• English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
Hang Seng Index futures closed up 1.25% at 19,841 points in the night session, 257 points higher than the previous session.Congressional Budget Office (CBO): The cost of clean energy subsidies in the inflation-proof bill is now expected to be $825 billion between 2025 and 2035, compared with an estimated cost of $270 billion between 2022 and 2031.The Federal Reserve accepted a total of $118.327 billion from 32 counterparties in fixed-rate reverse repurchase operations.The Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) said it was working with SpaceX and relevant authorities to confirm reports of damage to public property in the Turks and Caicos Islands.Futures traders are adjusting their bets in the Treasury market after mild inflation data and dovish comments from a Federal Reserve official. Over the past two days, the volume of open interest has changed, consistent with traders exiting short positions in two-year Treasury bonds and establishing new long positions in longer-term Treasury contracts, especially in the five-year Treasury. The shift came after consumer price inflation data released on Wednesday and comments made by Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller the next day. Data released on Wednesday showed that core price increases in December were lower than economists expected; Waller said that if the trend continues, officials may cut interest rates again in the middle of the year. Morgan Stanleys interest rate strategists suggested late Thursday that long positions could be established in Treasury bonds of this term given expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in March, but this is still a minority view. The swap market expects only a 6 basis point rate cut in March, which means there is about a 25% chance of a 25 basis point cut. “We haven’t ruled out a rate cut in March, but we do see it as more of a tail risk,” said Stephanie LaRosiliere, head of fixed income strategy at Invesco. “It doesn’t feel like the Fed needs to react so hastily.”

As a result of dismal Australian Employment data, the AUD/USD exchange rate falls further to about 0.69

Alina Haynes

Jan 19, 2023 15:14

AUD:USD.png

 

The AUD/USD pair has continued its slide to near 0.6900 after the Australian Bureau of Statistics published weaker-than-anticipated Employment (Dec) data. Contrary to market expectations, the Australian labor market has laid off 14,600 workers. The market had anticipated an increase of 22,500 employment. In addition, the Unemployment Rate has risen to 3.5%, exceeding both expectations and the prior estimate of 3.4%.

 

The growing unemployment rate will provide some relief to the Reserve Bank of Australia, although being destructive to the Australian economy (RBA). In an effort to address chronic inflation, Governor Philip Lowe of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has raised the Official Cash Rate (OCR) to 3.10 percent, which looks to have begun negatively impacting the labor market.

 

The Australian Property Investor (API) reported on Wednesday, "Despite the pain felt by homeowners attempting to meet mortgage repayments, recent buyers staring into the abyss of negative equity, and property prices falling at the fastest rate on record, it seems unlikely that rate hikes will abate soon." They noted that the increase in interest rates was the result of the 11.4% growth in household spending in November.

 

Worsening employment figures and a decrease in perceived risk appetite have damaged the Australian Dollar. As S&P500 futures have resumed their drop, investors' appetite for risk has diminished further following Wednesday's disastrous performance. The yields on U.S. Treasuries are supported by the concept of risk aversion gaining ground. The yield on 10-year US Treasury bonds has surpassed 3.38 percent once again.