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March 16 - According to a report by Irans Fars News Agency on the evening of March 15, a spokesperson for the Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps stated that most of the missiles currently being launched by Iran were "produced 10 years ago," and many missiles produced by Iran after the "12-Day War" in June last year "have not yet been used," and many of Irans missile arsenals "remain untouched."U.S. Energy Secretary Wright: Prices today are still far below those during the Biden administration, when they were asking Iran for favors, haggling, and even bribing Iran to “perform better.”Canadian Prime Minister Carney: I have arrived in London, England. The United Kingdom is one of Canadas oldest and most reliable partners.According to Irans Tasnim News Agency, Iranian President Pezehizian spoke by phone with French President Macron to discuss regional developments.March 16th - A Financial Times article points out that this week will be a "super central bank week." While the interest rate decisions of these central banks are not expected to bring any surprises, the policy guidance accompanying these decisions will be closely watched given the ongoing conflict in the Middle East. The four major central banks – the Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank, the Bank of England, and the Bank of Japan – will announce their decisions one after another on Thursday Beijing time. In addition, interest rate setters from Australia, Brazil, China, Canada, Indonesia, Sweden, and Switzerland will also meet this week. With the exception of the Reserve Bank of Australia, the other central banks are likely to keep interest rates unchanged. However, the war in Iran has increased the likelihood of a rate hike later this year. The interest rate market has responded hawkishly to the impending energy price shock; expectations for rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England have been erased, replaced by the possibility of a rate hike by the latter. Expectations for a rate hike by the European Central Bank this year have also increased further. Since the start of the war, the Bank of Japans interest rate path has remained relatively unchanged.

USD / NZD Bulls Arrive At The Highs And Apply Pressure Below 0.6250

Daniel Rogers

Mar 02, 2023 16:17

 NZD:USD.png

 

NZD/USD is down roughly 0.27 percent, falling from a high of 0.6257 to a low of 0.6238, wiping out some of the gains made in the middle of the week in reaction to information indicating a recovery in China demand, which raised commodity prices.

 

This came after Australia released a disappointing report, where GDP growth fell to 0.5% quarter-over-quarter from 0.7% earlier and fell short of consensus forecasts of a 0.8% rise. The information raised the chance that the Reserve Bank of Australia would stop raising rates sooner than anticipated, which originally hurt both currencies.

 

However, the kiwi profited from speculative buying after China's non-manufacturing activity expanded at a faster pace in February and the Caixin/S&P Global manufacturing PMI report for last month also exceeded expectations. The offshore yuan rose 1.3% to 6.8683 per dollar, recording its largest one-day rise since late November.

 

The New Zealand currency outperformed most of its peers, according to ANZ Bank analysts, and did well on crosses, especially NZD/AUD. "After the strong German CPI report, the EUR was a strong performer, and the Kiwi followed suit. This trend may have been worsened by stop-loss buying in the NZD/AUD pair because there was no clear NZD catalyst. This may result in muted price action in the coming days.

 

The USD mood is also changing. Bond yields climbed as a result of strong data last week, which caused the DXY to soar. However, last night's solid data dragged on the dollar in a "good news is bad news" way, probably due to worries that the Fed will orchestrate a recession. Is the strength of the NZD a tardy acknowledgment of the economy's resilience and post-cyclone recovery? Has performed admirably."


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