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On March 16, the Peoples Bank of China (PBOC) announced that it will conduct 500 billion yuan of outright reverse repurchase operations today (March 16) through a fixed-quantity, interest rate bidding process with multiple price levels, for a term of six months (182 days). Since 600 billion yuan of six-month outright reverse repurchase agreements mature in March, this operation by the PBOC means that the amount of six-month outright reverse repurchase agreements renewed this month has been reduced by 100 billion yuan.US-Israel-Iran Conflict: ① Iran 1. Iran claims simultaneous strikes against four US military bases. 2. Irans Supreme Leader reiterates "will seek reparations from the enemy." 3. Iran claims most of the missiles launched so far were manufactured 10 years ago. 4. US-Israel attacks have damaged over 40,000 civilian facilities in Iran. 5. Iran arrests 13 people suspected of espionage and sabotage. 6. Irans Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps claims it will "hunt down" Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu. 7. Iran claims to have launched a large-scale attack on Israeli security centers and police headquarters. 8. Irans Foreign Minister states the end of the war depends on two conditions: ensuring the war never resumes and paying reparations. 9. Irans Foreign Minister: Welcomes any regional initiatives that can justly end the war. Never made a ceasefire or negotiation request. 10. Iranian media: Irans Foreign Minister states that Iran is prepared to form an investigative committee with regional countries to investigate the targets of the attacks. Israel may be behind the attacks on civilian targets in Arab countries. ②United States 1. The US called on multiple countries to send warships to the Middle East, with South Korea, Japan, France, and other countries responding. 2. US media: The US government may announce a multinational joint escort mission in the Strait of Hormuz as early as this week. 3. US Central Command: The Iranian Foreign Minister claimed that the US is using one-way attack drones to attack Gulf countries and shifted the blame to Iran. This is a lie. 4. US Energy Secretary: "Clearly" we will have the support of other countries on the Strait of Hormuz issue. The conflict with Iran will end in the "next few weeks," after which oil supplies will recover and energy prices will fall. ③Israel 1. The Israeli military claimed to have struck an Iranian drone launch site. 2. Israeli media: Iranian missile debris hit the US consulate building in Israel. 3. The Israeli Prime Minister released a video confirming he is still "alive" and said he will continue action against Iran. 4. Israeli military spokesperson: Military action against Iran will continue for at least another three weeks. 5. Israeli Foreign Minister: Israel is not facing a shortage of missile interceptors. 6. Israeli military: Expanding the strike range on Iranian infrastructure in more areas of western and central Iran. 7. According to Israel Today: A senior Israeli official stated that the possibility of overthrowing the Iranian regime is lower than initially estimated. ④ Other 1. Switzerland refused to allow two US military aircraft to fly over its airspace. 2. Bahrains worlds top aluminum smelter initiated a production cut plan. 3. Iraq claims that Baghdad International Airport and its surrounding area were attacked by rockets, injuring four people. 4. The British Prime Minister spoke with the US President, mentioning the importance of reopening the Strait of Hormuz. 5. Iraqi Ministry of Oil: The Kurdish Ministry of Natural Resources currently refuses to resume oil exports. 6. The French Foreign Minister will discuss joint naval operations in the Strait of Hormuz with EU foreign ministers on Monday. 7. Iraqi Ministry of Oil: Ready to resume exports via the Ceyhan pipeline, with daily exports not exceeding 300,000 barrels. 8. Senior Kurdistan government official: Welcomes the use of pipelines for oil exports, but only if the dollar embargo on the region is lifted. Gaza Situation: 1. Gaza medical personnel: An airstrike targeting a police car in the Gaza Strip killed eight people. 2. Israel announced that the Rafah border crossing will reopen in both directions starting March 18. Other developments: 1. The Syrian transitional government has taken over the US military base in Rumailan. 2. Israeli Foreign Minister: Israel does not intend to hold direct talks with the Lebanese government in the coming days. 3. Lebanese Ministry of Health: Since March 2, Israeli attacks on Lebanon have resulted in 850 deaths. 4. According to Israels GLZ radio: Israeli Energy Minister Cohen stated that the government is considering canceling the gas agreement with Lebanon. On March 16, Madagascars interim head of state, Landrianirina, appointed Mamitiana Rajonarison as the new prime minister in the capital, Antananarivo, on the evening of March 15. Landrianirina expressed his hope that the new prime minister would quickly form a government, implement national reconstruction policies, and achieve tangible results. Rajonarison was a former officer in Madagascars National Gendarmerie and became the director of the Financial Intelligence Bureau in April 2021, an agency primarily responsible for combating money laundering and terrorist financing.On March 16, Iranian Supreme Leader Mojtaba posted a message late on March 15 on his social media account, Telegram, reiterating that Iran will "demand reparations from its enemies" regardless of the circumstances. If the enemies refuse to pay, Iran will confiscate assets of equivalent value; if confiscation is not possible, Iran will destroy assets of equal value.March 16 - According to a report by Irans Fars News Agency on the evening of March 15, a spokesperson for the Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps stated that most of the missiles currently being launched by Iran were "produced 10 years ago," and many missiles produced by Iran after the "12-Day War" in June last year "have not yet been used," and many of Irans missile arsenals "remain untouched."

