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On December 31st, South Koreas consumer price index (CPI) rose 2.3% year-on-year in December, down from 2.4% in November. Core inflation rose at 2%, the same rate as in November. Both overall and core inflation rates remained near the Bank of Koreas 2% target. These figures suggest some easing of price pressures, but they are unlikely to prompt the Bank of Korea to resume monetary easing on January 15th. The continued rise in the housing market has raised concerns that soaring mortgage debt levels could trigger financial imbalances, making the central bank reluctant to take further stimulus measures. Furthermore, the cost of living is likely to continue rising. Earlier this month, authorities warned that rising food prices could push inflation higher than expected next year, although overall price pressures remain largely manageable.December 31st - The minutes of the Federal Reserves December meeting, released Tuesday, stated that a Fed survey showed respondents, overall, expected the Fed to purchase approximately $220 billion in short-term Treasury securities over the next 12 months, although there were significant differences in respondents estimates of the expected purchase size. Fed policymakers decided at their December meeting to begin purchasing short-term Treasury securities, believing that reserves in the financial system had fallen to a level considered "ample," reflected in rising short-term funding costs. The Fed stated it would purchase approximately $40 billion in short-term Treasury securities per month, gradually reducing the amount thereafter. To date, the Fed has purchased approximately $38 billion in short-term Treasury securities this month and will conduct two more such operations in January.December 31st - "According to sources, Samsung and SK Hynix have received US approval to export chip manufacturing equipment to China in 2026," Reuters reported on the 30th. This comes after the US temporarily eased restrictions on South Korean companies following the earlier revocation of export license exemptions for some technology companies regarding chip manufacturing equipment. The report stated that Samsung, SK Hynix, and TSMC previously benefited from the "Verified End User (VEU)" system, an exemption from the comprehensive US export restrictions on chip-related goods to China. Companies on the "VEU" list can import designated controlled items (including semiconductor equipment and technology) from the US without needing to apply for separate export licenses.December 31st - This weeks U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) weekly crude oil inventory report was delayed by several hours, highlighting the latest indication that layoffs at U.S. federal agencies are impacting data releases that are crucial to the market. This year, the EIA has laid off more than 100 of its approximately 350 employees. These layoffs and downsizing were driven by the U.S. Department of Government Efficiency, a plan previously led by Elon Musk. Scott Shelton, an energy expert at TP ICAP Group, stated that because the oil market is currently primarily influenced by geopolitical factors, traders are not paying as close attention to U.S. inventory levels as they used to when the report was released. This helps mitigate the impact of the data delay. "Theres a general indifference about this. Its just a helpless shrug at the inefficiency and unpredictability of the U.S. governments data after the government shutdown."On December 31, GigaDevice announced on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange that it plans to issue 28,915,800 H shares (subject to the exercise of the offering size adjustment right and over-allotment option) in Hong Kong, with an issue price not exceeding HK$162 per share. Trading is expected to commence on January 13, 2026.

Despite the fact that Eurozone interest rates are anticipated to peak sooner, the EUR/GBP looks to have breached over 0.8630

Daniel Rogers

Dec 07, 2022 15:12

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The EUR/GBP pair has had a stronger recovery from 0.8580 during the Asian session, approaching the pivotal 0.8630 level. Despite the European Central Bank (ECB) being close to reaching an interest rate high, there has been strong demand for Euro bulls. Thus, the monetary policy meeting scheduled for next week will be of utmost significance.

 

The cross is attempting to break strongly above the significant barrier of 0.8630 for the fourth time this week. The hawkish remarks made by ECB policymakers are holding back the euro bulls.

 

"There will be another rate hike," said Constantinos Herodotou, governor of the Central Bank of Cyprus, "but we are very near to neutral." The European Central Bank's chief economist, Phillip Lane, is unsure as to whether the inflation peak has already occurred or will take place in 2019. He stated that although "much has already been done," he does not rule out more rate increases.

 

Investors are currently looking forward to Christine Lagarde's speech, which will be revealed on Thursday. The ECB President is likely to lower her inflation projection in her future statement in light of the poor retail sales numbers.

 

In contrast to expectations for a 1.7% loss, this week's Eurozone retail sales numbers showed a 1.8% decline. Aside from that, annual economic data contraction came in at 2.7% as opposed to the 2.6% consensus expectation. A decline in household demand demonstrates the effectiveness of the European Central Bank's (ECB) policy tightening initiatives. To reach their sales targets, firms could feel pressured to lower the prices of their products and services.

 

The United Kingdom's deteriorating food crisis, brought on by growing costs and a labor shortfall, has had an impact on the Pound Sterling. According to Minette Batters, president of the National Farmers Union, "the government and the entire supply chain must act swiftly." The Financial Times stated that "tomorrow might be too late." The economy already faces rising food inflation, and the issue with the supply of food will make matters worse.