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USD / NZD Bulls Arrive At The Highs And Apply Pressure Below 0.6250

Daniel Rogers

Mar 02, 2023 16:17

 NZD:USD.png

 

NZD/USD is down roughly 0.27 percent, falling from a high of 0.6257 to a low of 0.6238, wiping out some of the gains made in the middle of the week in reaction to information indicating a recovery in China demand, which raised commodity prices.

 

This came after Australia released a disappointing report, where GDP growth fell to 0.5% quarter-over-quarter from 0.7% earlier and fell short of consensus forecasts of a 0.8% rise. The information raised the chance that the Reserve Bank of Australia would stop raising rates sooner than anticipated, which originally hurt both currencies.

 

However, the kiwi profited from speculative buying after China's non-manufacturing activity expanded at a faster pace in February and the Caixin/S&P Global manufacturing PMI report for last month also exceeded expectations. The offshore yuan rose 1.3% to 6.8683 per dollar, recording its largest one-day rise since late November.

 

The New Zealand currency outperformed most of its peers, according to ANZ Bank analysts, and did well on crosses, especially NZD/AUD. "After the strong German CPI report, the EUR was a strong performer, and the Kiwi followed suit. This trend may have been worsened by stop-loss buying in the NZD/AUD pair because there was no clear NZD catalyst. This may result in muted price action in the coming days.

 

The USD mood is also changing. Bond yields climbed as a result of strong data last week, which caused the DXY to soar. However, last night's solid data dragged on the dollar in a "good news is bad news" way, probably due to worries that the Fed will orchestrate a recession. Is the strength of the NZD a tardy acknowledgment of the economy's resilience and post-cyclone recovery? Has performed admirably."


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