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On January 22nd, a research report from CITIC Securities pointed out that the USD/CNY exchange rate has also continued to rise recently. Given the still strong willingness to settle foreign exchange in the short term, and the fact that the beginning of each year is a major window for RMB appreciation, it cannot be ruled out that the RMB will continue to rise before the Spring Festival, releasing appreciation pressure. The combination of falling US Treasury yields and a strengthening RMB will put considerable pressure on current US Treasury holdings. However, after entering March, US Treasury yields and the RMB exchange rate may simultaneously peak, at which time a more ideal buying opportunity will be provided.According to Fox News, when asked whether Greenland would remain under Danish control, NATO Secretary General Rutte said that this question was not raised in his conversation with US President Trump.1. All three major U.S. stock indexes closed higher. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 1.21% to 49,077.23 points, the S&P 500 rose 1.16% to 6,875.62 points, and the Nasdaq Composite rose 1.18% to 23,224.82 points. Amgen rose nearly 4%, and Nvidia rose nearly 3%, leading the Dow. The Wind U.S. Tech Big Seven Index rose 0.98%, Tesla rose nearly 3%, and Google rose nearly 2%. Chinese concept stocks generally rose, with Baidu Group rising more than 8% and 21Vianet Group rising nearly 7%. 2. The three major European stock indexes closed mixed. The German DAX index fell 0.51% to 24,577.81 points, the French CAC40 index rose 0.08% to 8,069.17 points, and the UK FTSE 100 index rose 0.11% to 10,138.09 points. 3. US Treasury yields fell across the board. The 2-year Treasury yield fell 0.39 basis points to 3.584%, the 3-year Treasury yield fell 2.22 basis points to 3.651%, the 5-year Treasury yield fell 2.63 basis points to 3.822%, the 10-year Treasury yield fell 5.16 basis points to 4.241%, and the 30-year Treasury yield fell 5.26 basis points to 4.861%. 4. International precious metals futures closed mixed. COMEX gold futures rose 1.48% to $4836.20 per ounce, while COMEX silver futures fell 1.78% to $92.95 per ounce. 5. The most active US crude oil contract closed up 0.51% at $60.67 per barrel; the most active Brent crude oil contract rose 0.61% to $64.58 per barrel. 6. Most base metals rose in London. LME tin rose 3.81% to $51,295.0/ton, LME nickel rose 2.05% to $17,975.0/ton, LME aluminum rose 0.32% to $3,117.5/ton, LME copper rose 0.06% to $12,761.5/ton, LME zinc rose 0.06% to $3,175.0/ton, and LME lead fell 0.20% to $2,024.5/ton.Spot gold and silver opened steady on Thursday, currently trading at $4,832 per ounce and $93.01 per ounce, respectively.Documents show that Walmart (WMT.N), Microsoft (MSFT.O), and Tiger Global sold shares in PhonePe, an Indian digital payments and financial services company, during its Indian IPO.

USD / NZD Bulls Arrive At The Highs And Apply Pressure Below 0.6250

Daniel Rogers

Mar 02, 2023 16:17

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NZD/USD is down roughly 0.27 percent, falling from a high of 0.6257 to a low of 0.6238, wiping out some of the gains made in the middle of the week in reaction to information indicating a recovery in China demand, which raised commodity prices.

 

This came after Australia released a disappointing report, where GDP growth fell to 0.5% quarter-over-quarter from 0.7% earlier and fell short of consensus forecasts of a 0.8% rise. The information raised the chance that the Reserve Bank of Australia would stop raising rates sooner than anticipated, which originally hurt both currencies.

 

However, the kiwi profited from speculative buying after China's non-manufacturing activity expanded at a faster pace in February and the Caixin/S&P Global manufacturing PMI report for last month also exceeded expectations. The offshore yuan rose 1.3% to 6.8683 per dollar, recording its largest one-day rise since late November.

 

The New Zealand currency outperformed most of its peers, according to ANZ Bank analysts, and did well on crosses, especially NZD/AUD. "After the strong German CPI report, the EUR was a strong performer, and the Kiwi followed suit. This trend may have been worsened by stop-loss buying in the NZD/AUD pair because there was no clear NZD catalyst. This may result in muted price action in the coming days.

 

The USD mood is also changing. Bond yields climbed as a result of strong data last week, which caused the DXY to soar. However, last night's solid data dragged on the dollar in a "good news is bad news" way, probably due to worries that the Fed will orchestrate a recession. Is the strength of the NZD a tardy acknowledgment of the economy's resilience and post-cyclone recovery? Has performed admirably."