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Conflict Update: 1. Houthi rebels claim to have struck Saudi Arabia twice in one day. 2. Saudi Arabia confirms coalition strikes against Houthi rebels in Yemen. 3. Houthi rebels claim to have struck a southern Saudi city. 4. Lebanon claims Israeli military action caused a powerful explosion in the countrys south. 5. Sources say missiles that attacked a Saudi oil refinery were intercepted. 6. After 13 consecutive nights of strikes against Iran, the US military has not announced any further airstrikes against Iran. 7. Houthi spokesperson: The maritime blockade is the first step in a "blockade for blockade" operation. 8. Zelensky: Ukraine attacked ships carrying Iranian military supplies in the Caspian Sea. 9. Security sources: Iraqi air defenses shot down a drone near the US consulate in Erbil. 10. Two Yemeni military officials say the Yemeni air force struck Houthi missile and drone launch sites along the front lines in Marib and Jawf provinces. 11. UK Maritime Trade Organization: Received a report on Friday of an incident involving an oil tanker and military forces in the Gulf of Oman. 12. Trump: If we dont get 100% what we want, we will consider resuming a full-scale war. 13. Iranian Revolutionary Guard: The number of American deaths in Operation Victory 2 exceeds 200. US-Iran Negotiations 1. US President Trump: The Iranian side is currently in contact with us, but I dont think they are ready to reach an agreement. 2. It is reported that negotiations between Oman and Iran have made progress, and Trump called a halt to the strikes against Iran on Friday. Strait of Hormuz 1. US Central Command: The US maritime blockade against Iran remains fully enforced. As of July 25, 12 merchant ships attempting to break the blockade have been forced to change course, 2 disobedient vessels have had their navigation capabilities disabled, and 2 vessels have been boarded for inspection to ensure full compliance. 2. US Central Command: On July 24, measures were taken in the Gulf of Oman to stop the Mozambican-flagged oil tanker "Lavine" from sailing. 3. Spokesperson for the Iranian Parliaments National Security Committee: The main point of contention between Iran and the United States is the Strait of Hormuz. The strait will never return to its pre-war state. Other developments: 1. Iranian official: The Ghoshka facility is "currently empty." 2. Bahrain and Kuwait were reported to have secretly launched airstrikes against Iran; Kuwait denied this. 3. Israeli forces launched a large-scale manhunt in the West Bank, detaining more than 70 Palestinians. 4. The US and UK plan to hold a meeting on the Strait of Hormuz issue to promote the formation of a Hormuz maritime security coalition. 5. According to Irans Press TV: Following Yemens attack on oil refineries, large-scale queues for refueling have appeared across Saudi Arabia. 6. Qatars Ministry of Transport: From July 26, all types of maritime transport and shipping activities will fully resume. 7. Qatars Ministry of Foreign Affairs: The Prime Minister and Foreign Minister confirmed the need for all parties to commit to implementing the memorandum of understanding between Washington and Tehran. 8. A spokesperson for the Iranian Revolutionary Guard stated that if Britain supports the US in the war, it will become a clear and legitimate target. 9. A drone crashed near the residence of Israeli National Security Minister Ben-Gevil in Hebron; there were no casualties. 10. Iran: Sold a total of $18 billion worth of oil during the war and ceasefire.Ukrainian Air Force: Russian forces are attacking Kyiv with ballistic missiles.U.S. Central Command: Earlier today, the U.S. military completed an inspection and boarding of the Comoros-flagged oil tanker “Charminar” in the Arabian Sea. The tanker has now continued its voyage.According to the Iranian Students News Agency, Iraqi sources say that several violent explosions and widespread fires have occurred at the Jambul oil field in Iraqs Kirkuk province.According to Irans Fars News Agency, a spokesperson for the Iranian Revolutionary Guard stated that if Britain supports the United States in a war, it will become a clear and legitimate target.

Despite the fact that Eurozone interest rates are anticipated to peak sooner, the EUR/GBP looks to have breached over 0.8630

Daniel Rogers

Dec 07, 2022 15:12

 EUR:GBP.png

 

The EUR/GBP pair has had a stronger recovery from 0.8580 during the Asian session, approaching the pivotal 0.8630 level. Despite the European Central Bank (ECB) being close to reaching an interest rate high, there has been strong demand for Euro bulls. Thus, the monetary policy meeting scheduled for next week will be of utmost significance.

 

The cross is attempting to break strongly above the significant barrier of 0.8630 for the fourth time this week. The hawkish remarks made by ECB policymakers are holding back the euro bulls.

 

"There will be another rate hike," said Constantinos Herodotou, governor of the Central Bank of Cyprus, "but we are very near to neutral." The European Central Bank's chief economist, Phillip Lane, is unsure as to whether the inflation peak has already occurred or will take place in 2019. He stated that although "much has already been done," he does not rule out more rate increases.

 

Investors are currently looking forward to Christine Lagarde's speech, which will be revealed on Thursday. The ECB President is likely to lower her inflation projection in her future statement in light of the poor retail sales numbers.

 

In contrast to expectations for a 1.7% loss, this week's Eurozone retail sales numbers showed a 1.8% decline. Aside from that, annual economic data contraction came in at 2.7% as opposed to the 2.6% consensus expectation. A decline in household demand demonstrates the effectiveness of the European Central Bank's (ECB) policy tightening initiatives. To reach their sales targets, firms could feel pressured to lower the prices of their products and services.

 

The United Kingdom's deteriorating food crisis, brought on by growing costs and a labor shortfall, has had an impact on the Pound Sterling. According to Minette Batters, president of the National Farmers Union, "the government and the entire supply chain must act swiftly." The Financial Times stated that "tomorrow might be too late." The economy already faces rising food inflation, and the issue with the supply of food will make matters worse.