• English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
On August 29th, NBC News, citing two sources familiar with the matter, reported that US Defense Secretary Peter Hegseth has been discussing the possibility of running for president in 2028 with close associates in recent months. Hegseth and his wife believe he shares some similarities with Trump, including a tough, confrontational style and conservative stances on social issues, which could garner support from the MAGA base. This month, Hegseth also traveled to Iowa to campaign for Republican lawmakers. Iowa has long been a key outpost in US presidential elections, further fueling speculation that he is preparing to run. If he does run, Hegseth could compete with Vice President JD Vance, Secretary of State Rubio, and others. However, a Pentagon spokesperson denied the claims, stating that "Secretary Hegseth will not run for president," and that his primary focus remains leading the Department of Defense. The report points out that the ongoing war with Iran could be a major political burden for Hegseth, with 18 US military personnel already killed and the average US gasoline price rising from less than $3 per gallon to slightly over $4.On August 29th, Allianz Chief Economic Advisor Mohamed El-Erian stated that todays changes in the US Treasury yield curve released two signals. The spread between the 2-year and 10-year yields narrowed by approximately 7 basis points, and the spread between the 2-year and 30-year yields narrowed by approximately 10 basis points, showing a flattening trend. El-Erian believes this reflects a dual interpretation in the fixed-income market: in the short term, it represents a hawkish repricing following Federal Reserve Chairman Warshs firm commitment to the inflation target; in the long term, it reflects recognition of the Federal Reserves long-term credibility.According to NBC News, U.S. Defense Secretary Hergsays is considering running for president in 2028.On August 29th, Deutsche Bank economists predicted that the Federal Reserve would raise interest rates by 25 basis points each in September and December. Fed Chairman Warsh, in his Jackson Hole speech, emphasized the need to bring inflation back to the 2% target and released a clearly hawkish signal. Deutsche Bank believes that unless future economic data is "significantly weaker than expected," the threshold for avoiding a 25 basis point rate hike in September is already very high. The market has also quickly increased its bets on rate hikes: CME data shows that the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 50 basis points or more by December has risen to 51%, up from only 29% the previous day; the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 38%, and the probability of keeping rates unchanged is only 11%. Following Warshs speech, market bets on a September rate hike have also clearly intensified.US President Trump criticized New York Governor Hoher for "taking Canadas side," refusing to use the name "American Lake," and "preferring Canada to win," while also supporting Blackman as the next governor of New York.

Another Unexpected Increase in U.S. Crude Inventories Decreased Oil Prices by 1%

Charlie Brooks

Jan 19, 2023 11:04

121.png


Oil prices fell on Thursday as industry data revealed a large, unexpected increase in U.S. oil stocks for a second week, raising concerns about a decrease in fuel consumption.


U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil futures fell 86 cents, or 1.1%, to $78.62 per barrel at 01:09 GMT, while Brent crude futures fell 73 cents, or 0.9%, to $84.25 per barrel, extending losses of over 1% from Wednesday.


The market fell due to fears of an impending U.S. economic crisis after Federal Reserve members declared that rates needed to rise over 5% to control inflation, despite statistics showing that December retail sales were less than anticipated.


Analysts from ANZ Research noted in a client note, "This elevated the possibility of a recession, resulting in a decreased appetite for risk."


According to data from the American Petroleum Institute, U.S. crude oil inventories climbed by approximately 7.6 million barrels in the week ending January 13.


According to nine analysts polled by Reuters, oil inventories declined by an average of 600,000 barrels.


This is the second week in a row that major inventory increases have occurred.


In contrast to forecasts of a 120,000-barrel increase, inventories of distillates, which include diesel and heating oil, declined by almost 1.8 million barrels.


Monday's Martin Luther King Day holiday in the United States resulted in a one-day delay for the API report. Thursday will see the release of the weekly inventory data from the Energy Information Administration.


With aggressive rate hikes still a possibility, the U.S. dollar surged, further reducing oil demand because a stronger greenback makes the commodity more expensive for foreign currency holders.