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On June 26, according to Irans Press TV, US President Trump has again ordered that all Iraqi oil revenues controlled by Iraq be deposited into accounts at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. Executive Order 13303 was originally signed after the US military action against Iraq in 2003 and has been renewed annually since, always citing "national security" as the reason. The White House has not issued a press release on this matter, but Trump sent a formal notification to Congress on May 4 regarding the extension of the order. In the formal notification, Trump stated: "The various obstacles hindering the orderly reconstruction of Iraq, the restoration and maintenance of domestic peace and security, and the development of political, administrative, and economic institutions continue to pose an exceptionally significant threat to US national security and foreign policy. Therefore, this Executive Order must remain in effect beyond May 22, 2026."According to Iranian state television, three foreign oil tankers that attempted to pass through the Strait of Hormuz "without authorization" were forced to turn back after warnings from the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Navy.On June 26, State Councilor Chen Yiqin conducted research in Jiangxi Province from June 23 to 26 on employment, sports, and other related work. She emphasized the need to thoroughly study and implement the spirit of General Secretary Xi Jinpings important speeches, earnestly implement the decisions and deployments of the Party Central Committee and the State Council, resolutely implement the employment-first strategy, actively promote the high-quality development of the sports industry, accelerate the cultivation of more new growth points, and strive to achieve a virtuous cycle of increased residents income, expanded domestic demand, and economic development. Chen Yiqin pointed out that it is necessary to strengthen the employment-first policy, accelerate the implementation of the action plan to stabilize, expand, and improve employment, support industries and enterprises with strong employment absorption capacity to stabilize jobs, and make every effort to ensure employment for key groups such as college graduates and migrant workers. She stressed the need to scientifically grasp and proactively adapt to changes in the employment situation, carry out large-scale vocational skills training programs, continuously improve the public employment service system, and cultivate new occupations and positions around the development of emerging and future industries to better promote employment and income growth for the masses.A Reuters poll shows that for the first time since 2023, more economists are predicting that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates rather than cut them.A Reuters poll showed that 78 of the 102 economists surveyed expect the Federal Reserve to keep the federal funds rate unchanged at 3.50% to 3.75% in 2026, compared to 72 of the 102 economists surveyed in early June.

Despite the fact that Eurozone interest rates are anticipated to peak sooner, the EUR/GBP looks to have breached over 0.8630

Daniel Rogers

Dec 07, 2022 15:12

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The EUR/GBP pair has had a stronger recovery from 0.8580 during the Asian session, approaching the pivotal 0.8630 level. Despite the European Central Bank (ECB) being close to reaching an interest rate high, there has been strong demand for Euro bulls. Thus, the monetary policy meeting scheduled for next week will be of utmost significance.

 

The cross is attempting to break strongly above the significant barrier of 0.8630 for the fourth time this week. The hawkish remarks made by ECB policymakers are holding back the euro bulls.

 

"There will be another rate hike," said Constantinos Herodotou, governor of the Central Bank of Cyprus, "but we are very near to neutral." The European Central Bank's chief economist, Phillip Lane, is unsure as to whether the inflation peak has already occurred or will take place in 2019. He stated that although "much has already been done," he does not rule out more rate increases.

 

Investors are currently looking forward to Christine Lagarde's speech, which will be revealed on Thursday. The ECB President is likely to lower her inflation projection in her future statement in light of the poor retail sales numbers.

 

In contrast to expectations for a 1.7% loss, this week's Eurozone retail sales numbers showed a 1.8% decline. Aside from that, annual economic data contraction came in at 2.7% as opposed to the 2.6% consensus expectation. A decline in household demand demonstrates the effectiveness of the European Central Bank's (ECB) policy tightening initiatives. To reach their sales targets, firms could feel pressured to lower the prices of their products and services.

 

The United Kingdom's deteriorating food crisis, brought on by growing costs and a labor shortfall, has had an impact on the Pound Sterling. According to Minette Batters, president of the National Farmers Union, "the government and the entire supply chain must act swiftly." The Financial Times stated that "tomorrow might be too late." The economy already faces rising food inflation, and the issue with the supply of food will make matters worse.


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