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Bank of America Global Research expects the Bank of England to cut interest rates by 25 basis points each in June and September 2026, compared with previous forecasts of cuts in March and June.March 13 – Abu Dhabi National Oil Company (ADNOC) has cut crude oil shipments from its onshore partners by about one-fifth this month, even though the oil will still be transported to a port outside the nearly closed Strait of Hormuz. Sources familiar with the matter said the state-owned oil producer has notified its equity partners that they are only allowed to load 80% of their remaining Murban crude quotas in March. The sources did not disclose the specific reasons but indicated that cargoes of the UAEs flagship Murban crude can still be picked up from the port of Fujairah. Previously, ADNOC had stated that these cargoes would need to be picked up from the port of Jabel Dana in the Persian Gulf, meaning they would need to cross the Strait of Hormuz. ADNOCs move comes as the Middle East conflict enters its second week, following several cases of Asian refiners being unable to pick up their March shipments. Traders familiar with the situation said some buyers Middle East orders have been cancelled due to a lack of shipping options.On March 13th, according to Tianyanchas risk information platform, on March 12th, Evergrande Group Co., Ltd., Xinjiang Guanghui Industrial Investment (Group) Co., Ltd., and others added a new resumption of enforcement information, with an enforcement target of over 2.12 billion yuan. The executing court is the Guangzhou Intermediate Peoples Court of Guangdong Province. Evergrande Group Co., Ltd. was established in January 2014, with Han Xue as its legal representative and a registered capital of 53 billion yuan. Shareholder information shows that the company is wholly owned by Guangzhou Kailong Real Estate Co., Ltd. Tianyanchas risk information shows that the company currently has more than 30 enforcement records, with a total enforcement amount exceeding 5 billion yuan. In addition, the company also has multiple records of being a dishonest judgment debtor (laolai) and cases that have been terminated due to lack of assets.Market news: Abu Dhabi National Oil Company cut crude oil supplies from its onshore partners by about one-fifth this month.Japanese Economy, Trade and Industry Minister Ryomasa Akazawa: Japanese companies are seeking alternative sources of crude oil, including the United States, Central Asia, and South America.

Despite the 5.9% decrease in Australian GDP, the AUD/JPY crosses 91.70

Daniel Rogers

Dec 07, 2022 14:59

The AUD/JPY pair has surpassed the crucial barrier level of 91.70 despite a weaker-than-anticipated Australian Gross Domestic Product (GDP). The annual GDP results were 5.9% instead of the expected 6.3% and the previously reported 3.6%. While quarterly GDP data was reported at 0.6% rather than the 0.7% forecast and 0.9% that had previously been made public.

 

Weaker-than-anticipated Australian GDP numbers will help the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) achieve its goal of establishing price stability. After the RBA increased its Official Cash Rate (OCR) by 25 basis points for the third consecutive day on Tuesday, the cross remained extremely volatile (bps). Australia's interest rates are now 3.10 percent as a result of this. The 25 basis point hike in interest rates was decided upon in accordance with forecasts.

 

RBA Governor Philip Lowe thinks that further tightening of monetary policy is imminent in terms of interest rate guidance. The RBA is not in a rush to stop raising interest rates because the current inflation rate of 6.9% is significantly higher than the target rate of 2%, and additional policy tightening cannot be ruled out.

 

Investors will pay special attention this week when the Consumer Price Index (CPI) numbers for China are released on Friday. The annual CPI is predicted to drop significantly from the previous reading of 2.1% to 1.0%. The People's Bank of China (PBOC) might be forced to further ease monetary policy as a result of this. As China's largest trading partner, Australia will benefit from China's monetary easing by strengthening the Australian Dollar.

 

Investors in the Japanese yen are waiting for the GDP report on Thursday. Compared to the earlier contraction of 1.2%, it is predicted that the economic data will fall by 1.1%. Although the quarterly data is anticipated to decrease by 0.3%, similar to the previous release, it is more likely to decrease by 0.2%.