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On August 26th, according to South Koreas *Chosun Ilbo*, South Korean DRAM export prices continue to soar, with AI-driven HBM production squeezing the supply of conventional memory. Data shows that from August 1st to 20th, the export price of South Korean DRAM reached $92,183 per kilogram, a 401% year-on-year increase and approximately 12.5 times higher than the low point in January 2023. Goldman Sachs predicts that the DRAM supply gap will widen from 5.0% this year to 5.9% next year, and believes that "HBM required for AI servers and high-capacity server DRAM are absorbing limited production capacity, leading to a further tightening of conventional DRAM supply." TrendForce predicts that by the end of next year, Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron will account for 30% of total DRAM wafer input for HBM production, but HBM will only account for about 13% of actual DRAM bit supply. Memory manufacturers warn that the AI-driven DRAM and NAND supply shortage may continue beyond 2027. SK Hynix stated that from a supply perspective, 2027 could become "the most severe shortage year in the history of the memory industry." Goldman Sachs predicts that the supply shortage may continue until 2028.August 26th - According to Spanish government sources, the Spanish government plans to introduce stricter regulations on water, energy, and cybersecurity due to the surge in data center projects within the country. These new requirements have been incorporated into a draft decree, which will be open for public comment this week. Thanks to abundant renewable energy resources and vast tracts of open land, Spain has become one of Europes hottest hubs, attracting billions of euros worth of AI infrastructure-related projects. Sources indicate that the large number of projects allows Spain to select the most efficient and sustainable facilities in terms of sustainability and cybersecurity, which is the target of the upcoming regulations. According to the draft decree, data center operators must be established within the EU, and the data and metadata they process must remain within the EU. Mechanisms must be established to control access from third countries; stricter regulations will be implemented for data centers handling public data or data involving national security.Federal Reserve Bank of Barkin: If debt continues to increase, investors will eventually stop buying (US Treasuries) at some point.Federal Reserve Chairman Barkin: The U.S. debt problem will eventually face a reckoning.Sources say air raid sirens have been sounded in Kyiv, Ukraine.

Despite the fact that Eurozone interest rates are anticipated to peak sooner, the EUR/GBP looks to have breached over 0.8630

Daniel Rogers

Dec 07, 2022 15:12

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The EUR/GBP pair has had a stronger recovery from 0.8580 during the Asian session, approaching the pivotal 0.8630 level. Despite the European Central Bank (ECB) being close to reaching an interest rate high, there has been strong demand for Euro bulls. Thus, the monetary policy meeting scheduled for next week will be of utmost significance.

 

The cross is attempting to break strongly above the significant barrier of 0.8630 for the fourth time this week. The hawkish remarks made by ECB policymakers are holding back the euro bulls.

 

"There will be another rate hike," said Constantinos Herodotou, governor of the Central Bank of Cyprus, "but we are very near to neutral." The European Central Bank's chief economist, Phillip Lane, is unsure as to whether the inflation peak has already occurred or will take place in 2019. He stated that although "much has already been done," he does not rule out more rate increases.

 

Investors are currently looking forward to Christine Lagarde's speech, which will be revealed on Thursday. The ECB President is likely to lower her inflation projection in her future statement in light of the poor retail sales numbers.

 

In contrast to expectations for a 1.7% loss, this week's Eurozone retail sales numbers showed a 1.8% decline. Aside from that, annual economic data contraction came in at 2.7% as opposed to the 2.6% consensus expectation. A decline in household demand demonstrates the effectiveness of the European Central Bank's (ECB) policy tightening initiatives. To reach their sales targets, firms could feel pressured to lower the prices of their products and services.

 

The United Kingdom's deteriorating food crisis, brought on by growing costs and a labor shortfall, has had an impact on the Pound Sterling. According to Minette Batters, president of the National Farmers Union, "the government and the entire supply chain must act swiftly." The Financial Times stated that "tomorrow might be too late." The economy already faces rising food inflation, and the issue with the supply of food will make matters worse.


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