-er, stated that Hong Kongs economy should see robust growth in the second half of this year. Strong global demand for AI-related electronic products is expected to continue supporting Hong Kongs merchandise trade performance, and related logistics services should also benefit from this positive momentum. The revised figures released today show that Hong Kongs second-quarter GDP grew by 4.3% year-on-year, but fell by 0.6% quarter-on-quarter, consistent with previous estimates.On August 14th, the Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE) reported the following warehouse receipts and changes: 1. Natural rubber futures warehouse receipts: 147,480 tons, a decrease of 260 tons from the previous trading day; 2. International copper futures warehouse receipts: 6,375 tons, an increase of 549 tons from the previous trading day; 3. Silver futures warehouse receipts: 1,334,644 kg, an increase of 21,380 kg from the previous trading day; 4. Medium-sulfur crude oil futures warehouse receipts: 2,961,000 barrels, unchanged from the previous trading day; 5. Alumina futures warehouse receipts: 271,490 tons, a decrease of 1,794 tons from the previous trading day; 6. Stainless steel warehouse futures warehouse receipts: 85,199 tons, a decrease of 726 tons from the previous trading day; 7. Rebar warehouse futures warehouse receipts: 34,417 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; 8. Lead futures warehouse receipts: 65,864 tons, an increase of 173 tons from the previous trading day; 9. Nickel futures warehouse receipts totaled 101,387 tons, an increase of 588 tons from the previous trading day; 10. Pulp warehouse futures warehouse receipts totaled 370,235 tons, an increase of 1,004 tons from the previous trading day; 11. Pulp mill warehouse futures warehouse receipts totaled 20,000 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; 12. Tin futures warehouse receipts totaled 5,452 tons, an increase of 324 tons from the previous trading day; 13. Petroleum asphalt mill warehouse futures warehouse receipts totaled 26,500 tons, an increase of 7,510 tons from the previous trading day; 14. Petroleum asphalt warehouse futures warehouse receipts totaled 15,550 tons, an increase of 2,290 tons from the previous trading day; 15. Hot-rolled coil futures warehouse receipts totaled 240,397 tons, a decrease of 11,182 tons from the previous trading day; 16. Butadiene rubber futures warehouse receipts totaled 23,610 tons, a decrease of 230 tons from the previous trading day; 17. Gold futures warehouse receipts were 113,676 kg, unchanged from the previous trading day; copper futures warehouse receipts were 33,676 tons, an increase of 6,468 tons from the previous trading day; zinc futures warehouse receipts were 113,466 tons, an increase of 506 tons from the previous trading day; fuel oil futures warehouse receipts were 35,420 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; aluminum futures warehouse receipts were 297,843 tons, a decrease of 2,227 tons from the previous trading day; low-sulfur fuel oil warehouse futures warehouse receipts were 330 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; and TSR20 rubber futures warehouse receipts were 15,624 tons, a decrease of 1,008 tons from the previous trading day.August 14th - In July, the amount of cross-border RMB settlement under current account items was 1.75 trillion yuan, of which goods trade, services trade and other current account items were 1.32 trillion yuan and 0.43 trillion yuan respectively; the amount of cross-border RMB settlement for direct investment was 0.63 trillion yuan, of which outward direct investment and foreign direct investment were 0.22 trillion yuan and 0.41 trillion yuan respectively.August 14th - At the end of July, the balance of domestic and foreign currency deposits reached 354.49 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.1%. The balance of RMB deposits at the end of July was 346.47 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.1%. In the first seven months, RMB deposits increased by 17.79 trillion yuan. Among them, household deposits increased by 6.95 trillion yuan, non-financial enterprise deposits increased by 1.57 trillion yuan, fiscal deposits increased by 1.95 trillion yuan, and deposits of non-bank financial institutions increased by 5.76 trillion yuan. At the end of July, the balance of foreign currency deposits reached 1.18 trillion US dollars, a year-on-year increase of 17.9%. In the first seven months, foreign currency deposits increased by 121.2 billion US dollars.

Despite the fact that Eurozone interest rates are anticipated to peak sooner, the EUR/GBP looks to have breached over 0.8630

Daniel Rogers

Dec 07, 2022 15:12

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The EUR/GBP pair has had a stronger recovery from 0.8580 during the Asian session, approaching the pivotal 0.8630 level. Despite the European Central Bank (ECB) being close to reaching an interest rate high, there has been strong demand for Euro bulls. Thus, the monetary policy meeting scheduled for next week will be of utmost significance.

 

The cross is attempting to break strongly above the significant barrier of 0.8630 for the fourth time this week. The hawkish remarks made by ECB policymakers are holding back the euro bulls.

 

"There will be another rate hike," said Constantinos Herodotou, governor of the Central Bank of Cyprus, "but we are very near to neutral." The European Central Bank's chief economist, Phillip Lane, is unsure as to whether the inflation peak has already occurred or will take place in 2019. He stated that although "much has already been done," he does not rule out more rate increases.

 

Investors are currently looking forward to Christine Lagarde's speech, which will be revealed on Thursday. The ECB President is likely to lower her inflation projection in her future statement in light of the poor retail sales numbers.

 

In contrast to expectations for a 1.7% loss, this week's Eurozone retail sales numbers showed a 1.8% decline. Aside from that, annual economic data contraction came in at 2.7% as opposed to the 2.6% consensus expectation. A decline in household demand demonstrates the effectiveness of the European Central Bank's (ECB) policy tightening initiatives. To reach their sales targets, firms could feel pressured to lower the prices of their products and services.

 

The United Kingdom's deteriorating food crisis, brought on by growing costs and a labor shortfall, has had an impact on the Pound Sterling. According to Minette Batters, president of the National Farmers Union, "the government and the entire supply chain must act swiftly." The Financial Times stated that "tomorrow might be too late." The economy already faces rising food inflation, and the issue with the supply of food will make matters worse.