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April 7th - Australian petrol prices have fallen from record levels as government measures have helped mitigate the impact of the Middle East conflict. Data from the Petroleum Institute of Australia shows that the national average petrol price fell by more than 5% to AU$2.40 per liter in the week to Sunday, the first decline since the first week of February. Government measures to ensure supply and lower prices include temporary tax cuts and the release of fuel from the national reserves. Electric vehicle sales surged to a record market share in March, accounting for nearly 15% of total new car sales last month.April 7th - According to a notice from the Shenzhen Semiconductor Industry Association, the 2026 China (Shenzhen) Integrated Circuit Summit (ICS Summit) will be held on June 26th. The summit will include one main forum, and three parallel sub-forums: the Artificial Intelligence and Chip Design Innovation Forum, the Advanced Packaging and Manufacturing Forum, and the Domestic EDA and RISC-V Ecosystem Forum.April 7th - According to China Railway Shanghai Bureau Group Co., Ltd., during the recent Qingming Festival holiday (April 4th to 6th), the Yangtze River Delta railway system transported approximately 12.428 million passengers, averaging 4.143 million passengers per day. This represents an increase of approximately 1.252 million passengers compared to the same period last year, exceeding 11%. Notably, April 4th saw a record high of 4.66 million passengers transported in a single day.April 7th - According to Axios, a US official stated that Irans response was "tough," but the White House views it as a negotiating tactic rather than a rejection. They are currently communicating with the Iranians regarding amendments and redrafting. If Trump believes a deal is possible, he may postpone military action against Iran. Trumps advisors told mediators that the president needs to see positive signs from Iran before considering a delay. One of them said, "We are at a critical moment in negotiations; anything can happen." Two sources indicated that a large-scale US-Israeli bombing plan targeting Iranian energy facilities is ready should Trump issue the order.On April 7th, Michael Wan, senior foreign exchange analyst at MUFG Bank, stated in a research report that shipping volumes through the Strait of Hormuz may be improving. Tankers currently appear to be testing an alternative route that runs close to southern Oman to exit the strait. Furthermore, the analyst stated, "Iran announced last weekend that it would allow Iraq to ship oil through the strait." He added that this could mean an additional 3 million barrels of oil per day entering the market, but "many unknowns" remain regarding how Iran defines "Iraqi oil."

Despite the fact that Eurozone interest rates are anticipated to peak sooner, the EUR/GBP looks to have breached over 0.8630

Daniel Rogers

Dec 07, 2022 15:12

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The EUR/GBP pair has had a stronger recovery from 0.8580 during the Asian session, approaching the pivotal 0.8630 level. Despite the European Central Bank (ECB) being close to reaching an interest rate high, there has been strong demand for Euro bulls. Thus, the monetary policy meeting scheduled for next week will be of utmost significance.

 

The cross is attempting to break strongly above the significant barrier of 0.8630 for the fourth time this week. The hawkish remarks made by ECB policymakers are holding back the euro bulls.

 

"There will be another rate hike," said Constantinos Herodotou, governor of the Central Bank of Cyprus, "but we are very near to neutral." The European Central Bank's chief economist, Phillip Lane, is unsure as to whether the inflation peak has already occurred or will take place in 2019. He stated that although "much has already been done," he does not rule out more rate increases.

 

Investors are currently looking forward to Christine Lagarde's speech, which will be revealed on Thursday. The ECB President is likely to lower her inflation projection in her future statement in light of the poor retail sales numbers.

 

In contrast to expectations for a 1.7% loss, this week's Eurozone retail sales numbers showed a 1.8% decline. Aside from that, annual economic data contraction came in at 2.7% as opposed to the 2.6% consensus expectation. A decline in household demand demonstrates the effectiveness of the European Central Bank's (ECB) policy tightening initiatives. To reach their sales targets, firms could feel pressured to lower the prices of their products and services.

 

The United Kingdom's deteriorating food crisis, brought on by growing costs and a labor shortfall, has had an impact on the Pound Sterling. According to Minette Batters, president of the National Farmers Union, "the government and the entire supply chain must act swiftly." The Financial Times stated that "tomorrow might be too late." The economy already faces rising food inflation, and the issue with the supply of food will make matters worse.