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According to a report by CICC on February 24, Bilibili (09626.HK)s revenue in the fourth quarter of last year increased by 22% year-on-year to RMB 7.73 billion, in line with expectations, and non-GAAP net profit was RMB 453 million, slightly higher than expected, mainly due to higher-than-expected other income. The bank maintains its forecast for the companys non-GAAP net profit for this year and next year. Taking into account the increase in the industrys average valuation and the companys improved earnings, it raises the Hong Kong stock target price by 16.7% to HK$203 and the US stock target price by 16.1% to US$26, maintaining its outperform rating.On February 24, Goldman Sachs research report pointed out that Ideal Auto (02015.HK) delivered 159,000 new energy passenger vehicles in the fourth quarter of last year, a year-on-year increase of 20% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 4%. However, due to the lack of new models, the companys market share in the mainlands new energy vehicle retail market has dropped from 5% in the third quarter of 2024 to 4.1%. The bank expects the companys total revenue in the fourth quarter to be RMB 44 billion, a year-on-year increase of 5% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 2%. Among them, automobile revenue will increase by 4% year-on-year to RMB 42 billion; the average selling price will fall by 13% year-on-year to RMB 266,000. At the same time, the total gross profit during the period is expected to be RMB 9.6 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 2%; the gross profit margin is 22%, a year-on-year decrease of 1.5 percentage points. The bank raised its net profit forecast for the company in 2024 by 10% due to better cost management, and lowered its net profit forecast for this year and next year by 4% to 6% due to lower sales and delivery volumes. The bank raised the companys H-share target price from HK$131 to HK$137 and maintained its buy rating.On February 24, Goldman Sachs published a report stating that NIO (09866.HK) delivered 73,000 new energy vehicles in the last quarter of last year, up 45% year-on-year and 18% quarter-on-quarter. The companys market share in new energy vehicles in the mainland shrank from 2% in the third quarter of last year to 1.9% in the last quarter. The bank expects NIOs revenue to increase by 17% year-on-year to RMB 20 billion. Due to the increase in the sales proportion of Ledao L60, the bank expects NIOs automotive business to have a lower gross profit margin in the last quarter; but due to economies of scale and cooperation with partners, the gross profit margin of the battery replacement business is expected to improve. The bank expects NIO to have an EBIT loss of RMB 6 billion in the last quarter; non-GAAP net loss is expected to be RMB 4.9 billion. To reflect the latest sales and pricing trends, the non-GAAP net profit forecasts for this year and next year are reduced by 2% and 1% respectively, and the valuation basis is extended for one year. The target price of Hong Kong stocks is raised from HK$27 to HK$30, and the rating is sold.On February 24, according to the Financial Times, ECB board member Wensch said that the ECB faces the risk of unknowingly cutting interest rates too much and needs to be prepared to stop cutting interest rates as soon as possible. The market generally expects the ECB to cut its deposit rate from 2.75% to 2% by the end of the year due to signs of weak economic growth in Europe. Wensch said, I am not pleading for a pause in interest rate cuts in April, but we must not raise interest rates to 2% without thinking. Let us keep it open, and if the data proves that further interest rate cuts are justified, the ECB will cut interest rates; otherwise, we may have to suspend interest rate cuts. Schnabel, an influential member of the six-member ECB Executive Board, also hinted that the ECB may have almost completed the interest rate cut by cutting the deposit rate from 4% to 2.75% since June.Samsung Electronics Union: Samsung Electronics management and the union reached an agreement on a 5.1% salary increase.

As conflicting Fed remarks put US dollar investors to the test and the UK/US PMI is in focus, GBP / USD pair is attempting to regain 1.2000

Alina Haynes

Mar 03, 2023 13:55

GBP:USD.png 

 

GBP / USD recovers from its weekly low as it re-establishes its hourly high near 1.1970 and records its first daily gain in four sessions on Friday morning. As the Federal Reserve (Fed) speakers struggle to defend the hawkish bias, the Cable duo pays little attention to the Brexit-negative headlines and the Bank of England's (BoE) officials' varying opinions.

 

According to Raphael Bostic, head of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, the central bank might be able to stop the present tightening cycle by mid- to late summer. Susan Collins, president of the Boston Fed, disagreed, telling Reuters that extra rate hikes are required to control inflation. She continued by saying that the size of interest rate rises will be determined by the inbound data.

 

On the other hand, Chief Economist Huw Pill told Reuters on Thursday that survey data that has since become accessible has surprised to the positive, suggesting that the present economic activity momentum may be a little better than expected. According to Reuters, the most recent decision maker panel (DMP) poll from the Bank of England (BoE) showed that "businesses' forecasts for their own-price inflation fell in February."

 

Boris Johnson, a former British prime minister, criticized Rishi Sunak, the current prime minister, for allowing the EU to maintain an excessive amount of power in the United Kingdom. Johnson of the United Kingdom added, "We must be clear about what is happening in this situation. This is not about the Kingdom regaining power. This is the EU kindly rejecting our requests in our own nation. Not by our rules, but by theirs." The Democratic Unionist Party (DUP) of Ireland voiced doubt about backing the most recent deal regarding the Northern Ireland Protocol prior to the debate in the British Parliament (NIP).

 

Wall Street finished on an optimistic note after a rough start, while the S&P 500 Futures were slightly down as of press time. In addition, the yield on US 10-year Treasury bonds increased to its highest level since early November 2022, crossing the 4% mark, while the yield on the 2-year bond increased to its highest level since 2007, reaching 4.94%. However, bond coupons have lately dropped from their multi-month peak.

 

Notably, the US-China friction at the G20 summit was stoked by the former's push for penalties against nations with close links to Russia and support for Moscow in the conflict with Ukraine. The following dovish Fed remarks and Sino-American trade discussion discourse appeared to have tempered the risk-averse mood.

 

Looking ahead, comments from lower-level BoE and Fed officials will be made to entice GBP / USD pair buyers after the final readings of the UK S&P Global/CIPS Services PMI for February, which are anticipated to support the original estimate of 53.3. However, the US ISM Services PMI for February, which is predicted to be 54.5 compared to 55.2 in January, will receive a lot of notice.

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