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According to Hong Kong Stock Exchange documents, Guangzhou Penghui Energy Technology Co., Ltd. has submitted a listing application to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange.U.S. silver mining stocks fell, with Hecla Mining (HL.N) down 9%, Cordair Mining (CDE.N) down 8.6%, Silvercorp Metals (SVM.A) down 8.7%, and Endeavour Silver (EXK.N) down 8.1%.Micron Technology (MU.O) rose more than 3%, bringing its monthly gain to over 57%, and its market capitalization surpassed $500 billion for the first time.On January 30th, Trump turned the selection process for the Federal Reserve Chair into a game show, with Kevin Warshs ultimate victory being arguably the most unexpected choice. This decision is bound to exacerbate market volatility and may displease all parties, including Trump himself. This nomination will first trigger a strong cognitive conflict on Wall Street and in policy circles. Although Trump promised to choose a Fed Chair capable of implementing loose monetary policy, Warsh has always been considered a hawk. This background will make it difficult for Warsh to build credibility. If he chooses to cut interest rates, the market will see him as abandoning principles and submitting to Trumps puppet; if he maintains high interest rates for too long, he will inevitably clash with Trump quickly, which in itself will trigger market volatility. Before Powells term ends, Warshs "shadow term" has already begun, potentially leading to confused policy signals and market misinterpretations. Intriguingly, Warshs victory seems to stem from a "survivors logic." When the Trump team lost interest in Hassett, he became the only remaining option. Until December of last year, Hassett was still the top favorite in the forecasting market, but concerns that his nomination could drive up bond term premiums, coupled with warnings from Wall Street executives that someone too close to the president should not be in charge of an independent central bank, eventually changed the situation.On January 30th, Federal Reserve Governor Waller stated that the current interest rate range is 3.50%-3.75%, and monetary policy should be closer to a neutral level, which he believes is around 3%. Despite robust economic growth, the labor market remains weak. Waller expects last years weak employment data to be revised downwards, reflecting near-zero job growth in 2025. He stated that he has heard of several companies planning layoffs in 2026, and therefore is quite skeptical about job growth, warning of a significant risk of a sharp deterioration in employment. Regarding inflation, Waller pointed out that the inflation rate excluding tariffs is close to the Feds 2% target and is on track to reach it. Although inflation has risen due to tariffs, he believes that given that inflation expectations have stabilized, monetary policy should ignore these temporary effects. Waller voted against a 25 basis point rate cut at this weeks meeting, arguing that current policy is still excessively suppressing economic activity.

After A Robust Ascent, Gold Prices Are Anticipated to Rise For A Fifth Week

Haiden Holmes

Jan 20, 2023 10:43

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Gold prices remained close to a nine-month high on Friday, following a significant increase in the previous session, and were poised for a fifth consecutive week of gains on the strength of swelling demand for safe-haven assets and growing uncertainty regarding the future direction of U.S. monetary policy.


In the previous session, prices of the yellow metal surged by approximately 1.5%, climbing in tandem with a significant plunge in stock markets as poor corporate profits and weaker-than-anticipated economic data fuelled worries of an impending economic crisis.


The Federal Reserve's hawkish comments further dampened sentiment. Despite indicators of decelerating inflation, Fed Vice Chair Lael Brainard warned on Thursday that interest rates will need to remain elevated so long as price pressures remain near 40-year highs. Her words paralleled those made by other Fed officials during the same time period.


However, the markets were uncertain as to the peak level of U.S. interest rates, as Fed officials provided predictions ranging from just below 5% to close to 6%.


As of 19:40 EDT, spot gold fell 0.1% to $1,930.90 per ounce, while gold futures were flat at $1,932.35 per ounce (00:40 GMT). Both assets were trading near their highest levels since April 2022, and weekly gains of 0.6% were anticipated.


Since figures demonstrated a continuous decrease in U.S. inflation, gold prices have increased, which is expected to persuade the Fed to adopt less aggressive action this year. In 2022, bullion prices were rattled by the Federal Reserve's hawkishness; nevertheless, the possibility of fewer rate hikes provided substantial relief.


In recent weeks, the potential of a global recession has raised the demand for gold as a safe haven, in light of several warnings that major economies could see a contraction this year.


Copper prices fell in early Asian trading, but were poised for a fifth straight week of gains due to enduring optimism on China's economic recovery.


Copper futures decreased 0.2% to $4.2408 per pound, but were up 0.6% for the week.


China, the largest importer of copper in the world, began reversing the majority of anti-COVID actions in December. As a result, the price of copper has increased significantly during the previous few weeks.


This year's growing fears of a recession have impeded recent gains in the price of the precious metal.