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On April 4, according to people familiar with the matter, US Republicans are considering creating a new tax bracket for people with incomes of $1 million or more to offset part of the cost of the tax bill, which is in stark contrast to the Republican Partys decades-long opposition to tax increases. People familiar with the matter said the new top tax rate would be between 39% and 40%. Trump administration officials and allies on Capitol Hill are beginning to draft a tax plan, hoping to pass it in the coming months. In addition, Republicans are also considering raising the top tax rate on incomes over $626,350 from the current 37% to 39.6%, which means the top tax rate will return to the level set by former President Obama.US President Trump: Britain is happy with US tariffs.Foreign central banks held U.S. Treasuries worth -$1.76 billion in the week ending March 27, compared with -$14.896 billion in the previous week.Trump trade adviser Navarro: Tariffs are to protect the American people and increase revenue.April 4th, as a new wave of tariffs upends global markets, the dollar has wiped out all of its gains since Trump won the election last November. "The dollar bear market has arrived and its roaring," said Paresh Upadhyaya, director of fixed income and currency strategy at Amundi. He added that the dollar could fall 10% this year as the United States "teeters on the brink of recession." This is in stark contrast to earlier this year, when Trumps policy plans such as tax cuts and tariffs were seen as a reason to bet on a rebound in the dollar. In February, U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessant said Trumps policies were "completely consistent" with a strong dollar, confirming the governments strong dollar stance. "We may be in the early stages of a structural sell-off in the dollar," said Ed Al-Hussainy, strategist at Columbia Threadneedle Investment.

As investors await fresh cues from the US ISM PMI, the USD/JPY pair fails to surpass 131.00

Alina Haynes

Jan 03, 2023 15:26

As the USD/JPY pair strives to surpass the critical level of 131.00 in the early Tokyo session, it is facing increasing resistance. The asset is trading near its 12-day low, therefore investors are likely to maintain a state of apprehension.

 

Due to the market's need for sufficient time to settle after the holiday fervor and long weekend, the risk profile is still uncertain. As the U.S. equity market awaits the International Monetary Fund's economic estimates, S&P500 futures perform modestly (IMF).

 

On a CBS Sunday morning news broadcast, IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva warned, "2023 will be a difficult year for the majority of the global economy, as the three engines of global expansion — the United States, Europe, and China – may all experience declining activity."

 

In the future, the sentiment of the market will be reflected in the trading volume of the US Dollar Index (DXY). The ISM Manufacturing PMI data from the United States will be the most crucial element on the USD Index. Predictions indicate that the US ISM Manufacturing PMI will increase to 49.6 from 49.0 in the most recent report. In addition, investors will monitor the New Orders Index, which provides insight into future demand in the United States. The economic data is projected to increase to 48.1, up from 47.2 in the previous release.

 

A continuation of Tokyo's ultra-lax monetary policy could have an impact on the Japanese Yen. The Bank of Japan (BOJ) has already established inflation targets close to 2% for fiscal years 2023 and 2024, necessitating further increases in pay rates and a steady flow of market liquidity to underpin aggregate demand.

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