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On May 6th, ADP reported that private sector job growth in April was stronger than expected, further indicating a stable labor market. This performance also reduces the need for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates against a backdrop of persistently high inflation. The agency stated that businesses added 109,000 jobs in April, a significant rebound from the revised 61,000 in March and higher than the Dow Jones consensus forecast of 84,000; the March figure was revised down by 1,000 jobs. Regarding wages, the annualized wage growth rate for retained employees was 4.4%, a slight decrease of 0.1 percentage points from the previous value. Consistent with previous trends, job growth was mainly concentrated in a few key industries, indicating that while overall hiring is resilient, its distribution across industries is uneven. Education and healthcare services continued to lead the way, adding 61,000 jobs. Meanwhile, the Trump administrations policies to encourage the return of manufacturing through tariffs had a limited impact on employment, with only 2,000 new jobs added in these sectors. In terms of company size, small businesses with fewer than 50 employees added 65,000 jobs, while large businesses with more than 500 employees added 42,000 jobs.May 6th - ADPs national employment report released Wednesday showed that U.S. private sector job growth exceeded market expectations in April. Private sector employment increased by 109,000 in April, exceeding market expectations, while Marchs increase was revised down to 61,000. The U.S. labor market remains in a state of "low hiring, low layoffs." Data released by the U.S. government on Tuesday showed that job openings declined in March, but hiring rebounded to a more than two-year high. According to a survey of economists, non-farm payrolls are expected to increase by 62,000 in April, after a rebound to 178,000 in March. Private sector employment is expected to increase by 75,000 in April, after a surge of 186,000 in the previous month. The unemployment rate is expected to remain unchanged at 4.3%. A survey released last week by the Conference Board showed that the percentage of consumers who felt "jobs were hard to find" decreased in April, while the percentage who felt "jobs were plentiful" remained largely unchanged.ADP report: For retained employees, salary growth slowed slightly to 4.4%. For employees who changed jobs, annual salary growth remained stable at 6.6%.ADP report: In April, the continued strong performance of the healthcare sector, coupled with a rebound in the trade, transportation, and utilities sectors, contributed to an acceleration in hiring last month.German Foreign Minister Waldfol: Twelve member states support pushing forward this change and will communicate with countries that remain skeptical.

Another Unexpected Increase in U.S. Crude Inventories Decreased Oil Prices by 1%

Charlie Brooks

Jan 19, 2023 11:04

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Oil prices fell on Thursday as industry data revealed a large, unexpected increase in U.S. oil stocks for a second week, raising concerns about a decrease in fuel consumption.


U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil futures fell 86 cents, or 1.1%, to $78.62 per barrel at 01:09 GMT, while Brent crude futures fell 73 cents, or 0.9%, to $84.25 per barrel, extending losses of over 1% from Wednesday.


The market fell due to fears of an impending U.S. economic crisis after Federal Reserve members declared that rates needed to rise over 5% to control inflation, despite statistics showing that December retail sales were less than anticipated.


Analysts from ANZ Research noted in a client note, "This elevated the possibility of a recession, resulting in a decreased appetite for risk."


According to data from the American Petroleum Institute, U.S. crude oil inventories climbed by approximately 7.6 million barrels in the week ending January 13.


According to nine analysts polled by Reuters, oil inventories declined by an average of 600,000 barrels.


This is the second week in a row that major inventory increases have occurred.


In contrast to forecasts of a 120,000-barrel increase, inventories of distillates, which include diesel and heating oil, declined by almost 1.8 million barrels.


Monday's Martin Luther King Day holiday in the United States resulted in a one-day delay for the API report. Thursday will see the release of the weekly inventory data from the Energy Information Administration.


With aggressive rate hikes still a possibility, the U.S. dollar surged, further reducing oil demand because a stronger greenback makes the commodity more expensive for foreign currency holders.