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Direct flights from Tehran, Iran to Doha, Qatar will be launched in July.On April 6, Saudi Arabias TASI index closed down 6.78%, hitting a new low in more than two years.On April 6, German Berenberg Bank said that due to the strong reaction of some US trading partners to the new tariffs and the widespread uncertainty, European economic sentiment in the second quarter may be worse than we previously expected. We lowered our forecast for real GDP growth in the euro area and the UK in the second quarter by 0.1 percentage point to 0.1% and 0.2% month-on-month respectively. This will lower our annual forecast for the euro area economy in 2025 to 0.9%, and our economic forecast for the UK in 2025 and 2026 to 0.9% and 1.3%, respectively.April 6, Germanys Berenberg Bank said that tariff uncertainty has not yet reached its peak. Trumps tariff shock has laid the foundation for negotiations. As long as the results of Trumps negotiations with various countries are unknown, companies around the world may hesitate to invest in the United States or its most affected trading partners. The failure of these negotiations may lead to rounds of tit-for-tat retaliation. Trump may also add new tariffs on specific industries, including medicines, which have so far been exempt from his reciprocal tariffs. We assume that in response to rising US inflation, economic turmoil and threats of retaliation, the United States will negotiate to cancel about half of its new tariffs on Europe by the end of the second quarter. Otherwise, the bank said it would have to further lower its forecasts for US and eurozone growth.The strong earthquake in Myanmar has killed 3,564 people, injured 5,012 people, and left 210 people missing.

BTC Bulls Target $21,000 While ETH Breaks $1,500 Resistance

Oct 27, 2022 15:21

 截屏2022-10-27 下午3.12.06.png

 

During a breakout session on Tuesday, bitcoin (BTC) and ethereum (ETH) returned to $20,000 and $1,500, respectively. The breakout session was driven by a shift in market attitude towards the Fed, with economic indicators revealing fractures in the US economy. The technical indications have turned bullish, and the momentum supports a strong opening on Wednesday.

 

On Tuesday, bitcoin (BTC) gained 3.95 percent. BTC reversed a 1.25 percent decline from Monday to close the day at $20,104. Notably, BTC closed the day at $20,000 for the first time since October 5 while avoiding sub-$19,000 territory for the fourth session.

 

BTC fell to a morning low of $19,251 due to a negative morning. BTC rose to a late-afternoon high of $20,432 while avoiding the First Major Support Level (S1) at $19,138. BTC was able to surpass the Major Resistance Levels. BTC fell through the Third Major Resistance Level (R3) at $20,258 due to a late pullback.

 

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On Tuesday, Ethereum (ETH) rose 8.63%. ETH reversed Monday's loss of 1.47% to conclude the day at $1,460. Notably, ETH reached $1,500 for the first time since September's middle.

 

Due to a rocky start to the day, ETH fell to a low of $1,335 early on. ETH surged to a late-afternoon high of $1,525 after avoiding the First Major Support Level (S1) around $1,325. ETH surpassed the Major Resistance Levels for the day. The Third Major Resistance Level (R3) at $1,440 provided support late in the day.

 

On Tuesday, US economic figures bolstered wagers that the Fed will take a less aggressive stance in December. Mary Daly, a member of the Federal Open Market Committee, and a Wall Street Journal article published last Friday both referred to the Fed taking its foot off the throttle.

 

This week, economic statistics demonstrated the Fed's impact on the economy. The preliminary private sector PMIs for October revealed a more pronounced contraction in the services sector, along with a decline in consumer confidence.

 

The housing market was adversely affected by the impact of rising interest rates on mortgage rates, as home price growth slowed significantly.

 

There are currently no significant statistics for markets to consider. FOMC members are, however, unable to alter the narrative until November 3, due to the blackout period, which supports the bullish morning session.

 

As of this morning, the FedWatch Tool placed the likelihood of rate hikes in November and December at 95.1% and 47.2%, respectively. Prior to one week, the probability of a 75-basis-point increase in December stood at 77.0%.

 

Elon Musk's ambitions to acquire Twitter (TWTR) and news of CFTC Chairman Rostin Behnam classifying BTC and ETH as commodities are also contributing to the increase.