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January 17th, Mark Carney, 59, announced on Thursday that he will run for the leadership of the Liberal Party, seeking to succeed the current Prime Minister Trudeau. Carney said he wants to focus on the troubled economy and portray himself as an outsider who does not belong to the Trudeau government. But the opposition Conservative Party said there is no difference between Carney and Trudeau. "As a long-time Liberal Party insider, Carney has served as an adviser to Trudeau at least as early as 2020 and is definitely not an outsider." Carneys main competitor appears to be former Finance Minister Freeland, who resigned last month due to policy differences. The new prime minister is unlikely to stay in office for long, and the minority government may be overthrown in Parliament as early as the end of March, triggering a general election. Polls show that the Conservatives will win the election. Carney served as governor of the Bank of Canada in 2007 and governor of the Bank of England in 2013, becoming the first person to head two major central banks at the same time.Western Digital Corp (WDC.O) forecast second-quarter revenue in the middle of the $4.2 billion to $4.4 billion range.As of the week ending January 9, foreign central banks held U.S. Treasuries worth $24.266 billion, compared with -$30.339 billion in the previous week.On January 17, since the beginning of the year, reporters have noticed that some banks, including foreign banks, are shifting their marketing focus to structured deposits. Depending on the performance of the linked target, the yields of different structured deposits are different, and the highest annualized yield of some products exceeds 5%. The reporter consulted several bank account managers and learned that structured deposits refer to deposits embedded with financial derivatives absorbed by banks, which link the product yield to specific financial indicators such as exchange rates, precious metal prices, and stock prices. Investors are expected to obtain products with higher yields on the basis of bearing certain risks. During the investigation, several financial managers told reporters that unlike general deposits, structured deposits have certain investment risks, and investors should invest with caution. In addition, the past performance of structured deposits does not represent future performance, nor is it equal to the actual yield of the product.January 17, New York Fed data released on Thursday showed that the Federal Reserve is not under immediate pressure to stop reducing its holdings of Treasury bonds and mortgage-backed securities (MBS). The report said that as of January 7, its recently launched reserve demand elasticity indicator remained basically stable compared with recent readings, at -0.04, and said that "estimates show that reserves are still ample." For the Federal Reserve, ample reserve levels mean that liquidity in the financial system is still strong enough, and the Federal Reserve can continue to reduce its balance sheet by not reinvesting the funds raised after some of its holdings of Treasury bonds and MBS expire. The reserve demand elasticity indicator helps measure liquidity conditions and can provide early warning of shortages, thereby providing ample preparation time. The Federal Reserve has also slowed down the pace of quantitative tightening and established a mechanism called the Standing Repo Facility to provide fast funds to eligible banks to quickly resolve any problems in the market.

As China's Inflation Misses Forecasts, NZD/USD Sinks Below 0.6320

Alina Haynes

Feb 10, 2023 11:53

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As a result of China's National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) releasing weaker-than-anticipated Consumer Price Index (CPI) (Jan) data, the NZD/USD pair has dropped precipitously below 0.6320. The annual inflation rate is 2.1%, which is below the consensus estimate of 2.2% but above the prior figure of 1.8%. The monthly inflation rate declined by 0.8%, but inflationary pressures rose by 0.7%.

 

China's Producer Price Index (PPI) revealed a 0.8% deflation, which is 0.8% worse than the 0.5% predicted deflation and 0.7% previous deflation. It indicates that enterprises are aggressively discounting their goods and services at the facility gates. This is symptomatic of weak household demand.

 

The Chinese government and the People's Bank of China (PBOC) may pursue expansionary stimulus and monetary policies, respectively, as the Chinese economy recovers following the lifting of economic regulations.

 

There is little doubt that the Chinese economy will experience a rise in inflationary pressures as a result of further stimulus driving commodities in a bullish path. After overcoming the pandemic, western and other Asian nations have witnessed a similar circumstance.

 

Notably, New Zealand is one of China's most important trading partners, and lower inflation will require further assistance, which will benefit the New Zealand Dollar.

 

Meanwhile, the risk mood is negative as investors become anxious in advance of next week's release of Consumer Price Index (CPI) data in the United States. S&P500 futures ended Thursday's session on a negative note, as the market thinks that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will soon hike interest rates. The US Dollar Index (DXY) has difficulty maintaining a value greater than 103.00.

 

Following the release of January's good employment report, an unanticipated rise in inflation cannot be ruled out. Consumer spending can be stimulated by an increase in consumer expenditure, which may occur from a rise in employment.

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