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April 14th - According to a CNN report on Monday, a source familiar with the negotiations revealed that the Trump administration is discussing the specific details of arranging a second round of face-to-face talks with Iranian officials before the US-Iran ceasefire expires next week, depending on the situation. However, whether such a meeting will actually take place remains uncertain. If negotiations with Iran and regional mediators progress in the coming days, officials are studying potential dates and locations for the talks, describing these discussions as an initial phase. "If the situation develops in that direction, we need to be prepared to quickly initiate the relevant arrangements," the source said. A regional source indicated that a new round of negotiations is possible, with Turkey working to bridge the differences between the two sides. Sources familiar with the matter revealed that Geneva and Islamabad have again been listed as potential locations for the next round of negotiations. Sources said that government officials remain hopeful of resolving the issue through diplomatic means. Depending on the pace of progress in negotiations in the coming days, the US and Iran may also extend the ceasefire to buy more time.On April 14th, Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey warned on Monday that private credit funds are facing a higher risk from a one-off shock that could shake confidence across the industry. In his capacity as Chairman of the Financial Stability Board (FSB), Bailey wrote to finance ministers outlining how the Middle East conflict could, for the first time, test the $1.8 trillion global private credit market, as some highly leveraged borrowers face pressure. Bailey wrote, “The lack of transparency in these markets presents a higher risk, and even if the specific cause of the problem is limited to individual borrowers, it could trigger a broader loss of confidence.” He added that the FSB will “continue to monitor and conduct further work in the coming months.” The FSB is currently preparing a detailed report on private credit vulnerabilities, aiming to uncover hidden corners of the market that policymakers have been concerned about for years, an area that has expanded rapidly in a relatively lax regulatory environment.According to Futures News on April 14, as of the close of trading at 2:30 PM, the main Shanghai Gold futures contract fell by 0.48%, the main Shanghai Silver futures contract fell by 0.19%, and the main SC crude oil futures contract rose by 0.65%.April 14th - As of 2:30 PM closing, the Shanghai Gold futures contract fell 0.48% to 1043 yuan/gram, the Shanghai Silver futures contract fell 0.19% to 18632 yuan/kilogram, and the SC Crude Oil futures contract rose 0.65% to 653 yuan/barrel.According to Politico: The U.S. Senate Banking Committee has received Warshs ethics filings but is still awaiting his responses to the questionnaire.

Despite the fact that Eurozone interest rates are anticipated to peak sooner, the EUR/GBP looks to have breached over 0.8630

Daniel Rogers

Dec 07, 2022 15:12

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The EUR/GBP pair has had a stronger recovery from 0.8580 during the Asian session, approaching the pivotal 0.8630 level. Despite the European Central Bank (ECB) being close to reaching an interest rate high, there has been strong demand for Euro bulls. Thus, the monetary policy meeting scheduled for next week will be of utmost significance.

 

The cross is attempting to break strongly above the significant barrier of 0.8630 for the fourth time this week. The hawkish remarks made by ECB policymakers are holding back the euro bulls.

 

"There will be another rate hike," said Constantinos Herodotou, governor of the Central Bank of Cyprus, "but we are very near to neutral." The European Central Bank's chief economist, Phillip Lane, is unsure as to whether the inflation peak has already occurred or will take place in 2019. He stated that although "much has already been done," he does not rule out more rate increases.

 

Investors are currently looking forward to Christine Lagarde's speech, which will be revealed on Thursday. The ECB President is likely to lower her inflation projection in her future statement in light of the poor retail sales numbers.

 

In contrast to expectations for a 1.7% loss, this week's Eurozone retail sales numbers showed a 1.8% decline. Aside from that, annual economic data contraction came in at 2.7% as opposed to the 2.6% consensus expectation. A decline in household demand demonstrates the effectiveness of the European Central Bank's (ECB) policy tightening initiatives. To reach their sales targets, firms could feel pressured to lower the prices of their products and services.

 

The United Kingdom's deteriorating food crisis, brought on by growing costs and a labor shortfall, has had an impact on the Pound Sterling. According to Minette Batters, president of the National Farmers Union, "the government and the entire supply chain must act swiftly." The Financial Times stated that "tomorrow might be too late." The economy already faces rising food inflation, and the issue with the supply of food will make matters worse.


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