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On July 24th, three sources familiar with the matter revealed that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) is likely to maintain its warning about inflation exceeding its 2% target next week, but also hinted that these risks have not increased significantly compared to three months ago. The BOJ is expected to focus on the ongoing inflation risks from the Middle East conflict, strong global demand for artificial intelligence, and rising import costs due to a weaker yen in its quarterly outlook report to be released at its policy meeting next week. Meanwhile, the BOJ believes the likelihood of the worst-case scenario—a severe supply disruption triggering a price surge and forcing the central bank to raise interest rates rapidly—has decreased compared to three months ago. Furthermore, the statement made during its June rate hike that there is a risk of "potential consumer inflation deviating from and exceeding the 2% target" is expected to reappear. Sources said that with the risk of a short-term inflationary shock from oil prices easing, policymakers are now turning their attention to the extent to which businesses continue to pass on rising costs to households. This shift indicates that the BOJ is moving beyond the direct impact of the Middle East conflict and focusing on broader inflationary factors, including AI-related demand and a weaker yen, to assess the timing of the next rate hike.Iranian Foreign Minister: Once the government normalizes asset confiscation, no ones assets will be safe. The resulting chaos will not be peaceful or orderly.July 24th - This morning (July 24th), the State Council Information Office held a press conference on the theme of "Starting the 15th Five-Year Plan." Officials from the Ministry of Public Security introduced the relevant situation regarding strengthening governance, protecting the peoples safety, and promoting development, and fully serving and guaranteeing the start of the 15th Five-Year Plan, and answered reporters questions. Currently, new types of crimes using artificial intelligence mainly include: using AI technology to forge identities, intrude into government and enterprise information systems, and steal others information and property; or impersonating acquaintances or authoritative figures to gain the trust of victims and then commit fraud; and using AI tools to generate online rumors and disrupt public order. Public security organs are making every effort to combat the above-mentioned illegal and criminal activities, while also severely cracking down on criminal gangs providing technical support, striving to eradicate the breeding ground for crime at its root. In the first half of this year, more than 170 cases of using AI tools to generate online rumors were investigated, and more than 190 people were dealt with according to law.Precious metal futures contracts saw further declines, with platinum (2610) falling 5.23% to 390.55 yuan/gram. Palladium (2610) fell 6.10% to 295 yuan/gram. Gold (2608) fell 2.66% to 879.86 yuan/gram. Silver (2610) fell 4.85% to 14,016 yuan/kilogram.The Hang Seng Tech Index fell by more than 2%, with PCB, robotics, and artificial intelligence concepts among the biggest losers.

Despite the fact that Eurozone interest rates are anticipated to peak sooner, the EUR/GBP looks to have breached over 0.8630

Daniel Rogers

Dec 07, 2022 15:12

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The EUR/GBP pair has had a stronger recovery from 0.8580 during the Asian session, approaching the pivotal 0.8630 level. Despite the European Central Bank (ECB) being close to reaching an interest rate high, there has been strong demand for Euro bulls. Thus, the monetary policy meeting scheduled for next week will be of utmost significance.

 

The cross is attempting to break strongly above the significant barrier of 0.8630 for the fourth time this week. The hawkish remarks made by ECB policymakers are holding back the euro bulls.

 

"There will be another rate hike," said Constantinos Herodotou, governor of the Central Bank of Cyprus, "but we are very near to neutral." The European Central Bank's chief economist, Phillip Lane, is unsure as to whether the inflation peak has already occurred or will take place in 2019. He stated that although "much has already been done," he does not rule out more rate increases.

 

Investors are currently looking forward to Christine Lagarde's speech, which will be revealed on Thursday. The ECB President is likely to lower her inflation projection in her future statement in light of the poor retail sales numbers.

 

In contrast to expectations for a 1.7% loss, this week's Eurozone retail sales numbers showed a 1.8% decline. Aside from that, annual economic data contraction came in at 2.7% as opposed to the 2.6% consensus expectation. A decline in household demand demonstrates the effectiveness of the European Central Bank's (ECB) policy tightening initiatives. To reach their sales targets, firms could feel pressured to lower the prices of their products and services.

 

The United Kingdom's deteriorating food crisis, brought on by growing costs and a labor shortfall, has had an impact on the Pound Sterling. According to Minette Batters, president of the National Farmers Union, "the government and the entire supply chain must act swiftly." The Financial Times stated that "tomorrow might be too late." The economy already faces rising food inflation, and the issue with the supply of food will make matters worse.


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