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On May 17th, TsLombard stated that an aggressive tightening cycle is unlikely. Faced with the oil price shock, the extent of policy tightening by global central banks is likely to be quite limited. In Europe, the energy shock is already dragging down economic activity. The UK labor market has been volatile for some time, and hiring sentiment in Europe is becoming increasingly weak. In our view, the tightening力度 of the ECB and the Bank of England this year will be less than the market expects, and this possibility is currently underestimated. In the US, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve implementing policy tightening in the short term is small, and even if it does, it is almost certain to be before 2027.On May 17, the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region government announced the activation of the alert level under the "Ebola Virus Preparedness and Response Plan" to protect public health. The Centre for Health Protection of the Hong Kong Department of Health stated that it has proactively sought further information from the WHO, the Africa Centres for Disease Control and Prevention, the Democratic Republic of Congo, and the health authorities of Uganda.On May 17, the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) said that on May 16, the IDF killed a commander of the Hamas operations headquarters.May 17th - A recent Japanese public opinion poll shows that, faced with insufficient crude oil supply, 70% of Japanese citizens believe the government should call for energy conservation measures. Japans recent sharp decline in crude oil imports, necessitating two releases of oil reserves, has sparked widespread concern. Kyodo News conducted a telephone survey from May 16th to 17th, asking for public opinion on issues such as insufficient supply of crude oil and its derivatives. The survey results, released on the 17th, show that 70.5% of respondents believe the Japanese government should call for measures to conserve energy and resources. Regarding naphtha, a key raw material for plastics production, 70.6% of respondents expressed "unease" due to insufficient supply.On May 17th, in the second round of the WorldSSP class at the 2026 World Superbike Championship (WSBK) Czech Republic round, Valentin Debis, a French rider from Chinese motorcycle manufacturer Zhang Xue Motorcycles, won the championship again. This marks his second time this season achieving a perfect record in two rounds of a single race, following his victory in Portugal. This is also the fifth championship for the rider and Zhang Xue Motorcycles this season.

Another Unexpected Increase in U.S. Crude Inventories Decreased Oil Prices by 1%

Charlie Brooks

Jan 19, 2023 11:04

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Oil prices fell on Thursday as industry data revealed a large, unexpected increase in U.S. oil stocks for a second week, raising concerns about a decrease in fuel consumption.


U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil futures fell 86 cents, or 1.1%, to $78.62 per barrel at 01:09 GMT, while Brent crude futures fell 73 cents, or 0.9%, to $84.25 per barrel, extending losses of over 1% from Wednesday.


The market fell due to fears of an impending U.S. economic crisis after Federal Reserve members declared that rates needed to rise over 5% to control inflation, despite statistics showing that December retail sales were less than anticipated.


Analysts from ANZ Research noted in a client note, "This elevated the possibility of a recession, resulting in a decreased appetite for risk."


According to data from the American Petroleum Institute, U.S. crude oil inventories climbed by approximately 7.6 million barrels in the week ending January 13.


According to nine analysts polled by Reuters, oil inventories declined by an average of 600,000 barrels.


This is the second week in a row that major inventory increases have occurred.


In contrast to forecasts of a 120,000-barrel increase, inventories of distillates, which include diesel and heating oil, declined by almost 1.8 million barrels.


Monday's Martin Luther King Day holiday in the United States resulted in a one-day delay for the API report. Thursday will see the release of the weekly inventory data from the Energy Information Administration.


With aggressive rate hikes still a possibility, the U.S. dollar surged, further reducing oil demand because a stronger greenback makes the commodity more expensive for foreign currency holders.