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On May 28, Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Baghae issued a statement strongly condemning the US military attack on parts of Bandar Abbas in southern Iran early that morning. Baghae stated that this act was a blatant violation of Irans territorial integrity and national sovereignty, and a serious breach of international law and the UN Charter. Baghae pointed out that the UN Security Council has a responsibility to fulfill its legal obligations and hold the US accountable.On May 28th, according to Investinglive, gold prices fell to a two-month low this week due to a lack of substantial progress on the US-Iran issue and the risk of a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve. Despite market expectations of an imminent agreement and the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, no official confirmation has been released. Currently, there is only a lot of noise and rumors. Furthermore, in the past few days, both the US and Iran have conducted limited military strikes, but the US continues to maintain that the ceasefire agreement remains in effect. Regarding the Federal Reserve, a growing number of policymakers are now advocating abandoning the dovish bias, so we can expect this to happen at the June FOMC meeting. Moreover, if there are no changes in the US-Iran situation before then, with persistently high inflation and resilient US data, the market may see a hawkish surprise. In the short term, if the situation is resolved and the Strait reopens, lower oil prices and rising expectations of interest rate cuts may support gold prices. However, if the Strait remains closed for a longer period and oil prices remain high, the risk of the Federal Reserve being forced to raise interest rates will increase.Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman: Iran expresses solidarity with Oman following “threats from U.S. officials.”According to RIA Novosti, the head of Russias Foreign Intelligence Service stated that the European Union is accelerating its military buildup and is evolving into a military alliance against Russia.On May 28th, European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde stated on Thursday that governments may be inclined to strengthen control over monetary authorities, making the maintenance of central bank independence even more crucial amidst an increasingly challenging global order. Lagarde said, "In an increasingly difficult world, the challenge is no longer just maintaining legal independence, but more importantly, maintaining the credibility needed to exercise that independence." "History has taught us a very clear lesson: building trust takes a long time, but losing it takes only a moment." Lagarde noted that over the past decade, the "de facto independence" of central banks in nearly half of the countries representing approximately 75% of global GDP has deteriorated. She also emphasized that policymakers face an increasingly unfavorable environment, including more frequent supply shocks, rising fiscal pressures, and declining public trust in public institutions. In this context, credibility earned through action is becoming increasingly decisive.

Another Unexpected Increase in U.S. Crude Inventories Decreased Oil Prices by 1%

Charlie Brooks

Jan 19, 2023 11:04

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Oil prices fell on Thursday as industry data revealed a large, unexpected increase in U.S. oil stocks for a second week, raising concerns about a decrease in fuel consumption.


U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil futures fell 86 cents, or 1.1%, to $78.62 per barrel at 01:09 GMT, while Brent crude futures fell 73 cents, or 0.9%, to $84.25 per barrel, extending losses of over 1% from Wednesday.


The market fell due to fears of an impending U.S. economic crisis after Federal Reserve members declared that rates needed to rise over 5% to control inflation, despite statistics showing that December retail sales were less than anticipated.


Analysts from ANZ Research noted in a client note, "This elevated the possibility of a recession, resulting in a decreased appetite for risk."


According to data from the American Petroleum Institute, U.S. crude oil inventories climbed by approximately 7.6 million barrels in the week ending January 13.


According to nine analysts polled by Reuters, oil inventories declined by an average of 600,000 barrels.


This is the second week in a row that major inventory increases have occurred.


In contrast to forecasts of a 120,000-barrel increase, inventories of distillates, which include diesel and heating oil, declined by almost 1.8 million barrels.


Monday's Martin Luther King Day holiday in the United States resulted in a one-day delay for the API report. Thursday will see the release of the weekly inventory data from the Energy Information Administration.


With aggressive rate hikes still a possibility, the U.S. dollar surged, further reducing oil demand because a stronger greenback makes the commodity more expensive for foreign currency holders.