As conflicting Fed remarks put US dollar investors to the test and the UK/US PMI is in focus, GBP / USD pair is attempting to regain 1.2000

Alina Haynes

Mar 03, 2023 13:55

GBP:USD.png 

 

GBP / USD recovers from its weekly low as it re-establishes its hourly high near 1.1970 and records its first daily gain in four sessions on Friday morning. As the Federal Reserve (Fed) speakers struggle to defend the hawkish bias, the Cable duo pays little attention to the Brexit-negative headlines and the Bank of England's (BoE) officials' varying opinions.

 

According to Raphael Bostic, head of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, the central bank might be able to stop the present tightening cycle by mid- to late summer. Susan Collins, president of the Boston Fed, disagreed, telling Reuters that extra rate hikes are required to control inflation. She continued by saying that the size of interest rate rises will be determined by the inbound data.

 

On the other hand, Chief Economist Huw Pill told Reuters on Thursday that survey data that has since become accessible has surprised to the positive, suggesting that the present economic activity momentum may be a little better than expected. According to Reuters, the most recent decision maker panel (DMP) poll from the Bank of England (BoE) showed that "businesses' forecasts for their own-price inflation fell in February."

 

Boris Johnson, a former British prime minister, criticized Rishi Sunak, the current prime minister, for allowing the EU to maintain an excessive amount of power in the United Kingdom. Johnson of the United Kingdom added, "We must be clear about what is happening in this situation. This is not about the Kingdom regaining power. This is the EU kindly rejecting our requests in our own nation. Not by our rules, but by theirs." The Democratic Unionist Party (DUP) of Ireland voiced doubt about backing the most recent deal regarding the Northern Ireland Protocol prior to the debate in the British Parliament (NIP).

 

Wall Street finished on an optimistic note after a rough start, while the S&P 500 Futures were slightly down as of press time. In addition, the yield on US 10-year Treasury bonds increased to its highest level since early November 2022, crossing the 4% mark, while the yield on the 2-year bond increased to its highest level since 2007, reaching 4.94%. However, bond coupons have lately dropped from their multi-month peak.

 

Notably, the US-China friction at the G20 summit was stoked by the former's push for penalties against nations with close links to Russia and support for Moscow in the conflict with Ukraine. The following dovish Fed remarks and Sino-American trade discussion discourse appeared to have tempered the risk-averse mood.

 

Looking ahead, comments from lower-level BoE and Fed officials will be made to entice GBP / USD pair buyers after the final readings of the UK S&P Global/CIPS Services PMI for February, which are anticipated to support the original estimate of 53.3. However, the US ISM Services PMI for February, which is predicted to be 54.5 compared to 55.2 in January, will receive a lot of notice.