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On May 28th, Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook stated in a speech at a Stanford University event that inflation is heading in the wrong direction, and she is prepared to raise interest rates if this continues. While Cook indicated she currently favors keeping borrowing costs unchanged and expects price growth to cool again in the coming months, her remarks align with the views of many Fed officials that accelerating inflation is now a greater policy concern than the labor market. Cook stated, "I want to be clear about my risk assessment: the risks still tilt towards higher inflation." Cook indicated that five years of inflation exceeding the Feds 2% target poses a risk that price pressures are embedded in price and wage setting behavior. "Therefore, if the expected process of inflation easing does not materialize in time, I am prepared to raise interest rates," she said.Reserve Bank of New Zealand Governor Brehman: Recognizing that it will take some time to see the impact of higher oil prices on the broader industry.Federal Reserve Governor Cook: It may take a long time to see structural changes in the economy brought about by artificial intelligence.The API reported that U.S. crude oil production increased by 629,000 barrels per day in the week ending May 22, compared with a previous weeks decrease of 78,000 barrels per day.U.S. refined product imports for the week ending May 22 (API) fell by 171,000 barrels per day, compared to 282,000 barrels per day in the previous week.

Despite the fact that Eurozone interest rates are anticipated to peak sooner, the EUR/GBP looks to have breached over 0.8630

Daniel Rogers

Dec 07, 2022 15:12

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The EUR/GBP pair has had a stronger recovery from 0.8580 during the Asian session, approaching the pivotal 0.8630 level. Despite the European Central Bank (ECB) being close to reaching an interest rate high, there has been strong demand for Euro bulls. Thus, the monetary policy meeting scheduled for next week will be of utmost significance.

 

The cross is attempting to break strongly above the significant barrier of 0.8630 for the fourth time this week. The hawkish remarks made by ECB policymakers are holding back the euro bulls.

 

"There will be another rate hike," said Constantinos Herodotou, governor of the Central Bank of Cyprus, "but we are very near to neutral." The European Central Bank's chief economist, Phillip Lane, is unsure as to whether the inflation peak has already occurred or will take place in 2019. He stated that although "much has already been done," he does not rule out more rate increases.

 

Investors are currently looking forward to Christine Lagarde's speech, which will be revealed on Thursday. The ECB President is likely to lower her inflation projection in her future statement in light of the poor retail sales numbers.

 

In contrast to expectations for a 1.7% loss, this week's Eurozone retail sales numbers showed a 1.8% decline. Aside from that, annual economic data contraction came in at 2.7% as opposed to the 2.6% consensus expectation. A decline in household demand demonstrates the effectiveness of the European Central Bank's (ECB) policy tightening initiatives. To reach their sales targets, firms could feel pressured to lower the prices of their products and services.

 

The United Kingdom's deteriorating food crisis, brought on by growing costs and a labor shortfall, has had an impact on the Pound Sterling. According to Minette Batters, president of the National Farmers Union, "the government and the entire supply chain must act swiftly." The Financial Times stated that "tomorrow might be too late." The economy already faces rising food inflation, and the issue with the supply of food will make matters worse.


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